Improved spatial distribution learning with Bayesian transport maps and parametric shrinkage.
problem Learning non-Gaussian spatial distributions with limited training data.
method Proposed ShrinkTM approach using Bayesian transport maps with parametric shrinkage.
result ShrinkTM outperforms existing BTM, especially with few training samples.
Modeling spatial extremes with non-Gaussian fields using SAR models and CNNs.
problem Challenges in modeling spatial data with heavy-tailed distributions and missing cells.
method Spatial autoregressive models with Generalized Extreme Value innovations, combined with CNN for fast parameter estimation.
result Effective modeling of spatial extremes in non-Gaussian fields, demonstrated on precipitation data.
DCK improves air quality index prediction with probabilistic spatial models.
problem Non-Gaussian, complex spatial structure of air quality index.
method Deep classifier kriging (DCK) for non-Gaussian, nonlinear spatial prediction.
result DCK outperforms conventional methods in predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
Researchers develop a new spatial process model for non-Gaussian data.
problem Non-Gaussian spatial data with asymmetry and heavy-tailedness.
method Re-parameterized Unified Skew-Normal (SUN) distribution, GSUN process, neural Bayes inference with GATs.
result GSUN process captures non-Gaussian spatial data properties and outperforms conventional models.
A2-SBNN models spatial data with copulas for non-Gaussian dependencies.
problem Capturing complex spatial relationships and extreme dependencies in non-Gaussian data.
method Embedding A2 copula into a Bayesian neural network, trained with Wasserstein loss and moment matching.
result A2-SBNN consistently delivers high accuracy across various dependency strengths.
A new machine learning method for spatial regression.
problem Spatial/temporal regression with scattered data and arbitrary dimensions.
method Modified Planar Rotator (MPRS) method, a non-parametric model with distance-dependent interactions.
result MPRS predictions are competitive with standard interpolation methods and superior in handling rough and non-Gaussian data.
This study tackles Gaussian process regression with summarized data.
problem Learning and inference with summarized data (summary statistics, counts) in spatial modeling.
method Sample quasi-likelihood approach to Gaussian process regression.
result Approximation performance of the method is influenced by data granularity and covariance function length scale.
DeepKriging uses DNNs to predict spatial data with improved accuracy and scalability.
problem Predicting spatial processes with non-linear and non-Gaussian data.
method Adds an embedding layer of spatial coordinates with basis functions to DNNs.
result DeepKriging provides non-linear predictions with smaller approximation errors and is scalable for large datasets.
We tackle the problem of multi-task learning with copula process. Multivariable prediction in spatial and spatial-temporal processes such as natural resource estimation and pollution monitoring have been typically addressed using techniques based on Gaussian processes and co-Kriging. While the Gaussian prior assumption…
Non-linear image reconstruction and signal analysis deal with complex inverse problems. To tackle such problems in a systematic way, I present information field theory (IFT) as a means of Bayesian, data based inference on spatially distributed signal fields. IFT is a statistical field theory, which permits the construc…
Proposes bivariate DeepKriging for efficient wind field prediction.
problem Challenges in predicting large-scale bivariate wind fields with high spatial variability and heterogeneity.
method Spatially dependent deep neural network (DNN) with embedding layer using spatial radial basis functions.
result Outperforms traditional cokriging predictors and reduces computation time.
Paper solves NGCA for discrete distributions using LLL method.
problem Learning hidden non-Gaussian components in discrete distributions.
method Utilizes LLL lattice basis reduction method.
result Sample and computationally efficient algorithm for NGCA in discrete distributions.
Modified lognormal distribution with flexible tails for skewed data.
problem Skewed and fat-tailed data in natural and engineering datasets.
method Developed a family of three-parameter non-Gaussian probability density functions based on generalized kappa-exponential and kappa-logarithm functions.
result Closed-form analytic expressions for statistical functions and maximum-likelihood estimation.
The problem of Non-Gaussian Component Analysis (NGCA) is about finding a maximal low-dimensional subspace E in Rn so that data points projected onto E follow a non-gaussian distribution. Although this is an appropriate model for some real world data analysis problems, there has been little progress on t…
The paper analyzes the non-Gaussian behavior of inflation and unemployment over 70 years using multifractal methods.
problem Capturing unusual fluctuations in inflation and unemployment over long periods.
method Coupled multifractal approach to analyze non-Gaussian distributions of inflation and unemployment over 70 years.
result The non-Gaussianity of unemployment is noticeable only for periods smaller than 1 year, while inflation's non-Gaussianity persists across all time scales.
