A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Extends conformal prediction for controlling expected risk of monotone loss functions.
problem Controlling expected risk of monotone loss functions.
method Generalizes split conformal prediction with coverage guarantee, extending to distribution shift, quantile risk, multiple, adversarial, and expectations of U-statistics.
result Tight up to an O(1/n) factor, with worked examples in computer vision and natural language processing.
Stochastic control problems in finance often involve complex controls at discrete times. As a result numerically solving such problems, for example using methods based on partial differential or integro-differential equations, inevitably give rise to low order accuracy, usually at most second order. In many cases one c…
We give a singular control approach to the problem of minimizing an energy functional for measures with given total mass on a compact real interval, when energy is defined in terms of a completely monotone kernel. This problem occurs both in potential theory and when looking for optimal financial order execution strate…
In this paper, wireless video transmission to multiple users under total transmission power and minimum required video quality constraints is studied. In order to provide the desired performance levels to the end-users in real-time video transmissions while using the energy resources efficiently, we assume that power c…
Applications in machine learning, optimization, and control require the sequential selection of a few system elements, such as sensors, data, or actuators, to optimize the system performance across multiple time steps. However, in failure-prone and adversarial environments, sensors get attacked, data get deleted, and a…
We present techniques, inspired by monodromy considerations, for constructing compact monotone Lagrangians in certain affine hypersurfaces, chiefly of Brieskorn-Pham type. We focus on dimensions 2 and 3, though the constructions generalise to higher ones. The techniques give significant latitude in controlling the homo…
We study a multiplicative transient price impact model for an illiquid financial market, where trading causes price impact which is multiplicative in relation to the current price, transient over time with finite rate of resilience, and non-linear in the order size. We construct explicit solutions for the optimal contr…
Controller-Augmented Hidden Markov Models (CHMMs) are a framework for constrained sequential inference.
problem Hidden Markov models fail under pathwise constraints like precedence, visitation, or monotonic state progression.
method CHMMs compile constraints into finite-state controllers, then use standard forward-backward and Viterbi recursions to compute exact constrained posteriors and paths.
result CHMMs provide exact constrained inference, monotone ascent in constrained EM, and linear complexity in controller cardinality.
The control and sensing of large-scale systems results in combinatorial problems not only for sensor and actuator placement but also for scheduling or observability/controllability. Such combinatorial constraints in system design and implementation can be captured using a structure known as matroids. In particular, the…
Motivated by recent work of Choquet-Bruhat, Chrusciel, and Martin-Garcia, we prove monotonicity properties and comparison results for the area of slices of the null cone of a point in a Lorentzian manifold. We also prove volume comparison results for subsets of the null cone analogous to the Bishop-Gromov relative volu…
Generalising the idea of the classical EM algorithm that is widely used for computing maximum likelihood estimates, we propose an EM-Control (EM-C) algorithm for solving multi-period finite time horizon stochastic control problems. The new algorithm sequentially updates the control policies in each time period using Mo…
Derivative estimates for pluriclosed flow control curvature and torsion.
problem Deriving derivative estimates for the pluriclosed flow.
method Control higher order derivatives of Chern curvature and torsion using Chern curvature; derive an estimate for torsion tensor using Chern Ricci curvature in dimension two; find a monotonic quantity in Hermitian-symplectic case.
result All Hermitian-symplectic solitons are Kähler Ricci solitons.
We analyze an N+1-player game and the corresponding mean field game with state space {0,1}. The transition rate of j-th player is the sum of his control αj plus a minimum jumping rate η. Instead of working under monotonicity conditions, here we consider an anti-monotone running cost. We show that the mean …
By means of a space-time Wasserstein control, we show the monotonicity of the W-entropy functional in time along heat flows on possibly singular metric measure spaces with non-negative Ricci curvature and a finite upper bound of dimension in an appropriate sense. The associated rigidity result on the rate of dissipatio…
Study optimal control strategy for hedge funds managers with PSAHARA utility family.
problem Optimizing risk and reward in incomplete markets with non-monotone risk aversion and convex compensation.
method Introduced PSAHARA utility family to model non-monotone risk aversion and convex compensation. Proved concavification techniques for non-concave utility functions. Derived explicit optimal control strategy.
result PSAHARA utility induces risk-taking behavior even with convex compensation, leading to high returns and volatility.
Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are commonly used for image classification tasks, raising the challenge of their application on data flows. During their training, adaptation is often performed by tuning the learning rate. Usual learning rate strategies are time-based i.e. monotonously decreasing. In this paper, we…
We show a concise extension of the monotone stability approach to backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) that are jointly driven by a Brownian motion and a random measure for jumps, which could be of infinite activity with a non-deterministic and time inhomogeneous compensator. The BSDE generator function c…
We study the utility maximization problem for power utility random fields in a semimartingale financial market, with and without intermediate consumption. The notion of an opportunity process is introduced as a reduced form of the value process of the resulting stochastic control problem. We show how the opportunity pr…