GGMPs improve non-Gaussian conditional density estimation.
problem Multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity in conditional density estimation.
method GGMP combines local Gaussian mixture fitting, cross-input component alignment, and per-component heteroscedastic GP training.
result GGMPs improve distributional approximation on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Bayesian inference for wide neural networks using Edgeworth expansion.
problem Analyzing the non-Gaussian behavior of wide neural networks in Bayesian inference.
method Proposed a non-Gaussian distribution using multivariate Edgeworth expansion for finite-width neural networks.
result Derived non-Gaussian posterior distribution in Bayesian regression tasks.
TDistNNs improve prediction intervals for neural networks by using t-distributions.
problem Traditional neural networks provide only point estimates, lacking predictive uncertainty.
method TDistNNs generate t-distributed outputs with adjustable degrees of freedom, enhancing robustness to non-Gaussian data.
result TDistNNs produce narrower prediction intervals with proper coverage compared to Gaussian-based PNNs.
Study of deep linear neural networks with proportional width and depth.
problem Lack of descriptive power in Gaussian limit of deep linear neural networks.
method Proportional infinite-width infinite-depth limit for deep linear neural networks.
result Characterization of limiting distribution as a nontrivial mixture of Gaussians.
New neural process models produce correlated predictions for better estimation tasks.
problem Need for models that can handle correlated predictions for tasks like weather forecasting.
method Developed new Neural Process models that can produce correlated predictions and support exact maximum likelihood training.
result Improved predictive performance on various experiments with synthetic and real data.
Improved spatial distribution learning with Bayesian transport maps and parametric shrinkage.
problem Learning non-Gaussian spatial distributions with limited training data.
method Proposed ShrinkTM approach using Bayesian transport maps with parametric shrinkage.
result ShrinkTM outperforms existing BTM, especially with few training samples.
This paper improves GP for learning complex data distributions.
problem Vanilla Gaussian processes struggle with complex data distributions.
method Introduces scalable GP paradigms with latent variables and variational inference.
result Scalable modulated GPs, especially latent GPs, learn diverse data distributions better.
The ACCRU framework improves probabilistic forecasts by capturing input-dependent uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty in deterministic predictions, especially for skewed and non-Gaussian errors.
method Neural network trained with a loss function balancing accuracy and reliability to learn input-dependent, non-Gaussian uncertainty distributions.
result Improves probabilistic forecasts relative to existing methods, capturing skewed and non-Gaussian errors.
The Accardi-Boukas quantum Black-Scholes framework, provides a means by which one can apply the Hudson-Parthasarathy quantum stochastic calculus to problems in finance. Solutions to these equations can be modelled using nonlocal diffusion processes, via a Kramers-Moyal expansion, and this provides useful tools to under…
Methods for automated discovery of causal relationships from non-interventional data have received much attention recently. A widely used and well understood model family is given by linear acyclic causal models (recursive structural equation models). For Gaussian data both constraint-based methods (Spirtes et al., 199…
Non-Gaussian component analysis (NGCA) is a problem in multidimensional data analysis which, since its formulation in 2006, has attracted considerable attention in statistics and machine learning. In this problem, we have a random variable X in n-dimensional Euclidean space. There is an unknown subspace Γ of the …
The abstract proposes a neural network theory using quantum field theory.
problem Understanding the behavior of neural networks in the asymptotic and non-asymptotic limits.
method Mapping neural networks to Wilsonian effective field theory, using Gaussian processes and Feynman diagrams.
result Established a direct connection between overparameterization and simplicity of neural network likelihoods.
New framework models neural systems with random architecture on manifolds.
problem Complex, uncertain systems with non-Gaussian outputs.
method Latent random field on compact manifold generates neural architecture and weights.
result Synthetic neural systems can produce stochastic outputs for deterministic inputs.
We construct flexible likelihoods for multi-output Gaussian process models that leverage neural networks as components. We make use of sparse variational inference methods to enable scalable approximate inference for the resulting class of models. An attractive feature of these models is that they can admit analytic pr…
New algorithm estimates causal effects for non-Gaussian data.
problem Estimating causal effects in non-Gaussian distributions.
method Generalized k-Triangle Faithfulness Assumption and Edge Estimation Algorithm.
result Uniformly consistent estimates of causal effects.
Bayesian Neural Networks improve precision cosmology from simulations.
problem Extracting precise cosmological parameters from complex simulations.
method Using Bayesian Neural Networks on The Quijote simulations.
result Demonstrates BNNs' ability to estimate associated uncertainties and complex output distributions.
