We establish existence, uniqueness and regularity of solution results for a class of backward stochastic partial differential equations with singular terminal condition. The equation describes the value function of non-Markovian stochastic optimal control problem in which the terminal state of the controlled process is…
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48 results for “non-Markovian control”
Paper tackles non-Markovian control problems with new learning methods.
problem Non-Markovian stochastic control problems with unknown parameters.
method Off-model training and importance sampling for deep neural network approximation.
result Quantitative error bounds for adaptive learning under model uncertainty.
This paper studies a class of nonMarkovian singular stochastic control problems, for which we provide a novel probabilistic representation. The solution of such control problem is proved to identify with the solution of a constrained BSDE, with dynamics associated to a non singular underlying forward process. Du…
Study optimal portfolios in a non-Markovian regime-switching model with random time horizon.
problem Optimal portfolio selection in a market with non-Markovian regime-switching and random time horizon.
method Formulated as a constrained stochastic linear-quadratic optimal control problem, derived closed-form expressions for optimal portfolios and efficient frontier.
result Closed-form expressions for optimal portfolios and efficient frontier derived under non-Markovian regime-switching and random time horizon.
We study stochastic differential equations (SDEs) whose drift and diffusion coefficients are path-dependent and controlled. We construct a value process on the canonical path space, considered simultaneously under a family of singular measures, rather than the usual family of processes indexed by the controls. This val…
FinFlowRL: An Imitation-Reinforcement Learning Framework for Adaptive Stochastic Control in Financeq-fin.CP
FinFlowRL learns from experts to optimize financial control in changing markets.
problem Traditional finance control methods fail in real-world, non-stationary markets.
method Imitation-Reinforcement Learning framework that pretrains on expert strategies and finetunes in noise space.
result Consistently outperforms individually optimized experts across diverse market conditions.
Paper solves complex game theory problems with new equations.
problem Zero-sum stochastic games with non-Markovian switching.
method New multidimensional SRE and BSDE solutions.
result Existence and uniqueness of SRE solutions.
New model controls memory in seq2seq tasks, revealing learning regimes.
problem Understanding memory in seq2seq tasks using neural networks.
method Introducing a stochastic switching-Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (SSOU) model to control memory and a measure of non-Markovianity.
result Two learning regimes emerge from the interplay of time scales in the SSOU process.
Study on kinetic Langevin diffusions and their couplings, showing subtle TV bounds and new non-Markovian couplings.
problem Understanding and quantifying the TV distance between solutions of kinetic Langevin diffusions with different initial values.
method Established new non-Markovian couplings for kinetic Langevin diffusions, derived from optimal coalescence trajectories, and analyzed their TV bounds.
result No Markovian coupling can capture the asymptotic decay rate of the TV distance between solutions of kinetic Langevin diffusions with different initial values.
Novel signature approach for pricing and hedging path-dependent options with market frictions.
problem Pricing and hedging path-dependent options with market frictions.
method Signature approach, mean-quadratic variation criterion, non-standard infinite-dimensional Riccati equations, time-augmented signature, non-Markovian stochastic control problem.
result Effective hedging strategies in frictional markets with low-truncated signature approximations.
We study an optimal control problem related to swing option pricing in a general non-Markovian setting in continuous time. As a main result we show that the value process solves a first-order non-linear backward stochastic partial differential equation. Based on this result we can characterize the set of optimal contro…
New approach finds solutions to games with unbounded controls.
problem Existence of equilibrium in mean-field games with unbounded controls.
method Weak formulation and new existence/stability results for quadratic-growth generalized McKean-Vlasov BSDEs.
result Existence of equilibrium result for non-Markovian mean-field games with unbounded control space.
Two deep learning algorithms solve utility maximisation problems in finance.
problem Solving utility maximisation problems in finance with deep learning.
method Two algorithms: one for Markovian problems via HJB equation and 2BSDE, the other for non-Markovian problems via adjoint BSDE.
result Highly accurate results with low computational cost, solving problems with power, log, and non-HARA utilities in various models.
Partially observable environments present an important open challenge in the domain of sequential control learning with delayed rewards. Despite numerous attempts during the two last decades, the majority of reinforcement learning algorithms and associated approximate models, applied to this context, still assume Marko…
Paper solves Merton's portfolio problem in a non-Markovian, non-semimartingale model.
problem Merton's portfolio optimization in a fake stationary Volterra-Heston model.
method Stochastic factor solution to a Riccati BSDE, combined with martingale optimality principle.
result Derives semi-closed form optimal strategies and value function.
Paper introduces MVS to detect non-Markovian observations in reinforcement learning.
problem Real-world sensors violate Markov property, leading to suboptimal reinforcement learning performance.
method Uses prediction-based Markov Violation Score (MVS) combining random forest and ridge regression.
result MVS detects non-Markovian structure in observation trajectories, quantifying its impact.
