The paper defines MTCov for skewed elliptical distributions.
problem No specific problem stated, but dealing with skewed elliptical distributions.
method Defined MTCov for generalized skew-elliptical distributions and compared with skewed and non-skewed normal distributions.
result Special formula for MTCov of generalized skew-elliptical distributions.
The paper calculates moments and conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.
problem Estimating moments and tail conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.
method Derives explicit expressions for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks for generalized skew-elliptical distributions.
result Explicit formulas for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks are derived for various skewed elliptical distributions.
EP method speeds up Bayesian probit regression in high dimensions.
problem Computational challenges in high-dimensional Bayesian probit regression.
method Adapting EP approximation to multivariate Gaussian prior and skew-normal distribution.
result EP routine is computationally feasible in high-dimensional settings.
Improves sequential recommendation with relation-aware self-attention.
problem Improving accuracy in sequential recommendation.
method Integrates Transformer's self-attention mechanism with a probabilistic model of recommendation context.
result Significant improvements over recent baseline models.
Optimizes recommendation models using skew normal distribution.
problem Improving personalized recommendation systems.
method Develops a new optimization criterion based on skew normal distribution.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art models.
Under a generalized skew normal distribution we consider the problem of European option pricing. Existence of the martingale measure is proved. An explicit expression for a given European option price is presented in terms of the cumulative distribution function of the univariate skew normal and the bivariate standard …
The paper improves asset allocation using a skew-normal distribution in the Black-Litterman model.
problem Improving asset allocation under skewed return distributions.
method Using the Black-Litterman model with hidden truncation skew-normal distribution and Simaan's three-moment risk model.
result Optimal portfolios have less risk and higher skewness compared to classical BL model.
The paper analyzes skewness and kurtosis measures for skew-elliptical distributions.
problem Examining skewness and kurtosis measures for skew-elliptical distributions.
method Deriving exact expressions for skewness and kurtosis measures for skew-elliptical distributions, constructing test statistics, and comparing measures through simulations and real data analysis.
result Exact expressions and test statistics for skewness and kurtosis measures for various skew-elliptical distributions.
Efficient EP algorithm improves smoothing distribution inference in financial models.
problem Computational intractability of smoothing distribution in high dimensions.
method Adapted expectation propagation (EP) algorithms for the unified skew-normal family.
result Accuracy gains in financial illustrations over existing approximate algorithms.
New conjugate priors improve Bayesian inference for multinomial probit models.
problem Lack of tractable conjugate priors for efficient Bayesian inference in multinomial probit models.
method Unified skew-normal (SUN) distributions as conjugate priors, leading to improved posterior inference and classification.
result Improved computational methods for posterior inference and classification, especially in high dimensions.
SkewPNN uses probabilistic neural networks with skew-normal kernels to improve classification of imbalanced data.
problem Imbalanced data distribution leading to biased predictions for minority classes.
method Probabilistic neural networks with skew-normal kernel function and Bat optimization algorithm for hyperparameter tuning.
result SkewPNN and BA-SkewPNN outperform other methods in both balanced and imbalanced datasets.
Researchers develop a new spatial process model for non-Gaussian data.
problem Non-Gaussian spatial data with asymmetry and heavy-tailedness.
method Re-parameterized Unified Skew-Normal (SUN) distribution, GSUN process, neural Bayes inference with GATs.
result GSUN process captures non-Gaussian spatial data properties and outperforms conventional models.
Unified Skew-Gaussian process framework for various regression and classification tasks.
problem Handling multiple types of regression and classification problems.
method Generalization of Skew-Gaussian processes to handle various types of data and likelihoods.
result Closed-form posterior distributions for multiple tasks.
Skew Gaussian Processes improve classification performance by allowing asymmetry.
problem Limited use of Gaussian processes in applications requiring asymmetry.
method Propose Skew-Gaussian processes (SkewGPs) as a non-parametric prior over functions, extending the multivariate Unified Skew-Normal distribution to stochastic processes.
result SkewGPs provide better performance than symmetric Gaussian processes in classification tasks.
Proposes a new model for clustering with heavier tails.
problem Clustering with heavy-tailed data.
method Finite mixture of skewed sub-Gaussian stable distributions, maximum likelihood estimation, EM algorithm.
result The proposed model can robustly handle heavy-tailed data.
