The paper develops Hawkes-based models for LOB and applies them to European, spread, and basket option pricing.
problem Developing accurate models for pricing options in the context of limit order books (LOB).
method Introduces multivariate Hawkes processes and their limit theorems, applies to European, spread, and basket options.
result Hawkes-based models provide more market forecast information than classical models.
Unified method for efficient pricing of multivariate options.
problem Efficient pricing of complex financial options under multivariate models.
method Unified method using quadrature integration of multi-asset BSM prices, state space rotation.
result Unified method provides accurate and efficient pricing for basket, spread, and Asian options.
We unify and extend a number of approaches related to constructing multivariate Variance-Gamma (V.G.) models for option pricing. An overarching model is derived by subordinating multivariate Brownian motion to a subordinator from the Thorin (1977) class of generalised Gamma convolution subordinators. A class of models …
Unified econometric model for portfolio optimization and option valuation.
problem Time-varying volatility and heavy tails in asset returns.
method Multivariate affine GARCH(1,1) with Normal Inverse Gaussian innovations.
result Substantial wealth-equivalent utility losses from ignoring correlation and tail risk.
Study uses AI to price exotic options with a new Levy process model.
problem Pricing exotic options with a non-Gaussian Levy process model.
method Introduced a new multivariate Levy process model and used a generative AI model to estimate the probability density function.
result Developed a method to price quanto options using a trained generative AI model.
Deep neural network approximates multivariate option pricing.
problem High-dimensional partial differential equations in option pricing.
method Deep parametric PDE method using neural networks.
result Option prices computed in milliseconds for up to 25 dimensions.
We introduce a multivariate diffusion model that is able to price derivative securities featuring multiple underlying assets. Each asset volatility smile is modeled according to a density-mixture dynamical model while the same property holds for the multivariate process of all assets, whose density is a mixture of mult…
Unified method for calculating financial option prices from characteristic functions.
problem Calculating financial option prices from characteristic functions in high dimensions.
method Damped Fourier-cosine expansion (COS) method.
result The method converges exponentially if the characteristic function decays exponentially.
The paper derives upper hedging prices for multivariate contingent claims using game-theoretic probability and submodularity.
problem Deriving upper hedging prices for complex financial contracts.
method Game-theoretic approach, optimization over simplexes, Lovász extension, Black-Scholes-Barenblatt equations.
result Upper and lower hedging prices can be calculated efficiently for submodular or supermodular payoff functions.
In this paper we propose a closed-form approximation for the price of basket options under a multivariate Black-Scholes model, based on Taylor expansions and the calculation of mixed exponential-power moments of a Gaussian distribution. Our numerical results show that a second order expansion provides accurate prices o…
We present a multivariate stochastic volatility model with leverage, which is flexible enough to recapture the individual dynamics as well as the interdependencies between several assets while still being highly analytically tractable. First we derive the characteristic function and give conditions that ensure its anal…
Proves existence and uniqueness of optimal trading strategy for multivariate returns.
problem Finding optimal trading strategy for multiple asset returns.
method Proves existence and uniqueness of optimal solution using fractional trading ansatz.
result Optimal trading strategy can be numerically found using steepest ascent methods.
Generative adversarial networks create realistic equity option market simulations.
problem Limited real-world data for training and evaluating option trading strategies.
method Recurrent and temporal convolutional architectures with state compression.
result GANs outperform classical methods on benchmark metrics.
Study extends Lévy models to capture market propagation delays.
problem Capturing sudden events in related markets with stochastic delays.
method Extend multivariate Lévy models using self-decomposability and multivariate subordination.
result Derived closed-form expressions for characteristic function and implemented Monte Carlo scheme.
New method for option pricing using Monte Carlo and least squares.
problem Computing European option prices in high dimensions.
method Combines Monte Carlo simulation with least squares approximation and randomized Kaczmarz algorithm.
result Efficient method for high-dimensional integration and option pricing.
The article models financial asset returns using Gaussian mixtures and EVT-based copulas to price equity options.
problem Modeling financial asset returns and pricing equity options considering extreme values.
method Modeling marginal distributions with Gaussian mixtures and joint dependence structure with EVT-based copulas.
result The approach accurately prices various equity options on Atos and Dassault Systems actions.