New model solves complex SDEs with high-dimensional spatial and stochastic spaces.
problem Solving SDEs with high-dimensional spatial and stochastic spaces.
method Physics-informed deep generative model (sPI-GeM) combining PI-BasisNet and PI-GeM.
result Scalable solution for high-dimensional SDE problems.
Algorithm learns non-Gaussian graphical models via Hessian scores and triangular transport.
problem Learning graph structure from non-Gaussian data.
method Score based on integrated Hessian information, coupled with triangular transport map.
result Algorithm successfully recovers graph structure for non-Gaussian data.
Study compares various non-Gaussian models for financial returns.
problem Leptokurtic, heavy-tailed financial returns defy Gaussian assumptions.
method Compared and simulated various non-Gaussian models using Monte Carlo.
result Consistency in modeling scaling properties of large price changes.
Bayesian inference for wide neural networks using Edgeworth expansion.
problem Analyzing the non-Gaussian behavior of wide neural networks in Bayesian inference.
method Proposed a non-Gaussian distribution using multivariate Edgeworth expansion for finite-width neural networks.
result Derived non-Gaussian posterior distribution in Bayesian regression tasks.
Kriging is the predominant method used for spatial prediction, but relies on the assumption that predictions are linear combinations of the observations. Kriging often also relies on additional assumptions such as normality and stationarity. We propose a more flexible spatial prediction method based on the Nearest-Neig…
The analysis of observed conditional distributions of both lagged and simultaneous intraday price increments of a basket of stocks reveals phenomena of dependence - induced volatility smile and kurtosis reduction. A model based on multivariate t-Student distribution shows that the observed effects are caused by colelct…
Stock prices are known to exhibit non-Gaussian dynamics, and there is much interest in understanding the origin of this behavior. Here, we present a model that explains the shape and scaling of the distribution of intraday stock price fluctuations (called intraday returns) and verify the model using a large database fo…
A new robust and flexible classification method for non-Gaussian data.
problem Robustness to scale changes and non-Gaussian distributions in classical discriminant analysis.
method FEMDA uses arbitrary Elliptically Symmetrical distributions and scale parameters for each data point.
result FEMDA is robust to scale changes and outperforms other methods.
This paper presents a method for efficient density estimation in nonlinear systems.
problem Accurate representation of non-Gaussian distributions in nonlinear dynamical systems is challenging.
method Uses Seminonparametric (SNP) densities with probabilists' Hermite polynomial basis and Monte Carlo approximation for maximum likelihood estimation.
result Demonstrates that the method can accurately capture non-Gaussian density structure and compute quantiles using fewer samples than raw Monte Carlo.
New robust discriminant analysis for non-Gaussian data.
problem Classical discriminant analysis struggles with non-Gaussian distributions and contaminated datasets.
method Each data point follows its own ES distribution with arbitrary scale, leading to robust classification.
result Maximum-likelihood estimation and classification are simple, fast, and robust.
Bayesian method identifies causal DAG structure from non-Gaussian errors.
problem Learning causal structure from non-Gaussian errors in Bayesian networks.
method Bayesian hierarchical model with DAG prior for non-Gaussian errors.
result Posterior DAG selection consistency achieved under mild assumptions.
New algorithm for estimating MLR parameters with non-Gaussian noise.
problem Estimating MLR parameters with non-Gaussian noise.
method Combining ADMM with EM algorithm idea.
result Our method outperforms EM algorithm in non-Gaussian noise case.
This work extends Tweedie's formulae to non-Gaussian processes for better diffusion model generation.
problem Limited exploration of non-Gaussian diffusion models and corresponding Tweedie's formulae.
method Extended Tweedie's formulae to geometric Brownian motion, squared Bessel, and Cox-Ingersoll-Ross processes.
result Demonstrated potential of non-Gaussian models in image and financial time series generation.
New method compresses non-Gaussian distributions exponentially.
problem Efficiently representing and computing non-Gaussian probability distributions.
method Tensor-Network Fourier Methods using QTT representation.
result Exponential compression of non-Gaussian distributions.
GGMPs improve non-Gaussian conditional density estimation.
problem Multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity in conditional density estimation.
method GGMP combines local Gaussian mixture fitting, cross-input component alignment, and per-component heteroscedastic GP training.
result GGMPs improve distributional approximation on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Improves graph-based active learning for non-Gaussian models.
problem Efficiently selecting data points for labeling in graph-based semi-supervised learning.
method Approximates non-Gaussian distributions, introduces rank-one update and model change acquisition function.
result Enhanced active learning for graph-based SSL under non-Gaussian models.
