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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,982 papers · 148 categories

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4284125167 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for monotonic change

We derive a monotonicity formula and classify finite Morse index solutions (positive or sign-changing, radial or not) to the following triharmonic Lane-Emden equation: \begin{equation}\nonumber (-Δ)^3 u=|u|^{p-1}u \hbox{ in } \mathbb{R}^n, \end{equation} where pp is below the Joseph-Lundgren exponent. As a byproduct w…

2016-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper benchmarks monotone-constrained models for credit PD across datasets and finds constraints are mostly costless.

problem Aligning machine learning model behavior with domain knowledge in credit risk.
method Benchmarked monotone-constrained versus unconstrained gradient boosting models across five datasets and three libraries, defining the Price of Monotonicity (PoM) as the relative change in AUC.
result Monotonicity constraints are almost costless on large datasets and most costly on smaller datasets, with PoM ranging from essentially zero to about 2.9 percent.

Derives a new formula for optimal stopping problems with exploding derivatives.

problem Optimal stopping problems with complex boundary conditions.
method Develops a change of variable formula for functions with exploding derivatives near a surface.
result Derives a formula similar to Itô's but with less restrictive conditions.

It has been noticed that some external CVIs exhibit a preferential bias towards a larger or smaller number of clusters which is monotonic (directly or inversely) in the number of clusters in candidate partitions. This type of bias is caused by the functional form of the CVI model. For example, the popular Rand index (R…

2016-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we describe a newly discovered statistical property of time series data for daily price changes. We conducted quantitative investigation of the {\it calm-time intervals} of price changes for 800 companies listed in the Tokyo Stock Exchange, and for the Nikkei 225 index over a 27-year period from January …

2003-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper examines how the first Steklov-Dirichlet eigenvalue changes with the distance between two concentric circles.

problem Investigating the monotonicity of the first Steklov-Dirichlet eigenvalue on eccentric annuli.
method The approach involves showing differentiability, deriving integral expressions for the derivative, and using variational formulations to find upper and lower bounds.
result The paper proves the monotonicity of the first Steklov-Dirichlet eigenvalue on eccentric annuli with respect to the distance between the centers of the inner and outer boundaries.

Recent reports have described that the equivalent sample size (ESS) in a Dirichlet prior plays an important role in learning Bayesian networks. This paper provides an asymptotic analysis of the marginal likelihood score for a Bayesian network. Results show that the ratio of the ESS and sample size determine the penalty…

2012-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate possible origins of trends using a deterministic threshold model, where we refer to long-term variabilities of price changes (price movements) in financial markets as trends. From the investigation we find two phenomena. One is that the trend of monotonic increase and decrease can be generated by dealers…

2014-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New method makes CP intervals locally adaptive using trainable transformations.

problem Making Conformal Prediction intervals locally adaptive.
method Defining a trainable change of variables φX(A)φ_X(A) that depends on object attributes XX.
result Locally adaptive prediction intervals with guaranteed marginal validity and variable sizes.

The paper extends the avoidance principle for mean curvature flows, proving new intersection dimension monotonicity results.

problem Understanding the behavior of intersections in mean curvature flows.
method Proving new intersection dimension monotonicity results for mean curvature flows, Brakke flows, and level set flows.
result The dimension of the intersection of mean curvature flows is non-increasing over time.

The paper studies how the first eigenvalue of a weighted p-Laplacian changes over time on Riemannian manifolds.

problem Evolution of the first eigenvalue of weighted p-Laplacian.
method Investigates monotonicity of the first eigenvalue problem along the Ricci-Bourguignon flow.
result First variation formula for eigenvalues and various monotonic quantities are derived.

Investigates how trading boundaries change with transaction costs in portfolio selection.

problem Investigates how trading boundaries vary with transaction costs in portfolio selection.
method Analyzes Merton's problem with proportional transaction costs, showing monotonicity of trading boundaries.
result Cost-adjusted trading boundaries are monotone in transaction costs, with implications for the Merton line.

