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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,786 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for nested terms

New methods for estimating complex causal effects in econometrics.

problem Estimating causal parameters in short panel data models using nested nonparametric instrumental variable regression.
method Introducing techniques to limit ill-posedness in nested NPIV, providing explicit mean square rates and efficient inference.
result Explicit mean square rates for nested NPIV and efficient inference for causal parameters.

Many problems in machine learning and statistics involve nested expectations and thus do not permit conventional Monte Carlo (MC) estimation. For such problems, one must nest estimators, such that terms in an outer estimator themselves involve calculation of a separate, nested, estimation. We investigate the statistica…

2017-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for estimating treatment effects without complex propensity models.

problem Estimating treatment effects in dynamic treatment regimes.
method Recursive Riesz representer estimation for de-biasing corrections.
result Directly estimates de-biasing corrections without auxiliary models.

Nested Cavity Classifier (NCC) is a classification rule that pursues partitioning the feature space, in parallel coordinates, into convex hulls to build decision regions. It is claimed in some literatures that this geometric-based classifier is superior to many others, particularly in higher dimensions. First, we give …

2019-06-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Study cobordisms of nested manifolds and their invariants.

problem Understanding cobordisms of nested manifolds and their invariants.
method Identify a nested analog of the Pontryagin-Thom construction and find spaces homotopy equivalent to nested Pontryagin-Thom spaces.
result Discover nested cobordism invariants and provide an alternative proof of Wall's splitting result.

The paper decomposes probabilistic scores into reliability, uncertainty, and information loss.

problem Understanding the reliability and uncertainty of probabilistic predictions.
method Developed decomposition identities for proper losses, quantifying reliability, residual uncertainty, and information gain.
result A three-term identity for classification scores, revealing miscalibration, grouping term, and feature-level uncertainty.

Quantum algorithm speeds up nested expectation estimation by nearly quadratically.

problem Estimating repeatedly nested expectations with quantum computing.
method Proposes a quantum algorithm achieving nearly quadratic speedup over classical methods.
result Achieves nearly quadratic speedup for RNEs, up to logarithmic factors.

LSTMs and GRUs are the most common recurrent neural network architectures used to solve temporal sequence problems. The two architectures have differing data flows dealing with a common component called the cell state (also referred to as the memory). We attempt to enhance the memory by presenting a modification that w…

2018-08-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved nested simulation for financial risk measurement.

problem Efficiently estimating nested risk measures in financial engineering.
method Reusing inner simulation outputs to improve efficiency and accuracy.
result The proposed approach outperforms standard nested simulation and regression methods.

Let R be an o-minimal expansion of the real field, and let L(R) be the language consisting of all nested Rolle leaves over R. We call a set nested subpfaffian over R if it is the projection of a boolean combination of definable sets and nested Rolle leaves over R. Assuming that R admits analytic cell decomposition, we …

2006-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

New metrics using Laplace approximation improve Gaussian process model selection.

problem Finding a balance between model accuracy, interpretability, and simplicity.
method Introducing multiple metrics based on the Laplace approximation to evaluate Gaussian process models.
result Our metrics provide comparable performance to dynamic nested sampling but are significantly faster.

Nested model averaging improves high-dimensional linear regression performance.

problem High-dimensional linear regression with predictor ordering impact.
method Combining model averaging with regularized estimators on the solution path.
result Nested model averaging with lasso and SLOPE outperforms competing methods.

Gradient-guided nested sampling improves posterior inference efficiency.

problem Efficiently sampling from complex posterior distributions.
method Gradient-guided nested sampling combining differentiable programming, Hamiltonian slice sampling, clustering, mode separation, dynamic nested sampling, and parallelization.
result Significantly faster mode discovery and more accurate partition function estimates.

Nested Slice Sampling accelerates Nested Sampling for GPU acceleration.

problem Challenging inference for complex, multimodal targets.
method Vectorized Nested Slice Sampling using Hit-and-Run Slice Sampling.
result NSS maintains accurate evidence estimates and high-quality posterior samples, robust on multimodal problems.

New discrete cobordism category for nested manifolds and relations to algebraic structures.

problem Discrete cobordism category for nested manifolds.
method Stratified Morse theory, Cyl-objects, doubling construction, cylindrical bar construction.
result Relations between Cyl-objects and algebraic structures like Temperley-Lieb algebras.

