The paper explains financial volatility using simple news-driven models.
arXiv research
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We attempt to explain stock market dynamics in terms of the interaction among three variables: market price, investor opinion and information flow. We propose a framework for such interaction and apply it to build a model of stock market dynamics which we study both empirically and theoretically. We demonstrate that th…
Sentiment analysis from LLMs improves financial trading performance.
Stock trend prediction plays a critical role in seeking maximized profit from stock investment. However, precise trend prediction is very difficult since the highly volatile and non-stationary nature of stock market. Exploding information on Internet together with advancing development of natural language processing an…
The paper compares advanced deep learning models for Indian stock price forecasting.
In this paper we seek to demonstrate the predictability of stock market returns and explain the nature of this return predictability. To this end, we introduce investors with different investment horizons into the news-driven, analytic, agent-based market model developed in Gusev et al. (2015). This heterogeneous frame…
Study finds no statistically significant trading edge in MNQ futures signals from OHLCV data.