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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for movement scores

Taureau uses Twitter sentiment analysis to predict stock market movement.

problem Predicting stock market movement using public opinion on Twitter.
method Obtained historical tweets, filtered and labeled, generated word embeddings, assessed sentiment scores, correlated with stock price movement, designed and evaluated predictive model.
result Taureau can predict stock price movement from lagged sentiment scores.

ChatGPT predicts stock market movements based on Bloomberg headlines, showing a positive correlation over short to medium terms.

problem Predicting stock market movements using news headlines.
method Used a two-stage prompt approach with a dataset of Bloomberg market summaries from 2010 to 2023.
result ChatGPT's sentiment scores correlate positively with future equity market returns over short to medium terms, with a negative correlation over longer horizons.

TDA improves FX clustering quality over traditional methods.

problem Capturing complex currency co-movements in FX markets.
method Topological Data Analysis (TDA) compared to traditional statistical methods on monthly FX returns.
result TDA-based clustering yields more compact and well-separated clusters.

Study predicts stock price direction on earnings announcement days using multi-modal deep learning.

problem Predicting stock price movements during earnings announcements is challenging due to market noise and discontinuities.
method Constructed a multi-modal feature space combining fundamental metrics, technical indicators, and sentiment scores from financial news articles. Evaluated LSTM and Transformer models against a baseline.
result Transformer model outperforms LSTM in identifying volatile movements, achieving higher macro F1-score.

The paper tracks patient recovery using graphs of joint movement data.

problem Tracking individual patient recovery trajectories in physical therapy.
method Bayesian learning of Random Geometric Graphs from joint movement data.
result Optimal exercise routines can be recommended based on patient recovery data.

Study uses BNs to predict cryptocurrency prices, improving accuracy with discretisation.

problem Predicting price movements in volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Discretisation-aware Bayesian Networks with three methods and multiple bin counts.
result Equal interval with two bins provides best predictive performance.

Framework detects and mitigates data-poisoning attacks in causal effect estimation.

problem Vulnerability to append-only attacks in observational causal analyses.
method Develops a data-poisoning audit for augmented inverse-probability-weighted estimation.
result Proposes a greedy scan to compute exact worst-case movement at every append budget.

Study uses Granger causality to show investor sentiment influences stock prices.

problem Understanding the relationship between investor sentiment and stock market movements.
method Applied Granger causality to analyze the relationship between close price index and sentiment score.
result Sentiment analysis shows a positive correlation with stock price movements.

A deep neural network detects sleep events in polysomnograms with high accuracy.

problem Manual scoring of sleep events in clinical analysis is inconsistent and time-consuming.
method A single deep neural network architecture trained on 1653 recordings for joint detection of arousals, leg movements, and sleep disordered breathing.
result Joint detection of sleep events yields higher accuracy compared to separate models, and correlates well with manual annotations.

Predict stock price movements using financial data and news articles with LLMs.

problem Predicting stock price movements using financial data and news articles.
method Combining financial data and news articles, employing pre-trained LLMs, and using retrieval augmentation techniques.
result Predicted stock price movements with a weighted F1-score of 58.5% and 59.1%.

Topological anomaly scores predict return curves in S&P 500 stocks

problem Detecting anomalies in financial time series
method BallMapper, decoder-conditional VAE, Function-on-Function regression
result Anomaly history carries predictive content for return curves

Paper fine-tunes a language model to predict long-term stock buy signals.

problem Predicting long-term stock price movements with narrative text.
method Fine-tuning a small language model on 10-K reports for buy/sell decisions.
result Buy signals generated from 10-K text are most precise at 6 and 9 months, providing 4.8-9% improvement over random selection.

Paper proposes an SVM-based framework to predict conductor galloping with high accuracy.

problem Predicting conductor galloping from imbalanced datasets.
method Employed smart sampling techniques (over-sampling) to balance the dataset and improve SVM performance.
result SVM-based framework achieved an F_1-score of 98.9% with only three features.

Novel CNN-based gaze scanpath comparison distinguishes experts from novices in dental radiograph interpretation.

problem Distinguishing expertise in dental radiograph interpretation based on gaze behavior.
method Convolutional neural networks (CNN) process scene information at the fixation level, using image patches as input to compare gaze scanpaths.
result 93% accuracy in distinguishing experts from novices using image patch features.