Analyzes non-Markovian environments in stochastic approximation.
problem Understanding learning mechanisms in non-ergodic, non-Markovian settings.
method Analytic framework for transformer learning and continual learning.
result Proposes a new approach to transformer and continual learning.
Resemblance of the power-law scaling behavior of a non-Markovian and nonlinear point processescond-mat.stat-mech
Non-Markovian point process shows power-law scaling, similar to nonlinear Markovian process.
problem Understanding the scaling behavior of non-Markovian point processes.
method Analyzed a confined fractional Brownian motion-driven point process and compared it to a nonlinear Markovian process.
result A nonlinear Markovian process can reproduce the power-law scaling behavior of a non-Markovian point process.
Investigates mean-variance portfolio selection in non-Markovian markets.
problem Continuous-time Markowitz mean-variance portfolio selection in fake stationary affine Volterra models.
method Stochastic factor solution to a Riccati BSDE, deriving explicit solutions as multi-dimensional Riccati-Volterra equations.
result Analytical closed-form expressions for optimal portfolio policies and mean-variance efficient frontier.
Paper introduces PRMs to learn non-Markovian stochastic rewards for reinforcement learning.
problem Lack of structured representation for non-Markovian stochastic rewards in reinforcement learning.
method Introduces probabilistic reward machines (PRMs) and presents an algorithm to learn them from decision processes.
result Algorithm proves correct and convergent for learning PRMs from decision processes.
Deep learning solves non-Markovian FBSDEs for utility maximization.
problem Solving utility maximization problems under rough volatility.
method Deep learning-based numerical methods for non-Markovian fully coupled FBSDEs.
result Error estimates and convergence provided for the deep learning approach.
FinFlowRL: An Imitation-Reinforcement Learning Framework for Adaptive Stochastic Control in Financeq-fin.CP
FinFlowRL combines imitation and reinforcement learning for better financial control.
problem Traditional stochastic control methods fail in real-world finance due to changing market conditions.
method FinFlowRL uses imitation learning to pretrain an adaptive meta policy, then finetunes it with reinforcement learning.
result FinFlowRL consistently outperforms individual strategies across various market conditions.
Macroscopic Market Makingq-fin.MF
A new macroscopic market making model connects market making and optimal execution.
problem Connecting market making and optimal execution problems.
method Using continuous processes for orders, the model bridges the gap between market making and optimal execution.
result Demonstrates the model's effectiveness through various noise and intensity function scenarios.
Paper tackles robust offline RL for non-Markovian processes, improving efficiency and applicability.
problem Learning robust policies for non-Markovian decision processes with limited offline data.
method Proposes a novel algorithm with dataset distillation and LCB design for robust values, derived new dual forms, and introduces concentrability coefficients.
result Proves polynomial sample efficiency for finding ε-optimal robust policies.
A standard form of master equations for general non-Markovian jump processes: the Laplace-space embedding framework and asymptotic solutioncond-mat.stat-mech
Unified analytical tool for non-Markovian jump processes.
problem Analyzing history-dependent jump processes with non-Markovian behavior.
method Developed a standard form of master equations using Laplace-space embedding and asymptotic solution.
result Unified analytical toolset for general non-Markovian processes, leading to the GLE approximation.
Consumption-investment optimization with Epstein-Zin utility in unbounded non-Markovian marketsq-fin.MF
Investigates optimal consumption and investment strategies in non-Markovian markets with unbounded parameters.
problem Optimal consumption and investment strategies in non-Markovian markets with unbounded parameters.
method Martingale optimal principle and quadratic BSDEs with exponential moment.
result Establishes optimal strategies for consumption and investment.
Two signature-based methods solve optimal stopping in non-Markovian frameworks.
problem Optimal stopping in non-Markovian frameworks, particularly pricing American options.
method Primal and dual formulations using linear functionals of rough path signatures.
result Both primal and dual methods converge and provide numerical examples.
Study utility maximization with delayed information in continuous time Gaussian markets.
problem Maximizing utility with delayed information in continuous time Gaussian markets.
method Purely probabilistic approach based on Radon-Nikodym derivatives of Gaussian measures.
result Solution for optimal control and value in a specific Gaussian framework.
The paper develops a deep signature approach for option pricing under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models.
problem Pricing options under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models is challenging due to the dependence on historical paths.
method Reformulate the asset dynamics as a rough stochastic differential equation and represent rough paths via signatures. Apply standard analytical tools to solve the transformed equation.
result The deep signature approach provides a theoretically grounded and computationally efficient framework for option pricing.
This paper proposes DeepSynth, a method for effective training of deep Reinforcement Learning (RL) agents when the reward is sparse and non-Markovian, but at the same time progress towards the reward requires achieving an unknown sequence of high-level objectives. Our method employs a novel algorithm for synthesis of c…
The paper tackles robust control for insurance contracts under uncertain transition rates.
problem Maximizing utility in insurance contracts with uncertain transition rates.
method Novel robust utility maximization problem under bounded cumulative transition rate uncertainty, using worst-case scenario analysis.
result Existence and uniqueness of worst-case and best-case reserves for insurance contracts.
