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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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126253379505 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for multiclass prediction

Develops methods for valid and validated confidence sets in multiclass and multilabel prediction.

problem Challenges of typical conformal prediction methods in multiclass and multilabel problems, especially uneven coverage.
method Leverages quantile regression to build methods that always guarantee correct coverage and asymptotically optimal conditional coverage, addressing label interactions with tree-structured classifiers.
result Empirical evaluation suggests more robust coverage of confidence sets.

FOLKLORE algorithm speeds up online multiclass logistic regression.

problem Efficiently solving online multiclass logistic regression without high computational cost.
method Developed FOLKLORE algorithm with improved runtime and regret bound.
result First practical algorithm for online multiclass logistic regression.

Study extends binary omniprediction to multiclass setting with improved sample complexity.

problem Suboptimality bounds for each loss function against infinite comparator family in multiclass prediction.
method Design of a framework for solving Blackwell approachability problems with coupled actions.
result Sample complexity of ε(k+1)\approx \varepsilon^{-(k+1)} for ε\varepsilon-omniprediction in a kk-class problem.

New truthful calibration errors improve model ranking in multiclass prediction.

problem Non-truthful calibration errors can mislead model comparisons.
method Introduced perfectly truthful calibration errors for multiclass predictions.
result Truthful calibration errors preserve decision-theoretic dominance and stabilize model rankings.

A new method for multiclass calibration using vector quantization.

problem Challenges in multiclass calibration, especially in high-stakes settings.
method Compositional approach via Vector Quantization (VQ) to learn region-specific calibration maps.
result Significant improvements in local calibration with competitive global calibration and predictive performance.

We study consistency properties of surrogate loss functions for general multiclass learning problems, defined by a general multiclass loss matrix. We extend the notion of classification calibration, which has been studied for binary and multiclass 0-1 classification problems (and for certain other specific learning pro…

2014-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider composite loss functions for multiclass prediction comprising a proper (i.e., Fisher-consistent) loss over probability distributions and an inverse link function. We establish conditions for their (strong) convexity and explore the implications. We also show how the separation of concerns afforded by using …

2012-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Multiclass prediction is the problem of classifying an object into a relevant target class. We consider the problem of learning a multiclass predictor that uses only few features, and in particular, the number of used features should increase sub-linearly with the number of possible classes. This implies that features …

2011-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes MCLLO for assessing and recalibrating multiclass probability predictions.

problem Limited multicategory recalibration methods for assessing and comparing model calibration.
method MCLLO recalibration method that assesses calibration without model access and is easy to interpret.
result MCLLO outperforms other methods in simulations and real-world case studies.

Extracts geometric information from point-clouds for multiclass classification.

problem Multiclass Classification with labeled point-clouds.
method Stochastic partial orderings and label embedding trees.
result Computes multiscale geometries for explainable prediction and error-free labeling.

Study online learning with set-valued feedback, showing differences between deterministic and randomized approaches.

problem Online learning with set-valued feedback, where labels are sets rather than single labels.
method Introduced new combinatorial dimensions (Set Littlestone and Measure Shattering) to characterize learnability.
result Characterized deterministic and randomized online learnability, and established bounds for various learning settings.

Novel analysis improves weighted majority vote in multiclass classification.

problem Improving the performance of weighted majority vote in multiclass classification.
method Analyzes expected risk of weighted majority vote, considering prediction correlations and provides a bound for efficient minimization.
result Minimization of the new bound typically does not degrade the test error of the ensemble.

Develops a robust multiclass classification method for deep image classifiers.

problem Tackles data contamination and robustness to outliers in deep image classifiers.
method Uses Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) with Wasserstein metric ambiguity sets and regularized learning.
result Reduces test error rate by up to 83.5% and loss by up to 91.3% in image classification tasks.

We investigate the problem of multiclass classification with rejection, where a classifier can choose not to make a prediction to avoid critical misclassification. First, we consider an approach based on simultaneous training of a classifier and a rejector, which achieves the state-of-the-art performance in the binary …

2019-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Study resolves conjecture on overparameterized linear models' generalization.

problem Asymptotic generalization of multiclass classification with overparameterized models.
method Gaussian covariates bi-level model, Hanson-Wright inequality variant.
result Min-norm interpolating classifier can be suboptimal compared to noninterpolating classifiers.

