The question is: What does happen to the real-world networks which cause them not to grow permanently? The idea here is that real-world networks have to pay the cost of growth. We investigate the growth and trade-off between value and cost in the networks with cost and preferential attachment together. Since the prefer…
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48 results for “network growth”
This paper considers the growth in the length of one-dimensional trajectories as they are passed through deep ReLU neural networks, which, among other things, is one measure of the expressivity of deep networks. We generalise existing results, providing an alternative, simpler method for lower bounding expected traject…
Study reveals supply chain correlations in firm growth rates.
problem Understanding correlations in firm growth rates and their supply chain relationships.
method Investigated correlation structure of firm growth rates and used Gaussian Markov Models to reconstruct supply chain networks.
result Supply chain-linked firms exhibit stronger correlation in growth rates than non-linked firms.
Quantifying the improvement in human living standard, as well as the city growth in developing countries, is a challenging problem due to the lack of reliable economic data. Therefore, there is a fundamental need for alternate, largely unsupervised, computational methods that can estimate the economic conditions in the…
Technological improvement is the most important cause of long-term economic growth. We study the effects of technology improvement in the setting of a production network, in which each producer buys input goods and converts them to other goods, selling the product to households or other producers. We show how this netw…
We develop a simple theoretical framework for the evolution of weighted networks that is consistent with a number of stylized features of real-world data. In our framework, the Barabasi-Albert model of network evolution is extended by assuming that link weights evolve according to a geometric Brownian motion. Our model…
We propose a novel approach and an empirical procedure to test direct contagion of growth rate in a trade credit network of firms. Our hypotheses are that the use of trade credit contributes to contagion (from many customers to a single supplier - "many to one" contagion) and amplification (through their interaction wi…
Deep tensor factorization benefits from implicit regularization with polynomial growth.
problem Tensor factorization's implicit regularization effect in deep networks is not well understood.
method Investigated the implicit regularization in deep tensor factorization, showing polynomial growth.
result Implicit regularization in deep tensor factorization grows polynomially with depth, improving estimation accuracy and convergence.
Framework generates realistic crop images for growth modeling.
problem Modeling crop growth over time with precision and detail.
method Two-stage framework: image prediction and growth estimation models.
result Framework accurately predicts crop images with varying conditions.
Deep-SITAR uses autoencoders to predict growth patterns.
problem Predicting individual growth trajectories from population data.
method Deep learning framework integrating autoencoders and B-spline models.
result Deep-SITAR predicts individual growth without full model re-estimation.
New CRM models for sparse networks with linear edge growth.
problem Modeling extremely sparse networks with tractable properties.
method Introduced a new class of CRMs with index of variation α∈(0,1] based on mixtures of stable or generalized gamma processes.
result Models produce networks with near-linear edge growth, aligning with empirical evidence.
Neural networks cannot approximate certain functions in Sobolev spaces, leading to unbounded parameter growth.
problem Non-closedness of sets of neural networks in Sobolev spaces.
method Construction of sequences of neural networks whose realizations converge to functions not realizable by neural networks.
result Sets of realized neural networks are not closed in order- Sobolev spaces for .
A novel model-selection method for dynamic networks using synthetic data.
problem Classifying and understanding the growth mechanisms of dynamic networks.
method Training a classifier on synthetic network data generated by nine random graph models, using dynamic features that count new links.
result Achieves near-perfect classification of synthetic networks, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.
We revisit a recently introduced agent model[ACS {\bf 11}, 99 (2008)], where economic growth is a consequence of education (human capital formation) and innovation, and investigate the influence of the agents' social network, both on an agent's decision to pursue education and on the output of new ideas. Regular and ra…
Method reconstructs aneurysm growth history from patient parameters using physics-informed autoencoder.
problem Predicting arterial aneurysm rupture due to inaccessible growth time series.
method Physics-informed autoencoder combined with neural network for mapping patient parameters to aneurysm growth time history.
result Incorporating physical model constraints improves time series reconstruction, especially in noisy data.
This paper analyzes deep Stable neural networks, showing convergence rates under different growth settings.
problem Analyzing the behavior of deep Stable neural networks as width increases.
method Large-width asymptotic analysis and convergence rates for fully connected feed-forward deep Stable NNs.
result The rescaled deep Stable NN converges weakly to a Stable SP under joint growth, with sup-norm convergence rates established.
