Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

11.6%23.1%34.7%46.2% · May 201919922001200920172026
48 results for network predictions

Network-assisted regression uses conformal prediction for valid inference.

problem Predicting node attributes using network and conventional covariates with valid statistical inference.
method Network analog of conformal prediction under mild joint exchangeability assumption.
result Achieves finite sample validity and asymptotic conditional validity for various network covariates.

A new method for predicting uncertainties in stream networks.

problem Uncertainty quantification in spatiotemporal graphs with directional flow constraints.
method Spatio-Temporal Adaptive Conformal Inference (STACI) integrating network topology and temporal dynamics.
result STACI effectively balances prediction efficiency and coverage, outperforming existing methods.

Proposes a method to create prediction intervals for neural networks using cross-validation.

problem Lack of prediction intervals for neural networks.
method k-fold cross-validation to construct conformal prediction intervals.
result Proposed method produces narrower intervals with similar coverage compared to SC method.

Study enhances neural network predictions for wave height using topological features.

problem Challenges in predicting wave heights due to short-term and long-term factors.
method Hybridization of persistent homology with neural networks for feature engineering.
result Significant improvements in R2R^2 score and reductions in errors for various neural network models.

Informer improves financial market prediction accuracy with global time stamp features.

problem Intra-day minute-scale financial market prediction challenges.
method Informer network, a novel deep learning model with smaller computational complexity and global time stamp features.
result Informer achieves best performance on MAE, RMSE, and MAPE evaluation criteria across all datasets.

New algorithm for efficient prediction intervals in neural networks.

problem Challenges in estimating uncertainty in neural network predictions.
method Applies matrix sketching to approximate Jacobian matrix for efficient uncertainty estimation.
result Produces approximate prediction intervals with competitive performance.

The paper proposes a method for better uncertainty estimation in neural networks.

problem Estimating predictive uncertainty in neural networks is crucial but challenging.
method The paper proposes a function-space variational inference method to infer a posterior distribution over functions.
result The proposed method leads to state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation and predictive performance.

Framework predicts and prepares for rain-induced microwave link attenuation.

problem Severe signal attenuation due to weather conditions degrades network performance.
method Predictive Network Reconfiguration (PNR) framework using LSTM for attenuation prediction and MSNR for dynamic routing.
result Framework improves network utilization by more than 200% compared to reactive algorithms.

Deep neural network predicts health costs better than traditional models.

problem Accurate prediction of healthcare costs for optimal cost management.
method Developed a deep neural network to predict future health care costs from health insurance claims records.
result Deep neural network outperformed ridge regression and Morbi-RSA models in cost prediction.

Deep learning has been used in many areas, such as feature detections in images and the game of go. This paper presents a study that attempts to use the deep learning method to predict turbomachinery performance. Three different deep neural networks are built and trained to predict the pressure distributions of turbine…

2018-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

New model improves prediction accuracy and interpretability for network-connected data.

problem Reduced effective sample size and poor prediction performance in network-connected data.
method Network-assisted Random Forest+ (RF+) with interpretable feature importance measures.
result Highly competitive prediction accuracy and interpretable feature importance.

Single neural network predicts ImageNet model parameters for faster training.

problem Training diverse ImageNet models requires significant resources and time.
method Trained a neural network to predict ImageNet model parameters and used them for initialization.
result Models initialized with predicted parameters converge faster and achieve competitive performance.

Link prediction in networks is typically accomplished by estimating or ranking the probabilities of edges for all pairs of nodes. In practice, especially for social networks, the data are often collected by egocentric sampling, which means selecting a subset of nodes and recording all of their edges. This sampling mech…

2018-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive vehicle trajectory prediction for safer autonomous driving.

problem Inability of current methods to guarantee physical feasibility and adapt to human driving policies.
method Bayesian recurrent neural network combining policy and physical models, with gradient-based training and parameter adaptation.
result The proposed method ensures physical feasibility and adaptability to human driving policies.

Bayesian neural networks reveal multimodal predictive distributions.

problem Uncertainty quantification and interpretability in neural networks.
method Discretized prior for inner layer weights, Gaussian mixture approximation of posterior predictive distribution.
result Distinct parameter realizations can produce the same training error but different posterior predictive distributions.

