The multivariate Alexander module of a link L has several subsets that admit quandle operations defined using the module operations. One of them, the fundamental multivariate Alexander quandle, determines the link module sequence of L.
New asymptotics found for multivariate sequences with a pole.
problem Discontinuous drop in exponential growth rate for multivariate generating functions.
method Homology computations on algebraic varieties, topological explanations, symbolic algebraic computation.
result Explicit determination of dominant asymptotics for multivariate generating functions.
GGP models multivariate time series with latent sub-sequences for diverse behaviors.
problem Modeling multivariate time series with diverse behaviors and patterns.
method Graph Gamma Process (GGP) linear dynamical systems with latent sub-sequences.
result GGP models exhibit good predictive performance and reveal interpretable latent patterns.
Spacetimeformer learns spatiotemporal relationships from data alone.
problem Forecasting multivariate time series with distinct spatial relationships.
method Transformers with dynamic graph connections learning interactions between space, time, and value.
result Competitive results on various time series prediction benchmarks.
The study forecasts, reconstructs, and selects features of ocean waves using neural networks.
problem Forecasting, reconstructing, and feature selection of ocean waves.
method Recurrent and sequence-to-sequence neural networks, Bayesian hyperparameter optimization, Elastic Net method.
result Proposed methods outperform alternatives in significant wave height reconstruction.
Study develops advanced models to forecast complex LOB data.
problem Forecasting high-frequency data in a limit order book (LOB).
method Advanced multidimensional sequence-to-sequence models with compound multivariate embedding.
result Method outperforms other multivariate forecasting methods, achieving lowest forecasting error.
Proposes MVG-CRPS for robust multivariate forecasting.
problem Outliers in multivariate forecasting lead to significant errors.
method Integrates CRPS for MVG distributions, optimizing with MVG-CRPS.
result Improves robustness, accuracy, and uncertainty quantification.
MQF2 forecasts multivariate quantiles globally.
problem Forecasting multi-horizon dependencies with error accumulation.
method Multivariate quantile function using input-convex neural networks.
result MQF2 avoids quantile crossing and captures time dependency. FineMorphs models smooth transformations for multivariate regression.
problem Efficiently modeling complex transformations for multivariate regression.
method Optimal control of affine and diffeomorphic transformations using smooth vector fields.
result FineMorphs can reduce dimensionality and adapt to large datasets.
Flexible models cluster RNA sequencing data.
problem Clustering discrete data from RNA sequencing studies.
method Finite mixtures of multivariate Poisson-log normal factor analyzers with constraints.
result Models give favorable clustering performance on real and simulated data.
Study the relationship between canonical polynomials and elliptic sequences for elliptic singularities.
problem Understanding the relationship between canonical polynomials and elliptic sequences for elliptic singularities.
method An inductive setup of elliptic germs and comparison of their canonical polynomials.
result The exponents of the canonical polynomial determine the elliptic sequence and vice versa under certain conditions.
AverageTime uses simple averaging to enhance long-term time series forecasting.
problem Long-term time series forecasting with improved intra-sequence and cross-channel dependencies.
method Proposes AverageTime, a simple, efficient, and scalable forecasting model that reframes channel extraction as a stackable architecture.
result AverageTime surpasses state-of-the-art models in forecasting performance with near-linear complexity.
In multivariate regression, a K-dimensional response vector is regressed upon a common set of p covariates, with a matrix B∗∈Rp×K of regression coefficients. We study the behavior of the multivariate group Lasso, in which block regularization based on the ℓ1/ℓ2 norm is used for supp…
EagleEye detects localized density anomalies in multivariate data.
problem Identifying signal events, regime changes, or model mismatch in scientific data.
method EagleEye pinpoints local over- and under-densities by assigning anomaly scores based on binary membership sequences and binomial null models.
result EagleEye can detect genuine local anomalies and estimate background purity.
New method for estimating functional Gaussian graphical models for multivariate data.
problem Challenges in extending Gaussian graphical models to multivariate functional data due to compact covariance operators.
method Introducing partial separability for multivariate functional data, leading to a novel Karhunen-Loève expansion and efficient estimation through the joint graphical lasso.
result A well-defined functional Gaussian graphical model that can be identified with a sequence of finite-dimensional graphical models, each of identical fixed dimension.