Researchers derive exact priors for finite Bayesian neural networks.
problem Understanding non-Gaussian priors in finite Bayesian neural networks.
method Analytical derivation of function space priors for finite fully-connected feedforward networks.
result Exact solutions for priors of finite networks, including Meijer G-function for linear networks and mixtures for ReLU networks.
Introduces CCR for constructing confidence regions from conformal predictions.
problem Challenges in constructing confidence regions for model parameters.
method Combines conformal prediction intervals for model outputs to establish confidence regions for parameters under minimal assumptions.
result Valid coverage guarantees for finite sample regime, applicable to various model types.
The Kalman filter is extensively used for state estimation for linear systems under Gaussian noise. When non-Gaussian Lévy noise is present, the conventional Kalman filter may fail to be effective due to the fact that the non-Gaussian Lévy noise may have infinite variance. A modified Kalman filter for linear systems wi…
Bayesian optimization of function networks using intermediate outputs.
problem Efficiently optimizing networks of functions with significant evaluation time.
method Modeling nodes as Gaussian processes and using expected improvement acquisition function.
result Demonstrates superior performance compared to standard Bayesian optimization methods.
Transformer with denoising diffusion improves probabilistic density estimation.
problem Estimating non-Gaussian and multimodal probability distributions for regression problems.
method Training a denoising diffusion head on top of a Transformer model.
result The model provides reasonable probability density estimation for high-dimensional inputs.
The paper analyzes the non-Gaussian behavior of inflation and unemployment over 70 years using multifractal methods.
problem Capturing unusual fluctuations in inflation and unemployment over long periods.
method Coupled multifractal approach to analyze non-Gaussian distributions of inflation and unemployment over 70 years.
result The non-Gaussianity of unemployment is noticeable only for periods smaller than 1 year, while inflation's non-Gaussianity persists across all time scales.
EFDA extends LDA to non-Gaussian models using exponential families.
problem Classifying non-Gaussian data with LDA's limitations.
method EFDA uses exponential families to derive closed-form estimators for natural parameters and a linear decision rule.
result EFDA matches LDA's accuracy while reducing ECE by 2-6x, proving asymptotic calibration and efficiency.
Analyzes DNNs trained with noisy gradients, finding FWCs negligible for large n.
problem Analyzing DNNs trained with noisy gradients.
method Introduced analytical framework to analyze non-Gaussian stochastic process.
result FWCs negligible for large n, improving CNN performance.
Independent component analysis (ICA) decomposes multivariate data into mutually independent components (ICs). The ICA model is subject to a constraint that at most one of these components is Gaussian, which is required for model identifiability. Linear non-Gaussian component analysis (LNGCA) generalizes the ICA model t…
Structural equation models and Bayesian networks have been widely used to study causal relationships between continuous variables. Recently, a non-Gaussian method called LiNGAM was proposed to discover such causal models and has been extended in various directions. An important problem with LiNGAM is that the results a…
This paper tackles the challenge presented by small-data to the task of Bayesian inference. A novel methodology, based on manifold learning and manifold sampling, is proposed for solving this computational statistics problem under the following assumptions: 1) neither the prior model nor the likelihood function are Gau…
DCK improves air quality index prediction with probabilistic spatial models.
problem Non-Gaussian, complex spatial structure of air quality index.
method Deep classifier kriging (DCK) for non-Gaussian, nonlinear spatial prediction.
result DCK outperforms conventional methods in predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
ICA reveals deep learning's feature learning mechanisms from non-Gaussian data.
problem Understanding feature learning from non-Gaussian inputs in deep neural networks.
method Investigates ICA and SGD on synthetic and real data.
result FastICA requires n≳d4 samples for single non-Gaussian direction recovery, while SGD outperforms and optimised SGD reaches n≳d2. Improves graph-based active learning for non-Gaussian models.
problem Efficiently selecting data points for labeling in graph-based semi-supervised learning.
method Approximates non-Gaussian distributions, introduces rank-one update and model change acquisition function.
result Enhanced active learning for graph-based SSL under non-Gaussian models.
This research develops an evolutionary approach to discover non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems.
problem Discovering explicit governing equations of stochastic dynamical systems with Lévy noise from data.
method ESSR approach using genetic programming, sparse regression, and nonlocal Kramers-Moyal formulas.
result The approach effectively extracts non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems from sample path data.
The problem of Non-Gaussian Component Analysis (NGCA) is about finding a maximal low-dimensional subspace E in Rn so that data points projected onto E follow a non-gaussian distribution. Although this is an appropriate model for some real world data analysis problems, there has been little progress on t…
New algorithm for learning causal structures with disjoint cycles in linear non-Gaussian models.
problem Learning causal structures with cycles in linear non-Gaussian models.
method Characterizing when graphs determine the same model, using quadratic and cubic polynomial relations, and a strategy of decorrelating cycles and multivariate regression.
result Consistent and computationally efficient algorithm for learning causal structures with disjoint cycles.