Deep neural networks approximate option prices in high-dimensional Lévy models efficiently.
problem Approximating option prices in high-dimensional financial models with jumps.
method Use of deep ReLU neural networks to approximate option prices in multivariate Lévy processes with polynomial growth in network size and dimension.
result Established sufficient conditions for polynomial growth in network size and dimension to approximate option prices with error ε.
The paper prices energy spread options using a complex stochastic model.
problem Pricing energy spread options with specific stochastic dynamics.
method Uses an exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by variance gamma processes, applying the Esscher transform and FFT method.
result Derives an analytical formula for pricing forwards and spread options.
We consider an application involving a financial quadratic portfolio of options, when the joint underlying log-returns changes with multivariate elliptic distribution. This motivates the needs for methods for the approximation of multiple integrals over hyperboloids. A transformation is used to reduce the hyperboloid i…
Study provides error estimates for approximating game options with diffusion asset prices.
problem Approximating fair prices of game options with diffusion asset prices.
method Error estimates for discrete approximations of diffusion processes, applied to game options.
result Effective tool for computing fair prices of game options in multi-asset markets.
GMMNs model cross-sectional dependence for better option pricing and simulation.
problem Modeling cross-sectional dependence between stochastic processes.
method Generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) for geometric Brownian motions and ARMA-GARCH models.
result GMMNs produce dependent quasi-random samples with variance reduction.
Large deviation principles for multivariate stochastic volatility models.
problem Understanding the behavior of log-processes in multivariate stochastic volatility models.
method Establishing a comprehensive sample path large deviation principle for log-processes.
result Asymptotic formulas for first exit times and barrier option prices derived from the LDP.
We introduce closed-form transition density expansions for multivariate affine jump-diffusion processes. The expansions rely on a general approximation theory which we develop in weighted Hilbert spaces for random variables which possess all polynomial moments. We establish parametric conditions which guarantee existen…
Study proposes a new portfolio selection method using non-Gaussian models and Esscher transform.
problem Portfolio selection with complex stock return structures and skewness, kurtosis.
method Multivariate non-Gaussian models (NTS and GH), Esscher transform for risk-neutral measure, simultaneous calibration of univariate log-returns and volatility.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed models in fitting and selecting portfolios.
Method calibrates basket options using rearranged samples from constituent processes.
problem Calibrate basket options with non-linear dependency structure.
method Propose a method to extract dependency structure from market data through systematic sampling rearrangement, then calibrate a local volatility model.
result Efficiently calibrates basket options with near-perfect accuracy.
MQF2 forecasts multivariate quantiles globally.
problem Forecasting multi-horizon dependencies with error accumulation.
method Multivariate quantile function using input-convex neural networks.
result MQF2 avoids quantile crossing and captures time dependency. The paper develops a large deviation principle for multi-asset stochastic volatility models and applies it to option pricing.
problem Modeling the joint behavior of multiple financial assets with stochastic volatility.
method Proves a large deviations principle for multidimensional affine stochastic volatility models, extending the Heston model.
result Provides an asymptotic approximation for implied volatility of basket options and an efficient Monte-Carlo pricing method.
Recurrent tasks such as pricing, calibration and risk assessment need to be executed accurately and in real-time. Simultaneously we observe an increase in model sophistication on the one hand and growing demands on the quality of risk management on the other. To address the resulting computational challenges, it is nat…
The paper solves the skewness problem in high-dimensional basket options.
problem Inconsistent skewness between individual stock options and basket options on an index.
method Developed an effective local volatility model and calibrated the basket to the index smile using a jump-diffusion model.
result The method resolves the skewness issue, matching the index smile in basket option prices.
The paper solves option pricing and hedging for financial time series with hidden Markov models.
problem Option pricing and hedging for financial time series with hidden Markov models.
method Solves the discrete time mean-variance hedging problem for autoregressive hidden Markov models.
result The proposed model outperforms simpler models in out-of-sample hedging and option pricing.
NGBoost boosts multivariate probabilistic regression.
problem Joint probabilistic regression for multivariate targets.
method Natural Gradient Boosting for nonparametric modeling.
result Competitive performance in oceanographic velocity prediction.
Efficiently prices American options with multiple assets using sparse grids.
problem Pricing American options with multiple underlying assets efficiently.
method Dynamic programming formulation followed by sparse grid interpolation.
result Sparse grids reduce the number of interpolation points and maintain function smoothness.
