Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

224449673897 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for neural mediating agent

Proposes a new training algorithm for zero-sum games to avoid convergence issues.

problem Gradient-based training leads to weak convergence and cyclic dynamics in zero-sum architectures.
method Follow the perturbed leader algorithm with neural mediating agent.
result Guarantees convergence to mixed Nash equilibrium without cyclic behaviors.

A new method for identifying the best arm in multi-armed bandits with mediator feedback.

problem Sequential decision-making with unknown mediator policies.
method Best-arm identification under mediators' feedback (BAI-MF) with statistical lower bound and sequential decision-making strategy.
result The proposed algorithm matches the lower bound on sample complexity for identifying the best arm.

An assistant learns to mediate decisions between humans and experts, balancing risk and learning.

problem Learning to mediate decisions between imperfect humans and expert knowledge.
method Formalizes online decision mediation, proposes a policy to balance immediate loss and future generalization.
result Consistent gains over benchmarks in decision-making performance.

New method analyzes complex multivariate pathways in high-dimensional data.

problem High-dimensional mediation analysis of multivariate exposures, mediators, and outcomes.
method Simultaneous variable selection, indirect effect matrix estimation, and prediction of multivariate outcomes.
result Identifies biologically interpretable genetic-neural-cognitive pathways.

Agent-to-agent finance aims to manage payments and trust for AI agents.

problem Managing financial interactions between autonomous AI agents.
method Develops agent-to-agent finance concept and explores blockchain solutions.
result Agent-to-agent finance can address coordination frictions in financial markets.

Strategic brokers exploit private information in broker-mediated markets, affecting informed traders' performance.

problem Strategic interactions and information leakage in broker-mediated markets.
method Study of strategic trading behavior and information leakage in a broker-mediated market.
result Brokers hold a strategic advantage over informed traders due to information leakage in trading flows.

DeepMed uses DNNs to estimate causal mediation effects without sparsity constraints.

problem Estimating Natural Direct and Indirect Effects in mediation analysis.
method DeepMed employs deep neural networks to cross-fit infinite-dimensional nuisance functions.
result DeepMed achieves semiparametric efficiency bound and adapts to low-dimensional nuisance structures.

The behavioral dynamics of multi-agent systems have a rich and orderly structure, which can be leveraged to understand these systems, and to improve how artificial agents learn to operate in them. Here we introduce Relational Forward Models (RFM) for multi-agent learning, networks that can learn to make accurate predic…

2018-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New method handles indirect mediators in CMA for complex scenarios.

problem Handling indirect and multi-dimensional mediators in causal mediation analysis.
method Identifiable Variational Autoencoder (iVAE) architecture for multi-dimensional, indirectly observed mediators.
result Accurate estimation of direct and mediated effects in synthetic and semi-synthetic experiments.

Research explores the trade-off between multi-task learning and multitasking in deep neural networks.

problem Trade-off between multi-task learning and multitasking in deep neural networks.
method Meta-learning algorithm to manage the trade-off between shared and separated representations.
result Agent successfully optimizes training strategy based on environment.

Study compares estimators for causal mediation analysis with multiple mediators.

problem Estimating causal effects through multiple mediators in observational studies.
method Parametric and non-parametric estimators, including multiply robust and double machine learning approaches.
result Advanced estimators perform well across various settings and real data.

New method stabilizes IF-based estimators for causal mediation analysis with continuous mediators.

problem Stability issues in IF-based estimators for continuous mediators.
method Nonparametric weighted balancing method to estimate nuisance functions.
result Significant reductions in bias and variance compared to existing methods.

MediEncoder learns nonlinear representations for causal mediation analysis.

problem High-dimensional noisy covariates and mediators in biomedical studies.
method Coupled encoder-decoder architecture with cross-factor network.
result Improves estimation accuracy in high-dimensional causal mediation analysis.

Interneurons improve learning in neural networks by accelerating convergence.

problem Rapid adaptation to changing input statistics in neural networks.
method Two mathematically tractable recurrent linear neural networks were compared: one with direct recurrent connections and the other with interneurons that mediate recurrent communication.
result The network with interneurons converges more quickly than the network with direct recurrent connections, scaling logarithmically with initialization spectrum.

Paper proposes a machine learning-based method for estimating mediation effects.

problem Challenges in estimating mediation effects with multiple, continuous mediators.
method Developed a one-step estimation algorithm using machine learning and Riesz learning.
result Proposed method can estimate mediation effects from just two statistical estimands.

Model predicts asset prices from initial shocks using neural networks.

problem Missing data on actual asset liquidations limits model calibration.
method Dual neural network structure, first stage maps shocks to liquidations, second stage uses liquidations to predict prices.
result Model accurately predicts equilibrium prices from initial shocks without liquidation data.

The paper addresses causal mediation analysis with post-treatment events, proposing robust estimators and efficient methods.

problem Assessing causal mediation in the presence of post-treatment events like noncompliance or clinical events.
method Identifies natural mediation effects for entire populations and principal strata, derives efficient influence functions, and proposes multiply robust estimators.
result Multiply robust estimators are consistent under four types of misspecifications and efficient when all models are correct.

A new DML method for continuous treatments uncovers causal mediation effects.

problem Estimating causal mediation effects with continuous treatments.
method Double machine learning (DML) algorithm using kernel-based doubly robust moment function.
result Asymptotic normality with nonparametric convergence rate for estimating mediated response curve.

