In discrete time markets with proportional transaction costs, Schachermayer (2004) shows that robust no-arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of a strictly consistent price system. In this paper, we introduce the concept of prospective strict no-arbitrage that is a variant of the strict no-arbitrage property from Ka…
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Abstract framework for no-arbitrage concepts in topological vector lattices.
The present paper deals with the characterization of no-arbitrage properties of a continuous semimartingale. The first main result, Theorem \refMainTheoremCharNA, extends the no-arbitrage criterion by Levental and Skorohod [Ann. Appl. Probab. 5 (1995) 906-925] from diffusion processes to arbitrary continuous semimartin…
New theory shows perishable goods markets are more stable and efficient.
We show that the results of ArXiv:1305.6008 on the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and the super-hedging theorem can be extended to the case in which the options available for static hedging (\emph{hedging options}) are quoted with bid-ask spreads. In this set-up, we need to work with the notion of \emph{robust no…
We analyze the martingale selection problem of Rokhlin (2006) in a pointwise (robust) setting. We derive conditions for solvability of this problem and show how it is related to the classical no-arbitrage deliberations. We obtain versions of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing in examples spanning frictionless mar…
We prove a version of First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing under transaction costs for discrete-time markets with dividend-paying securities. Specifically, we show that the no-arbitrage condition under the efficient friction assumption is equivalent to the existence of a risk-neutral measure. We derive dual repre…
We prove the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing for a discrete time financial market where trading is subject to proportional transaction cost and the asset price dynamic is modeled by a family of probability measures, possibly non-dominated. Using a backward-forward scheme, we show that when the market consists of a…
Proves FTAP in markets with or without transaction costs.
Novel approach to financial derivatives pricing using rough path theory.
We introduce the concept of no-arbitrage in a credit risk market under ambiguity considering an intensity-based framework. We assume the default intensity is not exactly known but lies between an upper and lower bound. By means of the Girsanov theorem, we start from the reference measure where the intensity is equal to…
We investigate the links between various no-arbitrage conditions and the existence of pricing functionals in general markets, and prove the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing therein. No-arbitrage conditions, either in this abstract setting or in the case of a market consisting of European Call options, give rise to …
We develop a version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing for discrete-time markets with proportional transaction costs and model uncertainty. A robust notion of no-arbitrage of the second kind is defined and shown to be equivalent to the existence of a collection of strictly consistent price systems.
New method for pricing financial products without no-arbitrage condition.
We propose a unified analysis of a whole spectrum of no-arbitrage conditions for financial market models based on continuous semimartingales. In particular, we focus on no-arbitrage conditions weaker than the classical notions of No Arbitrage and No Free Lunch with Vanishing Risk. We provide a complete characterisation…
The paper defines symmetries in no-arbitrage markets.
Study on RL on volatility surfaces, proving no free lunch for law-seeking methods.
We develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing in a probability-free infinite-dimensional setup. We replace the usual assumption of a prior probability by a certain continuity property in the state variable. Probabilities enter then endogenously as full support martingale measures (instead of equivalent martingale…
We provide a Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and a Superhedging Theorem for a model independent discrete time financial market with proportional transaction costs. We consider a probability-free version of the Robust No Arbitrage condition introduced in Schachermayer ['04] and show that this is equivalent to the e…
In a discrete time and multiple-priors setting, we propose a new characterisation of the condition of quasi-sure no-arbitrage which has become a standard assumption. This characterisation shows that it is indeed a well-chosen condition being equivalent to several previously used alternative notions of no-arbitrage and …
The paper applies thermodynamics to financial markets to prove no-arbitrage constraints.
Paper develops a continuous-time framework for financial markets without stochastic calculus.
