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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3527051,0571,409 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for nested models

Nested model averaging improves high-dimensional linear regression performance.

problem High-dimensional linear regression with predictor ordering impact.
method Combining model averaging with regularized estimators on the solution path.
result Nested model averaging with lasso and SLOPE outperforms competing methods.

Let R be an o-minimal expansion of the real field, and let L(R) be the language consisting of all nested Rolle leaves over R. We call a set nested subpfaffian over R if it is the projection of a boolean combination of definable sets and nested Rolle leaves over R. Assuming that R admits analytic cell decomposition, we …

2006-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Nested Slice Sampling accelerates Nested Sampling for GPU acceleration.

problem Challenging inference for complex, multimodal targets.
method Vectorized Nested Slice Sampling using Hit-and-Run Slice Sampling.
result NSS maintains accurate evidence estimates and high-quality posterior samples, robust on multimodal problems.

We propose doubly nested network(DNNet) where all neurons represent their own sub-models that solve the same task. Every sub-model is nested both layer-wise and channel-wise. While nesting sub-models layer-wise is straight-forward with deep-supervision as proposed in \cite{xie2015holistically}, channel-wise nesting has…

2018-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study cobordisms of nested manifolds and their invariants.

problem Understanding cobordisms of nested manifolds and their invariants.
method Identify a nested analog of the Pontryagin-Thom construction and find spaces homotopy equivalent to nested Pontryagin-Thom spaces.
result Discover nested cobordism invariants and provide an alternative proof of Wall's splitting result.

NEST optimizes deep learning training by placing devices efficiently across networks and memory.

problem Inefficient device placement in distributed deep learning leads to high communication and memory overhead.
method NEST uses network-, compute-, and memory-aware dynamic programming to optimize device placement.
result NEST achieves up to 2.43 times higher throughput and better memory efficiency.

Paper tackles robust model training with a new stochastic algorithm.

problem Training robust models against data distribution shift.
method Derives a novel dual formulation and proposes a nested stochastic gradient descent algorithm.
result Establishes polynomial iteration and sample complexities for large-scale DRO problems.

Quantum algorithm speeds up nested expectation estimation by nearly quadratically.

problem Estimating repeatedly nested expectations with quantum computing.
method Proposes a quantum algorithm achieving nearly quadratic speedup over classical methods.
result Achieves nearly quadratic speedup for RNEs, up to logarithmic factors.

There is an increasing interest in estimating expectations outside of the classical inference framework, such as for models expressed as probabilistic programs. Many of these contexts call for some form of nested inference to be applied. In this paper, we analyse the behaviour of nested Monte Carlo (NMC) schemes, for w…

2016-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved nested simulation for financial risk measurement.

problem Efficiently estimating nested risk measures in financial engineering.
method Reusing inner simulation outputs to improve efficiency and accuracy.
result The proposed approach outperforms standard nested simulation and regression methods.

Nested dichotomies are used as a method of transforming a multiclass classification problem into a series of binary problems. A tree structure is induced that recursively splits the set of classes into subsets, and a binary classification model learns to discriminate between the two subsets of classes at each node. In …

2018-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New methods for estimating complex causal effects in econometrics.

problem Estimating causal parameters in short panel data models using nested nonparametric instrumental variable regression.
method Introducing techniques to limit ill-posedness in nested NPIV, providing explicit mean square rates and efficient inference.
result Explicit mean square rates for nested NPIV and efficient inference for causal parameters.

Many problems in machine learning and statistics involve nested expectations and thus do not permit conventional Monte Carlo (MC) estimation. For such problems, one must nest estimators, such that terms in an outer estimator themselves involve calculation of a separate, nested, estimation. We investigate the statistica…

2017-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

EENNs improve inference efficiency but need nested prediction sets for reliable uncertainty estimates.

problem Non-nested prediction sets from standard uncertainty quantification methods in EENNs.
method Introduced anytime-valid confidence sequences (AVCSs) tailored for EENNs.
result AVCSs generate nested prediction sets across EENN exits, addressing the issue of non-nested sets.

