Since the 2007-2009 financial crisis, substantial academic effort has been dedicated to improving our understanding of interbank lending networks (ILNs). Because of data limitations or by choice, the literature largely lacks multiple loan maturities. We employ a complete interbank loan contract dataset to investigate w…
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48 results for “multiple maturities”
In some options markets (e.g. commodities), options are listed with only a single maturity for each underlying. In others, (e.g. equities, currencies), options are listed with multiple maturities. In this paper, we provide an algorithm for calibrating a pure jump Markov martingale model to match the market prices of Eu…
This paper extends static hedging for European options over multiple maturities.
problem Hedging European options over multiple time periods.
method Developed a spanning relation for multiple shorter-term options using a Markovian framework.
result Demonstrated a practical implementation using Gaussian Quadrature for finite sets of shorter-term options.
Model shows how banks' fears of future defaults can cause immediate financial stress.
problem How banks' future default worries cause immediate financial stress.
method Dynamic interbank model with endogenous distress contagion, mark-to-market valuation adjustment, forward-backward approach.
result Distress contagion acts as a stochastic volatility term leading to clustering and down-market spikes.
Global fixed income returns span across multiple maturities and economies, that is, they naturally reside on multi-dimensional data structures referred to as tensors. In contrast to standard "flat-view" multivariate models that are agnostic to data structure and only describe linear pairwise relationships, we introduce…
Given a finite set of European call option prices on a single underlying, we want to know when there is a market model which is consistent with these prices. In contrast to previous studies, we allow models where the underlying trades at a bid-ask spread. The main question then is how large (in terms of a deterministic…
We characterize the set of market models when there are a finite number of traded Vanilla and Barrier options with maturity written on the asset . From a probabilistic perspective, our result describes the set of joint distributions for when a finite number of marginal law constraint…
We pursue robust approach to pricing and hedging in mathematical finance. We consider a continuous time setting in which some underlying assets and options, with continuous paths, are available for dynamic trading and a further set of European options, possibly with varying maturities, is available for static trading. …
Improved AMM protocol supports diverse loan maturities in DeFi.
problem Challenges in designing AMMs for fixed-income lending with time-related complexities.
method Generalized BondMM protocol to support arbitrary maturities.
result BondMM-A protocol demonstrates superior performance in interest rate stability and financial robustness.
The Mathematics of the Relationship between the Default Risk and Yield-to-Maturity of Coupon Bondsq-fin.PR
The paper analyzes the mathematics of the relationship between the default risk and yield-to-maturity of a coupon bond. It is shown that the yield-to-maturity is driven not only by the default probability and recovery rate of the bond but also by other contractual characteristics of the bond that are not commonly assoc…
The new notion of maturity-independent risk measures is introduced and contrasted with the existing risk measurement concepts. It is shown, by means of two examples, one set on a finite probability space and the other in a diffusion framework, that, surprisingly, some of the widely utilized risk measures cannot be used…
Flexible model captures commodity skews with maturity effects.
problem Capturing market skew in commodity futures with maturity effects.
method Non-parametric extension with leverage functions, calibrated using Monte Carlo simulation.
result Model accurately captures market smile and implied variance accumulation.
The paper analyzes short maturity Asian options using large deviations theory.
problem Efficiency of existing methods for small maturities and volatilities.
method Large deviations theory and a local volatility model with a jump term.
result Asymptotics for Asian options are derived, showing rare event behavior for out-of-the-money options and more complex behavior for at-the-money options.
We propose a new framework to value employee stock options (ESOs) that captures multiple exercises of different quantities over time. We also model the ESO holder's job termination risk and incorporate its impact on the payoffs of both vested and unvested ESOs. Numerical methods based on Fourier transform and finite di…
Study short maturity Asian options in jump-diffusion models with local volatility.
problem Analyzing Asian options pricing in models with jumps and local volatility.
method Asymptotic analysis for short maturity, considering fixed and floating strike options.
result Explicit results for Asian option prices in several models, including Merton, double-exponential, and Variance Gamma models.
