This paper focuses on the stability of the non-arbitrage condition in discrete time market models when some unknown information is partially/fully incorporated into the market. Our main conclusions are twofold. On the one hand, for a fixed market , we prove that the non-arbitrage condition is preserved under a m…
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48 results for “non-arbitrage conditions”
New method for non-arbitrage pricing in risky assets.
problem Non-arbitrage pricing in markets with non-negative risky assets.
method Constructing martingale measures and proving optional decomposition theorem.
result Deriving fair prices for European option contracts.
Modeling financial markets with sandpile model to understand price volatility and arbitrage constraints.
problem Understanding price volatility and arbitrage constraints in financial markets.
method Uses a sandpile model to represent information and price changes, linking size of price volatility to the scaling law of avalanches.
result Identifies a structural tension between non-arbitrage condition and price adjustments consistent with a constant Sharpe ratio.
This paper addresses the question of how an arbitrage-free semimartingale model is affected when stopped at a random horizon. We focus on No-Unbounded-Profit-with-Bounded-Risk (called NUPBR hereafter) concept, which is also known in the literature as the first kind of non-arbitrage. For this non-arbitrage notion, we ob…
Caratheodory's axiom limits arbitrage in resource-limited systems.
problem Non-arbitrage constraints in resource-limited financial systems.
method Preserving Caratheodory's axiom in resource-limited systems.
result Exponential family is the necessary geometric structure for both thermodynamics and finance.
Study normal tempered stable processes for energy derivative pricing.
problem Pricing energy derivatives with spot price models.
method Specified statistical properties, derived non-arbitrage conditions, developed efficient algorithm for trajectory generation.
result Validated pricing models for various energy contracts.
Quantum probability theory constructs Martingales for non-Brownian financial models.
problem Constructing Martingales for financial models using fractional Brownian motion.
method Quantum probability theory and Wick product.
result Quantum probability framework allows for Martingale construction without Brownian integrals.
The new framework for finance is proposed. This framework based on three known approaches in econophysics. Assumptions of the framework are the following: 1. For the majority of situations market follows non-arbitrage condition. 2. For the small number of situations market influenced by the actions of big firms. 3. If …
This paper does not suppose a priori that the evolution of the price of a financial asset is a semimartingale. Since possible strategies of investors are self-financing, previous prices are forced to be finite quadratic variation processes. The non-arbitrage property is not excluded if the class of admiss…
The paper revisits and applies FTAP to life insurance and annuities pricing.
problem Non-arbitrage pricing of life contingent assets in dynamic markets.
method Revisit FTAP, use martingale theory, apply FTAP to life insurance and annuities, clarify assumptions.
result Valuation formula for life contingent assets including life insurance policies and annuities.
This paper completes the analysis of Choulli et al. Non-Arbitrage up to Random Horizons and after Honest Times for Semimartingale Models and contains two principal contributions. The first contribution consists in providing and analysing many practical examples of market models that admit classical arbitrages while the…
This paper quantifies the interplay between the non-arbitrage notion of No-Unbounded-Profit-with-Bounded-Risk (NUPBR hereafter) and additional information generated by a random time. This study complements the one of Aksamit/Choulli/Deng/Jeanblanc [1] in which the authors studied similar topics for the case of stopping…
LQG for portfolio optimizationq-fin.PM
We introduce a generic solver for dynamic portfolio allocation problems when the market exhibits return predictability, price impact and partial observability. We assume that the price modeling can be encoded into a linear state-space and we demonstrate how the problem then falls into the LQG framework. We derive the o…
Implied volatilities form a well-known structure of smile or surface which accommodates the Bachelier model and observed market prices of interest rate options. For the swaptions that we study, three parameters are taken into account for indexing the implied volatilities and form a "volatility cube": strike (or moneyne…
We model bond's price curves corresponding to the sovereign uruguayan debt nominated in USD, as an alternative to the official bond prices publication released by the Central Bank of Uruguay (CBU). Four different gaussian models are fitted, based on historical data issued by the CBU, corresponding to some of the more f…
We consider a generic market model with a single stock and with random volatility. We assume that there is a number of tradable options for that stock with different strike prices. The paper states the problem of finding a pricing rule that gives Black-Scholes price for at-money options and such that the market is arbi…
This paper proposes two approaches that quantify the exact relationship among the viability, the absence of arbitrage, and/or the existence of the numéraire portfolio under minimal assumptions and for general continuous-time market models. Precisely, our first and principal contribution proves the equivalence among the…
Study prices energy derivatives using specific stochastic processes.
problem Pricing energy derivatives in markets driven by specific stochastic processes.
method Calculated characteristic functions, derived non-arbitrage conditions, and developed efficient algorithms for simulation.
result Developed methods for pricing various energy contracts.
