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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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235470704939 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for news sentiment

News sentiment in U.S. economic newspapers has become more persistent over 45 years.

problem Understanding the temporal dynamics of U.S. economic news sentiment over time.
method Daily economic news sentiment index from 1980-2025, analyzed using sentiment indexes.
result News sentiment states have become more persistent, with longer residence times in optimistic or pessimistic regimes.

MANA-Net improves market predictions by dynamically weighting news sentiments.

problem Aggregated Sentiment Homogenization in financial news data.
method Dynamic market-news attention mechanism to aggregate sentiments.
result MANA-Net outperforms recent market prediction methods by 1.1% Profit & Loss and 0.252 daily Sharpe ratio.

The paper analyzes how news sentiment of companies can affect market movements.

problem Understanding how news sentiment impacts market performance and volatility.
method Applied NLP techniques to analyze news sentiment of 87 companies over 7 years.
result Strong media sentiment towards one company can indicate significant changes in sentiment towards related companies.

Sentiment analysis of DAX40 stocks improves performance by 5.38% annually.

problem Creating a more responsive stock market index using sentiment analysis.
method Extract sentiment from news articles, adjust index weights based on sentiment, compare performance to existing indices.
result Sentiment index outperforms DAX40 by 7.51% annually, adjusted for costs.

This study improves stock price forecasting by analyzing daily news sentiment.

problem Improving stock price forecasting accuracy using news sentiment.
method Data collection, preprocessing, and sentiment analysis of NITY50 stocks' news.
result LSTM models with sentiment scores outperform without them in forecasting stock prices.

Study compares sentiment spillover networks from news and social media in tech companies.

problem Understanding how sentiment information flows between companies through news and social media.
method Network-based transfer entropy method to measure and compare sentiment spillover.
result News shows stronger information flow among tech companies after COVID-19.

New formula classifies product reviews into higher and lower ratings based on sentiment analysis.

problem Lack of research on using sentiment analysis for classifying text into ratings.
method Redefined sentiment proportions as a triangle structure to derive variables for classifying text into higher and lower ratings.
result Proved a dependence exists between sentiments and ratings.

Study evaluates LLMs for predicting Chinese stock movements using financial news sentiments.

problem Evaluating LLMs' ability to predict stock price movements using financial news sentiments.
method Standardized experimental procedure with three LLMs, each with unique performance enhancement methods.
result Developed quantitative trading strategies and conducted back-tests to assess LLMs' performance.

This study evaluates LLMs for sentiment analysis in stock price prediction.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy using LLMs for news sentiment analysis.
method Compared 3 LLMs (DeBERTa, RoBERTa, FinBERT) for sentiment-driven stock prediction.
result DeBERTa outperforms other models with 75% accuracy, and ensemble model increases accuracy to 80%.

Study combines sentiment analysis with traditional models for better S&P 500 trading.

problem Improving trading performance in volatile markets.
method Sentiment analysis from financial news, GPT-2, FinBERT, combined with technical indicators and time-series models.
result Combining sentiment-driven insights with traditional models improves trading performance.

Enhanced stock market strategy using stress index and financial news sentiment analysis.

problem Improving risk assessment and prediction in equity markets.
method Combines financial stress indicator with sentiment analysis of financial news.
result Improved performance with higher Sharpe ratio and reduced drawdowns.

Improved crude oil price forecasting using multi-dimensional LLM sentiment signals.

problem Challenges in predicting crude oil prices due to unstructured news.
method Extracted five sentiment dimensions from GPT-4o, Llama 3.2-3b, and FinBERT models on energy-sector news articles.
result Combining GPT-4o and FinBERT yields the best predictive performance for weekly WTI crude oil futures returns.

This paper analyzes financial sentiment using LLMs and FinBERT, improving accuracy with few-shot examples.

problem Financial sentiment analysis for market evaluation.
method Application of large language models and FinBERT, with focus on prompt engineering and few-shot learning.
result GPT-4o achieves similar sentiment classification accuracy to FinBERT with fewer examples.

