Geometric approach solves maximum likelihood for Cauchy-like distributions.
problem Estimating center and scatter robustly from heavy-tailed data.
method Geodesic convexity and symmetry spaces of noncompact type.
result Efficient numerical solution for robust estimates of location and spread.
This paper constructs Brownian motion on complex flag manifolds and finds joint distribution of stochastic areas.
problem Modeling stochastic areas on complex partial flag manifolds.
method Constructs Brownian motion on complex partial flag manifolds and uses it to find joint distribution of stochastic areas.
result Limit law of stochastic areas is a multivariate Cauchy distribution.
Paper introduces robust kernel ridge regression using Cauchy loss for handling various noise types.
problem Developing robust regression methods for noisy data.
method Introduces kernel Cauchy ridge regressor (KCRR) using Cauchy loss function.
result Establishes almost minimax-optimal convergence rate for KCRR in terms of L2-risk. Failure of the main argument for the use of heavy tailed distribution in Finance is given. More precisely, one cannot observe so many outliers for Cauchy or for symmetric stable distributions as we have in reality. keywords:outliers; financial indexes; heavy tails; Cauchy distribution; stable distributions
Develops privacy-preserving multivariate median estimation methods.
problem Lack of rigorous privacy guarantees for robust multivariate location estimation.
method Novel finite-sample performance guarantees for differentially private multivariate depth-based medians.
result Sharp performance guarantees for multivariate depth-based medians under differential privacy.
Principal Component Analysis (PCA) has wide applications in machine learning, text mining and computer vision. Classical PCA based on a Gaussian noise model is fragile to noise of large magnitude. Laplace noise assumption based PCA methods cannot deal with dense noise effectively. In this paper, we propose Cauchy Princ…
New spectral mixture representation for isotropic kernels simplifies random Fourier features.
problem Applying Random Fourier Features to complex kernels.
method Decompose isotropic kernels into scale mixtures of α-stable random vectors.
result Constructive spectral sampling formula for various kernels.
The paper shows how to construct non-Gaussian Martingales using hyperbolic diffusion.
problem The challenge of modeling extreme financial events.
method Constructing Martingale processes with Cauchy distribution in the large volatility limit.
result Financial justification for using non-Gaussian distributions in modeling extreme events.
Introduces Cauchy-Schwarz divergence for domain adaptation.
problem Evaluating discrepancy between source and target domains in unsupervised domain adaptation.
method Introduces Cauchy-Schwarz divergence as a measure for evaluating discrepancy between marginal and conditional distributions.
result CS divergence offers a tighter generalization error bound than Kullback-Leibler divergence.
Solves geometric Cauchy problem for submanifolds with constant rank.
problem Finding submanifolds with constant rank in a given distribution.
method Constructive approach to solve the geometric Cauchy problem.
result A solution exists and is unique in a neighborhood of the submanifold.
This paper uses multivariate probability models to assess financial system risks.
problem Assessing systemic risk in financial systems.
method Computes multivariate conditional probability distributions for elliptical distributions, focusing on Student-t and Normal models.
result Proposes measures of stress impact and systemic risk.
The paper calculates moments and conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.
problem Estimating moments and tail conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.
method Derives explicit expressions for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks for generalized skew-elliptical distributions.
result Explicit formulas for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks are derived for various skewed elliptical distributions.
The paper provides exact multivariate amplitude distributions for non-stationary Gaussian or algebraic fluctuations.
problem Capturing the statistical properties of fluctuating correlations in non-stationary systems.
method Developed a random matrix model to average multivariate amplitude distributions from short time scales to large time scales.
result Explicit multivariate distributions for non-stationary correlation systems are provided, capturing the degree of non-stationarity.
For random matrix models, the parameter estimation based on the traditional likelihood functions is not straightforward in particular when we have only one sample matrix. We introduce a new parameter optimization method for random matrix models which works even in such a case. The method is based on the spectral distri…
The paper uses Fourier integral theorem for estimating multivariate distributions.
problem Estimating multivariate distributions and conditional distribution functions.
method Natural Monte Carlo and fully nonparametric estimators based on Fourier integral theorem.
result Explicit Monte Carlo estimators without estimated covariance matrix.
