In this paper we extend the theory of option pricing to take into account and explain the empirical evidence for asset prices such as non-Gaussian returns, long-range dependence, volatility clustering, non-Gaussian copula dependence, as well as theoretical issues such as asymmetric information and the presence of limit…
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48 results for “non-Gaussian limit”
How Deep Are Deep GPs, Really? A Sharp Threshold and a Non-Gaussian Limit for Compositional GPscs.LG
Deep Gaussian processes can have non-degenerate and non-Gaussian limits.
problem Understanding the behavior of deep Gaussian processes as depth grows.
method Studying the limit of compositional Gaussian processes where each layer is a Gaussian process.
result Identified a sharp bandwidth threshold above which the limit is degenerate, and proved that for bandwidths below this threshold, the limit is a non-degenerate and non-Gaussian distribution.
Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in nature and engineering. A case in point is a class of neural networks in the infinite-width limit, whose priors correspond to Gaussian processes. Here we perturbatively extend this correspondence to finite-width neural networks, yielding non-Gaussian processes as priors. The methodo…
GGMPs improve non-Gaussian conditional density estimation.
problem Multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity in conditional density estimation.
method GGMP combines local Gaussian mixture fitting, cross-input component alignment, and per-component heteroscedastic GP training.
result GGMPs improve distributional approximation on synthetic and real-world datasets.
The abstract proposes a neural network theory using quantum field theory.
problem Understanding the behavior of neural networks in the asymptotic and non-asymptotic limits.
method Mapping neural networks to Wilsonian effective field theory, using Gaussian processes and Feynman diagrams.
result Established a direct connection between overparameterization and simplicity of neural network likelihoods.
Develops a new method for functional regression that works with non-Gaussian data.
problem Limited models for regression in function spaces with Gaussian process priors.
method Introduces Neural Operator Flows (OpFlow) for non-Gaussian function spaces.
result OpFlow enables robust and accurate uncertainty quantification for functional regression.
SGD with constant stepsize converges to a non-Gaussian limit near flat minima.
problem Behavior of SGD near flat minima with convex objectives.
method Analyzes SGD with Markovian noise and contractive driving chain.
result Invariant law concentrates on scale and converges weakly to a non-Gaussian stationary distribution.
Study of deep linear neural networks with proportional width and depth.
problem Lack of descriptive power in Gaussian limit of deep linear neural networks.
method Proportional infinite-width infinite-depth limit for deep linear neural networks.
result Characterization of limiting distribution as a nontrivial mixture of Gaussians.
A Non-Gaussian Option Pricing Model with Skewcond-mat.other
Closed form option pricing formulae explaining skew and smile are obtained within a parsimonious non-Gaussian framework. We extend the non-Gaussian option pricing model of L. Borland (Quantitative Finance, {\bf 2}, 415-431, 2002) to include volatility-stock correlations consistent with the leverage effect. A generalize…
In recent years, correntropy and its applications in machine learning have been drawing continuous attention owing to its merits in dealing with non-Gaussian noise and outliers. However, theoretical understanding of correntropy, especially in the statistical learning context, is still limited. In this study, within the…
Improves detection of low-rank signals from noisy data matrices.
problem Statistical detection of low-rank signals in noisy data matrices.
method Entrywise pre-transforming data matrix for non-Gaussian noise, sharp phase transition thresholds, central limit theorem for linear spectral statistics, hypothesis test.
result Improves detection of low-rank signals from noisy data matrices, generalizing known results.
Clustering of non-Gaussian data by variational Bayes for normal inverse Gaussian mixture modelsstat.ML
Improved VB algorithm for NIG mixtures outperforms Gaussian mixtures for non-Gaussian data.
problem Clustering non-Gaussian data, especially heavy-tailed and asymmetric.
method Proposed an improved VB algorithm for NIG mixture models and extended Dirichlet process mixture models.
result Outperforms Gaussian mixtures and existing NIG mixture models, especially for highly non-normative data.
A Data-Driven Approach for Discovering Stochastic Dynamical Systems with Non-Gaussian Levy Noisestat.ML
Develops a new method to discover stochastic systems with non-Gaussian noise.
problem Discovering governing laws from complex systems with non-Gaussian noise.
method Theoretical framework and numerical algorithm to extract stochastic differential equations with Gaussian and non-Gaussian noise.
result Demonstrated the efficacy and accuracy of the approach on various systems.
Identifiability Without Gaussianity: Symbolic World Models and Near-Infinite Temporal Consistencystat.ML
Symbolic grounding in causal dynamics achieves near-infinite temporal consistency.
problem Achieving linear identifiability in non-Gaussian physical systems.
method Physics-Grounded Symbolic Architecture (PGSA)
result PGSA achieves exact linear identifiability for all physical regimes.
We propose different schemes for option hedging when asset returns are modeled using a general class of GARCH models. More specifically, we implement local risk minimization and a minimum variance hedge approximation based on an extended Girsanov principle that generalizes Duan's (1995) delta hedge. Since the minimal m…
New theory allows ICA without assuming non-Gaussian sources.
problem Traditional ICA struggles with Gaussian sources.
method Developed identifiability theory based on second-order statistics and sparsity.
result Identifiability theory and estimation methods validated experimentally.