GWN improves multimodal data fusion accuracy for chronic pain patients.

problem Dynamic and unspecified uncertainties in multimodal data fusion.
method Inspired by Global Workspace Theory, GWN is a neural network architecture that dynamically attends to multiple modalities.
result GWN achieved higher F1 scores (0.92 and 0.75) for multimodal discrimination and classification tasks.

ExCIR provides efficient, consistent, and scalable explainability for complex models.

problem Complex models lack transparency and require efficient, stable, and scalable explainability methods.
method ExCIR uses correlation-aware feature attribution with robust centering and groupwise aggregation.
result ExCIR delivers trustworthy agreement with global baselines and full model rankings, reduces runtime, and scales to large datasets.

Paper reduces movement primitive dimensionality in parameter space.

problem High dimensionality of movement primitives makes policy optimization expensive.
method Investigates dimensionality reduction in parameter space, identifying principal movements.
result Dimensionality reduction in parameter space is more effective than in configuration space.

We recast the Calabi flow in DeGiorgi's language of minimizing movements. We establish the long time existence of minimizing movements for K-energy with arbitrary initial condition. Furthermore we establish some a priori regularity of these solutions, and that sufficiently regular minimizing movements are smooth soluti…

2012-08-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The study models market price movement based on investors' expectations.

problem Understanding the dynamics of investors' expectations and market price movement.
method Developed a non-linear evolutionary equation linking investors' expectations and market asset price movement.
result Model predictions co-integrated with asset time series, suggesting potential for price movement forecasting.

Paper proves minimizing movements match smooth droplet flow in 3D.

problem Consistency of minimizing movements with smooth mean curvature flow.
method Proved minimizing movements coincide with smooth droplet flow.
result Minimizing movements and smooth mean curvature flow are consistent in 3D.

MPANF improves naive forecast by incorporating directional information.

problem Challenging to surpass naive forecast in financial time series.
method Combines naive forecast with movement prediction and accuracy.
result MPANF generally outperforms common benchmarks.

Framework infers coordination strategies from movement data.

problem Inferring individual movement strategies from group data.
method Formalizes Coordination Strategy Inference Problem; provides methodology to infer strategies.
result Framework accurately infers strategies in simulated and real-world datasets.

The study introduces a new stickiness parameter for stock prices using a non-linear model.

problem Understanding how closely individual stocks follow a stock index's price movements.
method Developed a non-linear pricing model inspired by tectonic plate movements to measure stickiness.
result Defined a stickiness parameter for stock price returns using a novel model.

Bayesian method infers local rules for collective animal movement.

problem Learn local rules governing long-term group behaviors.
method Bayesian Inverse Reinforcement Learning with Linearly-Solvable Markov Decision Process.
result Recover true costs and find value of collective movement.

NoTMF forecasts sparse urban road movement speeds with nonstationary temporal matrix factorization.

problem Sparse and nonstationary movement speed data from urban roads.
method Nonstationary Temporal Matrix Factorization (NoTMF) model.
result NoTMF outperforms baseline models in forecasting urban road movement speeds.

New algorithm reduces dynamic regret in time-varying movement costs.

problem Dynamic regret in online convex optimization with time-varying movement costs.
method Introduced a novel algorithm for time-varying movement costs, achieving comparator-adaptive dynamic regret bound.
result Established first comparator-adaptive dynamic regret bound of O~((M2+MPT)(T+tλt))\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{(M^2+MP_T)(T+\sum_t λ_t)}).

Alternative proof of weak solutions to mean curvature flow using minimizing movements.

problem Existence of weak solutions to mean curvature flow and volume preserving mean curvature flow.
method Proposes a new existence proof using a minimizing movements scheme and a novel proxy for distance.
result Unconditional convergence towards a De Giorgi solution for the minimizing movements scheme.

The Autoencoder Reconstruction Ratio detects increased asset co-movements.

problem Detecting changes in asset co-movements for risk management.
method Uses a deep sparse denoising autoencoder to measure asset returns with latent variables.
result Lower ARR values indicate periods of market weakness and increased volatility.