In this paper, we consider the multivariate Bernoulli distribution as a model to estimate the structure of graphs with binary nodes. This distribution is discussed in the framework of the exponential family, and its statistical properties regarding independence of the nodes are demonstrated. Importantly the model can e…
New scoring rules for multivariate distributions and level sets.
problem Evaluating forecast accuracy for multivariate distributions and level sets.
method Theoretical framework for scoring rules, decomposition of multivariate scoring functions, numerical algorithm for computation.
result New scoring functions for multivariate distributions and level sets, including density and cumulative distribution level sets.
Proves well-posedness of the Cauchy problem for the Dirac operator on non-compact spacetimes.
problem Proving well-posedness of the Cauchy problem for the Dirac operator on non-compact spacetimes.
method Analyzes globally hyperbolic manifolds with complete spacelike Cauchy hypersurfaces.
result Proves well-posedness of the Cauchy problem for the Dirac operator.
Proposes a new latent variable model for hyperspherical latent spaces.
problem Efficiently modeling heavy-tailed distributions in hyperspherical latent spaces.
method Introduces spherical Cauchy (spCauchy) latent variables and applies Möbius transformations.
result Shows spCauchy recovers vMF geometry in high-concentration limits and avoids complex evaluations.
A classical problem in general relativity is the Cauchy problem for the linearised Einstein equation (the initial value problem for gravitational waves) on a globally hyperbolic vacuum spacetime. A well-known result is that it is uniquely solvable up to gauge solutions, given initial data on a spacelike Cauchy hypersur…
Cauchy used infinitesimals in differential geometry and integral geometry.
problem Applying infinitesimals in differential and integral geometry.
method Using infinitesimals as numbers in differential and integral geometry.
result Valid application of infinitesimals in geometric probability, differential geometry, elasticity, and Dirac delta functions.
The univariate piecing-together approach (PT) fits a univariate generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) to the upper tail of a given distribution function in a continuous manner. We propose a multivariate extension. First it is shown that an arbitrary copula is in the domain of attraction of a multivariate extreme value …
Employing the Klein-Gordon equation, we propose a generalized Black-Scholes equation. In addition, we found a limit where this generalized equation is invariant under conformal transformations, in particular invariant under scale transformations. In this limit, we show that the stock prices distribution is given by a C…
The Poisson distribution has been widely studied and used for modeling univariate count-valued data. Multivariate generalizations of the Poisson distribution that permit dependencies, however, have been far less popular. Yet, real-world high-dimensional count-valued data found in word counts, genomics, and crime statis…
Study analyzes stock market correlations using multivariate distributions.
problem Capturing the correlation structure of complex, non-stationary systems.
method Applied Random Matrix Model to empirical data of 479 US stocks.
result Described and quantified changes in empirical distributions due to non-stationarity.
A new random forest method for multivariate distributions.
problem Estimating complex multivariate distributions with heterogeneity.
method A novel splitting criterion based on MMD for multivariate responses.
result Estimates full conditional distribution for arbitrary targets.
Characterizes symmetric Bernoulli distributions with minimal convex sums.
problem Understanding minimal dependence among Bernoulli random vectors.
method Geometric and algebraic representations of multivariate symmetric Bernoulli distributions.
result Characterizes extremal negative dependence and builds minimal dependence copulas.
Regularizes ML algorithms for robust multivariate analysis against distribution shifts.
problem Ensuring robustness of multivariate analysis algorithms against distribution shifts.
method Integrates a causal regularisation term into the loss function of multivariate analysis algorithms.
result Demonstrates improved out-of-distribution generalisation with reduced-rank regression and partial least squares.
New algorithms for multivariate RL improve decision-making in complex systems.
problem Complex multi-objective decision-making in reinforcement learning.
method Oracle-free and computationally-tractable algorithms for multivariate distributional RL.
result Convergence rates match scalar reward settings and provide insights into reward dimensionality.
We present a generalization of the Cauchy/Lorentzian, Geman-McClure, Welsch/Leclerc, generalized Charbonnier, Charbonnier/pseudo-Huber/L1-L2, and L2 loss functions. By introducing robustness as a continuous parameter, our loss function allows algorithms built around robust loss minimization to be generalized, which imp…
Method estimates multivariate counterfactual distributions efficiently and accurately.
problem Estimating multivariate counterfactual distributions in causal models with correlation structures.
method Proposes a method leveraging a one-dimensional subspace to capture correlation structures and efficiently estimate multivariate counterfactual distributions.
result Demonstrates superior performance over existing methods on synthetic and real-world data.
Unified framework combines dependent microbiome tests.
problem Combining dependent microbiome association tests.
method Generalized meta-analysis framework for dependent tests.
result The vanilla Cauchy combination is a special case.
