This paper analyzes bias-variance trade-off for clipped SFOMs, improving complexity guarantees for heavy-tailed noise.
problem Improving complexity guarantees for stochastic optimization methods with heavy-tailed noise.
method Novel analysis of bias-variance trade-off in gradient clipping for clipped SFOMs.
result Improved complexity guarantees for clipped SFOMs across various tail indices, including infinite mean noise.
We studied non-dynamical stochastic resonance for the number of trades in the stock market. The trade arrival rate presents a deterministic pattern that can be modeled by a cosine function perturbed by noise. Due to the nonlinear relationship between the rate and the observed number of trades, the noise can either enha…
We construct explicitly a bridge process whose distribution, in its own filtration, is the same as the difference of two independent Poisson processes with the same intensity and its time 1 value satisfies a specific constraint. This construction allows us to show the existence of Glosten-Milgrom equilibrium and its as…
In this paper, the Kyle model of insider trading is extended by characterizing the trading volume with long memory and allowing the noise trading volatility to follow a general stochastic process. Under this newly revised model, the equilibrium conditions are determined, with which the optimal insider trading strategy,…
Study on Kyle's model with stochastic liquidity impacts asset volatility.
problem Impact of stochastic volatility of noise trading on asset volatility.
method Construct equilibrium for continuous-time Kyle's model with stochastic liquidity.
result In equilibrium, Kyle's Lambda and its inverse are submartingales.
A method merges two pretrained diffusion experts to improve image quality and likelihood.
problem Trade-off between image quality and data likelihood in diffusion models.
method Combining two pretrained diffusion experts by switching between them along the denoising trajectory.
result The merged model consistently matches or outperforms its base components, improving or preserving both likelihood and sample quality.
Study shows HFT benefits large traders under certain conditions.
problem Influence of high-frequency traders (HFTs) on large traders.
method Analyzes the impact of HFT front-running on large traders under different conditions.
result HFT benefits large traders when there is high-speed noise trading and vague HFT predictions.
ContestTrade uses competitive teams to improve LLM trading performance.
problem High sensitivity to market noise in LLM-based trading systems.
method Internal competitive mechanism, data and research teams, real-time evaluation.
result Significantly outperforms other systems across various metrics.
When stock prices are observed at high frequencies, more information can be utilized in estimation of parameters of the price process. However, high-frequency data are contaminated by the market microstructure noise which causes significant bias in parameter estimation when not taken into account. We propose an estimat…
Study shows corporate governance improves stock liquidity with noise traders' participation.
problem Improving liquidity of listed companies' stocks.
method Theoretical model with heterogeneity of investors' beliefs.
result Corporate governance and noise traders' participation synergistically improve stock liquidity.
The Sampled Gaussian Mechanism's noise level decreases with larger subsampling rates, improving privacy-utility trade-offs.
problem Improving privacy-utility trade-offs in differentially private stochastic optimization.
method Proof of a conjecture about the Sampled Gaussian Mechanism's noise level and subsampling rate relationship.
result A rigorous proof of the conjecture, completing the proof of Theorem 6.2 in the original paper.
Paper uses diffusion model to denoise financial time series data.
problem Low signal-to-noise ratio in financial time series data.
method Conditional diffusion model for progressive noise addition and removal.
result Denoised financial time series improve future return classification and trading performance.
We present a new approach to the optimal portfolio problem for an insider with logarithmic utility. Our method is based on white noise theory, stochastic forward integrals, Hida-Malliavin calculus and the Donsker delta function.
TT-DAC-PS: A deterministic actor-critic approach for optimal trade execution
problem Optimal execution of large stock sell programs
method Twin-Target Deterministic Actor-Critic with Policy Smoothing
result Reduces mean implementation shortfall percentage
We study an economic model where agents trade a variety of products by using one of three competing rules: "need", "greed" and "noise". We find that the optimal strategy for any agent depends on both product composition in the overall market and composition of strategies in the market. In particular, a strategy that do…
ATLAS uses LLMs to adaptively trade by optimizing prompts and coordinating agents.
problem Adapting LLMs for real-time financial decision-making in noisy markets.
method ATLAS integrates structured market data, uses Adaptive-OPRO for prompt optimization, and employs multi-agent coordination.
result Adaptive-OPRO consistently outperforms fixed prompts in financial trading.
A new DRL system using LSTM improves stock trading performance.
problem Adapting DRL to financial data with low signal-to-noise ratios.
method Cascaded LSTM networks for feature extraction and reinforcement learning.
result Our model outperforms previous models in cumulative returns and Sharp ratio.
