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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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3527051,0571,409 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for monotonic models

The paper addresses monotonicity in machine learning models for fairness and accountability.

problem Ensuring fairness and accountability in transparent machine learning models.
method Study of three types of monotonicity (individual, weak pairwise, strong pairwise) and propose monotonic groves of neural additive models.
result Monotonic groves of neural additive models maintain transparency, accountability, and fairness.

Study examines explainable machine learning for monotonic models, finding Integrated gradients better for strong monotonicity.

problem Applying explainable machine learning to science-informed models.
method Proposed axioms for monotonicity, tested Shapley value and Integrated gradients methods.
result Integrated gradients provides better explanations for strong monotonicity.

Probit Monotone BART estimates binary outcomes using monotonic functions.

problem Estimating conditional mean functions for binary outcomes with monotonicity constraints.
method Proposes a new BART variant that incorporates monotonicity constraints for binary outcomes.
result Allows for more precise estimation of monotonic functions in binary outcome models.

Learning performance can show non-monotonic behavior. That is, more data does not necessarily lead to better models, even on average. We propose three algorithms that take a supervised learning model and make it perform more monotone. We prove consistency and monotonicity with high probability, and evaluate the algorit…

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New models ensure monotonicity in preference learning, improving accuracy especially with limited data.

problem Failure of widely used preference learning models to maintain monotonicity.
method Proposed Linear Generalized Bradley-Terry models with Diffusion Priors.
result New models improve accuracy, especially with limited data.

We propose a new framework for imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian nonparametric setting based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations. We derive a nonparametric model of monotonic functions that allows for interpretable priors and principled quantification of hierarchical uncertainty. W…

2019-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper benchmarks monotone-constrained models for credit PD across datasets and finds constraints are mostly costless.

problem Aligning machine learning model behavior with domain knowledge in credit risk.
method Benchmarked monotone-constrained versus unconstrained gradient boosting models across five datasets and three libraries, defining the Price of Monotonicity (PoM) as the relative change in AUC.
result Monotonicity constraints are almost costless on large datasets and most costly on smaller datasets, with PoM ranging from essentially zero to about 2.9 percent.

Study on MMV in jump-diffusion models resolves MV's non-monotonicity issues.

problem Non-monotonicity and free cash flow stream problems in MV preferences.
method Explicit solution for MMV preferences in jump-diffusion models, proving non-negative potential measures.
result MMV resolves MV's non-monotonicity and free cash flow stream issues.

Monotonic neural additive models simplify machine learning for credit scoring.

problem Complex machine learning methods make models less transparent and fair.
method Introducing monotonic neural additive models that simplify neural networks while maintaining regulatory compliance.
result Monotonic neural additive models achieve similar accuracy to complex neural networks but are more transparent and fair.

The paper evaluates the importance of monotonicity in AI fairness across various fields.

problem Ensuring fairness in AI applications across criminology, education, health care, and finance.
method Theoretical reasoning, simulation, and extensive empirical analysis of monotonic neural additive models (MNAMs).
result Monotonicity is essential for fairness in AI ethics and society, especially in criminology, education, health care, and finance.

We propose learning deep models that are monotonic with respect to a user-specified set of inputs by alternating layers of linear embeddings, ensembles of lattices, and calibrators (piecewise linear functions), with appropriate constraints for monotonicity, and jointly training the resulting network. We implement the l…

2017-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Monotonic relationship found between in-distribution and out-of-distribution performance.

problem Understanding performance of machine learning models under distribution shifts.
method Analyzing ridge-regularized models and linear inverse problems under covariate shift.
result Monotonic relationship between in-distribution and out-of-distribution performance for certain models.

Develops a two-level monotonic multistage recommender system for better user-specific prediction.

problem Leveraging user-item-stage dependencies in a monotonic chain of events for enhanced prediction accuracy.
method A multistage recommender system with a two-level monotonic property, using a large-margin classifier based on a nonnegative additive latent factor model.
result The proposed method outperforms existing methods in simulations and an article sharing dataset.

Monotone adversarial corruptions degrade optimal learning algorithms.

problem Optimal learning algorithms' reliance on exchangeability and independence is challenged.
method Introduces a monotone adversarial corruption model where an adversary adds monotone corruptions to a clean dataset.
result Optimal learning algorithms achieve suboptimal expected error on new test points.

Researchers propose a non-monotone quantum natural gradient for quantum systems.

problem Applying natural gradient methods to quantum systems without monotonicity.
method Introducing a non-monotone quantum natural gradient (QNG) and demonstrating its superiority over conventional QNG.
result Non-monotone QNG outperforms conventional QNG in terms of convergence speed.

Monotone neural networks can approximate and interpolate functions efficiently.

problem Understanding the efficiency and expressiveness of monotone neural networks.
method Solving the monotone interpolation problem using depth-4 networks and comparing size bounds with arbitrary networks.
result Monotone neural networks can approximate and interpolate functions efficiently, but may require exponential size in high dimensions.