Tests whether a treatment's effect is fully mediated by observed outcomes and identifies causal mechanisms.

problem Understanding how a treatment affects an outcome through intermediate variables.
method Proposes a test to evaluate full mediation and causal mechanism identification, extending to non-randomly assigned treatments.
result A conditionally random treatment is conditionally independent of the outcome given mediators and covariates if full mediation and causal mechanism identification hold.

A method combines deep learning and G-estimation for causal mediation analysis.

problem Estimating structural mediation parameters under unmeasured confounding.
method UNIT method using TARNet for representation learning and G-estimation.
result Improved precision of structural parameter estimator through better representation learning.

Proposes estimators for complex dose-response curves using kernel methods.

problem Estimating complex dose-response curves with continuous treatments, mediators, and covariates.
method Kernel ridge regression with sequential kernel embedding technique.
result Simple estimators for mediated and time-varying dose response curves with nonasymptotic uniform rates.

DCMA uses generative models to analyze treatment effects on entire outcome distributions.

problem Traditional mediation analysis focuses on summary contrasts, missing complex distributional changes.
method DCMA learns conditional generative models for mediators and outcome, reconstructing interventional distributions via Monte Carlo simulation.
result DCMA captures both summary effects and rich distributional contrasts like energy distance and Wasserstein distance.

DCMA uses generative models to analyze complex treatment effects on outcome distributions.

problem Analyzing complex and nonlinear causal mechanisms through outcome-level summary contrasts.
method Generative learning framework for identifying and estimating treatment effects on entire outcome distributions.
result Reconstructs interventional outcome distributions via Monte Carlo forward simulation, capturing both summary and distributional contrasts.

Study designs steering rewards for MFGs with unknown dynamics and model uncertainty.

problem Designing incentives for large populations of agents in MFGs with uncertain model details.
method Developed optimistic exploration algorithms for agents with no-adaptive regret behaviors.
result Sub-linear regret guarantees for cumulative gaps between agent behaviors and desired outcomes.

Humans and animals have the ability to continually acquire, fine-tune, and transfer knowledge and skills throughout their lifespan. This ability, referred to as lifelong learning, is mediated by a rich set of neurocognitive mechanisms that together contribute to the development and specialization of our sensorimotor sk…

2018-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper compares and optimizes estimators for treatment effects with observed confounders and mediators.

problem Estimating treatment effects with observed confounders and mediators.
method Investigates the linear Gaussian causal model, compares and optimizes estimators, and combines datasets.
result An optimal estimator outperforms the backdoor and frontdoor estimators by an unbounded constant factor.

Model shows how confidence feedback can lead to different crisis outcomes.

problem Characterizing the impact of economic recessions on different social strata.
method A self-reflexive DSGE model with heterogeneous households, varying parameters to analyze crisis typologies.
result Crisis propagation can be confined to high or low income households, depending on social network structure and income inequality.

New methods estimate causal effects through mediators, handling confounding without strict assumptions.

problem Estimating causal effects through mediators while accounting for unmeasured confounding.
method Developed four nonparametric identification strategies using proximal confounding bridge functions, efficient influence function, and quadruply robust estimator. Proposed proximal debiased machine learning approach for high-dimensional nuisance parameters.
result Achieved n\sqrt{n}-consistency and asymptotic normality for path-specific effect estimation.

Proposes new method to handle hidden confounders in causal mediation analysis.

problem Break down total effect of treatment on outcome through different causal pathways.
method Combines proxy strategies and deep learning to uncover latent variables and estimate causal effects.
result Validated effectiveness of the proposed method for causal fairness analysis.

This study models FOMC policy decisions using debate-based LLMs.

problem Accurately predicting central bank policy decisions, especially FOMC's, is challenging.
method A novel framework that simulates FOMC's collective decision-making process through iterative rounds of LLMs interacting as agents.
result The debate-based approach significantly outperforms standard LLMs in prediction accuracy.

M-learner estimates treatment effects in mediation models with subgroup identification.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in mediation models.
method Four-step procedure: compute conditional effects, construct distance matrix, apply tSNE and K-means clustering, refine clusters.
result Validates robustness and effectiveness in real-world dataset.

PESCAL uses mediators to learn from confounded offline data.

problem Learning from confounded observational data in reinforcement learning.
method PESCAL uses mediator variables and the pessimistic principle to address confounding bias and distributional shift.
result It is sufficient to learn a lower bound of the mediator distribution function to mitigate distributional shift.

The paper tackles performative policy learning with strategic agents, improving scalability and generalizability.

problem Strategic agents adjust their features in response to a released policy, causing endogenous distribution shifts.
method Relaxing parametric assumptions, the paper uncovers a low-dimensional structure in distribution shifts and proposes a gradient-based policy optimization algorithm.
result The proposed algorithm achieves high sample efficiency and provides theoretical guarantees for convergence.

Study decomposes racial healthcare disparities via shifts in mediator distributions.

problem Racial disparities in healthcare expenditures and their underlying drivers.
method Framework decomposing disparities into mediator distribution shifts and residual components, using MEPS data.
result Substantial disparities persist even when mediators are equalized, suggesting unmeasured or structural factors.

Unified framework for estimating indirect effects in observational studies with unmeasured confounding.

problem Challenges in evaluating indirect effects due to unmeasured confounding and unethical exposures.
method Developed a unified identification and estimation framework using proximal causal inference.
result Unified identification and estimation of PIIE and causal effect of an intervening variable in settings with pervasive unmeasured confounding.