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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for multinomial parameters

Efficiently models categorical data with low to medium class overlap, improving accuracy over standard distributions.

problem Poor parameter estimates and accuracy in multinomial and Dirichlet multinomial distributions when assumptions are violated.
method Introduces Beta-Liouville multinomial distribution and efficient estimation methods.
result Beta-Liouville multinomial outperforms standard distributions on two out of four datasets.

The sparse group lasso optimization problem is solved using a coordinate gradient descent algorithm. The algorithm is applicable to a broad class of convex loss functions. Convergence of the algorithm is established, and the algorithm is used to investigate the performance of the multinomial sparse group lasso classifi…

2012-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper certifies intersection of minimum-volume confidence sets for multinomial outcomes.

problem Certifying intersection of minimum-volume confidence sets for multinomial outcomes.
method Exploits likelihood ordering to induce halfspace constraints, enabling adaptive geometric partitioning and computable bounds on p-values.
result Efficient and provably sound algorithm for certifying intersection, disjointness, or indeterminate result.

This paper studies the geometry of minimum-volume confidence sets for multinomial parameters.

problem Determining if minimum-volume confidence sets for multinomial outcomes are disjoint.
method Enumerating and covering the continuous regions of the exact p-value function to study the geometry of minimum-volume confidence sets.
result The geometry of minimum-volume confidence sets for multinomial parameters is studied, providing insights into their structure and properties.

Private two-sample tests under LDP achieve minimax rates for multinomial and continuous data.

problem Achieving statistical utility while maintaining privacy in two-sample testing.
method Private permutation tests for multinomial data and adaptive tests for continuous data.
result Minimax optimal tests for private two-sample testing under LDP.

Paper introduces a new text clustering model using Beta-Liouville priors.

problem Clustering short text data.
method Develops a hierarchical mixture model with Beta-Liouville priors for short text clustering.
result The Beta-Liouville distribution offers a more flexible correlation structure for short text clustering.

A new algorithm reduces the time and space complexity for multinomial logistic bandits.

problem High-dimensional feedback in multinomial logistic bandits makes existing algorithms inefficient.
method Integrates frequent directions matrix sketching into OFUL-MLogB to reduce time and space complexity.
result Achieves a regret bound of ildeO(ΔT(KdlnΔT+m)T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(Δ_T(Kd\lnΔ_T+m)\sqrt{T}).

We extend variational autoencoders (VAEs) to collaborative filtering for implicit feedback. This non-linear probabilistic model enables us to go beyond the limited modeling capacity of linear factor models which still largely dominate collaborative filtering research.We introduce a generative model with multinomial lik…

2018-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper establishes convergence rates for MoE models in classification problems.

problem Understanding the behavior of MoE models in classification settings.
method Established convergence rates for density and parameter estimation in softmax gating multinomial logistic MoE models.
result Parameter estimation rates are significantly improved with a novel modified softmax gating function.

Improved regret bound for multinomial logistic bandits with non-linearity.

problem Maximizing rewards in multinomial logistic bandits with non-linear feedback.
method Extended the definition of κκ_* to multinomial setting and proposed an efficient algorithm.
result Minimax-optimal regret bound of O~(RdKT/κ) \smash{\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}( R d \sqrt{ {KT}/{κ_*}} ) } , improving over existing guarantees.

Paper develops Bayesian inference for discrete-choice mnp models with Gaussian priors.

problem Estimating parameters of discrete-choice multinomial probit models with Gaussian priors.
method Adapts Fasano and Durante's results to a specific mnp model with zero mean and independent Gaussian priors, simplifying posterior distribution parameters and providing a new variational algorithm.
result Simplified expressions for posterior distribution parameters and a novel variational algorithm.

We improve MoE models for classification with rigorous guarantees and practical methods.

problem Limited guarantees for stable maximum-likelihood training and model selection in softmax-gated MoE models.
method Derived a batch MM algorithm with closed-form updates, proved finite-sample rates, and developed a dendrogram selector.
result Achieved near-parametric optimal rates for parameter recovery and improved accuracy over baselines.

Multinomial logit bandit is a sequential subset selection problem which arises in many applications. In each round, the player selects a KK-cardinality subset from NN candidate items, and receives a reward which is governed by a {\it multinomial logit} (MNL) choice model considering both item utility and substitution…

2018-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

PIANO speeds up multinomial logistic regression solving.

problem Handling large datasets and many classes in logistic regression.
method Parallel iterative algorithm based on Majorization Minimization.
result PIANO converges to a stationary point of Multinomial and Sparse Multinomial Logistic Regression.

Log-concavity proven for multinomial likelihoods under specific constraints.

problem Log-concavity of multinomial likelihoods under interval censoring constraints.
method Proved log-concavity by showing M-convex subsets of the discrete simplex.
result Likelihood function is completely log-concave.

New model improves website ranking by considering user choices as a whole.

problem Optimizing content ordering for user clicks in website design.
method Introduced multinomial logit (MNL) choice model to LTR framework, proposing UCB algorithms.
result Proved theoretical bounds on regret for UCB algorithms in both known and unknown position parameter settings.