We formalize the notion of nesting probabilistic programming queries and investigate the resulting statistical implications. We demonstrate that while query nesting allows the definition of models which could not otherwise be expressed, such as those involving agents reasoning about other agents, existing systems take …

2018-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Hidden variables are ubiquitous in practical data analysis, and therefore modeling marginal densities and doing inference with the resulting models is an important problem in statistics, machine learning, and causal inference. Recently, a new type of graphical model, called the nested Markov model, was developed which …

2013-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a nested hierarchical Dirichlet process (nHDP) for hierarchical topic modeling. The nHDP is a generalization of the nested Chinese restaurant process (nCRP) that allows each word to follow its own path to a topic node according to a document-specific distribution on a shared tree. This alleviates the rigid, …

2013-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient-guided nested sampling improves posterior inference efficiency.

problem Efficiently sampling from complex posterior distributions.
method Gradient-guided nested sampling combining differentiable programming, Hamiltonian slice sampling, clustering, mode separation, dynamic nested sampling, and parallelization.
result Significantly faster mode discovery and more accurate partition function estimates.

Paper tackles robust optimization under uncertainty using nested distance.

problem Optimizing under distributionally robust uncertainty with nested distance.
method Equivalent recursive and dynamic programming reformulations for tractable optimization.
result Optimal robust policies can be found efficiently using convex optimization.

New discrete cobordism category for nested manifolds and relations to algebraic structures.

problem Discrete cobordism category for nested manifolds.
method Stratified Morse theory, Cyl-objects, doubling construction, cylindrical bar construction.
result Relations between Cyl-objects and algebraic structures like Temperley-Lieb algebras.

The data torrent unleashed by current and upcoming astronomical surveys demands scalable analysis methods. Many machine learning approaches scale well, but separating the instrument measurement from the physical effects of interest, dealing with variable errors, and deriving parameter uncertainties is often an after-th…

2017-07-14abs ↗pdf ↗

A system of nested dichotomies is a method of decomposing a multi-class problem into a collection of binary problems. Such a system recursively applies binary splits to divide the set of classes into two subsets, and trains a binary classifier for each split. Many methods have been proposed to perform this split, each …

2018-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for efficient nested Monte Carlo simulations in financial modeling.

problem Computational challenges in nested stochastic modeling for financial risk assessment.
method Sample recycling approach to speed up inner loop estimations.
result Significantly more efficient than traditional techniques.

Proposes a method for explaining black-box models with nested feature attributions.

problem Making black-box models transparent and trustworthy.
method Model-agnostic local explanation method exploiting nested feature structure and consistency property.
result Accurate and consistent HiFAs and LoFAs estimated using fewer model queries.

We study a stylized dynamic assortment planning problem during a selling season of finite length TT. At each time period, the seller offers an arriving customer an assortment of substitutable products and the customer makes the purchase among offered products according to a discrete choice model. The goal of the selle…

2018-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Study quantifies performance gap between tensor and matrix-based approaches in nested matrix-tensor model.

problem Estimating a planted signal in a nested matrix-tensor model.
method Comparing tensor-based and matrix-based approaches for best rank-one approximation of tensor data.
result Derives precise algorithmic threshold for the unfolding approach and shows BBP-type transition behavior.

This paper uses Nested Sampling to improve Gaussian Process uncertainty quantification.

problem Underestimating predictive uncertainty and overfitting in Gaussian Process models.
method Marginalises hyperparameters using Nested Sampling for spectral mixture kernels.
result Improves predictive performance and uncertainty quantification across various data sets.

We develop a nested hierarchical Dirichlet process (nHDP) for hierarchical topic modeling. The nHDP is a generalization of the nested Chinese restaurant process (nCRP) that allows each word to follow its own path to a topic node according to a document-specific distribution on a shared tree. This alleviates the rigid, …

2012-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for estimating treatment effects without complex propensity models.

problem Estimating treatment effects in dynamic treatment regimes.
method Recursive Riesz representer estimation for de-biasing corrections.
result Directly estimates de-biasing corrections without auxiliary models.

Unified GP model optimizes hyperparameters with conditional dependence.

problem Efficient tuning of hyperparameters in neural networks.
method Unified Bayesian optimization framework based on a new Gaussian process (GP) model.
result Higher prediction accuracy and better optimization efficiency observed.

New unbiased gradient estimators for complex optimization problems.

problem Unbiased and variance-limited gradient estimation for conditional stochastic optimization.
method Developed multilevel Monte Carlo gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization problems.
result Unbiased and finite variance gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization problems.

New metrics using Laplace approximation improve Gaussian process model selection.

problem Finding a balance between model accuracy, interpretability, and simplicity.
method Introducing multiple metrics based on the Laplace approximation to evaluate Gaussian process models.
result Our metrics provide comparable performance to dynamic nested sampling but are significantly faster.