Convolutional neural networks predict the analytic rank of elliptic curves accurately.

problem Predicting the analytic rank of elliptic curves over Q.
method Applied one-dimensional convolutional neural networks to Frobenius traces.
result High accuracy predictions for analytic rank across various conductors.

Quantum neural network and tensor network models outperform classical models in Japanese stock market predictions.

problem Improving stock return predictions using quantum and quantum-inspired machine learning.
method Evaluation of quantum neural network and tensor network models against classical models like linear and neural networks.
result Tensor network model outperforms classical models in Japanese stock market, including linear and neural network models.

New method uses unlabelled data to improve Bayesian Neural Networks.

problem Lack of ability to use unlabelled data in conventional Bayesian Neural Networks.
method Self-supervised Bayesian Neural Networks using contrastive pretraining and variational lower bound optimization.
result Prior predictive distributions capture problem semantics better and improve predictive performance.

CMDRNN predicts user location using WiFi fingerprints with deep learning.

problem Predicting user activity with WiFi fingerprints is challenging due to high dimensionality.
method Combines CNN, RNN, and MDN to model high-dimensional time-series data.
result CMDRNN effectively predicts user location using WiFi fingerprints.

An artificial agent for financial risk and returns' prediction is built with a modular cognitive system comprised of interconnected recurrent neural networks, such that the agent learns to predict the financial returns, and learns to predict the squared deviation around these predicted returns. These two expectations a…

2018-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new network for accurate predictions and uncertainty estimation.

problem Uncertainty estimation in regression predictions without sacrificing accuracy.
method Decoupled two-stage training process with custom loss function.
result Reduces prediction error by 23-34% while maintaining 95% PICP.

Method selects the best deep learner for time-series prediction using Bayesian networks.

problem Selecting the most effective deep learning model for time-series prediction.
method Bayesian network selects deep learners based on input variables and cluster training data.
result Threshold value determines which deep learners predict time-series data robustly.

Paper uses AI to predict stock market volatility with neural networks and genetic algorithms.

problem Traditional methods for predicting stock market volatility have high errors.
method Back-propagation neural network and genetic algorithm integrated model.
result The model predicts future volatility with low errors and high accuracy.

This study compares RNN and CNN for predicting wave propagation using the Saint-Venant equations.

problem Predicting wave propagation over long time periods using deep learning.
method Investigated recurrent and convolutional neural networks for their performance in predicting surface waves governed by the Saint-Venant equations.
result Convolutional networks perform at least as well as recurrent networks in predicting wave propagation.

We introduce Recurrent Predictive State Policy (RPSP) networks, a recurrent architecture that brings insights from predictive state representations to reinforcement learning in partially observable environments. Predictive state policy networks consist of a recursive filter, which keeps track of a belief about the stat…

2018-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Method predicts brain regions for neuroimaging phenotypes.

problem Predicting phenotypes from brain networks without static community structure.
method Supervised community detection using block-structured regularization and ADMM optimization.
result The method identifies task-specific brain regions that improve phenotype prediction.

DistPre predicts traffic speeds efficiently for large networks.

problem Fine-grained, accurate speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Customizes LSTM models on a cluster, sharing trained models between detectors.
result Efficient and accurate fine-grained traffic-speed prediction.

Most real-world networks are incompletely observed. Algorithms that can accurately predict which links are missing can dramatically speedup the collection of network data and improve the validity of network models. Many algorithms now exist for predicting missing links, given a partially observed network, but it has re…

2019-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Physics-informed neural networks improve pathloss prediction accuracy.

problem Improving pathloss prediction accuracy in wireless communications.
method Physics-informed neural networks incorporating physical dependencies and measured values.
result Physics-informed neural networks achieve better generalization and prediction quality with fewer layers and parameters.

The quest for performant networks has been a significant force that drives the advancements of deep learning in recent years. While rewarding, improving network design has never been an easy journey. The large design space combined with the tremendous cost required for network training poses a major obstacle to this en…

2017-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A new framework predicts links in time-dependent networks using Bernoulli autoregression.

problem Predicting links in time-dependent networks with additional auxiliary information.
method A Bernoulli autoregressive model with regularization for link discovery.
result The model can discover new links not present in the data.