SkewD robustly discovers causal relationships in skewed noise models.
problem Distinguishing cause from effect in skewed noise models.
method SkewD extends normal-distribution framework to skew-normal setting for reliable inference.
result SkewD remains robust under high skewness, improving reliability.
We characterize convolutional neural networks with respect to the relative amount of features per layer. Using a skew normal distribution as a parametrized framework, we investigate the common assumption of monotonously increasing feature-counts with higher layers of architecture designs. Our evaluation on models with …
Motivated by the need for parametric families of rich and yet tractable distributions in financial mathematics, both in pricing and risk management settings, but also considering wider statistical applications, we investigate a novel technique for introducing skewness or kurtosis into a symmetric or other distribution.…
As all physical adaptive quantum-enhanced metrology schemes operate under noisy conditions with only partially understood noise characteristics, so a practical control policy must be robust even for unknown noise. We aim to devise a test to evaluate the robustness of AQEM policies and assess the resource used by the po…
This paper studies identifiability and convergence behaviors for parameters of multiple types in finite mixtures, and the effects of model fitting with extra mixing components. First, we present a general theory for strong identifiability, which extends from the previous work of Nguyen [2013] and Chen [1995] to address…
Paper develops Bayesian inference for discrete-choice mnp models with Gaussian priors.
problem Estimating parameters of discrete-choice multinomial probit models with Gaussian priors.
method Adapts Fasano and Durante's results to a specific mnp model with zero mean and independent Gaussian priors, simplifying posterior distribution parameters and providing a new variational algorithm.
result Simplified expressions for posterior distribution parameters and a novel variational algorithm.
This paper uses multivariate probability models to assess financial system risks.
problem Assessing systemic risk in financial systems.
method Computes multivariate conditional probability distributions for elliptical distributions, focusing on Student-t and Normal models.
result Proposes measures of stress impact and systemic risk.
The paper provides exact multivariate amplitude distributions for non-stationary Gaussian or algebraic fluctuations.
problem Capturing the statistical properties of fluctuating correlations in non-stationary systems.
method Developed a random matrix model to average multivariate amplitude distributions from short time scales to large time scales.
result Explicit multivariate distributions for non-stationary correlation systems are provided, capturing the degree of non-stationarity.
The paper uses Fourier integral theorem for estimating multivariate distributions.
problem Estimating multivariate distributions and conditional distribution functions.
method Natural Monte Carlo and fully nonparametric estimators based on Fourier integral theorem.
result Explicit Monte Carlo estimators without estimated covariance matrix.
In this paper, we consider the multivariate Bernoulli distribution as a model to estimate the structure of graphs with binary nodes. This distribution is discussed in the framework of the exponential family, and its statistical properties regarding independence of the nodes are demonstrated. Importantly the model can e…
Singularities of a statistical model are the elements of the model's parameter space which make the corresponding Fisher information matrix degenerate. These are the points for which estimation techniques such as the maximum likelihood estimator and standard Bayesian procedures do not admit the root-n parametric rate…
New scoring rules for multivariate distributions and level sets.
problem Evaluating forecast accuracy for multivariate distributions and level sets.
method Theoretical framework for scoring rules, decomposition of multivariate scoring functions, numerical algorithm for computation.
result New scoring functions for multivariate distributions and level sets, including density and cumulative distribution level sets.
Unified derivation of stochastic order conditions for elliptical distributions.
problem Classifying multivariate elliptical distributions based on stochastic orders.
method Established an identity for comparing expectations of functions of elliptical vectors and used it to derive conditions for stochastic orders.
result Unified derivation of conditions for various stochastic orders in multivariate elliptical distributions.
The univariate piecing-together approach (PT) fits a univariate generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) to the upper tail of a given distribution function in a continuous manner. We propose a multivariate extension. First it is shown that an arbitrary copula is in the domain of attraction of a multivariate extreme value …
The Poisson distribution has been widely studied and used for modeling univariate count-valued data. Multivariate generalizations of the Poisson distribution that permit dependencies, however, have been far less popular. Yet, real-world high-dimensional count-valued data found in word counts, genomics, and crime statis…
Study analyzes stock market correlations using multivariate distributions.
problem Capturing the correlation structure of complex, non-stationary systems.
method Applied Random Matrix Model to empirical data of 479 US stocks.
result Described and quantified changes in empirical distributions due to non-stationarity.
A new random forest method for multivariate distributions.
problem Estimating complex multivariate distributions with heterogeneity.
method A novel splitting criterion based on MMD for multivariate responses.
result Estimates full conditional distribution for arbitrary targets.