Framework mitigates risk non-monotonicity in high-dimensional predictions.

problem Risk non-monotonicity in high-dimensional predictions.
method Model-agnostic framework using cross-validation and data-driven methodologies (zero- and one-step).
result Modified prediction procedures achieve monotonic asymptotic risk behavior.

Bayesian optimization with preference learning using monotonic neural networks.

problem Optimizing complex systems with multiple conflicting objectives.
method Proposes a neural network ensemble for utility surrogate modeling, leveraging monotonicity.
result Demonstrates superior performance compared to existing methods.

The paper proves learning-curve monotonicity for maximum likelihood estimators in various parametric settings.

problem Establishing monotonicity guarantees for maximum likelihood estimators.
method Variants of GPT-5.2 Pro were used to derive the results.
result The paper proves monotonicity for maximum likelihood estimators in Gaussian and Gamma variables.

Sequence-to-sequence models with soft attention have been successfully applied to a wide variety of problems, but their decoding process incurs a quadratic time and space cost and is inapplicable to real-time sequence transduction. To address these issues, we propose Monotonic Chunkwise Attention (MoChA), which adaptiv…

2017-12-14abs ↗pdf ↗

SurvSurf predicts first hitting times for intermittent events without monotonic violations.

problem Predicting first hitting times for intermittent events with monotonicity guarantees.
method Partially monotonic neural network for sequential events, incorporating unobserved events.
result SurvSurf outperforms existing models in MSE and IBS metrics.

Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) factorizes a non-negative matrix into product of two non-negative matrices, namely a signal matrix and a mixing matrix. NMF suffers from the scale and ordering ambiguities. Often, the source signals can be monotonous in nature. For example, in source separation problem, the source…

2015-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

In [S. Basu, A. Gabrielov, N. Vorobjov, Semi-monotone sets. arXiv:1004.5047v2 (2011)] we defined semi-monotone sets, as open bounded sets, definable in an o-minimal structure over the reals, and having connected intersections with all translated coordinate cones in R^n. In this paper we develop this theory further by d…

2012-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We prove three new monotonicity formulas for manifolds with a lower Ricci curvature bound and show that they are connected to rate of convergence to tangent cones. In fact, we show that the derivative of each of these three monotone quantities is bounded from below in terms of the Gromov-Hausdorff distance to the neare…

2011-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

MCNet improves uncertainty calibration in online advertising by modeling complex relations and balancing performance.

problem Lack of effective calibration for complex relations and context features in online advertising.
method Introduces MCNet with MCF, order-preserving, and field-balance regularizers.
result Superior performance in generating well-calibrated probability predictions on public and industrial datasets.

Proves monotonicity of parabolic frequency on all manifolds without curvature assumptions.

problem Monotonicity of parabolic frequency on manifolds.
method Analyzes parabolic frequency function on manifolds, proving monotonicity without curvature assumptions.
result Monotonicity of parabolic frequency on all manifolds, no curvature assumption needed.

Alternative neural network training using monotone variational inequality.

problem Training neural networks efficiently and with guarantees.
method Using monotone variational inequality to solve non-convex problems efficiently.
result Our approach leads to fast convergence and competitive performance compared to traditional methods.

The study calculates Weyl entropy in spacetime regions and shows its monotonic behavior.

problem Calculating and understanding Weyl entropy in spacetime regions.
method Introducing a candidate density for Weyl entropy in perfect fluid regions and analyzing its behavior in compact spacetime regions.
result Weyl entropy is shown to be monotonic in time and maximal in vacuum static metrics.

We introduce large scale analogues of topological monotone and light maps, which we call coarsely monotone and coarsely light maps respectively. We show that these two classes of maps constitute a factorization system on the coarse category. We also show how coarsely monotone maps arise from a reflection in a similar w…

2016-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper addresses estimating long-term treatment effects with monotone missing data.

problem Estimating long-term treatment effects with missing data, especially monotone missing.
method The paper introduces the sequential missingness assumption for identification and proposes three novel estimation methods: inverse probability weighting, sequential regression imputation, and SeqMSM. It also introduces a balancing-enhanced approach, BalanceNet, to improve estimation accuracy.
result The proposed methods, including BalanceNet, effectively estimate long-term treatment effects with monotone missing data.

Learning new tasks with few samples using related task evaluations.

problem Learning a new task with limited data and related task evaluations.
method Modeling task relatedness through weak monotonicity and leveraging it in transfer learning and model selection aggregation.
result Pruning the model class based on monotonicity and hedging on the task frontier.

Productivity and credit limits affect aggregate production in non-monotonic ways.

problem Understanding how aggregate production is influenced by individual characteristics and financial constraints.
method Analytical proof of non-monotonic effects of productivity and credit limits on aggregate production in a general equilibrium model.
result Equilibrium aggregate production can be non-monotonic in both individual productivity and credit limit.