Latent force models are systems whereby there is a mechanistic model describing the dynamics of the system state, with some unknown forcing term that is approximated with a Gaussian process. If such dynamics are non-linear, it can be difficult to estimate the posterior state and forcing term jointly, particularly when …
The paper finds non-Gaussian directions in high-dimensional data using Wasserstein distance.
problem Locating interesting non-Gaussian features in high-dimensional data.
method Projection pursuit using 2-Wasserstein distance to maximize the difference from Gaussian.
result Statistical guarantees for accurately approximating an unknown low-dimensional non-Gaussian subspace.
Approach uses machine learning to identify structural modal parameters from output-only data.
problem Identifying modal parameters from output-only data for structural health monitoring.
method Unsupervised learning using a self-coding deep neural network to separate modal responses from vibration data.
result The approach effectively identifies structural modal parameters from system responses.
We consider optimization of composite objective functions, i.e., of the form f(x)=g(h(x)), where h is a black-box derivative-free expensive-to-evaluate function with vector-valued outputs, and g is a cheap-to-evaluate real-valued function. While these problems can be solved with standard Bayesian optimization, we…
Proposes efficient Gaussian approximations for non-Gaussian likelihoods.
problem Computational challenges in learning and inference with non-Gaussian likelihoods.
method Variational inference and moment matching in transformed bases.
result Good approximation quality for binary and multiclass classification.
A new vine copula mixture model improves clustering accuracy for non-Gaussian data.
problem Finite mixture models struggle with asymmetric tail dependencies and non-elliptical clusters.
method Proposes a vine copula mixture model for clustering non-Gaussian data, addressing model selection and parameter estimation.
result Significant improvement in clustering accuracy for data with asymmetric tail dependencies or non-Gaussian margins.
Sparse non-Gaussian component analysis (SNGCA) is an unsupervised method of extracting a linear structure from a high dimensional data based on estimating a low-dimensional non-Gaussian data component. In this paper we discuss a new approach to direct estimation of the projector on the target space based on semidefinit…
This paper presents a method for efficient density estimation in nonlinear systems.
problem Accurate representation of non-Gaussian distributions in nonlinear dynamical systems is challenging.
method Uses Seminonparametric (SNP) densities with probabilists' Hermite polynomial basis and Monte Carlo approximation for maximum likelihood estimation.
result Demonstrates that the method can accurately capture non-Gaussian density structure and compute quantiles using fewer samples than raw Monte Carlo.
Paper solves NGCA for discrete distributions using LLL method.
problem Learning hidden non-Gaussian components in discrete distributions.
method Utilizes LLL lattice basis reduction method.
result Sample and computationally efficient algorithm for NGCA in discrete distributions.
Wavelet scattering spectra model non-Gaussian time-series, proving scale invariance for self-similar processes.
problem Modeling non-Gaussian time-series with stationary increments.
method Complex wavelet transform for scale variations, joint correlation matrix for scale dependencies, second wavelet transform for diagonalization, maximum entropy models conditioned by scattering spectra coefficients.
result Scattering spectra of self-similar processes are scale invariant, allowing statistical testing and generation of new time-series.
Algorithm learns non-Gaussian graphical models via Hessian scores and triangular transport.
problem Learning graph structure from non-Gaussian data.
method Score based on integrated Hessian information, coupled with triangular transport map.
result Algorithm successfully recovers graph structure for non-Gaussian data.
The paper examines non-Gaussian models for financial data.
problem Modeling financial data with non-Gaussian distributions.
method Analysis of multivariate non-Gaussian models focusing on parsimony, dependence structure, and computational aspects.
result Characterization and calibration of models for financial log-returns.
Non-Gaussian component analysis (NGCA) is an unsupervised linear dimension reduction method that extracts low-dimensional non-Gaussian "signals" from high-dimensional data contaminated with Gaussian noise. NGCA can be regarded as a generalization of projection pursuit (PP) and independent component analysis (ICA) to mu…
Bayesian neural networks explore rare fluctuations for better feature learning.
problem Understanding rare but dominant fluctuations in Bayesian neural networks.
method Large-deviation theory and joint optimization over predictors and internal kernels.
result Posterior rate function optimization reveals data-dependent kernel selection.
Improves inference from sparse data with hybrid summary statistics.
problem Robust simulation-based inference from limited data.
method Augment traditional summary statistics with neural network outputs to maximize mutual information.
result Improves information extraction and makes inference robust in low-data settings.