Based on the concept of self-decomposable random variables we discuss the application of a model for a pair of dependent Poisson processes to energy facilities. Due to the resulting structure of the jump events we can see the self-decomposability as a form of cointegration among jumps. In the context of energy faciliti…
Efficient and Accurate Calibration to FX Market Skew with Fully Parameterized Local Volatility Modelq-fin.PR
Model accurately calibrates FX market skew for exotic options.
problem Inconsistent prices from different models for FX derivatives.
method Fully parameterized local volatility model with numerical methods.
result Model provides reliable prices for daily trading.
This paper completes the two studies undertaken in \cite{aksamit/choulli/deng/jeanblanc2} and \cite{aksamit/choulli/deng/jeanblanc3}, where the authors quantify the impact of a random time on the No-Unbounded-Risk-with-Bounded-Profit concept (called NUPBR hereafter) when the stock price processes are quasi-left-continu…
Study loan contracts in DLPs using derivatives pricing and neural networks.
problem Optimizing and hedging risks in decentralized lending contracts.
method Derivatives pricing theory, deep neural networks, and statistical arbitrage.
result Developed a method to hedge risks in lending contracts and exploit arbitrage opportunities.
Study bounds for European basket call options in a discrete-time market model with price jumps.
problem Bounding the prices of European basket call options in a market model with price jumps.
method Computed bounds using a binomial model and proved that the lower bound coincides with Jensen's bound.
result The upper bound of the price interval of European basket call options can be computed by restricting to a binomial model.
G3M Impermanent Loss Dynamicsq-fin.PM
G3M impermanent losses are a key issue in decentralized finance, affecting diversification benefits.
problem Impermanent losses in G3M market makers due to negative convexity.
method Established non-arbitrage bounds and analyzed empirical data.
result Median liquidity pools have net nil ROI when Impermanent Losses are considered.
Generates samples conditioned on labels using optimal transport.
problem Estimating conditional distributions for specific labels.
method Wasserstein geodesic generator based on optimal transport theory.
result Learned conditional distributions and optimal transport maps.
The paper classifies Finsler surfaces satisfying the T-condition or σT-condition.
problem Characterizing Finsler surfaces based on specific tensor conditions.
method Analyzing Finsler surfaces in dimensions n≥3, proving conditions equivalence, and solving PDEs.
result All Finsler surfaces satisfying the T-condition or σT-condition are classified.
The paper develops a new approach to conditional risk measures using modular convex analysis.
problem Developing a new method for conditional risk measures.
method Random modular approach to conditional certainty equivalents and niveloids in the conditional -space.
result Retrieves a conditional variational formula for optimized certainty equivalents and applies it to the conditional entropic risk measure.
Paper constructs solutions to Bogomolny equations with specific boundary and asymptotic conditions.
problem Constructing solutions to Bogomolny equations with given boundary and asymptotic conditions.
method Using generalized Nahm pole boundary condition and real symmetry breaking condition.
result Solutions analogous to instanton solutions, satisfying different asymptotic conditions.
We extend probabilistic programming to handle conditioning on marginal distributions.
problem Conditioning probabilistic programs on marginal distributions of observable variables.
method We define and implement stochastic conditioning, allowing inference in probabilistic programs conditioned on marginal distributions.
result We demonstrate the effectiveness of stochastic conditioning in various real-life scenarios.
New tests for conditional copulas based on decision trees.
problem Testing constancy of conditional dependence structure given conditioning events.
method Data-driven decision trees to maximize differences in conditional Kendall's tau.
result Asymptotic distributions of test statistics under the null hypothesis.
Paper finds necessary condition for logarithmic Minkowski problem in higher dimensions.
problem Logarithmic Minkowski problem in higher dimensions.
method Established a necessary condition through generalization and refinement of previous work.
result Generalizes and refines necessary condition for logarithmic Minkowski problem.
This paper introduces a neural operator for probabilistic conditioning.
problem Probabilistic conditioning of random variables given .
method Develops a single operator that maps any joint density to its conditional, approximated by neural operators.
result Neural operators can approximate the conditioning operator to arbitrary accuracy.