Paper analyzes infinite-width attention layers using Tensor Programs.
problem Capturing the infinite-width limit of attention layers.
method Tensor Programs framework to rigorously identify the limit distribution.
result Derives exact form of infinite-width limit distribution without Gaussian approximations.
Characterization of Gaussian Universality Breakdown in High-Dimensional Empirical Risk Minimizationstat.ML
The study uncovers the breakdown of Gaussian universality in high-dimensional empirical risk minimization.
problem Understanding the breakdown of Gaussian universality in high-dimensional empirical risk minimization.
method Extending the Convex Gaussian Min-Max Theorem to non-Gaussian settings, deriving asymptotic min-max characterizations, and proving asymptotic equivalence of regularizers.
result The projection of the ERM estimator onto a test covariate approximately follows a Gaussian convolution under certain conditions.
Inverse modeling for the estimation of non-Gaussian hydraulic conductivity fields in subsurface flow and solute transport models remains a challenging problem. This is mainly due to the non-Gaussian property, the non-linear physics, and the fact that many repeated evaluations of the forward model are often required. In…
Study detects signals in spiked Wigner models using log likelihood ratio.
problem Detecting signals in rank-one spiked Wigner models with non-Gaussian noise.
method Proved asymptotic normality of log likelihood ratio and computed error thresholds.
result Optimal signal-to-noise ratio threshold for reliable detection.
The Kalman filter is extensively used for state estimation for linear systems under Gaussian noise. When non-Gaussian Lévy noise is present, the conventional Kalman filter may fail to be effective due to the fact that the non-Gaussian Lévy noise may have infinite variance. A modified Kalman filter for linear systems wi…
The paper shows how to construct non-Gaussian Martingales using hyperbolic diffusion.
problem The challenge of modeling extreme financial events.
method Constructing Martingale processes with Cauchy distribution in the large volatility limit.
result Financial justification for using non-Gaussian distributions in modeling extreme events.
This work preserves linear invariants in ensemble filters for non-Gaussian data assimilation.
problem Maintaining critical invariants like mass, stoichiometric balance, and charge in non-Gaussian data assimilation.
method Introducing a novel class of nonlinear ensemble filters using measure transport theory.
result Recovery of a constrained Kalman filter for Gaussian settings and combination with regularization techniques.
The paper analyzes the non-Gaussian behavior of inflation and unemployment over 70 years using multifractal methods.
problem Capturing unusual fluctuations in inflation and unemployment over long periods.
method Coupled multifractal approach to analyze non-Gaussian distributions of inflation and unemployment over 70 years.
result The non-Gaussianity of unemployment is noticeable only for periods smaller than 1 year, while inflation's non-Gaussianity persists across all time scales.
Paper optimizes WGAN parameters for non-Gaussian data.
problem Optimizing parameters for non-Gaussian data in WGAN.
method Characterization of optimal solutions for population WGAN beyond LQG setting, using sliced Wasserstein framework.
result Closed-form optimal parameters for non-linear activation functions and non-Gaussian data derived.
Independent component analysis (ICA) decomposes multivariate data into mutually independent components (ICs). The ICA model is subject to a constraint that at most one of these components is Gaussian, which is required for model identifiability. Linear non-Gaussian component analysis (LNGCA) generalizes the ICA model t…
Learning rate needs to decrease with higher data moments for effective ICA in high dimensions.
problem Slower convergence of ICA in high-dimensional data with high-order moments.
method High-dimensional ODE analysis of ICA algorithm under controlled moment structure.
result Critical learning rate threshold for effective ICA when moments are high.
Continuous time random walks impose a random waiting time before each particle jump. Scaling limits of heavy tailed continuous time random walks are governed by fractional evolution equations. Space-fractional derivatives describe heavy tailed jumps, and the time-fractional version codes heavy tailed waiting times. Thi…
Study of asymmetric rank-one tensor models with non-Gaussian noise.
problem Analyzing maximum-likelihood estimators for asymmetric rank-one tensor models.
method Spectrally separated branch analysis, resolvent methods, cumulant expansions, Efron-Stein-type variance bounds.
result Asymptotic singular value and mode-wise alignments are robust to non-Gaussian noise.
Unified framework for robust discriminant analysis overcomes Gaussian assumptions.
problem Challenges in linear and quadratic discriminant analysis with non-Gaussian or contaminated data.
method FEMDA framework considers arbitrary Elliptically Symmetrical (ES) distributions with flexible scale parameters.
result Maximum-likelihood parameter estimation and classification are robust and efficient.
Paper analyzes holdout cross-validation for large non-Gaussian covariance estimation.
problem Estimating large covariance matrices for non-Gaussian data.
method Use of Weingarten calculus and Ledoit-Péché formula for theoretical error derivation.
result Optimal train-test split ratio is proportional to square root of matrix dimension.