Strategic brokers exploit private information in broker-mediated markets, affecting informed traders' performance.
problem Strategic interactions and information leakage in broker-mediated markets.
method Study of strategic trading behavior and information leakage in a broker-mediated market.
result Brokers hold a strategic advantage over informed traders due to information leakage in trading flows.
Study privacy and accuracy in high-dimensional LASSO with perturbation mechanisms.
problem Privacy-preserving sparse linear regression in high dimensions.
method Analyzes output and objective perturbation mechanisms using AMP.
result Sparsity affects privacy-accuracy trade-off; stronger regularization improves privacy.
Free lunch from noise reveals linear spectral features for RL.
problem Trade-off between expressiveness and tractability in RL.
method Noise assumption and Spectral Dynamics Embedding (SPEDE).
result SPEDE breaks the trade-off and completes optimistic exploration.
Study resolves the Korean LVRP puzzle by showing HVRP exists but is masked by investor heterogeneity and improper intensity normalization.
problem Puzzling Low Volume Return Premium (LVRP) in Korea, contradicting global High Volume Return Premium (HVRP) evidence.
method Used Korean market data (2020-2024) to demonstrate HVRP exists but is masked by investor heterogeneity and improper intensity normalization. Normalized institutional buying intensity by market capitalization rather than trading value.
result Demonstrated a perfect monotonic relationship between highest-conviction institutional buying and positive cumulative abnormal returns, while lowest-intensity trades yield modest returns.
This paper proves a central limit theorem for differential privacy in high dimensions.
problem Understanding optimal noise distributions for privacy-accuracy trade-offs in high-dimensional settings.
method Developed a central limit theorem approach to analyze differential privacy mechanisms.
result Gaussian mechanisms achieve the optimal privacy-accuracy trade-off in high dimensions.
A deterministic trading strategy can be regarded as a signal processing element that uses external information and past prices as inputs and incorporates them into future prices. This paper uses a market maker based method of price formation to study the price dynamics induced by several commonly used financial trading…
Detects crypto pump-and-dump schemes with a thresholding-based model.
problem Detecting genuine anomalies from minor trading fluctuations.
method Combining threshold-based criteria with EWMA and volatility measures.
result Balances high true-positive detection with minimal noise.
Automated trading system with preprocessing and reinforcement learning.
problem Efficient portfolio trading for individual investors.
method Feature preprocessing, recurrent reinforcement learning, automated trading algorithm.
result System outperforms other strategies in profit and drawdown.
Privacy subsidy found in market trading with noisy direction signals.
problem Analyzing welfare and bid-ask spread in a market with privacy mechanisms.
method Closed-form derivation of bid-ask spread and welfare under flip-noise direction observation.
result Privacy subsidy of μηΔ from liquidity pool to traders, robust across models. Using high-frequency time series of stock prices and share volumes sizes from January 2002-May 2009, this paper investigates whether the effects of the onset of high-frequency trading, most prominent since 2005, are apparent in the dynamics of the dollar traded volume. Indeed it is found in almost all of 14 heavily tra…
New framework uses trading volume instead of volatility for stock pricing.
problem Improving stock price dynamics understanding and market data gap.
method Proposes a new stock pricing model using trading volume instead of volatility, based on two hypotheses.
result The new framework can be applied to option pricing and points to a new direction in finance.
Optimal defenses protect FL models from gradient reconstruction attacks.
problem Gradient reconstruction attacks compromise FL models by recovering original data from shared gradients.
method Derive a theoretical lower bound of reconstruction error, customize noise and pruning defenses, and achieve optimal trade-off between leakage and utility.
result Our methods outperform Gradient Noise and Pruning in protecting training data and maintaining model utility.
This work uses self-supervised learning to generate better labels for financial time-series data.
problem Lack of reliable labels for financial time-series data due to noise and non-stationarity.
method Inspired by image classification, applies computer vision techniques to financial time-series data to generate denoised labels.
result Generated denoised labels improve the performance of downstream learning algorithms.
Noise-aware Bayesian inference framework for locally private data collection.
problem Privacy-preserving data collection with non-trustworthy aggregators.
method Noise-aware probabilistic modeling framework for Bayesian inference under LDP.
result Demonstrated efficacy in parameter estimation for various distributions and regression models.
New discrete-time model shows insider trading dynamics.
problem Modeling insider trading with discrete time and noise traders.
method Formulated as a game with three types of traders, including an insider, noise traders, and a market maker. Proved existence of sequential Kyle equilibrium for various distributions and information flows.
result Equilibria exist in mixed strategies but not in pure strategies, unlike in Kyle's original model.
