arXiv research

The interest rates (or nominal yields) can be negative, this is an unavoidable fact which has already been visible during the Great Depression (1929-39). Nowadays we can find negative rates easily by e.g. auditing. Several theoretical and practical ideas how to model and eventually overcome empirical negative rates can…

We argue that a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) can be an effect tool for macroeconomic stabilization. We first discuss how implementing negative rates on reserves held at a central bank does not pose any theoretical difficulty, with a reduction in rates operating in exactly the same way when rates are positive or…

Paper defines when early exercise of American options is optimal under negative rates.

Two sweeps of the Brennan-Schwartz algorithm solve American options under negative rates.

Negative momentum accelerates convergence in minimax games but at a suboptimal rate.

Proposes a new model for negative interest rates that fits market data closely.

Proposes a new model to handle negative interest rates using CIR framework.

For environmental problems such as global warming future costs must be balanced against present costs. This is traditionally done using an exponential function with a constant discount rate, which reduces the present value of future costs. The result is highly sensitive to the choice of discount rate and has generated …

In the present paper, we investigate the optimal capital injection behaviour of an insurance company if the interest rate is allowed to become negative. The surplus process of the considered insurance entity is assumed to follow a Brownian motion with drift. The changes in the interest rate are described via a Markov-s…

Paper examines floating exercise boundaries for American options in time-inhomogeneous models.

Study optimizes dividend payout strategies under fluctuating interest rates.

Study controls error rates of binary classifiers using hypothesis testing.

The study shows interest rates impact investment and funding negatively but positively on dividend decisions.

Paper proposes MS-k-NN for improved convergence rate in k-NN classification.

Unified framework for structured principal subspace estimation with bounds and rates.

Given for instance a finite volume negatively curved Riemannian manifold $M$, we give a precise relation between the logarithmic growth rates of the excursions into cusps neighborhoods of the strong unstable leaves of negatively recurrent unit vectors of $M$ and their linear divergence rates under the geodesic flow. As…

We consider the online one-class collaborative filtering (CF) problem that consists of recommending items to users over time in an online fashion based on positive ratings only. This problem arises when users respond only occasionally to a recommendation with a positive rating, and never with a negative one. We study t…

High future discounting rates favor inaction on present expending while lower rates advise for a more immediate political action. A possible approach to this key issue in global economy is to take historical time series for nominal interest rates and inflation, and to construct then real interest rates and finally obta…

Learning rates in stochastic neural network training are currently determined a priori to training, using expensive manual or automated iterative tuning. This study proposes gradient-only line searches to resolve the learning rate for neural network training algorithms. Stochastic sub-sampling during training decreases…

This paper, focusing on the growth rate of the measure, gives pointwise bounds of solutions of eigenvalue equations of the Laplace-Beltrami operator on noncompact Riemannian manifolds.

Conventional collaborative filtering techniques treat a top-n recommendations problem as a task of generating a list of the most relevant items. This formulation, however, disregards an opposite - avoiding recommendations with completely irrelevant items. Due to that bias, standard algorithms, as well as commonly used …

In this paper we develop a framework for discretely compounding interest rates which is based on the forward price process approach. This approach has a number of advantages, in particular in the current market environment. Compared to the classical as well as the Lévy Libor market model, it allows in a natural way for…

The aim of this paper is to provide some theoretical understanding of quasi-Bayesian aggregation methods non-negative matrix factorization. We derive an oracle inequality for an aggregated estimator. This result holds for a very general class of prior distributions and shows how the prior affects the rate of convergenc…

In this paper we study perpetual American call and put options in an exponential Lévy model. We consider a negative effective discount rate which arises in a number of financial applications including stock loans and real options, where the strike price can potentially grow at a higher rate than the original discount f…

This paper studies a class of optimal multiple stopping problems driven by Lévy processes. Our model allows for a negative effective discount rate, which arises in a number of financial applications, including stock loans and real options, where the strike price can potentially grow at a higher rate than the original d…

In this article we use rate-distortion theory, a branch of information theory devoted to the problem of lossy compression, to shed light on an important problem in latent variable modeling of data: is there room to improve the model? One way to address this question is to find an upper bound on the probability (equival…

AdaDetectGPT improves text authorship detection with statistical guarantees.

Social media systems rely on user feedback and rating mechanisms for personalization, ranking, and content filtering. However, when users evaluate content contributed by fellow users (e.g., by liking a post or voting on a comment), these evaluations create complex social feedback effects. This paper investigates how ra…

A new metric, Weighted Regret, unifies FDR and power evaluation in online multiple testing.

The paper analyzes GMWB annuities in low interest rate environments.

Bitcoin reacts negatively to inflation surprises, contrary to belief.

Optimal estimates for spectral projection norms on compact manifolds.

Interpretable text-response modelling for structured outcomes

Empirical study on long-term discount rates using historical bond prices.

Study on $k$-surfaces in negatively curved 3-manifolds, focusing on energy and entropy.

Non-negative matrix factorization models based on a hierarchical Gamma-Poisson structure capture user and item behavior effectively in extremely sparse data sets, making them the ideal choice for collaborative filtering applications. Hierarchical Poisson factorization (HPF) in particular has proved successful for scala…

Given an associative 3-fold in R^7 which is asymptotically conical with generic rate less than 1, we show that its moduli space of deformations is locally homeomorphic to the kernel of a smooth map between smooth manifolds. Moreover, the virtual dimension of the moduli space is computed and shown to be non-negative for…

A simple strategy prevents negative transfer in transfer learning.

Studies of wealth inequality often assume that an observed wealth distribution reflects a system in equilibrium. This constraint is rarely tested empirically. We introduce a simple model that allows equilibrium but does not assume it. To geometric Brownian motion (GBM) we add reallocation: all individuals contribute in…

This paper analyzes optimal stopping regions for American options with Poisson exercise opportunities.

We consider the problem of learning a non-negative linear classifier with a $1$-norm of at most $k$, and a fixed threshold, under the hinge-loss. This problem generalizes the problem of learning a $k$-monotone disjunction. We prove that we can learn efficiently in this setting, at a rate which is linear in both $k$ and…

The paper explores growth rates and Perron numbers in Coxeter systems with low-dimensional Davis complexes.

Bayesian model improves categorization of explosions from sparse data.

The study examines the geometry of $Q$-curvature and its associated functions.

Effects of randomness on non-integer power law tails in multiplicatively interacting stochastic processes are investigated theoretically. Generally, randomness causes decrease of the exponent of tails and the growth rate of processes. Explicit calculations are performed for two examples: uniformly distributed and two p…

Although the word-popularity based negative sampler has shown superb performance in the skip-gram model, the theoretical motivation behind oversampling popular (non-observed) words as negative samples is still not well understood. In this paper, we start from an investigation of the gradient vanishing issue in the skip…

It is well known that the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) stochastic model to study the term structure of interest rates, as introduced in 1985, is inadequate for modelling the current market environment with negative short interest rates. Moreover, the diffusion term in the rate dynamics goes to zero when short rates are sma…

Kernel methods identify treatment effects with unobserved confounding using negative controls.