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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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105209314418 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for natural variation

Variational inference transforms posterior inference into parametric optimization thereby enabling the use of latent variable models where otherwise impractical. However, variational inference can be finicky when different variational parameters control variables that are strongly correlated under the model. Traditiona…

2019-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Square-root natural-gradient improves variational inference convergence.

problem Challenges in establishing theoretical convergence guarantees for natural-gradient descent.
method Square-root parameterization for Gaussian covariance.
result Establishes novel convergence guarantees for natural-gradient Gaussian inference.

NVA combines variational posteriors, annealing, and natural-gradient learning for multimodal optimization.

problem Finding multiple global and local modes in nonconvex objectives.
method NVA integrates variational posteriors, annealing, and natural-gradient learning.
result NVA outperforms gradient descent and evolution strategies on simulations and real-world problems.

A new optimization algorithm for Gaussian Variational Inference on precision matrices.

problem Complex models with positive definite constraints on covariance matrices.
method Manifold Gaussian Variational Bayes (MGVBP) with natural gradient updates.
result Empirically validated as a feasible and efficient solution for VI in complex models.

Variational Bayesian neural networks combine the flexibility of deep learning with Bayesian uncertainty estimation. However, inference procedures for flexible variational posteriors are computationally expensive. A recently proposed method, noisy natural gradient, is a surprisingly simple method to fit expressive poste…

2018-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes model-based robust deep learning to handle natural variation in data.

problem Deep learning's fragility to natural variation in data.
method Develops model-based robust training algorithms using deep generative models to learn natural variation.
result Deep neural networks trained with model-based algorithms outperform standard and norm-bounded robust algorithms.

Variational Bayesian neural nets combine the flexibility of deep learning with Bayesian uncertainty estimation. Unfortunately, there is a tradeoff between cheap but simple variational families (e.g.~fully factorized) or expensive and complicated inference procedures. We show that natural gradient ascent with adaptive w…

2017-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This work proposes a new method for variational inference using Wasserstein gradient descent.

problem Optimizing variational parameters to match a true posterior distribution.
method Reinterpreting VI as an optimization problem over a variational parameter space, using Wasserstein gradient descent.
result The proposed Wasserstein gradient descent can be seen as a generalization of existing optimization techniques in VI.

When a gauge-natural invariant variational principle is assigned, to determine {\em canonical} covariant conservation laws, the vertical part of gauge-natural lifts of infinitesimal principal automorphisms -- defining infinitesimal variations of sections of gauge-natural bundles -- must satisfy generalized Jacobi equat…

2004-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

QBVI uses natural gradients for efficient Bayesian learning.

problem Efficient Bayesian learning in complex models.
method Natural gradient updates in a black-box framework for exponential-family distributions.
result QBVI framework is effective for a wide range of Bayesian inference problems.

Unified perspective on natural gradient methods for GMMs, improving variational inference.

problem Efficiently learning multi-modal approximations of complex distributions.
method Comparison and optimization of VIPS and iBayes-GMM methods for Gaussian mixture models.
result Hybrid approach significantly outperforms both VIPS and iBayes-GMM.

Improves understanding of stochastic NGVI convergence rates.

problem Lack of knowledge about non-asymptotic convergence rates in stochastic NGVI.
method Proved non-asymptotic convergence rates for conjugate likelihoods and showed implicit optimization for non-conjugate likelihoods.
result First O(1T)\mathcal{O}(\frac{1}{T}) non-asymptotic convergence rate for stochastic NGVI in conjugate likelihoods.

New method approximates diffusion process posteriors using moment functions.

problem Approximating posteriors of stochastic differential equations.
method Constructs variational process as controlled prior, approximates posterior with moment functions, uses natural gradient descent.
result Richer variational approximations for state-dependent diffusion terms.

Recent efforts on combining deep models with probabilistic graphical models are promising in providing flexible models that are also easy to interpret. We propose a variational message-passing algorithm for variational inference in such models. We make three contributions. First, we propose structured inference network…

2018-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

In the classical Lagrangian approach to conservation laws of gauge-natural field theories a suitable (vector) density is known to generate the so--called {\em conserved Noether currents}. It turns out that along any section of the relevant gauge--natural bundle this density is the divergence of a skew--symmetric (tenso…

2003-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce the fibred toric varieties as equivariant CPr\mathbb{C}P^r bundles over lower dimensional toric varieties. An equivalent characterization is that the natural morphisms on them degenerate to bundle projections in the context of variation of toric varieties as GIT quotients. Our main observation is that these…

2010-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficient spatio-temporal Gaussian process inference method.

problem Scalable Gaussian process inference for multivariate, spatio-temporal data.
method Combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a scalable non-conjugate GP method.
result Linear scaling with respect to time and logarithmic scaling with respect to time steps.

Proposes an alternative method to train RBMs with binary synapses using Bayesian learning rule.

problem Training RBMs with binary synapses is challenging due to discrete nature of synapses.
method Proposes an alternative optimization method using the Bayesian learning rule, updating natural parameters instead of expectation parameters.
result No additional clipping is needed as natural parameters take values in the entire real domain.

In this paper we obtain natural boundary conditions for a large class of variational problems with free boundary values. In comparison with the already existing examples, our framework displays complete freedom concerning the topology of YY, the manifold of dependent and independent variables underlying a given proble…

2013-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

New model predicts energy prices volatility by smoothing time variation and persistence.

problem Separate study of volatility's time variation and persistence.
method Dynamic persistence model that allows shocks with heterogeneous persistence to vary smoothly over time.
result Significantly improves volatility forecasts over state-of-the-art models.

A reductive structure is associated here with Lagrangian canonically defined conserved quantities on gauge-natural bundles. Parametrized transformations defined by the gauge-natural lift of infinitesimal principal automorphisms induce a variational sequence such that the generalized Jacobi morphism is naturally self-ad…

2007-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method uses natural gradients for efficient distribution optimization.

problem Challenges in computing natural gradients for many distributions.
method Reframe optimization as a surrogate distribution with easy natural gradient computation.
result Expands set of distributions efficiently targetable with natural gradients.

Variational reduction simplifies Lagrangian systems with scaling symmetries.

problem Simplifying Lagrangian systems with scaling symmetries.
method Defining a variational reduction procedure for homogenous Lagrangian systems.
result Reconstructing trajectories from critical points of reduced variational principle.

New natural presentation of supergravity c-map using Hodge structures.

problem Presenting a new natural presentation of the supergravity c-map.
method Explicit description of correspondence between projective special Kähler manifolds and variations of Hodge structure, and twist construction.
result General isomorphisms can be naturally lifted along the deformed c-map.

We present a simple case study, demonstrating that Variational Information Bottleneck (VIB) can improve a network's classification calibration as well as its ability to detect out-of-distribution data. Without explicitly being designed to do so, VIB gives two natural metrics for handling and quantifying uncertainty.

2018-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Study variation spaces for neural networks, linking them to approximation theory.

problem Understanding the variation spaces of shallow neural networks.
method Examined variation spaces defined by convex hulls and integral representations for a dictionary of functions.
result Found that Barron space, spectral Barron space, and Radon BV space are variation spaces for certain neural networks.

New algorithm for continuous-time switching systems using variational inference.

problem Inference in time-series data with continuous-time switching systems.
method Developed a variational inference algorithm combining Gaussian process approximation and posterior inference for Markov jump processes.
result Bayesian latent state estimates and point estimates of unknown parameters for arbitrary points on the real axis.