CSI method learns conditional distributions by estimating flow equations.
problem Learning conditional distributions in generative models.
method Estimates probability flow equations to transport reference to target distribution.
result Derives explicit expressions for conditional drift and score functions.
New conditional risk measures called conditional generalized quantiles defined and characterized.
problem Developing new risk measures for dynamic risk assessment.
method Propose and characterize conditional generalized quantiles using expected utility model and equivalent conditions.
result Characterized conditional generalized quantiles as well-defined and equivalent to a conditional first order condition.
A new method for learning conditional distributions using ODEs and neural networks.
problem Learning conditional distributions efficiently and accurately.
method Conditional Föllmer Flow, discretized with Euler's method, using nonparametric velocity estimation.
result Effective approximation of target conditional distributions, with convergence results for Wasserstein-2 distance.
Sharp statistical theory for conditional diffusion models.
problem Lack of theoretical foundation for conditional diffusion models.
method Sharp statistical theory with approximation of conditional score function.
result Sample complexity bound that adapts to data distribution smoothness.
An analysis is made of reality conditions within the context of noncommutative geometry. We show that if a covariant derivative satisfies a given left Leibniz rule then a right Leibniz rule is equivalent to the reality condition. We show also that the matrix which determines the reality condition must satisfy the Yang-…
Sufficient conditions for the absence of relaxation gaps in state-constrained optimal controlmath.OC
New conditions prevent gaps in optimal control problems.
problem Preventing gaps in optimal control problems with state constraints.
method Developed new sufficient conditions not relying on convexity.
result Derived bounds for the size of the relaxation gap.
We identify conditional parity as a general notion of non-discrimination in machine learning. In fact, several recently proposed notions of non-discrimination, including a few counterfactual notions, are instances of conditional parity. We show that conditional parity is amenable to statistical analysis by studying ran…
We consider families of strongly consistent multivariate conditional risk measures. We show that under strong consistency these families admit a decomposition into a conditional aggregation function and a univariate conditional risk measure as introduced Hoffmann et al. (2016). Further, in analogy to the univariate cas…
Proposes a new method for interpreting feature importance and effects in dependent feature models.
problem Challenges in interpreting feature importance when features are dependent and interactions are present.
method Conditional Subgroup Approach
result Conditional PFI and PDP estimates based on this approach often outperform existing methods.
New boundary conditions solve Cauchy problem for Dirac operators on spacetimes.
problem Understanding non-local boundary conditions for Dirac operators on spacetimes.
method Define and analyze a class of Lorentzian boundary conditions that are local in time and non-local in spatial directions.
result Well-posed Cauchy problem for the Dirac operator is established under these conditions.
We extend CS divergence to conditional distributions and show its advantages in time series data and sequential decision making.
problem Quantifying the closeness between conditional distributions.
method Developed and estimated a conditional Cauchy-Schwarz divergence using kernel density estimation.
result Conditional CS divergence outperforms previous methods in time series clustering and sequential decision making.
The Samuelson condition is not satisfied by tangent lines of quadratic curves.
problem Area condition for Lagrangian 2-web
method Show that the Samuelson condition is not satisfied
result The Samuelson condition is not satisfied by tangent lines of quadratic curves.
We describe a Groebner basis of relations among conditional probabilities in a discrete probability space, with any set of conditioned-upon events. They may be specialized to the partially-observed random variable case, the purely conditional case, and other special cases. We also investigate the connection to generali…
From Conditional to Unconditional Independence: Testing Conditional Independence via Transport Mapsstat.ML
A new method tests conditional independence by transforming it into an unconditional problem using transport maps.
problem Testing conditional independence between two random vectors given a third.
method Constructing transport maps to transform conditional independence into unconditional independence, estimating these maps from data using conditional continuous normalizing flow models.
result The proposed method is validated through simulations and real-data analysis, demonstrating practical effectiveness.
DG algorithms often fail to generalize well in limited domains, highlighting necessary vs. sufficient conditions.
problem DG algorithms fail to consistently outperform ERM in limited domains.
method Examined necessary and sufficient conditions for DG, proposing a subspace alignment method.
result DG methods focus on sufficient conditions, often neglecting necessary conditions, leading to generalization failures.
Transversality Conditions for Higher Order Infinite Horizon Discrete Time Optimization Problemsmath.OC
In this paper, we examine higher order difference problems. Using the "squeezing" argument, we derive both Euler's condition and the transversality condition. In order to derive the two conditions, two needed assumptions are identified. A counterexample, in which the transversality condition is not satisfied without th…