The paper uses Tukey g-and-h neural networks for non-Gaussian data regression.
problem Regression with non-Gaussian data.
method Training neural networks to predict Tukey g-and-h distribution parameters via negative log-likelihood minimization.
result Efficiency demonstrated in simulated and real-world datasets.
The paper shows how to infer conditional independence from non-Gaussian data.
problem Inferring conditional independence from non-Gaussian distributions.
method Developed a method to recover conditional independence structure from the precision matrix of generalized nonparanormal data.
result The conditional independence structure can be inferred from the precision matrix of generalized nonparanormal data.
Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in nature and engineering. A case in point is a class of neural networks in the infinite-width limit, whose priors correspond to Gaussian processes. Here we perturbatively extend this correspondence to finite-width neural networks, yielding non-Gaussian processes as priors. The methodo…
New Stein identity for q-Gaussians reduces gradient variance in machine learning.
problem Improving gradient estimators for non-Gaussian distributions.
method Deriving a new Stein identity for bounded-support q-Gaussians and simplifying previous results.
result Gradient estimators for q-Gaussians have nearly identical forms to Gaussian ones, reducing variance.
Develops a new method for functional regression that works with non-Gaussian data.
problem Limited models for regression in function spaces with Gaussian process priors.
method Introduces Neural Operator Flows (OpFlow) for non-Gaussian function spaces.
result OpFlow enables robust and accurate uncertainty quantification for functional regression.
The generalized correlation approach, which has been successfully used in statistical radio physics to describe non-Gaussian random processes, is proposed to describe stochastic financial processes. The generalized correlation approach has been used to describe a non-Gaussian random walk with independent, identically d…
Non-Gaussian component analysis (NGCA) is aimed at identifying a linear subspace such that the projected data follows a non-Gaussian distribution. In this paper, we propose a novel NGCA algorithm based on log-density gradient estimation. Unlike existing methods, the proposed NGCA algorithm identifies the linear subspac…
The paper examines non-Gaussian models for financial data.
problem Modeling financial data with non-Gaussian distributions.
method Analysis of multivariate non-Gaussian models focusing on parsimony, dependence structure, and computational aspects.
result Characterization and calibration of models for financial log-returns.
The paper finds non-Gaussian directions in high-dimensional data using Wasserstein distance.
problem Locating interesting non-Gaussian features in high-dimensional data.
method Projection pursuit using 2-Wasserstein distance to maximize the difference from Gaussian.
result Statistical guarantees for accurately approximating an unknown low-dimensional non-Gaussian subspace.
New algorithms learn polytree structures from data.
problem Learning causal graphs from non-Gaussian data.
method Combines Chow-Liu algorithm with edge orientation schemes.
result Established high-dimensional consistency results.
The ACCRU framework improves probabilistic forecasts by capturing input-dependent uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty in deterministic predictions, especially for skewed and non-Gaussian errors.
method Neural network trained with a loss function balancing accuracy and reliability to learn input-dependent, non-Gaussian uncertainty distributions.
result Improves probabilistic forecasts relative to existing methods, capturing skewed and non-Gaussian errors.
Proposes efficient Gaussian approximations for non-Gaussian likelihoods.
problem Computational challenges in learning and inference with non-Gaussian likelihoods.
method Variational inference and moment matching in transformed bases.
result Good approximation quality for binary and multiclass classification.
Reliable calculations of financial risk require that the fat-tailed nature of prices changes is included in risk measures. To this end, a non-Gaussian approach to financial risk management is presented, modeling the power-law tails of the returns distribution in terms of a Student-t distribution. Non-Gaussian closed-fo…
New algorithm for learning causal structures with disjoint cycles in linear non-Gaussian models.
problem Learning causal structures with cycles in linear non-Gaussian models.
method Characterizing when graphs determine the same model, using quadratic and cubic polynomial relations, and a strategy of decorrelating cycles and multivariate regression.
result Consistent and computationally efficient algorithm for learning causal structures with disjoint cycles.
Diagonal transformations preserve independence structures in non-Gaussian distributions.
problem Preserving independence structures in non-Gaussian distributions.
method Diagonal nonlinear transformations of multivariate normal variables.
result Independence structures are preserved in non-Gaussian distributions under diagonal transformations.
NCS enables efficient and accurate conditional simulation for complex spatial processes.
problem Challenges in simulating from complex spatial process distributions.
method Neural diffusion models and conditional score-based diffusion.
result NCS outperforms traditional methods in efficiency and accuracy.
New bounds for kernel regression under non-Gaussian noise.
problem Uncertainty quantification for function estimates from noisy observations.
method Novel non-asymptotic probabilistic uniform error bounds for kernel-based regression.
result Proposed bounds apply to a broad class of non-Gaussian noise distributions.