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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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236472708944 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for neural inference

Paper shows how to infer hidden states in neural networks analytically.

problem Intractability of Bayesian inference for neural networks.
method Leverage tractable approximate Gaussian inference (TAGI) for hidden states inference.
result Demonstrates inference of hidden states through constraints for various applications.

Proposes TAGI for efficient Gaussian inference in Bayesian neural networks.

problem Efficient inference in Bayesian neural networks with complex architectures.
method Analytical method for tractable approximate Gaussian inference (TAGI).
result Matches performance of gradient-based methods with O(n)\mathcal{O}(n) computational complexity.

Improved Bayesian neural network inference by selectively removing redundant modes.

problem Redundant modes in Bayesian neural network posteriors complicate approximate inference.
method Structured partial stochasticity and deterministic subset selection of weights.
result Improved performance of approximate inference schemes with simplified posterior distribution.

Blog post comparing neural network methods for causal inference.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal inference.
method Developed and compared a fully connected neural network implementation of Bayesian Causal Forest.
result Improvements in performance in simulation settings.

The paper proposes a method for better uncertainty estimation in neural networks.

problem Estimating predictive uncertainty in neural networks is crucial but challenging.
method The paper proposes a function-space variational inference method to infer a posterior distribution over functions.
result The proposed method leads to state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation and predictive performance.

We introduce a method for using deep neural networks to amortize the cost of inference in models from the family induced by universal probabilistic programming languages, establishing a framework that combines the strengths of probabilistic programming and deep learning methods. We call what we do "compilation of infer…

2016-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian neural networks improve simulation-based inference with limited data.

problem Inaccurate inference in data-poor regimes with limited or expensive simulations.
method Bayesian neural networks for posterior approximation, accounting for computational uncertainty.
result Bayesian neural networks produce well-calibrated posteriors with few simulations.

Metalearned neural circuit performs inference over open classes.

problem Nonparametric Bayesian models' practical barriers in real-world applications.
method Extract inductive bias from nonparametric Bayesian model and transfer to neural network.
result Metalearned neural circuit achieves comparable or better performance than particle filter-based methods.

New method uses EKI for efficient Bayesian inference in high-dimensional problems.

problem Efficient inference for high-dimensional posterior distributions in physics-informed neural networks.
method Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) for high-dimensional posterior inference.
result EKI-based inference provides comparable uncertainty estimates to HMC-based methods but with reduced computational cost.

A neural network model minimizes region-based free energy for faster inference in MRFs.

problem Efficient inference in complex Markov random fields (MRFs).
method Region-based Energy Neural Network (RENN) that directly minimizes region-based free energy.
result RENN outperforms other methods in marginal distribution estimation, partition function estimation, and MRF learning.

cvHM framework speeds up GP inference for neural spike train analysis.

problem Scalability issue in approximate inference for latent GP models.
method cvHM framework using Hida-Matérn kernels and conjugate computation variational inference (CVI).
result Linear time inference for latent neural trajectories.

Interpretable model for Granger causality using neural networks.

problem Inferring Granger causality in complex dynamical systems.
method Extension of self-explaining neural networks for multivariate Granger causality.
result Framework performs on par with baseline methods and better at inferring interaction signs.

New method for efficient inference over complex parameter spaces.

problem Challenges in Bayesian inference for high-dimensional, intractable likelihoods.
method Arbitrary Marginal Neural Ratio Estimation (AMNRE) for simulation-based inference.
result Efficient inference over arbitrary subsets of parameters without numerical integration.

We develop a scalable method for Bayesian neural networks with stochastic differential equations.

problem Uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks.
method Gradient-based stochastic variational inference in continuous-depth Bayesian neural networks.
result Gradient estimator with zero variance as the approximation improves.

WrapNet optimizes inference for low-resolution neural networks by using 8-bit additions.

problem Reducing multiplication complexity in low-resolution neural networks.
method Adapting neural networks to use low-resolution (8-bit) additions in accumulators, with a cyclic activation layer and overflow penalty regularizer.
result Achieves comparable classification accuracy to 32-bit counterparts using low-resolution additions.