This paper proposes a Monte Carlo technique for pricing the forward yield to maturity, when the volatility of the zero-coupon bond is known. We make the assumption of deterministic default intensity (Hazard Rate Function). We make no assumption on the volatility of the yield. We actually calculate the initial value of …
We correct a mistake in the published version of our paper. Our new conclusion is that the "implied leverage effect" for single stocks is underestimated by option markets for short maturities and overestimated for long maturities, while it is always overestimated for OEX options, except for the shortest maturities wher…
Study short-maturity VIX and European option prices with jumps.
problem Analyzing VIX and European options with jumps in short-maturity models.
method Local-stochastic volatility models with compound Poisson jumps, leading-order asymptotics in closed-form.
result Closed-form solutions for VIX and European option prices in short-maturity models.
Asymptotic analysis of short-maturity options on realized variance in local-stochastic volatility models.
problem Analyzing the behavior of short-maturity options on realized variance in local-stochastic volatility models.
method Large deviations theory and variational problems to solve rate functions for different cases.
result Explicit solutions for the rate function in the uncorrelated case and upper/lower bounds and expansions for the correlated case.
We present a rigorous study of the short maturity asymptotics for Asian options with continuous-time averaging, under the assumption that the underlying asset follows the Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model. We present an analytical approximation for the Asian options prices which has the appropriate short matu…
We study a stochastic control approach to managed futures portfolios. Building on the Schwartz 97 stochastic convenience yield model for commodity prices, we formulate a utility maximization problem for dynamically trading a single-maturity futures or multiple futures contracts over a finite horizon. By analyzing the a…
We provide explicit conditions on the distribution of risk-neutral log-returns which yield sharp asymptotic estimates on the implied volatility smile. We allow for a variety of asymptotic regimes, including both small maturity (with arbitrary strike) and extreme strike (with arbitrary bounded maturity), extending previ…
Study variance-optimal hedging of forward curve derivatives under stochastic volatility.
problem Variance-optimal hedging of forward curve derivatives with stochastic volatility.
method Assumes HJM-Musiela dynamics modulated by stochastic covariance, uses Galtchouk-Kunita-Watanabe projection.
result Density of finite-maturity strategies, convergence of finite-rank projections, decomposition of hedging error.
We consider robust pricing and hedging for options written on multiple assets given market option prices for the individual assets. The resulting problem is called the multi-marginal martingale optimal transport problem. We propose two numerical methods to solve such problems: using discretisation and linear programmin…
This paper discusses the short-maturity behavior of Asian option prices and hedging portfolios. We consider the risk-neutral valuation and the delta value of the Asian option having a Hölder continuous payoff function in a local volatility model. The main idea of this analysis is that the local volatility model can be …
Cryptocurrencies show mature market characteristics but vary by size.
problem Understanding maturity in cryptocurrency markets.
method Quantitative analysis of return distributions, volatility, and correlations.
result Smaller cryptocurrencies lack mature market characteristics.
Study of a risk-averse informed trader in a multi-asset market with non-Gaussian prices.
problem Existence of equilibrium in a multi-asset market with non-Gaussian prices and a risk-averse informed trader.
method Constructed equilibrium using Fokker-Planck equation and coupled partial differential equations with an optimal transport constraint.
result Equilibrium exists in a market with multiple assets and non-Gaussian prices.
We consider the at-the-money strike derivative of implied volatility as the maturity tends to zero. Our main results quantify the behavior of the slope for infinite activity exponential Lévy models including a Brownian component. As auxiliary results, we obtain asymptotic expansions of short maturity at-the-money digit…
Paper models non-maturing deposits using a Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
problem Managing non-maturing deposits as a major funding source for banks.
method Develops a multivariate Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with three sources of randomness.
result Models rare but severe events in deposit volumes with positive probability.
Based on 1-minute price changes recorded since year 2012, the fluctuation properties of the rapidly-emerging Bitcoin (BTC) market are assessed over chosen sub-periods, in terms of return distributions, volatility autocorrelation, Hurst exponents and multiscaling effects. The findings are compared to the stylized facts …
We consider a stochastic volatility model which captures relevant stylized facts of financial series, including the multi-scaling of moments. The volatility evolves according to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with super-linear mean reversion. Using large deviations techniques, we determine the asymptotic sh…
We prove here a general closed-form expansion formula for forward-start options and the forward implied volatility smile in a large class of models, including the Heston stochastic volatility and time-changed exponential Lévy models. This expansion applies to both small and large maturities and is based solely on the p…
We analyze an optimal stopping problem with random maturity under a nonlinear expectation with respect to a weakly compact set of mutually singular probabilities . The maturity is specified as the hitting time to level of some continuous index process at which the payoff process is even allowed to have…
Study short-term behavior of up-and-in barrier options using Malliavin calculus.
problem Analyzing the decay rate of up-and-in barrier option prices as maturity decreases.
method Use Malliavin calculus to analyze the law of the supremum of the log-price process.
result Derive upper bound on asymptotic decay rate of up-and-in barrier option prices.