In this paper we apply change of numeraire techniques to the optimal transport approach for computing model-free prices of derivatives in a two periods model. In particular, we consider the optimal transport plan constructed in \cite{HobsonKlimmek2013} as well as the one introduced in \cite{BeiglJuil} and further studi…

2014-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

For an oriented knot diagram D, the warping degree d(D) is the smallest number of crossing changes which are needed to obtain the monotone diagram from D in the usual way. We show that d(D) + d(-D) + 1 is less than or equal to the crossing number of D. Moreover the equality holds if and only if D is an alternating diag…

2008-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper addresses monotonicity in machine learning models for fairness and accountability.

problem Ensuring fairness and accountability in transparent machine learning models.
method Study of three types of monotonicity (individual, weak pairwise, strong pairwise) and propose monotonic groves of neural additive models.
result Monotonic groves of neural additive models maintain transparency, accountability, and fairness.

A new method for disentangled latent spaces in VAEs that can manipulate attributes.

problem Disentangled representation of attributes in latent spaces of VAEs.
method Attribute-based regularization loss to enforce monotonic relationships between attributes and latent codes.
result Manipulation of attributes in latent spaces post-training.

Bayesian ARMA model with directional shifts captures structural breaks in compositional time series.

problem Structural breaks in compositional time series due to external shocks or policy changes.
method Developed a Bayesian Dirichlet ARMA model augmented with a directional-shift intervention mechanism.
result The model captures structural breaks through interpretable parameters and produces coherent probabilistic forecasts.

The paper tackles non-monotonic learning performance and proposes algorithms to make models more monotone.

problem Non-monotonic learning performance where more data does not always improve model quality.
method Proposes three algorithms to make supervised learning models more monotone, proving consistency and monotonicity with high probability.
result The algorithm MT-HT reduces less than 1% non-monotonic decisions on MNIST while maintaining competitive error rates.

Probit Monotone BART estimates binary outcomes using monotonic functions.

problem Estimating conditional mean functions for binary outcomes with monotonicity constraints.
method Proposes a new BART variant that incorporates monotonicity constraints for binary outcomes.
result Allows for more precise estimation of monotonic functions in binary outcome models.

In this note, we study Liouville type theorem for conformal Gaussian curvature equation (also called the mean field equation) Δu=K(x)eu,inR2 -Δu=K(x)e^u, in R^2 where K(x)K(x) is a smooth function on R2R^2. When K(x)=K(x1)K(x)=K(x_1) is a sign-changing smooth function in the real line RR, we have a non-existence result for the finite to…

2008-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Monotone neural networks can approximate and interpolate functions efficiently.

problem Understanding the efficiency and expressiveness of monotone neural networks.
method Solving the monotone interpolation problem using depth-4 networks and comparing size bounds with arbitrary networks.
result Monotone neural networks can approximate and interpolate functions efficiently, but may require exponential size in high dimensions.

TRACE analyzes risk changes in models trained on shifted data.

problem Understanding performance changes when a model trained on shifted data is used.
method TRACE framework decomposes risk change into four factors: generalization gaps, model change penalty, and covariate shift penalty.
result TRACE provides a diagnostic tool to understand and quantify risk changes due to covariate shift.

Study examines explainable machine learning for monotonic models, finding Integrated gradients better for strong monotonicity.

problem Applying explainable machine learning to science-informed models.
method Proposed axioms for monotonicity, tested Shapley value and Integrated gradients methods.
result Integrated gradients provides better explanations for strong monotonicity.

Proposes a Bayesian nonparametric model for monotonic functions.

problem Imposing monotonicity constraints in Bayesian nonparametric models.
method Numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations for nonparametric model of monotonic functions.
result Demonstrates competitive results on benchmark functions and utility in temporal alignment of time-series data.

Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) factorizes a non-negative matrix into product of two non-negative matrices, namely a signal matrix and a mixing matrix. NMF suffers from the scale and ordering ambiguities. Often, the source signals can be monotonous in nature. For example, in source separation problem, the source…

2015-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

In [S. Basu, A. Gabrielov, N. Vorobjov, Semi-monotone sets. arXiv:1004.5047v2 (2011)] we defined semi-monotone sets, as open bounded sets, definable in an o-minimal structure over the reals, and having connected intersections with all translated coordinate cones in R^n. In this paper we develop this theory further by d…

2012-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We prove three new monotonicity formulas for manifolds with a lower Ricci curvature bound and show that they are connected to rate of convergence to tangent cones. In fact, we show that the derivative of each of these three monotone quantities is bounded from below in terms of the Gromov-Hausdorff distance to the neare…

2011-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