A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Proposes a new model for context-dependent decision-making.
The paper proposes an efficient method to scale Bayesian inference for mixed multinomial logit models to very large datasets.
New algorithm reduces switching costs in multinomial logit bandit problems.
As datasets capturing human choices grow in richness and scale -- particularly in online domains -- there is an increasing need for choice models that escape traditional choice-theoretic axioms such as regularity, stochastic transitivity, and Luce's choice axiom. In this work we introduce the Pairwise Choice Markov Cha…
The standard Gibbs sampler of Mixed Multinomial Logit (MMNL) models involves sampling from conditional densities of utility parameters using Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm due to unavailability of conjugate prior for logit kernel. To address this non-conjugacy concern, we propose the application of Pólygamma data a…
The paper tackles learning mixtures of two multinomial logits, showing identifiability and presenting an algorithm.
Optimal design for multinomial logit models improves assortment selection efficiency.
In discrete choice modeling (DCM), model misspecifications may lead to limited predictability and biased parameter estimates. In this paper, we propose a new approach for estimating choice models in which we divide the systematic part of the utility specification into (i) a knowledge-driven part, and (ii) a data-driven…
The paper proposes a method to test properties of the optimal assortment in multinomial logit models.
The paper achieves nearly optimal regret bounds for contextual multinomial logit bandits.
New algorithm for maximizing revenue in multinomial logistic bandits.
Multinomial logit bandit is a sequential subset selection problem which arises in many applications. In each round, the player selects a -cardinality subset from candidate items, and receives a reward which is governed by a {\it multinomial logit} (MNL) choice model considering both item utility and substitution…
The paper models network formation using mixed logit models.
New algorithm reduces reinforcement learning regret by adapting to interaction variability.
DMNL bandits optimize assortment choices balancing relevance and diversity.
Two algorithms optimize assortment selection for user choices in unknown MNL models.
Study dynamic assortment and positioning of products with varying display effects.
New algorithm tackles non-linear utility in MNL bandits with regret.
New algorithm reduces regret in dynamic assortment selection.
New model improves website ranking by considering user choices as a whole.
Motivated by the phenomenon that companies introduce new products to keep abreast with customers' rapidly changing tastes, we consider a novel online learning setting where a profit-maximizing seller needs to learn customers' preferences through offering recommendations, which may contain existing products and new prod…
Logit models are usually applied when studying individual travel behavior, i.e., to predict travel mode choice and to gain behavioral insights on traveler preferences. Recently, some studies have applied machine learning to model travel mode choice and reported higher out-of-sample predictive accuracy than traditional …
In this paper, we study the assortment optimization problem faced by many online retailers such as Amazon. We develop a \emph{cascade multinomial logit model}, based on the classic multinomial logit model, to capture the consumers' purchasing behavior across multiple stages. Different from existing studies, our model a…
New algorithms learn MNL weights efficiently for any slate size.
Study optimizes dynamic product selection and pricing using censored preference feedback.
Paper presents a privacy-preserving method for dynamic assortment selection.
PASTA optimizes assortment selection using pessimism principle.
We study the active learning problem of top- ranking from multi-wise comparisons under the popular multinomial logit model. Our goal is to identify the top- items with high probability by adaptively querying sets for comparisons and observing the noisy output of the most preferred item from each comparison. To ac…
Study optimizes crowdfunding platform offerings based on customer behavior.
In this short note we consider a dynamic assortment planning problem under the capacitated multinomial logit (MNL) bandit model. We prove a tight lower bound on the accumulated regret that matches existing regret upper bounds for all parameters (time horizon , number of items and maximum assortment capacity )…
Two algorithms achieve optimal regret with limited adaptivity in multinomial logistic bandits.
We consider the dynamic assortment optimization problem under the multinomial logit model (MNL) with unknown utility parameters. The main question investigated in this paper is model mis-specification under the -contamination model, which is a fundamental model in robust statistics and machine learning. In…
The analysis of comorbidity is an open and complex research field in the branch of psychiatry, where clinical experience and several studies suggest that the relation among the psychiatric disorders may have etiological and treatment implications. In this paper, we are interested in applying latent feature modeling to …
Dynamic assortment problem on two-sided platform with unknown parameters
Motivated by generating personalized recommendations using ordinal (or preference) data, we study the question of learning a mixture of MultiNomial Logit (MNL) model, a parameterized class of distributions over permutations, from partial ordinal or preference data (e.g. pair-wise comparisons). Despite its long standing…
We study the dynamic assortment planning problem, where for each arriving customer, the seller offers an assortment of substitutable products and customer makes the purchase among offered products according to an uncapacitated multinomial logit (MNL) model. Since all the utility parameters of MNL are unknown, the selle…
Variational Bayes (VB) methods have emerged as a fast and computationally-efficient alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for scalable Bayesian estimation of mixed multinomial logit (MMNL) models. It has been established that VB is substantially faster than MCMC at practically no compromises in predict…
Alt-GNNs improve travel mode choice modeling by integrating graph neural networks with GEV models.
The paper provides guarantees for a tangent transform algorithm in logistic regression models.
The vast majority of the neural network literature focuses on predicting point values for a given set of response variables, conditioned on a feature vector. In many cases we need to model the full joint conditional distribution over the response variables rather than simply making point predictions. In this paper, we …
We consider assortment optimization over a continuous spectrum of products represented by the unit interval, where the seller's problem consists of determining the optimal subset of products to offer to potential customers. To describe the relation between assortment and customer choice, we propose a probabilistic choi…
We study a stylized dynamic assortment planning problem during a selling season of finite length . At each time period, the seller offers an arriving customer an assortment of substitutable products and the customer makes the purchase among offered products according to a discrete choice model. The goal of the selle…
Bandits with Knapsacks (BwK) is a general model for multi-armed bandits under supply/budget constraints. While worst-case regret bounds for BwK are well-understood, we present three results that go beyond the worst-case perspective. First, we provide upper and lower bounds which amount to a full characterization for lo…
We combine fine-grained spatially referenced census data with the vote outcomes from the 2016 US presidential election. Using this dataset, we perform ecological inference using distribution regression (Flaxman et al, KDD 2015) with a multinomial-logit regression so as to model the vote outcome Trump, Clinton, Other / …
Travel decisions tend to exhibit sensitivity to uncertainty and information processing constraints. These behavioural conditions can be characterized by a generative learning process. We propose a data-driven generative model version of rational inattention theory to emulate these behavioural representations. We outlin…
In applications such as recommendation systems and revenue management, it is important to predict preferences on items that have not been seen by a user or predict outcomes of comparisons among those that have never been compared. A popular discrete choice model of multinomial logit model captures the structure of the …
Discrete choice models are commonly used by applied statisticians in numerous fields, such as marketing, economics, finance, and operations research. When agents in discrete choice models are assumed to have differing preferences, exact inference is often intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques make approximat…
Efficiently models categorical data with low to medium class overlap, improving accuracy over standard distributions.