We introduce CheckNet, a method for secure inference with deep neural networks on untrusted devices. CheckNet is like a checksum for neural network inference: it verifies the integrity of the inference computation performed by untrusted devices to 1) ensure the inference has actually been performed, and 2) ensure the i…

2019-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Study how depth affects inference in deep Bayesian neural networks.

problem Understanding how depth impacts inference in overparameterized linear Bayesian neural networks.
method Interpreting finite deep linear Bayesian neural networks as scale mixtures of Gaussian process predictors.
result Advances analytical understanding of how depth affects inference in a simple class of Bayesian neural networks.

Efficient neural Bayes estimators for censored peaks-over-threshold models improve inference speed and accuracy.

problem Computational burden in inference with spatial extremal dependence models due to intractable or censored likelihoods.
method Developed neural Bayes estimators using data augmentation techniques to encode censoring information.
result Significant gains in computational and statistical efficiency compared to traditional methods.

Hybrid approach combines VI and HMC for efficient Bayesian inference in neural networks.

problem Computational demands and inaccuracies in Bayesian inference for neural networks.
method Combines VI and HMC, reducing parameter space and accelerating inference.
result Significantly reduces inference time for large neural networks, improving uncertainty quantification.

Most structure inference methods either rely on exhaustive search or are purely data-driven. Exhaustive search robustly infers the structure of arbitrarily complex data, but it is slow. Data-driven methods allow efficient inference, but do not generalize when test data have more complex structures than training data. I…

2019-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural score matching improves high-dimensional causal inference by using neural networks for balancing scores.

problem Impracticality of traditional matching methods in high-dimensional datasets due to the curse of dimensionality.
method Develops neural networks to create non-trivial, multivariate balancing scores for high-dimensional causal inference.
result Neural score matching outperforms other methods in treatment effect estimation and reducing imbalance on high-dimensional datasets.

This work extends balancing to various simulation-based inference algorithms for more conservative posterior approximations.

problem Overconfident posterior approximations in simulation-based inference.
method Introduces a balanced version of neural posterior estimation and contrastive neural ratio estimation.
result Balanced versions tend to produce conservative posterior approximations on various benchmarks.

A new method combines scores of individual observations to efficiently approximate posterior distributions.

problem Handling posterior distributions conditioned on multiple observations with neural methods.
method Conditional score modeling to combine learned scores from individual observations.
result Sample-efficient method that can aggregate multiple observations at inference time.

Combines neural networks with variational inference for better uncertainty quantification.

problem Overconfident predictions from traditional neural networks and time-consuming Bayesian optimization.
method VIFO (Variational Inference on the Final-Layer Output) using neural networks to learn mean and variance.
result VIFO provides a good tradeoff in run time and uncertainty quantification, especially for out of distribution data.

A new method uses deep neural networks for estimating individual treatment effects.

problem Estimating individual treatment effects in large models.
method Extended fiducial inference with Double Neural Network (Double-NN) method.
result The Double-NN method outperforms CQR in individual treatment effect estimation.

New method calibrates neural SBI to avoid overconfident posteriors.

problem Overconfident posteriors in SBI due to inaccurate uncertainty quantification.
method Introduces a calibration term into neural model training objective, enabling end-to-end backpropagation.
result Achieves competitive or better coverage and posterior density than existing methods.

Neural Empirical Bayes estimates source distributions from noisy simulations.

problem Estimating source distributions from noisy, simulated data.
method Uses neural density estimators to estimate a prior or source distribution over uncorrupted samples, then performs posterior inference.
result Recovering ground truth source distributions up to symmetries.

Hybrid Bayesian neural networks use function uncertainty for probabilistic inference.

problem Uncertainty in neural network weights is hard to specify and interpret.
method Integrates probabilistic layers with standard deterministic layers for function uncertainty.
result Improves probabilistic inference by encoding function uncertainty.

Neural networks improve nonparametric regression with measurement errors.

problem Nonparametric regression with measurement errors.
method Proposes a neural network design using FNN, normalizing flow, and inference network.
result Neural network approach is more flexible and superior or comparable to classical methods.