Paper extends knowledge gradient for preferential BO, overcoming computational challenges.
problem Extending knowledge gradient to preferential BO with pairwise comparisons.
method Derive exact and analytical knowledge gradient for preferential BO.
result Exact knowledge gradient outperforms existing acquisition functions on benchmark problems.
ICA reveals deep learning's feature learning mechanisms from non-Gaussian data.
problem Understanding feature learning from non-Gaussian inputs in deep neural networks.
method Investigates ICA and SGD on synthetic and real data.
result FastICA requires samples for single non-Gaussian direction recovery, while SGD outperforms and optimised SGD reaches .
Improves graph-based active learning for non-Gaussian models.
problem Efficiently selecting data points for labeling in graph-based semi-supervised learning.
method Approximates non-Gaussian distributions, introduces rank-one update and model change acquisition function.
result Enhanced active learning for graph-based SSL under non-Gaussian models.
This research develops an evolutionary approach to discover non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems.
problem Discovering explicit governing equations of stochastic dynamical systems with Lévy noise from data.
method ESSR approach using genetic programming, sparse regression, and nonlocal Kramers-Moyal formulas.
result The approach effectively extracts non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems from sample path data.
The problem of Non-Gaussian Component Analysis (NGCA) is about finding a maximal low-dimensional subspace in so that data points projected onto follow a non-gaussian distribution. Although this is an appropriate model for some real world data analysis problems, there has been little progress on t…
Learning a causal effect from observational data is not straightforward, as this is not possible without further assumptions. If hidden common causes between treatment and outcome cannot be blocked by other measurements, one possibility is to use an instrumental variable. In principle, it is possible under some…
New algorithm for learning causal structures with disjoint cycles in linear non-Gaussian models.
problem Learning causal structures with cycles in linear non-Gaussian models.
method Characterizing when graphs determine the same model, using quadratic and cubic polynomial relations, and a strategy of decorrelating cycles and multivariate regression.
result Consistent and computationally efficient algorithm for learning causal structures with disjoint cycles.
The paper finds non-Gaussian directions in high-dimensional data using Wasserstein distance.
problem Locating interesting non-Gaussian features in high-dimensional data.
method Projection pursuit using 2-Wasserstein distance to maximize the difference from Gaussian.
result Statistical guarantees for accurately approximating an unknown low-dimensional non-Gaussian subspace.
Proposes efficient Gaussian approximations for non-Gaussian likelihoods.
problem Computational challenges in learning and inference with non-Gaussian likelihoods.
method Variational inference and moment matching in transformed bases.
result Good approximation quality for binary and multiclass classification.
A new vine copula mixture model improves clustering accuracy for non-Gaussian data.
problem Finite mixture models struggle with asymmetric tail dependencies and non-elliptical clusters.
method Proposes a vine copula mixture model for clustering non-Gaussian data, addressing model selection and parameter estimation.
result Significant improvement in clustering accuracy for data with asymmetric tail dependencies or non-Gaussian margins.
Sparse non-Gaussian component analysis (SNGCA) is an unsupervised method of extracting a linear structure from a high dimensional data based on estimating a low-dimensional non-Gaussian data component. In this paper we discuss a new approach to direct estimation of the projector on the target space based on semidefinit…
Data-Efficient Non-Gaussian Semi-Nonparametric Density Estimation for Nonlinear Dynamical Systemsmath.OC
This paper presents a method for efficient density estimation in nonlinear systems.
problem Accurate representation of non-Gaussian distributions in nonlinear dynamical systems is challenging.
method Uses Seminonparametric (SNP) densities with probabilists' Hermite polynomial basis and Monte Carlo approximation for maximum likelihood estimation.
result Demonstrates that the method can accurately capture non-Gaussian density structure and compute quantiles using fewer samples than raw Monte Carlo.
Paper solves NGCA for discrete distributions using LLL method.
problem Learning hidden non-Gaussian components in discrete distributions.
method Utilizes LLL lattice basis reduction method.
result Sample and computationally efficient algorithm for NGCA in discrete distributions.
Wavelet scattering spectra model non-Gaussian time-series, proving scale invariance for self-similar processes.
problem Modeling non-Gaussian time-series with stationary increments.
method Complex wavelet transform for scale variations, joint correlation matrix for scale dependencies, second wavelet transform for diagonalization, maximum entropy models conditioned by scattering spectra coefficients.
result Scattering spectra of self-similar processes are scale invariant, allowing statistical testing and generation of new time-series.
Algorithm learns non-Gaussian graphical models via Hessian scores and triangular transport.
problem Learning graph structure from non-Gaussian data.
method Score based on integrated Hessian information, coupled with triangular transport map.
result Algorithm successfully recovers graph structure for non-Gaussian data.
The paper examines non-Gaussian models for financial data.
problem Modeling financial data with non-Gaussian distributions.
method Analysis of multivariate non-Gaussian models focusing on parsimony, dependence structure, and computational aspects.
result Characterization and calibration of models for financial log-returns.
We propose a correlated stochastic process of which the novel non-Gaussian probability mass function is constructed by exactly solving moment generating function. The calculation of cumulants and auto-correlation shows that the process is convergent and scale invariant in the large but finite number limit. We demonstra…