Characterizes symmetric Bernoulli distributions with minimal convex sums.
problem Understanding minimal dependence among Bernoulli random vectors.
method Geometric and algebraic representations of multivariate symmetric Bernoulli distributions.
result Characterizes extremal negative dependence and builds minimal dependence copulas.
Regularizes ML algorithms for robust multivariate analysis against distribution shifts.
problem Ensuring robustness of multivariate analysis algorithms against distribution shifts.
method Integrates a causal regularisation term into the loss function of multivariate analysis algorithms.
result Demonstrates improved out-of-distribution generalisation with reduced-rank regression and partial least squares.
New algorithms for multivariate RL improve decision-making in complex systems.
problem Complex multi-objective decision-making in reinforcement learning.
method Oracle-free and computationally-tractable algorithms for multivariate distributional RL.
result Convergence rates match scalar reward settings and provide insights into reward dimensionality.
Method estimates multivariate counterfactual distributions efficiently and accurately.
problem Estimating multivariate counterfactual distributions in causal models with correlation structures.
method Proposes a method leveraging a one-dimensional subspace to capture correlation structures and efficiently estimate multivariate counterfactual distributions.
result Demonstrates superior performance over existing methods on synthetic and real-world data.
A new method tracks market performance without active management.
problem Active portfolio management does not outperform benchmarks.
method Developed a hybrid PCA-based tracking portfolio strategy.
result The hybrid PCA strategy outperforms optimization-based approaches.
An analytic solution for asset allocation with Laplace distribution.
problem Asset allocation with multivariate Laplace distribution.
method Specialization of elliptically symmetric distribution theory to Laplace distribution, accounting for dimensionality and variance rescaling.
result A result consistent with conjecture but with differences due to omitted term and rescaling.
We exploit the link between the transport equation and derivatives of expectations to construct efficient pathwise gradient estimators for multivariate distributions. We focus on two main threads. First, we use null solutions of the transport equation to construct adaptive control variates that can be used to construct…
Circular variables arise in a multitude of data-modelling contexts ranging from robotics to the social sciences, but they have been largely overlooked by the machine learning community. This paper partially redresses this imbalance by extending some standard probabilistic modelling tools to the circular domain. First w…
Bayesian DDR models complex multivariate distributions.
problem Modeling relationships between multivariate distributions with differing dimensions.
method Generalized Bayesian framework using sliced Wasserstein distance and MALA for inference.
result Posterior consistency and robust fits demonstrated in simulations and real data.
Characterizes connections on multivariate normal distributions.
problem Characterizing connections on statistical manifold of multivariate normal distributions.
method Analyzes statistical manifold (N,gF,ablaA,ablaA∗) of multivariate normal distributions. result The Amari-Chentsov connection ablaA is characterized by conjugate symmetry. A new approach for pricing FX options that uses a single model for all markets.
problem Consistent pricing of FX options across different markets.
method Intermediate currency approach, calibrating to domestic market volatility smile.
result Model automatically reproduces correct foreign market volatility smiles.
Combines MCTM and NF for flexible multivariate density regression with interpretable marginals.
problem Difficult interpretation of flexible NF models and limitations of MCTM in flexibility.
method Hybrid approach combining MCTM for interpretable marginals and NF for complex joint distributions.
result Demonstrates versatility and improved performance compared to MCTM and other NF models.
Process capability index (PCI) is a commonly used statistic to measure ability of a process to operate within the given specifications or to produce products which meet the required quality specifications. PCI can be univariate or multivariate depending upon the number of process specifications or quality characteristi…
New method for multivariate distribution regression using NPT metric.
problem Regression with multivariate distributional responses and Euclidean predictors.
method Fréchet regression with nonparanormal transport (NPT) metric.
result Efficient estimation and granular interpretation of predictor effects.
TSRGA scales multivariate linear regression for feature-distributed data.
problem Multivariate linear regression for feature-distributed data with high dimensions and many computing nodes.
method Two-stage relaxed greedy algorithm (TSRGA) for multivariate linear regression.
result TSRGA is highly scalable and can yield low-rank coefficient estimates.
Proposes MVG-CRPS for robust multivariate forecasting.
problem Outliers in multivariate forecasting lead to significant errors.
method Integrates CRPS for MVG distributions, optimizing with MVG-CRPS.
result Improves robustness, accuracy, and uncertainty quantification.