The paper improves random forest models for non-Gaussian responses.
problem Improving random forest models for non-Gaussian responses.
method Extends boosting random forests to model exponential family responses using residuals and weights.
result Generalized boosted forests reduce bias and provide conservative confidence intervals.
GGMPs improve non-Gaussian conditional density estimation.
problem Multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity in conditional density estimation.
method GGMP combines local Gaussian mixture fitting, cross-input component alignment, and per-component heteroscedastic GP training.
result GGMPs improve distributional approximation on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Bayesian method selects important covariates in modal regression.
problem Bayesian modal regression with heavy-tailed responses.
method Expectation-maximization algorithm for parameter estimation; test statistic for variable selection.
result Efficacy of the proposed method in identifying important covariates.
Framework predicts nonlinear system responses using GFDT and generative models.
problem Predicting higher-order moments of nonlinear stochastic systems to small perturbations.
method Combining GFDT with generative modeling to estimate score function directly from data.
result Accurately captures nonlinear and non-Gaussian features of system responses.
A nonlinear channel estimator using complex Least Square Support Vector Machines (LS-SVM) is proposed for pilot-aided OFDM system and applied to Long Term Evolution (LTE) downlink under high mobility conditions. The estimation algorithm makes use of the reference signals to estimate the total frequency response of the …
This paper continues a series of studies devoted to analysis of the bivariate probability distribution P(x,y) of two consecutive price increments x (push) and y (response) at intraday timescales for a group of stocks. Besides the asymmetry properties of P(x,y) such as Market Mill dependence patterns described in preced…
The presence of non linear instruments is responsible for the emergence of non Gaussian features in the price changes distribution of realistic portfolios, even for Normally distributed risk factors. This is especially true for the benchmark Delta Gamma Normal model, which in general exhibits exponentially damped power…
Bayesian framework tackles measurement error in covariates.
problem Misleading inference due to corrupted covariates.
method Bayesian Nonparametric Learning framework robust to misspecification.
result General framework for Classical and Berkson error models.
The Kalman filter is extensively used for state estimation for linear systems under Gaussian noise. When non-Gaussian Lévy noise is present, the conventional Kalman filter may fail to be effective due to the fact that the non-Gaussian Lévy noise may have infinite variance. A modified Kalman filter for linear systems wi…
IPGP framework improves psychological assessment by integrating shared and unique traits.
problem Tackles the debate on shared vs unique personality traits across individuals.
method Uses Gaussian process coregionalization model for non-Gaussian ordinal data, with stochastic variational inference for scalability.
result Improves prediction and estimation of individualized factor structures compared to existing methods.
We consider estimating the parametric components of semi-parametric multiple index models in a high-dimensional and non-Gaussian setting. Such models form a rich class of non-linear models with applications to signal processing, machine learning and statistics. Our estimators leverage the score function based first and…
The paper analyzes the non-Gaussian behavior of inflation and unemployment over 70 years using multifractal methods.
problem Capturing unusual fluctuations in inflation and unemployment over long periods.
method Coupled multifractal approach to analyze non-Gaussian distributions of inflation and unemployment over 70 years.
result The non-Gaussianity of unemployment is noticeable only for periods smaller than 1 year, while inflation's non-Gaussianity persists across all time scales.
Approach uses machine learning to identify structural modal parameters from output-only data.
problem Identifying modal parameters from output-only data for structural health monitoring.
method Unsupervised learning using a self-coding deep neural network to separate modal responses from vibration data.
result The approach effectively identifies structural modal parameters from system responses.
Independent component analysis (ICA) decomposes multivariate data into mutually independent components (ICs). The ICA model is subject to a constraint that at most one of these components is Gaussian, which is required for model identifiability. Linear non-Gaussian component analysis (LNGCA) generalizes the ICA model t…
Study improves dynamic PT fleet optimization under noisy demand predictions.
problem Accurately predicting dynamic public transport demand for effective fleet management.
method Experimental case study in Copenhagen, using linear programming to optimize fleets.
result Optimized fleet performance is mainly affected by noise distribution skew and large errors.
Extracts invariant features to predict Y without confounding by Z, using conditional independence and optimal transport.
problem Extracting invariant features to predict Y without confounding by Z, a response variable influenced by unknown confounders Z.
method Develops a methodology penalizing statistical dependence between feature and confounders conditioned on Y, using the Optimal Transport Barycenter Problem.
result The method extracts invariant features in the Gaussian case, equivalent to penalizing dependence between feature and conditional random variable Z_Y.
