arXiv research

Study examines time-varying betas and their volatility in bank interest income and expense margins.

This paper generalizes the framework for arbitrage-free valuation of bilateral counterparty risk to the case where collateral is included, with possible re-hypotecation. We analyze how the payout of claims is modified when collateral margining is included in agreement with current ISDA documentation. We then specialize…

DGNN predicts financial margin calls under stress tests.

This paper supplies two possible resolutions of Fortune's (2000) margin-loan pricing puzzle. Fortune (2000) noted that the margin loan interest rates charged by stock brokers are very high in relation to the actual (low) credit risk and the cost of funds. If we live in the Black-Scholes world, the brokers are presumabl…

Automatic debiasing for causal and policy effects using Neural Nets and Random Forests.

A fast method estimates group-adaptive elastic net penalties using co-data.

Keywords: corporate finance, Wrocław University of Economics, net profit margin lub net sales profitability

The purpose of this paper is introducing rigorous methods and formulas for bilateral counterparty risk credit valuation adjustments (CVA's) on interest-rate portfolios. In doing so, we summarize the general arbitrage-free valuation framework for counterparty risk adjustments in presence of bilateral default risk, as de…

Study shows environmental spending positively impacts company profitability.

For linear classifiers, the relationship between (normalized) output margin and generalization is captured in a clear and simple bound -- a large output margin implies good generalization. Unfortunately, for deep models, this relationship is less clear: existing analyses of the output margin give complicated bounds whi…

A novel probabilistic approach forecasts imbalance prices in Belgium.

We present a dialogue on Counterparty Credit Risk touching on Credit Value at Risk (Credit VaR), Potential Future Exposure (PFE), Expected Exposure (EE), Expected Positive Exposure (EPE), Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA), Debit Valuation Adjustment (DVA), DVA Hedging, Closeout conventions, Netting clauses, Collateral …

Study online learning of neural networks with margin condition.

Researchers prove NP-hardness of learning parameter-bounded Bayes nets.

The paper explores discrete isothermic nets using checkerboard patterns in quadrilateral nets.

SLAM-net learns to navigate visually in challenging indoor environments.

In spite of several notable efforts, explaining the generalization of deterministic non-smooth deep nets, e.g., ReLU-nets, has remained challenging. Existing approaches for deterministic non-smooth deep nets typically need to bound the Lipschitz constant of such deep nets but such bounds are quite large, may even incre…

Singing Voice Separation (SVS) tries to separate singing voice from a given mixed musical signal. Recently, many U-Net-based models have been proposed for the SVS task, but there were no existing works that evaluate and compare various types of intermediate blocks that can be used in the U-Net architecture. In this pap…

Retinal vessel segmentation is an essential step for fundus image analysis. With the recent advances of deep learning technologies, many convolutional neural networks have been applied in this field, including the successful U-Net. In this work, we firstly modify the U-Net with functional blocks aiming to pursue higher…

In medical real-world study (RWS), how to fully utilize the fragmentary and scarce information in model training to generate the solid diagnosis results is a challenging task. In this work, we introduce a novel multi-instance neural network, AMI-Net+, to train and predict from the incomplete and extremely imbalanced da…

We propose a novel method for closed-form predictive distribution modeling with neural nets. In quantifying prediction uncertainty, we build on Evidential Deep Learning, which has been impactful as being both simple to implement and giving closed-form access to predictive uncertainty. We employ it to model aleatoric un…

Recent works have shown that on sufficiently over-parametrized neural nets, gradient descent with relatively large initialization optimizes a prediction function in the RKHS of the Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK). This analysis leads to global convergence results but does not work when there is a standard $\ell_2$ regulari…

Learning to Optimize is a recently proposed framework for learning optimization algorithms using reinforcement learning. In this paper, we explore learning an optimization algorithm for training shallow neural nets. Such high-dimensional stochastic optimization problems present interesting challenges for existing reinf…

We propose a robust elastic net (REN) model for high-dimensional sparse regression and give its performance guarantees (both the statistical error bound and the optimization bound). A simple idea of trimming the inner product is applied to the elastic net model. Specifically, we robustify the covariance matrix by trimm…

Estimates individualized treatment effects using shared RBF-net neurons.

