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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for nested problem

Improved nested simulation for financial risk measurement.

problem Efficiently estimating nested risk measures in financial engineering.
method Reusing inner simulation outputs to improve efficiency and accuracy.
result The proposed approach outperforms standard nested simulation and regression methods.

Many problems in machine learning and statistics involve nested expectations and thus do not permit conventional Monte Carlo (MC) estimation. For such problems, one must nest estimators, such that terms in an outer estimator themselves involve calculation of a separate, nested, estimation. We investigate the statistica…

2017-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient-guided nested sampling improves posterior inference efficiency.

problem Efficiently sampling from complex posterior distributions.
method Gradient-guided nested sampling combining differentiable programming, Hamiltonian slice sampling, clustering, mode separation, dynamic nested sampling, and parallelization.
result Significantly faster mode discovery and more accurate partition function estimates.

Paper tackles robust model training with a new stochastic algorithm.

problem Training robust models against data distribution shift.
method Derives a novel dual formulation and proposes a nested stochastic gradient descent algorithm.
result Establishes polynomial iteration and sample complexities for large-scale DRO problems.

Nested model averaging improves high-dimensional linear regression performance.

problem High-dimensional linear regression with predictor ordering impact.
method Combining model averaging with regularized estimators on the solution path.
result Nested model averaging with lasso and SLOPE outperforms competing methods.

Nested Slice Sampling accelerates Nested Sampling for GPU acceleration.

problem Challenging inference for complex, multimodal targets.
method Vectorized Nested Slice Sampling using Hit-and-Run Slice Sampling.
result NSS maintains accurate evidence estimates and high-quality posterior samples, robust on multimodal problems.

Nested dichotomies are used as a method of transforming a multiclass classification problem into a series of binary problems. A tree structure is induced that recursively splits the set of classes into subsets, and a binary classification model learns to discriminate between the two subsets of classes at each node. In …

2018-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New unbiased gradient estimators for complex optimization problems.

problem Unbiased and variance-limited gradient estimation for conditional stochastic optimization.
method Developed multilevel Monte Carlo gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization problems.
result Unbiased and finite variance gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization problems.

A system of nested dichotomies is a method of decomposing a multi-class problem into a collection of binary problems. Such a system recursively applies binary splits to divide the set of classes into two subsets, and trains a binary classifier for each split. Many methods have been proposed to perform this split, each …

2018-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New methods for estimating complex causal effects in econometrics.

problem Estimating causal parameters in short panel data models using nested nonparametric instrumental variable regression.
method Introducing techniques to limit ill-posedness in nested NPIV, providing explicit mean square rates and efficient inference.
result Explicit mean square rates for nested NPIV and efficient inference for causal parameters.

We propose doubly nested network(DNNet) where all neurons represent their own sub-models that solve the same task. Every sub-model is nested both layer-wise and channel-wise. While nesting sub-models layer-wise is straight-forward with deep-supervision as proposed in \cite{xie2015holistically}, channel-wise nesting has…

2018-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study cobordisms of nested manifolds and their invariants.

problem Understanding cobordisms of nested manifolds and their invariants.
method Identify a nested analog of the Pontryagin-Thom construction and find spaces homotopy equivalent to nested Pontryagin-Thom spaces.
result Discover nested cobordism invariants and provide an alternative proof of Wall's splitting result.

We show that deliberately introducing a nested simulation stage can lead to significant variance reductions when comparing two stopping times by Monte Carlo. We derive the optimal number of nested simulations and prove that the algorithm is remarkably robust to misspecifications of this number. The method is applied to…

2014-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles robust optimization under uncertainty using nested distance.

problem Optimizing under distributionally robust uncertainty with nested distance.
method Equivalent recursive and dynamic programming reformulations for tractable optimization.
result Optimal robust policies can be found efficiently using convex optimization.

New algorithm tackles nested bi-level optimization problems for robust feature learning.

problem Nested compositional bi-level optimization problems in machine learning.
method Stochastic approximation algorithms for solving nested compositional bi-level optimization problems without matrix inversions.
result Achieves an ε-stationary solution with an oracle complexity of approximately O_T(1/ε^2).

Quantum algorithm speeds up nested expectation estimation by nearly quadratically.

problem Estimating repeatedly nested expectations with quantum computing.
method Proposes a quantum algorithm achieving nearly quadratic speedup over classical methods.
result Achieves nearly quadratic speedup for RNEs, up to logarithmic factors.

New estimator reduces nested expectation estimation costs.

problem Estimating repeatedly nested expectations is computationally expensive.
method Recursive Estimator for Arbitrary Depth (READ) using randomized multilevel Monte Carlo.
result Optimal computational cost of O(ε^(-2)) for every fixed D.