ICA reveals deep learning's feature learning mechanisms from non-Gaussian data.
problem Understanding feature learning from non-Gaussian inputs in deep neural networks.
method Investigates ICA and SGD on synthetic and real data.
result FastICA requires n≳d4 samples for single non-Gaussian direction recovery, while SGD outperforms and optimised SGD reaches n≳d2. Improves graph-based active learning for non-Gaussian models.
problem Efficiently selecting data points for labeling in graph-based semi-supervised learning.
method Approximates non-Gaussian distributions, introduces rank-one update and model change acquisition function.
result Enhanced active learning for graph-based SSL under non-Gaussian models.
This research develops an evolutionary approach to discover non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems.
problem Discovering explicit governing equations of stochastic dynamical systems with Lévy noise from data.
method ESSR approach using genetic programming, sparse regression, and nonlocal Kramers-Moyal formulas.
result The approach effectively extracts non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems from sample path data.
The problem of Non-Gaussian Component Analysis (NGCA) is about finding a maximal low-dimensional subspace E in Rn so that data points projected onto E follow a non-gaussian distribution. Although this is an appropriate model for some real world data analysis problems, there has been little progress on t…
New algorithm for learning causal structures with disjoint cycles in linear non-Gaussian models.
problem Learning causal structures with cycles in linear non-Gaussian models.
method Characterizing when graphs determine the same model, using quadratic and cubic polynomial relations, and a strategy of decorrelating cycles and multivariate regression.
result Consistent and computationally efficient algorithm for learning causal structures with disjoint cycles.
The paper finds non-Gaussian directions in high-dimensional data using Wasserstein distance.
problem Locating interesting non-Gaussian features in high-dimensional data.
method Projection pursuit using 2-Wasserstein distance to maximize the difference from Gaussian.
result Statistical guarantees for accurately approximating an unknown low-dimensional non-Gaussian subspace.
Proposes efficient Gaussian approximations for non-Gaussian likelihoods.
problem Computational challenges in learning and inference with non-Gaussian likelihoods.
method Variational inference and moment matching in transformed bases.
result Good approximation quality for binary and multiclass classification.
A new vine copula mixture model improves clustering accuracy for non-Gaussian data.
problem Finite mixture models struggle with asymmetric tail dependencies and non-elliptical clusters.
method Proposes a vine copula mixture model for clustering non-Gaussian data, addressing model selection and parameter estimation.
result Significant improvement in clustering accuracy for data with asymmetric tail dependencies or non-Gaussian margins.
Sparse non-Gaussian component analysis (SNGCA) is an unsupervised method of extracting a linear structure from a high dimensional data based on estimating a low-dimensional non-Gaussian data component. In this paper we discuss a new approach to direct estimation of the projector on the target space based on semidefinit…
This paper presents a method for efficient density estimation in nonlinear systems.
problem Accurate representation of non-Gaussian distributions in nonlinear dynamical systems is challenging.
method Uses Seminonparametric (SNP) densities with probabilists' Hermite polynomial basis and Monte Carlo approximation for maximum likelihood estimation.
result Demonstrates that the method can accurately capture non-Gaussian density structure and compute quantiles using fewer samples than raw Monte Carlo.
Paper solves NGCA for discrete distributions using LLL method.
problem Learning hidden non-Gaussian components in discrete distributions.
method Utilizes LLL lattice basis reduction method.
result Sample and computationally efficient algorithm for NGCA in discrete distributions.
Wavelet scattering spectra model non-Gaussian time-series, proving scale invariance for self-similar processes.
problem Modeling non-Gaussian time-series with stationary increments.
method Complex wavelet transform for scale variations, joint correlation matrix for scale dependencies, second wavelet transform for diagonalization, maximum entropy models conditioned by scattering spectra coefficients.
result Scattering spectra of self-similar processes are scale invariant, allowing statistical testing and generation of new time-series.
Algorithm learns non-Gaussian graphical models via Hessian scores and triangular transport.
problem Learning graph structure from non-Gaussian data.
method Score based on integrated Hessian information, coupled with triangular transport map.
result Algorithm successfully recovers graph structure for non-Gaussian data.
The paper examines non-Gaussian models for financial data.
problem Modeling financial data with non-Gaussian distributions.
method Analysis of multivariate non-Gaussian models focusing on parsimony, dependence structure, and computational aspects.
result Characterization and calibration of models for financial log-returns.
Non-Gaussian component analysis (NGCA) is an unsupervised linear dimension reduction method that extracts low-dimensional non-Gaussian "signals" from high-dimensional data contaminated with Gaussian noise. NGCA can be regarded as a generalization of projection pursuit (PP) and independent component analysis (ICA) to mu…
This work extends Tweedie's formulae to non-Gaussian processes for better diffusion model generation.
problem Limited exploration of non-Gaussian diffusion models and corresponding Tweedie's formulae.
method Extended Tweedie's formulae to geometric Brownian motion, squared Bessel, and Cox-Ingersoll-Ross processes.
result Demonstrated potential of non-Gaussian models in image and financial time series generation.