New approach uses 'growth' and 'harvesting' concepts to improve deep learning models.
problem Current deep learning models lack transparency and high convergence rates.
method Reconsider neural networks as single-species population dynamics with balanced growth and harvesting rates.
result SGD with balanced growth and harvesting rates outperforms adaptive methods in all three requirements.
We address the issue of the factors driving startup success in raising funds. Using the popular and public startup database Crunchbase, we explicitly take into account two extrinsic characteristics of startups: the competition that the companies face, using similarity measures derived from the Word2Vec algorithm, as we…
Deep learning models brain deformations based on atrophy and growth data.
problem Simulating brain deformations due to atrophy and growth.
method Differentiable biomechanical model using deep learning.
result Trained model can rapidly simulate new brain deformations with minimal residuals.
Adversarial attacks during the testing phase of neural networks pose a challenge for the deployment of neural networks in security critical settings. These attacks can be performed by adding noise that is imperceptible to humans on top of the original data. By doing so, an attacker can create an adversarial sample, whi…
Effective plant growth and yield prediction is an essential task for greenhouse growers and for agriculture in general. Developing models which can effectively model growth and yield can help growers improve the environmental control for better production, match supply and market demand and lower costs. Recent developm…
We present a novel methodology to determine the fundamental value of firms in the social-networking sector based on two ingredients: (i) revenues and profits are inherently linked to its user basis through a direct channel that has no equivalent in other sectors; (ii) the growth of the number of users can be calibrated…
Valuation of Zyngaq-fin.GN
On December 16, Zynga, the well-known social game developing company went public. This event is following other recent IPOs in the world of social networking companies, such as Groupon, Linkedin or Pandora to cite a few. With a valuation close to 7 billion USD at the time when it went public, Zynga has become the bigge…
A fitness model for the Italian Interbank Money Marketphysics.soc-ph
We use the theory of complex networks in order to quantitatively characterize the formation of communities in a particular financial market. The system is composed by different banks exchanging on a daily basis loans and debts of liquidity. Through topological analysis and by means of a model of network growth we can d…
NoLBERT avoids lookback and lookahead biases for better econometric inference.
problem Information leakage in language models affects econometric inference.
method Pretrained on text from 1976-1995, avoiding lookback and lookahead biases.
result NoLBERT outperforms domain-specific baselines and predicts higher profit growth.
Study growth patterns in random networks using i.i.d. perturbations.
problem Understanding the growth of affine regions in random piecewise-linear networks.
method Analyzes a random compositional model with i.i.d. perturbations of the tent map, proving submultiplicative pressure and using finite-state defect process for upper-tail lower bounds.
result Proves the existence of a submultiplicative pressure for \(N_n\) and gives exponential upper bounds for \(n^{-1}\log N_n\).
This article derives prognostic expressions for the evolution of globally aggregated economic wealth, productivity, inflation, technological change, innovation and growth. The approach is to treat civilization as an open, non-equilibrium thermodynamic system that dissipates energy and diffuses matter in order to sustai…
Response of Firm Agent Network to Exogenous Shockphysics.soc-ph
This paper describes an agent-based model of interacting firms, in which interacting firm agents rationally invest capital and labor in order to maximize payoff. Both transactions and production are taken into account in this model. First, the performance of individual firms on a real transaction network was simulated.…
Risk in Network Economiesecon.GN
Network models assume unrealistic idiosyncratic risk, which can be mitigated by allowing for correlated shocks.
problem Network models assume idiosyncratic risk, which can be unrealistic and lead to incorrect predictions.
method Proposed a production-based asset pricing model to account for substitutability between trade partners and correlation in supply and demand shocks.
result Assets positively exposed to average propagation of upstream and downstream shocks earn lower average risk premia.
Study shows how large neural networks avoid overfitting through decoupling of feature learning and complexity growth.
problem Understanding inductive bias and generalization in large neural networks.
method Dynamical mean field theory applied to large two-layer networks.
result Training dynamics of large networks exhibit a separation of timescales, decoupling feature learning and overfitting.
A new growth model for dynamic networks using Markovian latent points.
problem Modeling temporal dynamic networks with latent points and distances.
method Markovian latent space dynamic with Euclidean Sphere sampling and connection probabilities based on geodesic distances.
result Theoretical guarantees for non-parametric estimation of the latitude and envelope functions.