Researchers show mixtures of ranking models are generally identifiable.

problem Understanding when and how parameters of mixtures of ranking models can be uniquely determined.
method Algebraic geometry framework applied to verify the number of solutions in polynomial systems.
result Popular mixtures of ranking models with two components are generically identifiable.

To model categorical response variables given their covariates, we propose a permuted and augmented stick-breaking (paSB) construction that one-to-one maps the observed categories to randomly permuted latent sticks. This new construction transforms multinomial regression into regression analysis of stick-specific binar…

2016-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved regret bounds for logistic bandits via novel confidence set construction.

problem Dependencies in parameter space for logistic bandits, especially when SdS \geq d.
method Regret-to-confidence-set conversion (R2CS) to construct convex confidence sets.
result Strict improvement in regret bound w.r.t. SS in logistic bandits.

Dynamic assortment problem on two-sided platform with unknown parameters

problem Optimizing assortment display in an online platform with incomplete information and heterogeneous customers
method Data-driven algorithm that learns choice parameters while optimizing revenue
result Worst-case regret grows polylogarithmically over time

In discrete choice modeling (DCM), model misspecifications may lead to limited predictability and biased parameter estimates. In this paper, we propose a new approach for estimating choice models in which we divide the systematic part of the utility specification into (i) a knowledge-driven part, and (ii) a data-driven…

2018-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved online confidence bounds for multinomial logistic models in bandits.

problem Achieving optimal regret in multinomial logistic bandits with bounded parameters and outcomes.
method Deriving an improved online confidence bound and proposing OFU-MNL++ and OFU-MN2^2L algorithms.
result Achieved variance-dependent optimal regret for MNL bandits.

Sparse multinomial logistic regression for multiclass classification with feature selection.

problem High-dimensional multiclass classification with a focus on sparse models.
method Penalized maximum likelihood with complexity penalty, feature selection using group Lasso and Slope classifiers.
result Achievement of minimax order in both small and large number of classes regimes.

Beam search improves UQ in LLMs by reducing duplicates and variance.

problem Peaked distributions in multinomial sampling lead to duplicates and high variance in uncertainty estimates.
method Employ beam search to generate candidates for consistency-based UQ, providing a theoretical lower bound and empirical evaluation.
result Beam search achieves smaller error than multinomial sampling, leading to state-of-the-art UQ performance.

Two algorithms achieve optimal regret with limited adaptivity in multinomial logistic bandits.

problem Achieving optimal regret with limited adaptivity in multinomial logistic bandits.
method Presented two algorithms, B-MNL-CB and RS-MNL, for batched and rarely-switching paradigms.
result Achieved ildeO(T) ilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) regret with limited adaptivity.

The paper proves asymptotic normality for multinomial logistic regression on null covariates.

problem Classical asymptotic normality results fail in high-dimensional multinomial logistic models.
method Developed asymptotic normality and chi-square results for multinomial logistic MLE on null covariates.
result Validated new methodology to test feature significance in high-dimensional classification problems.

Construction of tight confidence regions and intervals is central to statistical inference and decision making. This paper develops new theory showing minimum average volume confidence regions for categorical data. More precisely, consider an empirical distribution p^\widehat{\boldsymbol{p}} generated from nn iid real…

2020-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This article proposes Multinomial Probit Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (MPBART) as a multinomial probit extension of BART - Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (Chipman et al (2010)). MPBART is flexible to allow inclusion of predictors that describe the observed units as well as the available choice alternatives. T…

2013-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved logistic MoE with sigmoid gate shows better sample efficiency.

problem Improving sample efficiency in logistic MoE models.
method Comprehensive analysis of multinomial logistic MoE with modified sigmoid gate, incorporating temperature parameter and using Euclidean score.
result The sigmoid gate leads to lower sample complexity than softmax gate for both parameter and expert estimation.

Efficient RL algorithm for multinomial logistic MDPs with provable guarantees.

problem Model-based RL for episodic MDPs with unknown transition probabilities.
method Upper confidence bound-based algorithm for exploration-exploitation balance.
result Achieves ildeO(dH3T) ilde{O}(d \sqrt{H^3 T}) regret bound for multinomial logistic models.

The paper proposes an efficient method to scale Bayesian inference for mixed multinomial logit models to very large datasets.

problem Efficiency in Bayesian inference for mixed multinomial logit models on large datasets.
method Amortized Variational Inference with stochastic backpropagation, automatic differentiation, and GPU acceleration.
result The proposed method achieves significant computational speedups over traditional methods for large datasets.

New conjugate priors improve Bayesian inference for multinomial probit models.

problem Lack of tractable conjugate priors for efficient Bayesian inference in multinomial probit models.
method Unified skew-normal (SUN) distributions as conjugate priors, leading to improved posterior inference and classification.
result Improved computational methods for posterior inference and classification, especially in high dimensions.