Study develops numerical schemes for non-Markovian volatility models with memory.
problem Existence and uniqueness of strong solutions for non-Markovian SDEs.
method Functional quantization scheme based on Lamperti transformation.
result Theoretical foundation for numerical schemes applied to specific models.
In this paper, we present a discrete-type approximation scheme to solve continuous-time optimal stopping problems based on fully non-Markovian continuous processes adapted to the Brownian motion filtration. The approximations satisfy suitable variational inequalities which allow us to construct -optimal stopping tim…
Motivated by empirical evidence for rough volatility models, this paper investigates continuous-time mean-variance (MV) portfolio selection under the Volterra Heston model. Due to the non-Markovian and non-semimartingale nature of the model, classic stochastic optimal control frameworks are not directly applicable to t…
A New Traders' Game? -- Empirical Analysis of Response Functions in a Historical Perspectiveq-fin.TR
Study analyzes non-Markovian effects in financial markets over multiple years.
problem Understanding non-Markovian dynamics and trader interactions in financial markets.
method Empirical analysis of self-response functions and trade sign correlators for different stocks over multiple years.
result Significant variations in traders' interactions over time, indicating changes in market mechanisms.
Paper improves neural ODEs for forecasting non-Markovian processes.
problem Forecasting irregularly observed time series with incomplete data.
method Path-dependent Neural Jump ODEs with signature transform.
result Path-dependent NJ-ODE outperforms original framework in non-Markovian data.
In this paper we study mean-field type control problems with risk-sensitive performance functionals. We establish a stochastic maximum principle (SMP) for optimal control of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) of mean-field type, in which the drift and the diffusion coefficients as well as the performance function…
Continuous control imitation learning fails if expert actions are smooth.
problem Continuous control imitation learning fails if expert actions are smooth.
method Study of imitation learning in discrete-time, continuous state-and-action control systems.
result Any smooth, deterministic imitator policy suffers exponentially larger error than the expert.
SRMC framework reduces Monte Carlo variance by history-based sampling in high-dimensional spaces.
problem Efficient sampling in high-dimensional discrete or continuous state spaces.
method Score-Repellent Monte Carlo (SRMC) framework that summarizes history through running average of score evaluations.
result Improves estimator variance and mode coverage with constant memory usage.
Extends pricing methods for index options under rough volatility.
problem Pricing and hedging of index options under non-Markovian dynamics.
method Extension of large deviations methods to non-local volatility dynamics, specifically rough volatility.
result Validates the approach for pricing index options under rough volatility.
Path signatures improve hedging of exotic derivatives in non-Markovian models.
problem Hedging exotic derivatives under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models.
method Investigates path signatures in deep and shallow learning contexts, comparing neural networks and regression approaches.
result Path signatures outperform LSTM in most cases and yield more accurate results in hedging.
The paper develops methods to price options under rough volatility models using BSPDEs.
problem Pricing options in models with non-Markovian dynamics.
method Backward stochastic partial differential equations (BSPDEs) and deep learning for numerical approximations.
result Existence and uniqueness of weak solutions for general nonlinear BSPDEs.
In this paper, we consider equilibrium strategies under Volterra processes and time-inconsistent preferences embracing mean-variance portfolio selection (MVP). Using a functional Itô calculus approach, we overcome the non-Markovian and non-semimartingale difficulty in Volterra processes. The equilibrium strategy is the…
A new method predicts non-Markovian closure terms for complex systems.
problem Predicting the effect of unresolved variables on resolved dynamics in high-dimensional systems.
method Mamba-Assisted Closure (MAC) framework: sequence model trained to predict closure from resolved trajectory, coupled with reduced-order equations.
result Substantially outperforms existing methods in predictive accuracy and long-time stability.
HS-FNO models non-Markovian PDEs by learning history and future states.
problem Non-Markovian dynamics where future states depend on past history.
method History-Space Fourier Neural Operator (HS-FNO) for delay and memory-driven PDEs.
result HS-FNO achieves lowest aggregate errors across various PDE families.
Efficient RL in PRMs with improved regret bound.
problem Reinforcement learning in probabilistic reward machines with non-Markovian rewards.
method Design of an algorithm with a new regret bound of .
result Improved regret bound over existing methods, matching lower bound up to a logarithmic factor.
Develops RL algorithm for non-Markovian, non-stationary reward streams.
problem Maximizing rewards from non-Markovian, non-stationary reward streams.
method Uses causal DAG to construct Markov states, solves periodic MDP.
result Optimal state construction maximizes discounted rewards.
Describes state variables in sequential decision problems, linking them to Markovian and non-Markovian models.
problem Sequential decision problems, especially in active learning and POMDPs, where decisions affect what is observed and learned.
method Canonical framework and novel two-agent perspective of POMDPs, defining state variables to claim Markovian or non-Markovian models.
result Properly modeled sequential decision problems are Markovian, while real decision problems are often non-Markovian.