Hybrid engine analyzes news sentiment for markets in real-time.

problem Real-time market analysis of news sentiment.
method Three-way ensemble learning combining financial lexicon, adaptive TF-IDF clustering, and auto-calibrated weighting.
result Adaptive statistical clustering learner improves adaptability to market changes.

As machine learning ascends the peak of computer science zeitgeist, the usage and experimentation with sentiment analysis using various forms of textual data seems pervasive. The effect is especially pronounced in formulating securities trading strategies, due to a plethora of reasons including the relative ease of imp…

2017-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper optimizes cryptocurrency portfolios by integrating sentiment analysis with technical indicators.

problem Effective portfolio management in volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Dynamic portfolio strategy using technical indicators and sentiment analysis.
result The integrated approach outperforms traditional benchmarks and achieves stronger risk-adjusted returns.

Study examines how social media sentiment impacts biotech stocks.

problem Understanding the impact of social media on biotech stock prices.
method VADER sentiment analysis, ARIMA, and VAR models were used to forecast stock market performance.
result Complex interplay between tweet sentiment and stock market performance was identified.

The ability to identify sentiment in text, referred to as sentiment analysis, is one which is natural to adult humans. This task is, however, not one which a computer can perform by default. Identifying sentiments in an automated, algorithmic manner will be a useful capability for business and research in their search …

2018-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A new Twitter sentiment model predicts stock market trends with high accuracy.

problem Real-time prediction of future stock market prices.
method Baseline correlation approach using polynomial regression, classification, and lexicon-based sentiment analysis.
result Predicts stock market trends with 67.22% accuracy, up to 15 time samples in advance.

Study shows negative war news correlates with increased stock market volatility.

problem Understanding the impact of geopolitical events on financial markets.
method Used BERT model for sentiment analysis and GARCH model for volatility forecasting.
result Negative news sentiment during geopolitical crises is associated with increased stock market volatility.

How to generate human like response is one of the most challenging tasks for artificial intelligence. In a real application, after reading the same post different people might write responses with positive or negative sentiment according to their own experiences and attitudes. To simulate this procedure, we propose a s…

2019-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper optimizes portfolios using TDA and financial news sentiment.

problem Effective portfolio diversification through understanding asset similarity.
method Integrates TDA with FinBERT sentiment scores for dynamic rebalancing.
result Outperforms traditional methods in returns and risk-adjusted performance.

Study forecasts sub-city real estate prices weekly using radar and news sentiment.

problem Limited availability of reliable real estate price indicators at neighborhood and long horizons.
method Combining satellite radar signals and news sentiment to forecast sub-city real estate prices.
result The multimodal model reduces mean absolute error by 35% at long horizons (26-34 weeks).

This study uses NLP to predict stock performance based on analyst reports.

problem Predicting stock performance using textual information from analyst reports.
method Natural language processing (NLP) and a customized BERT deep learning model for Chinese text.
result Strong positive sentiment in analyst reports increases excess return and intraday volatility, while strong negative sentiment increases volatility and trading volume but decreases excess return.

Improved financial sentiment analysis using simple instruction tuning of LLMs.

problem Lack of accurate financial sentiment analysis by large language models.
method Instruction tuning of general-purpose LLMs with a small portion of financial sentiment data.
result Significant improvement in financial sentiment analysis, especially in complex scenarios.

Study uses ML to predict currency and bond returns from news sentiment.

problem Predicting financial returns from news sentiment.
method Pretrained FinBERT model on finance-specific language, XGBoost classifier, SHAP for interpretability.
result XGBoost strategy outperforms benchmarks with Sharpe ratios > 5.

A new framework predicts stock movements using news sentiment and relational data.

problem Predicting stock prices from textual information is challenging due to market uncertainty and natural language complexity.
method Multi-Graph Recurrent Network (MGRN) combining textual sentiment from financial news and relational data.
result The model outperforms benchmarks in predicting stock movements.

Improved volatility forecasts for U.S. stocks using social media and news data.

problem Challenges in forecasting equity market volatility due to infrequency and variability of macroeconomic announcements.
method Estimating public attention and sentiment towards scheduled macroeconomic variables using various data sources and machine learning.
result Significant improvement in volatility forecasts for U.S. stocks, up to 14.99% on average.