This paper proposes a novel uncertainty quantification framework for computationally demanding systems characterized by a large vector of non-Gaussian uncertainties. It combines state-of-the-art techniques in advanced Monte Carlo sampling with Bayesian formulations. The key departure from existing works is the use of i…
Study large deviations in fractional volatility models with non-Gaussian volatility.
problem Large deviations in fractional volatility models with non-Gaussian volatility.
method Established a small-noise large deviation principle for log-price.
result Logarithmic call price asymptotics for large strikes in a special case.
Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in nature and engineering. A case in point is a class of neural networks in the infinite-width limit, whose priors correspond to Gaussian processes. Here we perturbatively extend this correspondence to finite-width neural networks, yielding non-Gaussian processes as priors. The methodo…
New bounds for kernel regression under non-Gaussian noise.
problem Uncertainty quantification for function estimates from noisy observations.
method Novel non-asymptotic probabilistic uniform error bounds for kernel-based regression.
result Proposed bounds apply to a broad class of non-Gaussian noise distributions.
Study of a risk-averse informed trader in a multi-asset market with non-Gaussian prices.
problem Existence of equilibrium in a multi-asset market with non-Gaussian prices and a risk-averse informed trader.
method Constructed equilibrium using Fokker-Planck equation and coupled partial differential equations with an optimal transport constraint.
result Equilibrium exists in a market with multiple assets and non-Gaussian prices.
New algorithm speeds up fitting GLLVMs to large datasets.
problem Efficiently fitting GLLVMs to large datasets with thousands of observations.
method Approximate model using penalized quasi-likelihood, then use Newton method and Fisher scoring.
result Significantly faster and more stable than previous methods, enabling fits to larger matrices.
Improved Kalman filter for non-linear, non-Gaussian data.
problem Estimating hidden variables with non-linear, non-Gaussian observations.
method Reproduces and extends Burkhart et al.'s discriminative Kalman filter.
result Enhanced filter performance for complex observation models.
Time series models generalize ARMA and ARFIMA with non-Gaussian dependence.
problem Modeling non-Gaussian serial dependence in time series data.
method Infinite-order partial copula dependence in s-vine processes.
result Rich class of models that generalize linear processes.
This paper presents a new approach to a robust Gaussian process (GP) regression. Most existing approaches replace an outlier-prone Gaussian likelihood with a non-Gaussian likelihood induced from a heavy tail distribution, such as the Laplace distribution and Student-t distribution. However, the use of a non-Gaussian li…
Method extracts governing laws from non-Gaussian stochastic systems data.
problem Modeling complex dynamics with non-Gaussian Lévy noise.
method Data-driven method to extract stochastic dynamical systems from noisy data.
result Established a theoretical framework and numerical algorithm to compute Lévy jump measure, drift, and diffusion.
Efficiently learns linear non-Gaussian DAGs with noisy nodes.
problem Learning DAGs with non-Gaussian noise and diverging number of nodes.
method Proposes a novel method using topological layers for bottom-up reconstruction and consistent parent-child relations.
result Topological layers can be exactly reconstructed and parent-child relations established without faithfulness assumption.
Random neural networks with ReLU activations are non-Gaussian processes.
problem Understanding the behavior of neural networks with random initialization and rectified linear units.
method Proving these networks are non-Gaussian processes and deriving their properties.
result These networks can converge to non-Gaussian processes under certain conditions.
Study on Kyle-Back model with risk aversion and non-Gaussian beliefs.
problem Existence of equilibrium in Kyle's insider trading model.
method Forward-backward system coupled via optimal transport constraint, stochastic representation, well-posedness of solutions.
result Existence and properties of equilibrium for small risk aversion parameter.
Non-Gaussian component analysis (NGCA) is aimed at identifying a linear subspace such that the projected data follows a non-Gaussian distribution. In this paper, we propose a novel NGCA algorithm based on log-density gradient estimation. Unlike existing methods, the proposed NGCA algorithm identifies the linear subspac…
Bayesian inference for wide neural networks using Edgeworth expansion.
problem Analyzing the non-Gaussian behavior of wide neural networks in Bayesian inference.
method Proposed a non-Gaussian distribution using multivariate Edgeworth expansion for finite-width neural networks.
result Derived non-Gaussian posterior distribution in Bayesian regression tasks.
New algorithms learn polytree structures from data.
problem Learning causal graphs from non-Gaussian data.
method Combines Chow-Liu algorithm with edge orientation schemes.
result Established high-dimensional consistency results.