Recently, folk questions on the smoothability of Cauchy hypersurfaces and time functions of a globally hyperbolic spacetime M, have been solved. Here we give further results, applicable to several problems: (1) Any compact spacelike acausal submanifold H with boundary can be extended to a spacelike Cauchy hypersurface …
Geometric approach to Dirac operator evolution on spacetimes.
problem Constructing the Cauchy evolution operator for Lorentzian Dirac operators.
method Realizing the operator as a sum of oscillatory integrals, relating to Feynman propagator.
result Relating Cauchy evolution operators to Feynman propagators and constructing Hadamard states.
An analytic solution for asset allocation with Laplace distribution.
problem Asset allocation with multivariate Laplace distribution.
method Specialization of elliptically symmetric distribution theory to Laplace distribution, accounting for dimensionality and variance rescaling.
result A result consistent with conjecture but with differences due to omitted term and rescaling.
We exploit the link between the transport equation and derivatives of expectations to construct efficient pathwise gradient estimators for multivariate distributions. We focus on two main threads. First, we use null solutions of the transport equation to construct adaptive control variates that can be used to construct…
Circular variables arise in a multitude of data-modelling contexts ranging from robotics to the social sciences, but they have been largely overlooked by the machine learning community. This paper partially redresses this imbalance by extending some standard probabilistic modelling tools to the circular domain. First w…
We investigate the properties of multidimensional probability distributions in the context of latent space prior distributions of implicit generative models. Our work revolves around the phenomena arising while decoding linear interpolations between two random latent vectors -- regions of latent space in close proximit…
The paper defines MTCov for skewed elliptical distributions.
problem No specific problem stated, but dealing with skewed elliptical distributions.
method Defined MTCov for generalized skew-elliptical distributions and compared with skewed and non-skewed normal distributions.
result Special formula for MTCov of generalized skew-elliptical distributions.
Bayesian DDR models complex multivariate distributions.
problem Modeling relationships between multivariate distributions with differing dimensions.
method Generalized Bayesian framework using sliced Wasserstein distance and MALA for inference.
result Posterior consistency and robust fits demonstrated in simulations and real data.
Characterizes connections on multivariate normal distributions.
problem Characterizing connections on statistical manifold of multivariate normal distributions.
method Analyzes statistical manifold (N,gF,ablaA,ablaA∗) of multivariate normal distributions. result The Amari-Chentsov connection ablaA is characterized by conjugate symmetry. Combines MCTM and NF for flexible multivariate density regression with interpretable marginals.
problem Difficult interpretation of flexible NF models and limitations of MCTM in flexibility.
method Hybrid approach combining MCTM for interpretable marginals and NF for complex joint distributions.
result Demonstrates versatility and improved performance compared to MCTM and other NF models.
Process capability index (PCI) is a commonly used statistic to measure ability of a process to operate within the given specifications or to produce products which meet the required quality specifications. PCI can be univariate or multivariate depending upon the number of process specifications or quality characteristi…
New method for multivariate distribution regression using NPT metric.
problem Regression with multivariate distributional responses and Euclidean predictors.
method Fréchet regression with nonparanormal transport (NPT) metric.
result Efficient estimation and granular interpretation of predictor effects.
New cosmological spacetimes without CMC Cauchy surfaces found.
problem Finding CMC Cauchy surfaces in cosmological spacetimes.
method Generalized Bartnik's construction to connected sums of three-manifolds.
result Cosmological spacetimes without CMC Cauchy surfaces for any compact three-manifolds.
Proves conditions for Cauchy horizons in low-regularity spacetimes.
problem Conditions for the existence of Cauchy horizons in spacetimes with low regularity.
method Analyzes the relationship between complete Cauchy hypersurfaces, almost closed causal curves, and points at infinity.
result Wald's conjecture reformulated as a PDE problem about Cauchy horizons.
TSRGA scales multivariate linear regression for feature-distributed data.
problem Multivariate linear regression for feature-distributed data with high dimensions and many computing nodes.
method Two-stage relaxed greedy algorithm (TSRGA) for multivariate linear regression.
result TSRGA is highly scalable and can yield low-rank coefficient estimates.
Proposes MVG-CRPS for robust multivariate forecasting.
problem Outliers in multivariate forecasting lead to significant errors.
method Integrates CRPS for MVG distributions, optimizing with MVG-CRPS.
result Improves robustness, accuracy, and uncertainty quantification.