We build on the work in Fackler and King 1990, and propose a more general calibration model for implied risk neutral densities. Our model allows for the joint calibration of a set of densities at different maturities and dates through a Bayesian dynamic Beta Markov Random Field. Our approach allows for possible time de…
Near-Maturity Asymptotics of Critical Prices of American Put Options under Exponential Lévy Modelsq-fin.MF
Study near-maturity convergence rates of American put prices in Lévy models.
problem Analyzing convergence rates of optimal exercise prices in Lévy models.
method Examined two settings: jumps of unbounded and bounded variation, deriving near-maturity expansions.
result Near-maturity convergence rate of optimal exercise price is of order √(T-t).
Study short-maturity Asian option pricing in LSV models using large deviations theory.
problem Derive short-maturity asymptotics for Asian option prices in LSV models.
method Large deviations theory and novel expansion method.
result Explicit series expansions for the solution of the variational problem around the ATM point.
Study shows non-convergence of short-maturity expansion in SABR model.
problem Analyzing convergence of SABR model option prices.
method Analyzing analyticity properties of the payoff function and using the McKean kernel.
result Short-maturity expansion for SABR model is asymptotic and non-convergent.
We provide a full characterisation of the large-maturity forward implied volatility smile in the Heston model. Although the leading decay is provided by a fairly classical large deviations behaviour, the algebraic expansion providing the higher-order terms highly depends on the parameters, and different powers of the m…
Comparing the collective behavior of banking industryphysics.soc-ph
The study examines collective behavior in banking sectors across mature and emerging markets.
problem Understanding collective behavior in banking sectors across different market types.
method Applied Random Matrix Theory (RMT) to analyze the banking sectors of 4 world stock markets.
result Mature markets exhibit higher collective behavior compared to emerging markets.
Classical (Itô diffusions) stochastic volatility models are not able to capture the steepness of small-maturity implied volatility smiles. Jumps, in particular exponential Lévy and affine models, which exhibit small-maturity exploding smiles, have historically been proposed to remedy this (see \cite{Tank} for an overvi…
Study improves caplet calibration for 1Y maturity using different models.
problem Calibrate 1Y caplet smile better across strike range.
method Alternative local volatility terms and stochastic volatility models.
result Some models calibrate well to 1Y caplet smile across strike range.
This paper describes a flexible and tractable bottom-up dynamic correlation modelling framework with a consistent stochastic recovery specification. The stochastic recovery specification only models the first two moments of the spot recovery rate as its higher moments have almost no contribution to the loss distributio…
Study finds rough volatility models underperform in SPX option pricing.
problem Inconsistency of rough volatility models with SPX option prices.
method Empirical study using SPX options data, comparing rough and Markovian models.
result Rough volatility models with are inconsistent with SPX smiles, especially at short maturities.
Study pricing of American put options with stochastic interest rate and finite maturity.
problem Pricing American put options with stochastic interest rate and finite maturity.
method Applied stochastic calculus and Ito's lemma to derive the option value's formula and optimal exercise boundary.
result Existence and parametrisation of the optimal exercise boundary for the Vasicek model.
A machine learning method for short-maturity options with jumps and stochastic volatility.
problem Short-maturity options with jumps and stochastic volatility.
method Differential machine learning method combining supervision and PIDE-residual penalty.
result Improves jump-term approximation and reduces Greeks errors compared to baselines.
Long-Run Sovereign Debt Composition: An Analytic Ergodic Framework with Explicit Maturity Structureq-fin.MF
The paper develops a model for sovereign debt dynamics with explicit maturity structure.
problem Analyzing the sustainability and risk of long-term sovereign debt issuance.
method Discrete-time model with explicit maturity structure, deterministic and stochastic extensions.
result The model identifies conditions for ergodic convergence and derives analytical formulas for key metrics.
In this work we derive an approximated no-arbitrage market valuation formula for Constant Maturity Credit Default Swaps (CMCDS). We move from the CDS options market model in Brigo (2004), and derive a formula for CMCDS that is the analogous of the formula for constant maturity swaps in the default free swap market unde…