We present online boosting algorithms for multiclass classification with bandit feedback, where the learner only receives feedback about the correctness of its prediction. We propose an unbiased estimate of the loss using a randomized prediction, allowing the model to update its weak learners with limited information. …

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper analyzes risk bounds for in-context learning in multiclass classification.

problem Risk bounds for in-context learning in multiclass classification.
method Formalizes tasks as sequences of labeled examples and queries, estimates conditional class probabilities, establishes oracle inequality for KL divergence.
result ICL achieves minimax optimal rate for conditional probability estimation.

Survey on assessing and improving classifier calibration for better decision making.

problem Ensuring classifiers correctly quantify prediction uncertainty.
method Overview of principles, methods, and evaluation metrics for calibration.
result New methods and extensions from binary to multiclass settings.

New research determines the optimal sample complexity for multiclass and list learning.

problem Determining the optimal sample complexity for multiclass classification.
method Algebraic characterization of multiclass hypothesis classes in terms of their DS dimension.
result Proves a longstanding conjecture and determines the optimal dependence of sample complexity on DS dimension.

Combining Bayesian deep learning and split conformal prediction affects out-of-distribution coverage.

problem Improving out-of-distribution coverage in multiclass image classification.
method Combining Bayesian deep learning with split conformal prediction methods.
result Combining methods can reduce out-of-distribution coverage in some cases.

Sharp sample complexity for multiclass PAC learning with bandit feedback.

problem Multiclass PAC learning with bandit feedback.
method Characterization of optimal sample complexity using a new combinatorial dimension (bandit DS dimension) and a learning algorithm (ListCascade).
result Sharp sample complexity characterization for every concept class up to logarithmic factors.

Optimal transport improves multivariate prediction uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty quantification in multivariate learning tasks, especially in regression and classification.
method Introducing a novel Conformal Prediction procedure using optimal transport to handle multivariate score functions and construct flexible prediction regions.
result Ensures finite-sample, distribution-free coverage guarantees for multivariate prediction sets.

Enhanced word embeddings boost multiclass text classification accuracy.

problem Improving multiclass text classification accuracy using pre-trained embeddings.
method Proposed word-class embeddings (WCEs) to enhance pre-trained word embeddings.
result WCEs significantly improve multiclass text classification accuracy.

Study shows exponential error reduction in multiclass classification without bias-variance trade-off.

problem Multiclass classification with margin conditions.
method Analysis of classification error under hard-margin conditions.
result Exponential decrease in classification error without bias-variance trade-off.

The paper analyzes how overparameterized models can generalize well in multiclass classification.

problem Generalization in multiclass classification with overparameterized models.
method Survival/contamination analysis framework adapted for multiclass classification.
result Multiclass classification can generalize well even with many classes, unlike regression tasks.

Study online multiclass classification under bandit feedback, extending previous results.

problem Online multiclass classification with bandit feedback, focusing on label space unboundedness.
method Extend Daniely and Helbertal's results, show necessity and sufficiency of Bandit Littlestone dimension for learnability.
result Sequential uniform convergence is necessary but not sufficient for bandit online learnability.

This work extends implicit bias analysis to multiclass classification using a new loss framework.

problem The implicit bias of gradient descent on multiclass data without explicit regularization.
method Employing the PERM framework to introduce a multiclass extension of the exponential tail property.
result Extended implicit bias result to multiclass classification using a new loss framework.

Paper studies multiclass classifiers from binary classifiers, proving methods and demonstrating advantages.

problem Constructing efficient multiclass classifiers from binary ones.
method Two methods: one vs. all and hierarchical classification, with a new leverage-hierarchical method introduced.
result Proves upper bounds and exact formulas for multiclass regret in terms of binary regrets.

Establishes a condition for multiclass classification-calibration of Gamma-Phi losses.

problem Ensuring classification-calibration of multiclass Gamma-Phi losses.
method Develops a general sufficient condition for classification-calibration of Gamma-Phi losses.
result Proves the first family of nonconvex multiclass surrogate losses for which classification-calibration has been fully justified.

The paper extends multiple instance learning to multiclass and regression problems.

problem Learning from aggregate observations where supervision is given to sets of instances.
method Probabilistic framework for various aggregate observations, including classification and regression.
result The proposed estimator has nice convergence properties under mild assumptions.