We present two methods, based on Chebyshev tensors, to compute dynamic sensitivities of financial instruments within a Monte Carlo simulation. These methods are implemented and run in a Monte Carlo engine to compute Dynamic Initial Margin as defined by ISDA (SIMM). We show that the levels of accuracy, speed and impleme…

Improved training boosts certified robustness of L-infinity distance nets.

This article concerns the expressive power of depth in neural nets with ReLU activations and bounded width. We are particularly interested in the following questions: what is the minimal width $w_{\text{min}}(d)$ so that ReLU nets of width $w_{\text{min}}(d)$ (and arbitrary depth) can approximate any continuous functio…

A new method predicts precipitation distributions from ensemble forecasts.

G-Net constructs binary neural networks with high accuracy using randomized binary embeddings.

ROM-net framework applies to industrial design uncertainty quantification.

In this paper we describe how to include funding and margining costs into a risk-neutral pricing framework for counterparty credit risk. We consider realistic settings and we include in our models the common market practices suggested by the ISDA documentation without assuming restrictive constraints on margining proce…

The utility of Potential Future Exposure (PFE) for counterparty trading limits is being challenged by new market developments, notably widespread regulatory Initial Margin (using 99% 10-day exposure), and netting of trade and collateral flows. However PFE has pre-existing challenges w.r.t. portfolios/distributions, col…

Despite the phenomenal success of deep learning in recent years, there remains a gap in understanding the fundamental mechanics of neural nets. More research is focussed on handcrafting complex and larger networks, and the design decisions are often ad-hoc and based on intuition. Some recent research has aimed to demys…

We consider a general theory of curvatures of discrete surfaces equipped with edgewise parallel Gauss images, and where mean and Gaussian curvatures of faces are derived from the faces' areas and mixed areas. Remarkably these notions are capable of unifying notable previously defined classes of surfaces, such as discre…

An option market maker incurs funding costs when carrying and hedging inventory. To hedge a net long delta inventory, for example, she pays a fee to borrow stock from the securities lending market. Because of haircuts, she posts additional cash margin to the lender which needs to be financed at her unsecured debt rate.…

The use of CVA to cover credit risk is widely spread, but has its limitations. Namely, dealers face the problem of the illiquidity of instruments used for hedging it, hence forced to warehouse credit risk. As a result, dealers tend to offer a limited OTC derivatives market to highly risky counterparties. Consequently, …

New algorithm reduces neural net error in contextual bandits.

regvis.net offers a visual survey of regulatory visualization.

Hierarchical Bayesian networks and neural networks with stochastic hidden units are commonly perceived as two separate types of models. We show that either of these types of models can often be transformed into an instance of the other, by switching between centered and differentiable non-centered parameterizations of …

We investigate the supports of extremal martingale measures with pre-specified marginals in a two-period setting. First, we establish in full generality the equivalence between the extremality of a given measure $Q$ and the denseness in $L^1(Q)$ of a suitable linear subspace, which can be seen in a financial context as…

Study on how reparametrization affects neural nets' parameter spaces from a geometric perspective.

PAC-Net prunes deep models for better transfer learning.

Adversarial training is by far the most successful strategy for improving robustness of neural networks to adversarial attacks. Despite its success as a defense mechanism, adversarial training fails to generalize well to unperturbed test set. We hypothesize that this poor generalization is a consequence of adversarial …

Multiple kernel learning (MKL), structured sparsity, and multi-task learning have recently received considerable attention. In this paper, we show how different MKL algorithms can be understood as applications of either regularization on the kernel weights or block-norm-based regularization, which is more common in str…

GAMI-Net improves neural network interpretability while maintaining accuracy.

A new method for semi-supervised learning of sparse features using elastic-net.

This work reduces DIM computation costs by training neural networks on single MC paths.