Graphical models represent multivariate and generally not normalized probability distributions. Computing the normalization factor, called the partition function, is the main inference challenge relevant to multiple statistical and optimization applications. The problem is of an exponential complexity with respect to t…
We show that if {L_n} is any infinite sequence of links with twist number tau(L_n) and with cyclotomic Jones polynomials of increasing span, then lim sup tau(L_n)=infty. This implies that any infinite sequence of prime alternating links with cyclotomic Jones polynomials must have unbounded hyperbolic volume. The main t…
Seglearn is an open-source python package for machine learning time series or sequences using a sliding window segmentation approach. The implementation provides a flexible pipeline for tackling classification, regression, and forecasting problems with multivariate sequence and contextual data. This package is compatib…
Timely prediction of clinically critical events in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is important for improving care and survival rate. Most of the existing approaches are based on the application of various classification methods on explicitly extracted statistical features from vital signals. In this work, we propose to elim…
This paper deals with dependence across marginally exponentially distributed arrival times, such as default times in financial modeling or inter-failure times in reliability theory. We explore the relationship between dependence and the possibility to sample final multivariate survival in a long time-interval as a sequ…
GenFormer uses deep learning to generate complex stochastic data.
problem Creating synthetic stochastic data that matches real-world statistical properties.
method Transformer-based deep learning model that maps Markov state sequences to time series values.
result GenFormer preserves target marginal distributions and other statistical properties in multivariate spatio-temporal data.
The Poisson distribution has been widely studied and used for modeling univariate count-valued data. Multivariate generalizations of the Poisson distribution that permit dependencies, however, have been far less popular. Yet, real-world high-dimensional count-valued data found in word counts, genomics, and crime statis…
Develops a new multivariate regression model for complex outcomes.
problem Flexible, heterogeneous, and residual-dependent multivariate regression problems.
method MultiVCBART framework with Graphical Horseshoe priors.
result Empirically outperforms existing models on sparse, high-dimensional datasets.
CTLNet predicts Shanghai Composite Index with improved accuracy.
problem Predicting Shanghai Composite Index for investors and researchers.
method Proposes CNN-Transformer-LSTM Networks (CTLNet) for multivariate time series forecasting.
result CTLNet outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in Shanghai Composite Index prediction.
New knot polynomials derived from Nichols algebras and braided Hopf algebras.
problem Developing new knot invariants from algebraic structures.
method Constructing knot invariants from solutions to the Yang--Baxter equation over generalized Yetter--Drinfel'd modules.
result Reproduces known knot polynomials and discovers new multivariable invariants.
Constructs bivariate quantiles using vine copulas for multivariate analysis.
problem Need for research in multivariate quantiles, especially for bivariate responses.
method Constructs bivariate (conditional) quantiles using vine copula based bivariate regression model with a novel tree sequence graph structure.
result Avoids typical shortfalls of regression like transformations, interactions, collinearity, and quantile crossings.
CoCAI uses copulas for accurate multivariate time-series forecasting and anomaly detection.
problem Accurate multivariate time-series forecasting and robust anomaly detection.
method Copula-based conformal prediction for multivariate time-series analysis.
result CoCAI provides statistically valid predictive regions and robust anomaly scores.
We first pursue the study of how hierarchy provides a well-adapted tool for the analysis of change. Then, using a time sequence-constrained hierarchical clustering, we develop the practical aspects of a new approach to wavelet regression. This provides a new way to link hierarchical relationships in a multivariate time…
Seq2Tens uses tensors to efficiently represent sequences, improving performance on time series and video tasks.
problem Challenges in analyzing sequential data due to complex dependencies and non-commutativity.
method Uses tensor algebra to capture dependencies and low-rank tensor projections to manage computational complexity.
result State-of-the-art performance on multivariate time series classification and video generation benchmarks.
We study the spaces of string links and homotopy string links in an arbitrary manifold using multivariable manifold calculus of functors. We construct multi-cosimplicial models for both spaces and deduce certain convergence properties of the associated Bousfield-Kan homotopy and cohomology spectral sequences when the a…
A sequence fn(q) is q-holonomic if it satisfies a nontrivial linear recurrence with coefficients polynomials in q and qn. Our main theorems state that q-holonomicity is preserved under twisting, i.e., replacing q by ωq where ω is a complex root of unity, and under the substitution q→qα where $α…
Deep model forecasts correlated multivariate time series.
problem Forecasting correlated multivariate time series.
method Deep learning structural model using CNN-LSTM architecture.
result Model outperforms state-of-the-art methods in various time series data sets.