A new method for pricing American options using exercise rate optimization.
problem Pricing American options efficiently and accurately.
method Monte Carlo simulation and optimization of exercise rates.
result The method provides the correct option price and is efficient for various models.
New ensemble models classify mouse movement trajectories to assess survey question difficulty.
problem Assessing survey question difficulty based on respondents' interaction data.
method Ensemble models combining semi-metric-based weak learners to classify multivariate functional data.
result Improved survey data quality through better identification of respondent difficulty.
A new metric space model for point process excitations uncovers hidden interactions.
problem Estimating pairwise interactions in multivariate Hawkes processes is often infeasible.
method Developed a Hidden Hawkes Geometry (HHG) model to embed event types in a metric space.
result Learning the embedding reveals salient interactions in various applications.
In this paper we show how to relate European call and put options on multiple assets to certain convex bodies called lift zonoids. Based on this, geometric properties can be translated into economic statements and vice versa. For instance, the European call-put parity corresponds to the central symmetry property, while…
We consider the problem of pricing basket options in a multivariate Black Scholes or Variance Gamma model. From a numerical point of view, pricing such options corresponds to moderate and high dimensional numerical integration problems with non-smooth integrands. Due to this lack of regularity, higher order numerical i…
This work proposes a method to price American basket options using a Markovian projection.
problem Pricing American basket options in high dimensions is computationally expensive.
method Use a stopping rule based on a low-dimensional Markovian projection of the basket's dynamics.
result Approximate the optimal early-exercise boundary in a lower-dimensional space, providing bounds for the option price.
We introduce a stochastic process with Wishart marginals: the generalised Wishart process (GWP). It is a collection of positive semi-definite random matrices indexed by any arbitrary dependent variable. We use it to model dynamic (e.g. time varying) covariance matrices. Unlike existing models, it can capture a diverse …
A new method optimizes Fourier pricing for multi-asset options using adaptive quadrature.
problem Efficiently pricing multi-asset options in Lévy models.
method Optimized damping parameters and hierarchical adaptive quadrature.
result Significant speed-up in computational time for up to six dimensions.
Study compares various ANN models for SPX and NDX options pricing.
problem Approximating complex multivariate functions for accurate option pricing.
method Hybrid RNN models (LSTM-GRU, TDNN, MLP, KAN) with attention mechanisms.
result LSTM-GRU hybrid RNN with attention outperforms other models.
Realised pay-offs for discretisation-invariant swaps are those which satisfy a restricted `aggregation property' of Neuberger [2012] for twice continuously differentiable deterministic functions of a multivariate martingale. They are initially characterised as solutions to a second-order system of PDEs, then those pay-…
In this paper we present a new multi-asset pricing model, which is built upon newly developed families of solvable multi-parameter single-asset diffusions with a nonlinear smile-shaped volatility and an affine drift. Our multi-asset pricing model arises by employing copula methods. In particular, all discounted single-…
Introduces a new Lévy process for modeling illiquid markets.
problem Modeling dynamic of assets in illiquid markets.
method Introduces Variance Gamma++ process, a new Lévy process, and provides efficient path simulation algorithms.
result Efficient pricing formula and parameter estimation for European options.
Paper tackles multivariate shape-constrained convex regression problems.
problem Fitting a convex function to data with component-wise monotonicity and uniform Lipschitz continuity.
method Least squares estimator via solving a constrained convex quadratic programming problem. Efficient algorithms designed: sGS-ADMM and pALM.
result Both proposed algorithms outperform state-of-the-art methods in numerical experiments.
The challenge to fruitfully merge state-of-the-art techniques from mathematical finance and numerical analysis has inspired researchers to develop fast deterministic option pricing methods. As a result, highly efficient algorithms to compute option prices in Lévy models by solving partial integro differential equations…
Pricing of high-dimensional options is one of the most important problems in Mathematical Finance. The objective of this manuscript is to present an original self-contained treatment of the multidimensional pricing. During the past decades the Black-Scholes this model, which essentially is based on the log-normal assum…
We derive a general multivariate theory for realised characteristics of `model-free discretisation-invariant swaps', so-called because the standard no-arbitrage assumption of martingale forward prices is sufficient to derive fair-value swap rates for such characteristics which have no jump or discretisation errors. Thi…