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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for multistage methods

Develops new optimization techniques for decision-making under uncertainty.

problem Decision-making under uncertainty with complex cost functions and nested expectations.
method Introduces Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization (MCCO) and develops multilevel Monte Carlo techniques.
result New optimization techniques reduce scenario complexity from exponential to polynomial growth.

Optimal multistage method solves noisy minimax problems.

problem Minimizing/maximizing in noisy conditions with smooth and strongly convex-strongly concave settings.
method Multistage Stochastic Gradient Descent Ascent (M-GDA) and Optimistic Gradient Descent Ascent (M-OGDA).
result Achieves optimal linear decay rate with respect to initial error and condition number.

In this paper, we introduce a framework for solving finite-horizon multistage optimization problems under uncertainty in the presence of auxiliary data. We assume the joint distribution of the uncertain quantities is unknown, but noisy observations, along with observations of auxiliary covariates, are available. We uti…

2019-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the problem of minimizing a strongly convex, smooth function when we have noisy estimates of its gradient. We propose a novel multistage accelerated algorithm that is universally optimal in the sense that it achieves the optimal rate both in the deterministic and stochastic case and operates without knowledge …

2019-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian optimization tackles expensive cascade processes.

problem Optimizing multistage decision-making processes with expensive costs.
method Formulated as Bayesian optimization framework with two types of acquisition functions.
result Demonstrated effectiveness through numerical experiments and a solar cell simulator application.

Paper tackles robust optimization under uncertainty using nested distance.

problem Optimizing under distributionally robust uncertainty with nested distance.
method Equivalent recursive and dynamic programming reformulations for tractable optimization.
result Optimal robust policies can be found efficiently using convex optimization.

Multistage Defer Trees improve model accuracy while maintaining interpretability.

problem Balancing model accuracy and interpretability, especially in noisy domains.
method A sequence of sparse decision trees that defer predictions to the next tree or a black box.
result Matches the performance of complex tree-based ensembles while using only one or a few sparse trees.

Computational modeling of human multimodal language is an emerging research area in natural language processing spanning the language, visual and acoustic modalities. Comprehending multimodal language requires modeling not only the interactions within each modality (intra-modal interactions) but more importantly the in…

2018-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep structured-prediction energy-based models combine the expressive power of learned representations and the ability of embedding knowledge about the task at hand into the system. A common way to learn parameters of such models consists in a multistage procedure where different combinations of components are trained …

2019-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a two-level monotonic multistage recommender system for better user-specific prediction.

problem Leveraging user-item-stage dependencies in a monotonic chain of events for enhanced prediction accuracy.
method A multistage recommender system with a two-level monotonic property, using a large-margin classifier based on a nonnegative additive latent factor model.
result The proposed method outperforms existing methods in simulations and an article sharing dataset.

A new method uses active learning to improve bile duct stone evaluation.

problem Efficiently collecting necessary patient data in sequential healthcare decisions.
method Developed an active learning-based multistage sequential decision-making model.
result Improves estimation efficiency by 62%-1838% compared to baseline methods.

Enhanced privacy, utility, and efficiency through MUST subsampling.

problem Balancing privacy, utility, and computational efficiency in data analysis.
method MUltistage Sampling Technique (MUST) for privacy amplification in differential privacy.
result MUST offers stronger privacy guarantees (ϵ\epsilon) than one-stage subsampling methods while maintaining similar utility and computational efficiency.

In this paper, we discuss the problem of minimizing the sum of two convex functions: a smooth function plus a non-smooth function. Further, the smooth part can be expressed by the average of a large number of smooth component functions, and the non-smooth part is equipped with a simple proximal mapping. We propose a pr…

2016-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning a distribution conditional on a set of discrete-valued features is a commonly encountered task. This becomes more challenging with a high-dimensional feature set when there is the possibility of interaction between the features. In addition, many frequently applied techniques consider only prediction of the me…

2013-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method solves complex hydroelectricity planning problems.

problem Solving multistage stochastic linear programming for hydrothermal dispatch planning.
method Regularized Linear Decision Rules (AdaLASSO) to reduce overfitting and improve out-of-sample performance.
result Significant reductions in non-zero coefficients and improved spot-price profiles.