In science and engineering, intelligent processing of complex signals such as images, sound or language is often performed by a parameterized hierarchy of nonlinear processing layers, sometimes biologically inspired. Hierarchical systems (or, more generally, nested systems) offer a way to generate complex mappings usin…

2012-12-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We study a stylized dynamic assortment planning problem during a selling season of finite length TT. At each time period, the seller offers an arriving customer an assortment of substitutable products and the customer makes the purchase among offered products according to a discrete choice model. The goal of the selle…

2018-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A new algorithm estimates VaR and ES for financial risks.

problem Estimating Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall for financial losses.
method Multilevel Stochastic Approximation (MLSA) scheme for nested stochastic approximation problems.
result Optimal complexities for VaR and ES estimation are derived.

Let R be an o-minimal expansion of the real field, and let L(R) be the language consisting of all nested Rolle leaves over R. We call a set nested subpfaffian over R if it is the projection of a boolean combination of definable sets and nested Rolle leaves over R. Assuming that R admits analytic cell decomposition, we …

2006-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes an efficient nested simulation design using likelihood ratio method.

problem Designing nested simulations with fixed outer scenarios and minimizing simulation effort.
method Proposes a bi-level optimization problem to decide inner replications and pooling strategies.
result Optimized design achieves $\cO(Γ^{-1})$ mean squared error of estimators.

Hidden variables are ubiquitous in practical data analysis, and therefore modeling marginal densities and doing inference with the resulting models is an important problem in statistics, machine learning, and causal inference. Recently, a new type of graphical model, called the nested Markov model, was developed which …

2013-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops new optimization techniques for decision-making under uncertainty.

problem Decision-making under uncertainty with complex cost functions and nested expectations.
method Introduces Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization (MCCO) and develops multilevel Monte Carlo techniques.
result New optimization techniques reduce scenario complexity from exponential to polynomial growth.

New discrete cobordism category for nested manifolds and relations to algebraic structures.

problem Discrete cobordism category for nested manifolds.
method Stratified Morse theory, Cyl-objects, doubling construction, cylindrical bar construction.
result Relations between Cyl-objects and algebraic structures like Temperley-Lieb algebras.

We investigate the problem of computing a nested expectation of the form P[E[XY] ⁣ ⁣0] ⁣= ⁣E[H(E[XY])]\mathbb{P}[\mathbb{E}[X|Y] \!\geq\!0]\!=\!\mathbb{E}[\textrm{H}(\mathbb{E}[X|Y])] where H\textrm{H} is the Heaviside function. This nested expectation appears, for example, when estimating the probability of a large loss from a financial portfo…

2018-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Simple algorithms identify best items or full rankings from choice-based feedback.

problem Learning to identify the best item or full ranking from choice-based feedback.
method Nested Elimination (NE) and Nested Partition (NP) algorithms.
result NE is worst-case asymptotically optimal, NP is optimal up to a constant factor.

We propose nested sequential Monte Carlo (NSMC), a methodology to sample from sequences of probability distributions, even where the random variables are high-dimensional. NSMC generalises the SMC framework by requiring only approximate, properly weighted, samples from the SMC proposal distribution, while still resulti…

2015-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes nested MLMC for SNPE with intractable likelihoods.

problem Estimating posterior distributions from intractable likelihoods.
method Nested MLMC for loss function and gradients, with convergence results.
result Effective methods for approximating complex multimodal posteriors.

Study quantifies performance gap between tensor and matrix-based approaches in nested matrix-tensor model.

problem Estimating a planted signal in a nested matrix-tensor model.
method Comparing tensor-based and matrix-based approaches for best rank-one approximation of tensor data.
result Derives precise algorithmic threshold for the unfolding approach and shows BBP-type transition behavior.

NEST optimizes deep learning training by placing devices efficiently across networks and memory.

problem Inefficient device placement in distributed deep learning leads to high communication and memory overhead.
method NEST uses network-, compute-, and memory-aware dynamic programming to optimize device placement.
result NEST achieves up to 2.43 times higher throughput and better memory efficiency.

New method for estimating treatment effects without complex propensity models.

problem Estimating treatment effects in dynamic treatment regimes.
method Recursive Riesz representer estimation for de-biasing corrections.
result Directly estimates de-biasing corrections without auxiliary models.

Proposes a method for explaining black-box models with nested feature attributions.

problem Making black-box models transparent and trustworthy.
method Model-agnostic local explanation method exploiting nested feature structure and consistency property.
result Accurate and consistent HiFAs and LoFAs estimated using fewer model queries.

We formalize the notion of nesting probabilistic programming queries and investigate the resulting statistical implications. We demonstrate that while query nesting allows the definition of models which could not otherwise be expressed, such as those involving agents reasoning about other agents, existing systems take …

2018-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