Dynamical Stationarity as a Result of Sustained Random Growthcond-mat.stat-mech
In sustained growth with random dynamics stationary distributions can exist without detailed balance. This suggests thermodynamical behavior in fast growing complex systems. In order to model such phenomena we apply both a discrete and a continuous master equation. The derivation of elementary rates from known stationa…
New neural network criterion connects RH to minimization problem.
problem Riemann Hypothesis (RH) about zeta function zeros.
method Revisits and extends Nyman-Beurling criterion linking RH to neural networks.
result Establishes connection between RH and minimization problem involving neural networks.
For Adam Smith, wealth was related to the division of labor. As people and firms specialize in different activities, economic efficiency increases, suggesting that development is associated with an increase in the number of individual activities and with the complexity that emerges from the interactions between them. H…
Paper establishes a universal growth rate for smooth surrogate losses in classification.
problem Analyzing growth rates of consistency bounds for various surrogate losses.
method Proves square-root growth rate for smooth margin-based losses; extends to multi-class classification.
result Demonstrates a universal square-root growth rate for smooth comp-sum and constrained losses.
Hybrid model improves forest growth predictions.
problem Misspecified assumptions in mechanistic models.
method Forest Informed Neural Networks (FINN) combining DVM and DNN.
result DNN learned improved growth process functional form.
LSTM predicts COVID-19 growth patterns from global data.
problem Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 using big data and machine learning.
method Used multivariate long short-term memory (LSTM) to learn correlations over time.
result LSTM outperformed RNN in predicting COVID-19 growth with lower validation error.
Historical economic growth in countries of the former USSR is analysed. It is shown that Unified Growth Theory is contradicted by the data, which were used, but not analysed, during the formulation of this theory. Unified Growth Theory does not explain the mechanism of economic growth. It explains the mechanism of Malt…
The Unified Growth Theory is a puzzling collection of myths based on illusions created by hyperbolic distributions. Some of these myths are discussed. The examination of data shows that the three stages of growth (Malthusian Regime, Post-Malthusian Regime and Modern Growth Regime) did not exist and that Industrial Revo…
Historical economic growth in Asia (excluding Japan) is analysed. It is shown that Unified Growth Theory is contradicted by the data, which were used (but not analysed) during the formulation of this theory. Unified Growth Theory does not explain the mechanism of economic growth. It explains the mechanism of Malthusian…
We consider the problem of accelerating distributed optimization in multi-agent networks by sequentially adding edges. Specifically, we extend the distributed dual averaging (DDA) subgradient algorithm to evolving networks of growing connectivity and analyze the corresponding improvement in convergence rate. It is know…
Study confined subgroups in groups with contracting elements, showing their growth rate is strictly greater than half of the ambient growth rate.
problem Understanding the growth rate of confined subgroups in groups with contracting elements.
method Through boundary actions, analyzing the Hopf decomposition and quotient growth.
result Confined subgroups have a growth rate strictly greater than half of the ambient growth rate.
Growth rate of the world Growth Domestic Product (GDP) is analysed to determine possible pathways of the future economic growth. The analysis is based on using the latest data of the World Bank and it reveals that the growth rate between 1960 and 2014 was following a trajectory approaching asymptotically a constant val…
This paper benchmarks econometric and machine learning methods in nowcasting GDP growth.
problem Lack of comprehensive comparison of nowcasting methodologies.
method Examines 12 methodologies including traditional econometrics and machine learning.
result LSTM and BVAR are the top two performing methodologies.
Historical economic growth in Latin America is analysed using the data of Maddison. Unified Growth Theory is found to be contradicted by these data in the same way as it is contradicted by the economic growth in Africa, Asia, former USSR, Western Europe, Eastern Europe and by the world economic growth. Paradoxically, U…
Implicit bias produces neural scaling laws in learning curves, from perceptrons to deep networkscs.LG
New scaling laws explain deep learning performance growth.
problem Understanding neural network performance growth.
method Analyzed entire training dynamics of various architectures.
result Identified two dynamical scaling laws.
Growth rates of geodesics on modular orbifolds are studied.
problem Understanding growth rates of geodesics on modular orbifolds.
method Exhaustion of modular orbifold by compact subsurfaces, analysis of low lying geodesics and reciprocal geodesics.
result Growth rates of low lying geodesics and reciprocal geodesics converge to the full set's growth rate.
Data describing historical economic growth are analysed. Included in the analysis is the world and regional economic growth. The analysis demonstrates that historical economic growth had a natural tendency to follow hyperbolic distributions. Parameters describing hyperbolic distributions have been determined. A search …