New model improves multimodal autoencoders by learning joint and conditional distributions.

problem Limitations in recent multimodal autoencoders restrict their quality on complex datasets.
method Proposes a multistage training process with variational inference and Normalizing Flows, leveraging shared modality information.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results on benchmark datasets.

FedSight AI predicts federal funds rate using LLMs and multi-agent reasoning.

problem Predicting Federal Open Market Committee's decisions on federal funds rate.
method Multi-agent framework with large language models, structured and unstructured inputs, and CoD extension for efficient reasoning.
result Achieved 93.75% accuracy and 93.33% stability in predicting FOMC outcomes.

Generative model for condensed matter using Riemannian flow matching.

problem Sampling equilibrium distributions in condensed-phase systems.
method Riemannian flow matching to incorporate periodicity, using Hutchinson's trace estimator and cumulant expansion for bias correction.
result Highly accurate free energy estimates on monatomic ice without multistage estimators.

Paper uses Stochastic Mirror Descent for large-scale sparse recovery problems.

problem Statistical estimation of high-dimensional sparse parameters.
method Non-Euclidean Composite Stochastic Mirror Descent (CSMD) algorithm for solving penalized stochastic optimization problems.
result The proposed algorithm achieves optimal convergence in sparse Generalized Linear Regression problems.

This paper reviews various sampling methods from statistics and machine learning.

problem Addressing sampling methods in statistics and machine learning.
method Explains and reviews simple random sampling, bootstrapping, stratified sampling, cluster sampling, multistage sampling, network sampling, snowball sampling, and sampling from cumulative distribution function.
result Summarizes characteristics, pros, and cons of different sampling methods.

Proposes a new Q-learning method for survival outcomes in clinical trials.

problem Incomplete follow-up data and nonlinear covariate effects in clinical trials.
method Combines Buckley-James boosting with flexible base learners for estimating optimal treatment regimes.
result Improves treatment decision accuracy and stability in longitudinal clinical trials.

The paper uses causal machine learning to optimize rework decisions in manufacturing.

problem Optimizing rework policies in manufacturing systems to balance yield improvement and rework costs.
method Proposes a causal model using double/debiased machine learning (DML) techniques to estimate conditional treatment effects and derive rework policies.
result Achieved a yield improvement of 2-3% during the color-conversion process of white LEDs.

In this paper, we present a general, multistage framework for graphical model approximation using a cascade of models such as trees. In particular, we look at the problem of covariance matrix approximation for Gaussian distributions as linear transformations of tree models. This is a new way to decompose the covariance…

2018-08-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We discuss the role of integrated chance constraints (ICC) as quantitative risk constraints in asset and liability management (ALM) for pension funds. We define two types of ICC: the one period integrated chance constraint (OICC) and the multiperiod integrated chance constraint (MICC). As their names suggest, the OICC …

2015-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Study exact minimax rates for density estimation over convex classes, extending previous work.

problem Deriving minimax rates for density estimation over convex density classes.
method Building on Le Cam's work, determine exact minimax rates using local metric entropy.
result Exact minimax rates derived for any convex density class, including nonparametric and parametric cases.

The rise of algorithmic decision making led to active researches on how to define and guarantee fairness, mostly focusing on one-shot decision making. In several important applications such as hiring, however, decisions are made in multiple stage with additional information at each stage. In such cases, fairness issues…

2019-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a new framework for accurate uncertainty representation and propagation.

problem Inaccurate representation and propagation of uncertainty in measurement systems.
method The paper introduces a comprehensive framework using Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) for representing and propagating quantitative attributes in measurement systems.
result GMMs offer improved accuracy in representing and propagating measurement uncertainty compared to traditional Gaussian methods, while maintaining computational tractability.

Neural network with data augmentation improves multi-stage pump prediction accuracy.

problem Predicting multi-stage pump external characteristics with high accuracy.
method Neural network model with data augmentation for multi-objective prediction.
result Neural network model with data augmentation outperforms other models in accuracy.