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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3036079101,213 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for neural time series

Survey of data augmentation techniques for time series classification with neural networks.

problem Small datasets in time series recognition.
method Four families of data augmentation: transformation-based, pattern mixing, generative models, and decomposition methods.
result Empirical evaluation of 12 data augmentation methods on 128 datasets.

Proposes a neural network for handling multi-sensor time series with varying input dimensions.

problem Handling multi-sensor time series with varying input dimensions.
method Graph neural network conditioning vectors for zero-shot transfer learning.
result Better generalization in activity recognition and equipment prognostics datasets.

TFM trains Neural SDEs without backpropagation, improving clinical time series modeling.

problem Modeling irregularly sampled time series in medicine.
method Trajectory Flow Matching (TFM) using flow matching for generative modeling.
result TFM improves performance on clinical time series datasets.

Meta-learning for Koopman spectral analysis with short time-series data.

problem Lack of long time-series for training embedding functions in Koopman spectral analysis.
method Meta-learning approach using bidirectional LSTM and neural network to estimate embedding functions from short time-series.
result The proposed method achieves better performance in eigenvalue estimation and future prediction compared to existing methods.

A model combines GRU-D for missing data and Neural ODEs for time series continuity.

problem Challenges of informative missingness in multivariate time series data.
method Combines GRU-D for missing data imputation and Neural ODEs for temporal continuity.
result Demonstrates improved performance on a time series classification task.

fSDE-Net generates time series with long-term memory using neural networks.

problem Generating time series with long-term memory from irregularly sampled data.
method fSDE-Net: neural fractional Stochastic Differential Equation Network using fractional Brownian motion.
result fSDE-Net can replicate distributional properties of real time-series data.

Guided warping augments time series data by aligning features with a teacher.

problem Small time series datasets limit neural network performance.
method Guided warping with a discriminative teacher to augment data deterministically.
result Significant improvement in performance on various time series datasets.

Graph Neural Networks improve financial time series forecasting accuracy.

problem Forecasting univariate financial time series with statistical significance.
method Introducing the Time-Geometric model combining geometric and temporal patterns.
result Statistically significant improvements in forecasting accuracy through geometric patterns.

ANCDEs improve time-series forecasting and classification using attention in NCDEs.

problem Improving time-series forecasting and classification using neural controlled differential equations.
method Integrating attention into neural controlled differential equations (ANCDEs).
result ANCDEs consistently show the best accuracy in time-series classification and forecasting.

Sig-Splines model uses signatures and splines for time series data, achieving universality and convexity.

problem Creating a generative model for multivariate time series data.
method Combines linear transformations and signature transforms into a neural spline flow.
result Achieves universality and introduces convexity in model parameters.

Global models outperform local models in forecasting intermittent time series.

problem Forecasting intermittent time series with zeros in supply chains.
method Comparison of state-of-the-art probabilistic local and global models on five datasets.
result TiDE, a simple neural network architecture, achieves the best accuracy among global models.

Improved prediction of hierarchical time series using structured regularization.

problem Making coherent forecasts for hierarchical time series.
method Structured regularization method for bottom-level time series predictions.
result Superior prediction accuracy and computational efficiency compared to previous methods.

Time series are series of values ordered by time. This kind of data can be found in many real world settings. Classifying time series is a difficult task and an active area of research. This paper investigates the use of transfer learning in Deep Neural Networks and a 2D representation of time series known as Recurrenc…

2019-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural GARCH models financial time series with time-varying coefficients.

problem Modeling conditional heteroskedasticity in financial time series.
method Neural network adaptation of GARCH and BEKK models with time-varying coefficients parameterized by a recurrent neural network.
result Neural Students t model consistently outperforms other models on financial time series.

Proposes a neural network for accurate and reconciled hierarchical time series forecasting.

problem Forecasting and reconciling hierarchical time series data.
method Uses a deep neural network to directly produce accurate and reconciled forecasts, minimizing a customized loss function at training time.
result Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art competitors in hierarchical forecasting on real-world datasets.

EDAIN layer normalizes time series data for neural networks, improving model performance.

problem Irregularities in time series data degrade model performance in neural networks.
method EDAIN layer learns adaptive normalization parameters during end-to-end training.
result EDAIN layer outperforms conventional normalization methods and adaptive layers.

New RNN model forecasts unseen time series with little training data.

problem Lack of data for RNNs to generalize well in time series forecasting.
method Proposes a novel RNN-based model that learns shared feature embeddings over quantised time series.
result Accurately forecasts unseen time series with minimal training data.

Develops framework for understanding deep learning in time series data.

problem Understanding and explaining decisions made by deep learning models in time series data.
method Uses deep neural networks to capture and explain temporal dependencies in time series data.
result Framework successfully captures and explains temporal dependencies in various synthetic and real-world datasets.

Proposes a GNN for multivariate time-series prediction with filtering.

problem Low signal-to-noise ratio in complex systems data.
method Integrates a spatial-temporal GNN with a matrix filtering module to generate filtered graphs.
result Proposed model outperforms baseline approaches in multivariate time-series prediction.

Neural CDEs correct errors in learned time-series models for better forecasting.

problem Error accumulation in multi-step forecasts of learned time-series models.
method Predictor-Corrector framework with a neural controlled differential equation.
result The proposed framework consistently improves forecasting performance across various models.

NFM models time-series data directly in the Fourier domain, achieving state-of-the-art performance.

problem Traditional time-series analysis focuses on the time domain, limiting flexibility.
method NFM models time-series data in the Fourier domain, using frequency extrapolation and interpolation.
result NFM achieves state-of-the-art performance on various time-series tasks.

Time series forecasting is difficult. It is difficult even for recurrent neural networks with their inherent ability to learn sequentiality. This article presents a recurrent neural network based time series forecasting framework covering feature engineering, feature importances, point and interval predictions, and for…

2019-01-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New neural networks with variable time constants for better time-series prediction.

problem Improving neural network performance in time-series prediction.
method Constructing networks of linear dynamical systems modulated by nonlinear gates, using numerical differential equation solvers.
result Liquid Time-Constant Networks (LTCs) yield superior performance on time-series prediction tasks.

Generative Adversarial Graph Neural Network (Sig-Graph GAN) models financial time series data.

problem Challenges in generating synthetic data for non-stationary financial time series.
method Integrates time-series signature, LSTM, and GNNs with visibility graph algorithm.
result Sig-Graph GAN outperforms baseline methods in replicating time series data distributions.

This work combines recurrent models with diffusion for probabilistic time series forecasting.

problem Scalability and capturing high-dimensional distributions and cross-feature dependencies in time series forecasting.
method Combines recurrent neural networks' efficiency with diffusion models' probabilistic modeling, using stochastic interpolants and conditional generation.
result Offers scalable probabilistic time series forecasting methods.

NCDEs improve predictions for irregular time series data.

problem Theoretical understanding of NCDEs' performance and irregular time series effects.
method Combining CDE theory and neural net complexity measures.
result Generalization bound and detailed sampling and approximation bias analysis.

The paper introduces neural INGARCH models for time series of counts.

problem Analyzing time series of counts using traditional INGARCH models.
method Combining artificial neural networks with INGARCH models.
result Neural INGARCH models outperform traditional models in information loss.

Combines neural networks and STL for multi-class time-series classification.

problem Lack of interpretability in neural networks for time-series data.
method Proposes a method that uses neural networks to classify time-series data using STL specifications, introducing margin for multi-class classification and STL-based attributes for interpretability.
result Evaluations show improved interpretability and performance compared to state-of-the-art baselines.