A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
A pricing principle is introduced for non-attainable claims in incomplete markets.
Modelling stock prices via jump processes is common in financial markets. In practice, to hedge a contingent claim one typically uses the so-called delta-hedging strategy. This strategy stems from the Black--Merton--Scholes model where it perfectly replicates contingent claims. From the theoretical viewpoint, there is …
In recent studies, the generalization properties for distributed learning and random features assumed the existence of the target concept over the hypothesis space. However, this strict condition is not applicable to the more common non-attainable case. In this paper, using refined proof techniques, we first extend the…
In this paper, we study regression problems over a separable Hilbert space with the square loss, covering non-parametric regression over a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We investigate a class of spectral/regularized algorithms, including ridge regression, principal component regression, and gradient methods. We pro…
We analyze the learning properties of the stochastic gradient method when multiple passes over the data and mini-batches are allowed. We study how regularization properties are controlled by the step-size, the number of passes and the mini-batch size. In particular, we consider the square loss and show that for a unive…
We investigate regularized algorithms combining with projection for least-squares regression problem over a Hilbert space, covering nonparametric regression over a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We prove convergence results with respect to variants of norms, under a capacity assumption on the hypothesis space and a …
A continuous-time financial portfolio selection model with expected utility maximization typically boils down to solving a (static) convex stochastic optimization problem in terms of the terminal wealth, with a budget constraint. In literature the latter is solved by assuming {\it a priori} that the problem is well-pos…
We introduce polynomial processes in the sense of [8] in the context of stochastic portfolio theory to model simultaneously companies' market capitalizations and the corresponding market weights. These models substantially extend volatility stabilized market models considered by Robert Fernholz and Ioannis Karatzas in …
Reinforcement learning improves insurance claims reserving by learning from all claim trajectories.
The study analyzes how bonus-malus systems and delayed claims settlement affect insurance companies' financial stability.
Deep Claim predicts payer responses from claims data using deep learning.
New method for individual claims reserving using machine learning.
The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the collective risk model, where the total claim size in a portfolio is the sum of a …
Two machine learning models detect anomalies in ER claims, saving up to 40% in improper payments.
Optimizes insurance processing capacity to minimize costs.
New model bridges pricing and reserving for insurance claims.
This study compares the largest claims from two insurance portfolios using stochastic orderings.
Model detects insurance fraud using social network analysis.
We consider trading in a financial market with proportional transaction costs. In the frictionless case, claims are maximal if and only if they are priced by a consistent price process--the equivalent of an equivalent martingale measure. This result fails in the presence of transaction costs. A properly maximal claim i…
Investor maximizes utility from an unknown claim using robust optimization.
Model predicts individual insurance claim reserves using activation patterns.
BERT learns claim descriptions to identify patent novelty.
Insurance companies must manage millions of claims per year. While most of these claims are non-fraudulent, fraud detection is core for insurance companies. The ultimate goal is a predictive model to single out the fraudulent claims and pay out the non-fraudulent ones immediately. Modern machine learning methods are we…
Paper introduces EEMs for pricing contingent claim returns.
Traditional non-life reserving models largely neglect the vast amount of information collected over the lifetime of a claim. This information includes covariates describing the policy, claim cause as well as the detailed history collected during a claim's development over time. We present the hierarchical reserving mod…
A new method for modeling insurance claim frequencies using random proportions.
The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.
In this work, we focus on fine-tuning an OpenAI GPT-2 pre-trained model for generating patent claims. GPT-2 has demonstrated impressive efficacy of pre-trained language models on various tasks, particularly coherent text generation. Patent claim language itself has rarely been explored in the past and poses a unique ch…
FiNCAT tool automatically identifies financial numerals in documents.
LLMs help automate extraction of actuarial variables from unstructured claims data.
New method simplifies individual claims reserving.
Using a suitable change of probability measure, we obtain a novel Poisson series representation for the arbitrage- free price process of vulnerable contingent claims in a regime-switching market driven by an underlying continuous- time Markov process. As a result of this representation, along with a short-time asymptot…
Study tackles imbalanced data in car insurance claims prediction.
We derive asymptotic expansions for the prices of a variety of European and barrier-style claims in a general local-stochastic volatility setting. Our method combines Taylor series expansions of the diffusion coefficients with an expansion in the correlation parameter between the underlying asset and volatility process…
Time-aware fact-checking improves veracity predictions for time-sensitive claims.
We consider a classical risk process with arrival of claims following a non-stationary Hawkes process. We study the asymptotic regime when the premium rate and the baseline intensity of the claims arrival process are large, and claim size is small. The main goal of the article is to establish a diffusion approximation …
We investigate, focusing on the ruin probability, an adaptation of the Cramer-Lundberg model for the surplus process of an insurance company, in which, conditionally on their intensities, the two mixed Poisson processes governing the arrival times of the premiums and of the claims respectively, are independent. Such a …
Unified methods for hedging impermanent loss in decentralized exchanges.
Wojciech Kamiński disproved a spiral claim for conformal geodesics.
Audit shows risk claims from distributional reinforcement learning agents are often false.
Study uses SVM to predict weather-induced home insurance claims and losses.
Paper proposes deep learning for fake claim detection on social media.
The paper deals with bonus-malus systems with different claim types and varying deductibles. The premium relativities are softened for the policyholders who are in the malus zone and these policyholders are subject to per claim deductibles depending on their levels in the bonus-malus scale and the types of the reported…
This paper suggests claim history will be deprecated in future auto insurance rates.
Improved disability insurance model with collective health claims.
This paper deals with the super-replication of non path-dependent European claims under additional convex constraints on the number of shares held in the portfolio. The corresponding super-replication price of a given claim has been widely studied in the literature and its terminal value, which dominates the claim of i…
Study stability of contingent claim solutions under probabilistic perturbations.
The article derives a formula for predicting claims uncertainty using the GCC method.