Improved LSTM for industrial flow prediction with higher accuracy.
problem Predicting continuous time series variables in industrial settings.
method LSTM algorithm with multivariate tuning, incorporating periodic measurement and time window concepts.
result Significantly improved prediction accuracy (54.05% higher than traditional LSTM).
We present a methodology for clustering N objects which are described by multivariate time series, i.e. several sequences of real-valued random variables. This clustering methodology leverages copulas which are distributions encoding the dependence structure between several random variables. To take fully into account …
New framework improves multivariate time series forecasting by minimizing redundant information.
problem Improving multivariate time series forecasting with deep learning techniques.
method Cross-variable Decorrelation Aware feature Modeling (CDAM) and Temporal correlation Aware Modeling (TAM) to refine Channel-mixing and exploit temporal correlations.
result Significantly surpasses existing models in comprehensive tests.
Motivation: HIV is difficult to treat because its virus mutates at a high rate and mutated viruses easily develop resistance to existing drugs. If the relationships between mutations and drug resistances can be determined from historical data, patients can be provided personalized treatment according to their own mutat…
Enformer and GEnformer use Transformers with stochastic learning to forecast multivariate and spatiotemporal data with uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty quantification in multivariate time series and spatiotemporal forecasting.
method Synthesizing Transformer's expressive power with stochastic learning to model conditional distributions directly.
result Enformer and GEnformer yield calibrated probabilistic forecasts and outperform state-of-the-art baselines.
In this paper, we present a novel approach to the generation of virtual scenarios of multivariate financial data of arbitrary length and composition of assets. With this approach, decades of realistic time-synchronized data can be simulated for a large number of assets, producing diverse scenarios to test and improve q…
Bayesian learning from variable-length sequences using Gaussian processes with signature covariances.
problem Learning from sequences of varying lengths and complex sequential structures.
method Gaussian processes with signature kernels, sparse variational approach, combining with LSTM/GRU models.
result Effective learning from sequences of different lengths and complex structures.
CDSA uses self-attention to impute missing values in multivariate, geo-tagged time series data.
problem Missing values in multivariate, geo-tagged time series data.
method Cross-Dimensional Self-Attention (CDSA) for sequence modeling across time, location, and sensor measurements.
result CDSA outperforms state-of-the-art methods in imputation and forecasting on real-world datasets.
LSTMs improve bond yield forecasting with unique signals.
problem Improving bond yield forecasting accuracy.
method Long short-term memory (LSTM) networks with sequence-to-sequence architectures and LSTM-LagLasso methodology.
result Univariate LSTM models with additional memory can achieve similar results as multivariate MLP models using exogenous information.
DeepVARMA predicts chemical industry index trends using LSTM and VARMAX models.
problem Forecasting the chemical industry index for economic analysis.
method Combines LSTM and VARMAX models to predict nonstationary series.
result DeepVARMA achieves best prediction accuracy and adaptability.
Proposes M-CHMM for robust modeling of multivariate healthcare time series.
problem Challenges in analyzing multivariate healthcare time series data.
method Mixture of coupled hidden Markov models (M-CHMM) with two sampling algorithms.
result Improves data fit, handles missing and noisy measurements, and enhances prediction accuracy.
Framework for renewable energy forecasting and feature engineering.
problem Forecasting and feature extraction for multivariate processes in renewable energy.
method Derivative-free optimization, ensemble of sequence-to-sequence networks, additive resampling, Bootstrap aggregating.
result The proposed method outperforms other machine learning techniques in long-term forecasts and feature selection.
Graph Hawkes Neural Network forecasts evolving graph sequences.
problem Modeling dynamic graph sequences with complex event types.
method Generalized Hawkes process to neural network, capturing complex event impacts.
result Effective at predicting future events in evolving graph sequences.
A large fraction of the electronic health records consists of clinical measurements collected over time, such as blood tests, which provide important information about the health status of a patient. These sequences of clinical measurements are naturally represented as time series, characterized by multiple variables a…
We provide non-asymptotic convergence rates of the Polyak-Ruppert averaged stochastic gradient descent (SGD) to a normal random vector for a class of twice-differentiable test functions. A crucial intermediate step is proving a non-asymptotic martingale central limit theorem (CLT), i.e., establishing the rates of conve…
Graphical estimation of count time series dependencies.
problem Estimating dependencies between multivariate count time series.
method Parameter-driven generalized linear model with l1-type regularization and MCEM algorithm.
result Characterization of disease spread interdependence and sources/sinks in Greater Mumbai.