In this paper a finite discrete time market with an arbitrary state space and bid-ask spreads is considered. The notion of an equivalent bid-ask martingale measure (EBAMM) is introduced and the fundamental theorem of asset pricing is proved using (EBAMM) as an equivalent condition for no-arbitrage. The Cox-Ross-Rubinst…
In frictionless financial markets, no-arbitrage is a local property in time. This means that a discrete time model is arbitrage-free if and only if there does not exist a one-period-arbitrage. With capital gains taxes, this equivalence fails. For a model with a linear tax and one non-shortable risky stock, we introduce…
The paper sets criteria for no arbitrage in complex financial models.
Deep learning models reconstruct volatility surfaces from noisy data under no-arbitrage constraints.
We introduce a bond portfolio management theory based on foundations similar to those of stock portfolio management. A general continuous-time zero-coupon market is considered. The problem of optimal portfolios of zero-coupon bonds is solved for general utility functions, under a condition of no-arbitrage in the zero-c…
We study the stability of several no-arbitrage conditions with respect to absolutely continuous, but not necessarily equivalent, changes of measure. We first consider models based on continuous semimartingales and show that no-arbitrage conditions weaker than NA and NFLVR are always stable. Then, in the context of gene…
Monotonicity of normalized implied-volatility coordinates under no-arbitrage
In a model free discrete time financial market, we prove the superhedging duality theorem, where trading is allowed with dynamic and semi-static strategies. We also show that the initial cost of the cheapest portfolio that dominates a contingent claim on every possible path , might be strictly greater than the …
We investigate the structure of good deal bounds, which are subintervals of a no-arbitrage pricing bound, for financial market models with convex constraints as an extension of Arai and Fukasawa (2014). The upper and lower bounds of a good deal bound are naturally described by a convex risk measure. We call such a risk…
No universal trading strategy exists due to mathematical impossibilities.
We generalize Merton's asset valuation approach to systems of multiple financial firms where cross-ownership of equities and liabilities is present. The liabilities, which may include debts and derivatives, can be of differing seniority. We derive equations for the prices of equities and recovery claims under no-arbitr…
Paper analyzes arbitrage in uncertain markets, providing quantitative asset pricing.
The purpose of this paper is two-fold. First is to extend the notions of an n-dimensional semimartingale and its stochastic integral to a piecewise semimartingale of stochastic dimension. The properties of the former carry over largely intact to the latter, avoiding some of the pitfalls of infinite-dimensional stochast…
Study analyzes bond price covariation robustly under no-arbitrage conditions.
No-arbitrage constraints on implied variance slope are weak, leading to almost guaranteed arbitrage in many cases.
Reflected geometric Brownian motion models are not arbitrage-free.
Strict local martingales may admit arbitrage opportunities with respect to the class of simple trading strategies. (Since there is no possibility of using doubling strategies in this framework, the losses are not assumed to be bounded from below.) We show that for a class of non-negative strict local martingales, the s…
The study uses reproducing kernels to model bond discount curves.
Develops a deep learning method for enforcing no-arbitrage in local volatility surfaces.
The relationship between expectation and price is commonly established with two principles: no-arbitrage, which asserts that both maps are positive; and equivalence, which asserts that the maps share the same null events. Constructed from the Arrow-Debreu securities, classical and quantum models of economics are then d…
Study no-arbitrage conditions in 1D diffusion markets with interest rates.
No arbitrage in financial markets with special semimartingales.
Market impact is the link between the volume of a (large) order and the price move during and after the execution of this order. We show that under no-arbitrage assumption, the market impact function can only be of power-law type. Furthermore, we prove that this implies that the macroscopic price is diffusive with roug…
We study a continuous-time financial market with continuous price processes under model uncertainty, modeled via a family of possible physical measures. A robust notion of no-arbitrage of the first kind is introduced; it postulates that a nonnegative, nonvanishing claim cannot …
Develops a new model for pricing without arbitrage opportunities.
We obtain a constructive criterion for robust no-arbitrage in discrete-time market models with transaction costs. This criterion is expressed in terms of the supports of the regular conditional upper distributions of the solvency cones. We also consider the model with a bank account. A method for construction of arbitr…