NEST optimizes deep learning training by placing devices efficiently across networks and memory.

problem Inefficient device placement in distributed deep learning leads to high communication and memory overhead.
method NEST uses network-, compute-, and memory-aware dynamic programming to optimize device placement.
result NEST achieves up to 2.43 times higher throughput and better memory efficiency.

We propose doubly nested network(DNNet) where all neurons represent their own sub-models that solve the same task. Every sub-model is nested both layer-wise and channel-wise. While nesting sub-models layer-wise is straight-forward with deep-supervision as proposed in \cite{xie2015holistically}, channel-wise nesting has…

2018-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a new portfolio allocation method combining RMT and machine learning.

problem Optimal allocation instability in high-dimensional portfolios.
method Combines Random Matrix Theory covariance estimators with Nested Clustered Optimization.
result The modified NCO algorithm achieves stable allocations without risky short positions.

We formalize the notion of nesting probabilistic programming queries and investigate the resulting statistical implications. We demonstrate that while query nesting allows the definition of models which could not otherwise be expressed, such as those involving agents reasoning about other agents, existing systems take …

2018-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive model selection for RL with unknown function classes.

problem Model selection for RL with unknown function classes.
method Proposed adaptive algorithms that adapt to the smallest function class containing the true model.
result Cumulative regret matches that of an oracle with known function classes.

There is an increasing interest in estimating expectations outside of the classical inference framework, such as for models expressed as probabilistic programs. Many of these contexts call for some form of nested inference to be applied. In this paper, we analyse the behaviour of nested Monte Carlo (NMC) schemes, for w…

2016-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles robust model training with a new stochastic algorithm.

problem Training robust models against data distribution shift.
method Derives a novel dual formulation and proposes a nested stochastic gradient descent algorithm.
result Establishes polynomial iteration and sample complexities for large-scale DRO problems.

Time series data in the retail world are particularly rich in terms of dimensionality, and these dimensions can be aggregated in groups or hierarchies. Valuable information is nested in these complex structures, which helps to predict the aggregated time series data. From a portfolio of brands under HUUB's monitoring, …

2019-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

EENNs improve inference efficiency but need nested prediction sets for reliable uncertainty estimates.

problem Non-nested prediction sets from standard uncertainty quantification methods in EENNs.
method Introduced anytime-valid confidence sequences (AVCSs) tailored for EENNs.
result AVCSs generate nested prediction sets across EENN exits, addressing the issue of non-nested sets.

Paper tackles robust optimization under uncertainty using nested distance.

problem Optimizing under distributionally robust uncertainty with nested distance.
method Equivalent recursive and dynamic programming reformulations for tractable optimization.
result Optimal robust policies can be found efficiently using convex optimization.

New unbiased gradient estimators for complex optimization problems.

problem Unbiased and variance-limited gradient estimation for conditional stochastic optimization.
method Developed multilevel Monte Carlo gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization problems.
result Unbiased and finite variance gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization problems.

New estimator reduces nested expectation estimation costs.

problem Estimating repeatedly nested expectations is computationally expensive.
method Recursive Estimator for Arbitrary Depth (READ) using randomized multilevel Monte Carlo.
result Optimal computational cost of O(ε^(-2)) for every fixed D.

Improves test set performance and reduces out-of-sample disappointment for unstable models.

problem Ensuring strong test set performance via cross-validation for unstable models.
method Nested k-fold cross-validation with hyperparameter selection based on a weighted sum of cross-validation metric and model stability measure.
result Improves out-of-sample MSE for sparse ridge regression and CART by 4% and 2% respectively, compared to k-fold cross-validation.

We show that deliberately introducing a nested simulation stage can lead to significant variance reductions when comparing two stopping times by Monte Carlo. We derive the optimal number of nested simulations and prove that the algorithm is remarkably robust to misspecifications of this number. The method is applied to…

2014-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Nested dichotomies are used as a method of transforming a multiclass classification problem into a series of binary problems. A tree structure is induced that recursively splits the set of classes into subsets, and a binary classification model learns to discriminate between the two subsets of classes at each node. In …

2018-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

A system of nested dichotomies is a method of decomposing a multi-class problem into a collection of binary problems. Such a system recursively applies binary splits to divide the set of classes into two subsets, and trains a binary classifier for each split. Many methods have been proposed to perform this split, each …

2018-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a nested hierarchical Dirichlet process (nHDP) for hierarchical topic modeling. The nHDP is a generalization of the nested Chinese restaurant process (nCRP) that allows each word to follow its own path to a topic node according to a document-specific distribution on a shared tree. This alleviates the rigid, …

2013-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