A game-theoretic analysis of DEX competition through dynamic trading fees.
problem Competition between decentralized exchanges (DEXs) and their impact on trading fees and slippage.
method Characterization of an approximate Nash equilibrium via coupled system of partial differential equations and closed-form expressions for equilibrium fees.
result The equilibrium trading fees shift from the oracle price to a weighted average of the oracle and competitors' exchange rates under competition.
A framework uses attention mechanisms to optimise financial portfolios by reducing noise and balancing returns.
problem Balancing investment returns and risks in noisy financial markets.
method Multi-agent framework with attention mechanisms and time series analysis.
result MASAAT framework produces more balanced portfolios with enhanced performance.
Data privacy is an important concern in machine learning, and is fundamentally at odds with the task of training useful learning models, which typically require the acquisition of large amounts of private user data. One possible way of fulfilling the machine learning task while preserving user privacy is to train the m…
Unified approach improves accuracy in private estimation.
problem Protecting sensitive information in statistical estimation.
method Unified Bayes Private Point (UBaPP) approach to Bayes point estimation under differential privacy constraints.
result Achieves better accuracy-privacy trade-off than traditional methods.
A new model captures irregularly spaced high-frequency prices and their volatility.
problem Modeling high-frequency prices with irregular spacing and market noise.
method Observation-driven model using Skellam distribution with time-varying volatility and smoothing splines.
result The model provides a good fit to IBM stock data and measures daily realized volatility.
The paper analyzes the benefit-cost ratio for feature selection in machine learning.
problem Tackling the challenge of distinguishing relevant features from noise in feature selection.
method Simulation study with different cost and data settings to analyze the benefit-cost ratio.
result The benefit-cost ratio can overemphasize cheap noise features in scenarios with large cost differences and small effect sizes.
We study the trade-offs between convergence rate and robustness to gradient errors in designing a first-order algorithm. We focus on gradient descent (GD) and accelerated gradient (AG) methods for minimizing strongly convex functions when the gradient has random errors in the form of additive white noise. With gradient…
We discuss when and why custom multi-factor risk models are warranted and give source code for computing some risk factors. Pension/mutual funds do not require customization but standardization. However, using standardized risk models in quant trading with much shorter holding horizons is suboptimal: 1) longer horizon …
LARA forecasts financial asset trends by refining noisy labels and extracting profitable samples.
problem Low signal-to-noise ratio and stochastic nature of financial data lead to poor predictions.
method LARA combines LA-Attention and RA-Labeling to refine and extract profitable samples.
result LARA significantly outperforms existing methods on Qlib platform.
Contrastive learning performance doesn't degrade with more negative samples.
problem Theoretical and empirical evidence of negative samples hurting performance in contrastive learning.
method Simple theoretical setting and empirical support on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 datasets.
result Contrastive learning performance does not degrade with the number of negative samples.
Enhanced financial forecasting using supervised autoencoders with noise augmentation and triple labeling.
problem Improving investment strategy performance on noisy financial data.
method Supervised autoencoders with noise augmentation and triple barrier labeling.
result Supervised autoencoders with balanced noise augmentation and bottleneck size significantly boost strategy effectiveness.
Optimizes trade execution with reinforcement learning for limit orders.
problem Maximizing revenue in a limit order book with market and limit orders.
method Formulated as a dynamic allocation task, uses multivariate logistic-normal distributions for efficient training.
result Outperforms traditional strategies in simulated environments.
Modeling trading behavior with information signals and limit order books, showing market impact and equilibrium properties.
problem Analyzing the impact of information signals on trading behavior and market equilibrium in limit order books.
method Static equilibrium model with profit-maximizing investors and competitive dealers, using iterative algorithms and asymptotic analysis.
result The market impact of large trades follows a power law with fat tails and a logarithmic law with lighter tails, and the order book flattens as noise trading increases.
Two machine learning methods detect insider trading from investor activity data.
problem Detecting insider trading from trading activity data is challenging.
method Two unsupervised machine learning methods: clustering and group identification.
result Identifies potential insider trading rings around price sensitive events.
The goal of this study is to explain and examine the statistical underpinnings of the Bollinger Band methodology. We start off by elucidating the rolling regression time series model and deriving its explicit relationship to Bollinger Bands. Next we illustrate the use of Bollinger Bands in pairs trading and prove the e…
New method improves nonlinear filtering accuracy with reduced computation.
problem Complex nonlinear filtering with small system noise.
method Asymptotic expansion with ordinary differential equations and Edgeworth-type correction.
result Significantly lower computational cost with improved accuracy.