MOMENT selects and estimates mixed-effects models using moment identities.
problem Selecting and estimating random-effects covariance matrix and fixed-effects coefficients in multiresponse linear mixed-effects models.
method MOMENT is a stage-wise moment-based framework that reduces the random-effects selection problem to a smooth constrained convex optimization problem.
result MOMENT performs competitively and can outperform separate univariate analyses for correlated responses.
SkMM selects data for finetuning by balancing bias and variance.
problem Balancing bias and variance in high-dimensional finetuning.
method Gradient sketching for bias reduction and moment matching for variance reduction.
result Gradient sketching selects samples efficiently and accurately.
Proposes a new method for big portfolio selection using graph-based conditional moments.
problem Challenges in selecting portfolios for thousands of stocks.
method Graph-based Conditional Moments (GRACE) method: learns quantiles, means, variances, skewness, and kurtosis of stock returns.
result Shows superior performance compared to competitors, especially in measures of conditional variance, skewness, and kurtosis.
Paper proposes efficient online estimation of causal effects by deciding which data sources to query.
problem Data fusion problems with multiple data sources capturing distinct subsets of variables.
method Online moment selection (OMS) framework, balancing exploration and exploitation.
result OMS algorithms achieve zero asymptotic regret for estimating average treatment effects.
Paper characterizes equilibrium strategies for stochastic control with higher-order moments.
problem Stochastic control problems with higher-order moments.
method Novel characterization of time-consistent control problems, deriving equilibrium conditions via BSDEs.
result Derives sufficient and necessary conditions for an open-loop Nash equilibrium control (ONEC) in a novel way.
We select n stocks traded in the New York Stock Exchange and we form a statistical ensemble of daily stock returns for each of the k trading days of our database from the stock price time series. We analyze each ensemble of stock returns by extracting its first four central moments. We observe that these moments are fl…
This paper analyzes MaskGIT sampler and introduces a moment sampler for faster masked diffusion sampling.
problem Efficiently sampling from masked diffusion models.
method Theoretical analysis of MaskGIT sampler, introduction of moment sampler, and two innovations for improving choose-then-sample efficiency.
result The moment sampler is an asymptotically equivalent, more interpretable alternative to MaskGIT.
Paper relaxes symmetry conditions for universal feature selection in noisy data.
problem Feature selection in noisy data with weak symmetry.
method Developed a universal feature selection framework using singular value decomposition of canonical dependence matrix.
result Selected features achieve asymptotically optimal error exponents up to a residual term.
The paper analyzes distances and volumes in lens spaces using recursion and formulas.
problem The problem of moments for distances between points on lens spaces.
method Derivation of recursion relations, formulas for moments and moment generating function, explicit formula for ball volumes.
result Explicit formulas for the volume of balls of all radii in lens spaces.
A novel method for learning DAGs from positive-valued data.
problem Causal discovery from observational data of positive-valued variables.
method Hybrid Moment-Ratio Scoring (H-MRS) algorithm combining moment-based scoring and log-scale regression.
result H-MRS integrates log-scale Ridge regression for moment-ratio estimation with a greedy ordering procedure based on raw-scale moment ratios, followed by Elastic Net-based parent selection.
Paper identifies tensor ranks via prior predictive matching, solving system of equations.
problem Determining the latent dimensions (ranks) in tensor factorization models.
method Prior predictive moment matching to transform moment matching conditions into a log-linear system of equations.
result Identifies which tensor models have identifiable ranks and derives rank estimators.
Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) has been widely used in machine learning and signal processing because of its non-subtractive, part-based property which enhances interpretability. It is often assumed that the latent dimensionality (or the number of components) is given. Despite the large amount of algorithms des…
Paper provides Edgeworth expansions for network moments, improving accuracy of sampling distributions.
problem Accurate descriptions of sampling distributions of network moment statistics.
method Edgeworth expansion applied to studentized network moment statistics.
result Higher-order accurate approximation to sampling CDF of network moment statistics.
Roy's `Safety First' criterion for selecting one risky asset from many is adapted to the case of non-normal returns, via Cornish Fisher expansion. The resulting investment objective is consistent with first order stochastic dominance, and is equal to the Sharpe ratio for the case of normal returns. An investor selectin…
Proposes debiasing strategy for ill-posed regression problems.
problem Estimating functions with conditional moment restrictions, especially when estimators are sensitive to misspecification.
method Debiased estimation using influence function of modified mean squared error.
result Demonstrates finite-sample convergence rate and robustness to misspecification.
Unified framework for distribution shift estimation, explanation, and improvement.
problem Estimating, explaining, and improving model performance on target domains with distribution shift.
method Entropic Projection Alignment (EPA) aligns source and target distributions by matching moments and minimizing KL divergence.
result EPA consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines while offering computational efficiency.
We study the column subset selection problem with respect to the entrywise ℓ1-norm loss. It is known that in the worst case, to obtain a good rank-k approximation to a matrix, one needs an arbitrarily large nΩ(1) number of columns to obtain a (1+ε)-approximation to the best entrywise ℓ1-norm low ra…
Efficiently factorize tensors in streaming data with coreset selection.
problem Efficiently factorize tensors in streaming data.
method Online filtering and kernelization techniques to select a coreset of vectors.
result CP decomposition of coreset approximates full data tensor decomposition.
Extracts representative scenarios from large data panels.
problem Creating representative scenarios from large data panels.
method Two novel algorithms: one identifies new scenarios, the other selects known important data points.
result Efficient algorithms for consistent scenario-based modeling and multi-dimensional numerical integration.
We present a detailed analysis of \emph{observable} moments based parameter estimators for the Heston SDEs jointly driving the rate of returns Rt and the squared volatilities Vt. Since volatilities are not directly observable, our parameter estimators are constructed from empirical moments of realized volatilitie…
AGMMNs improve learning of copula models by adaptively selecting kernels.
problem Learning dependence structures in copula models.
method Adaptive bandwidth selection for MMD in GMMNs, increasing kernels based on validation loss.
result AGMMNs significantly improve training performance over GMMNs and parametric models.
Paper improves basket option pricing for log-normal models.
problem Challenges in pricing basket options with negative weights.
method Moment matching and solving a unary cubic equation.
result Highly accurate closed form solution for basket options.
Cryptocurrency markets treat infrastructure failures and regulatory shocks differently, but the effect is not statistically significant.
problem Understanding how cryptocurrency markets differentiate between infrastructure failures and regulatory shocks.
method A multi-moment event study using GJR-GARCH-X model with matched dependence-robust inference.
result The differential impact of infrastructure failures and regulatory shocks on cryptocurrency markets is not statistically significant.
New method for adaptive estimation and inference in econometric models without knowing smoothness.
problem Adaptive estimation and inference in ill-posed linear inverse problems with unknown smoothness.
method Discrepancy principle-based framework for adaptive hyperparameter selection.
result Achieves optimal rates in weak and strong metrics for linear functionals.
Letter analyzes training dynamics of a nonlinear contrastive learning model in high dimensions.
problem Understanding training dynamics of nonlinear contrastive learning models in high-dimensional settings.
method High-dimensional analysis using McKean-Vlasov PDEs and low-dimensional ODEs.
result The model's performance evolves according to specific ODEs, revealing features like feature learnability and noise effects.
Training deep neural networks requires intricate initialization and careful selection of learning rates. The emergence of stochastic gradient optimization methods that use adaptive learning rates based on squared past gradients, e.g., AdaGrad, AdaDelta, and Adam, eases the job slightly. However, such methods have also …
Barren plateaus are not an average-case phenomenon, but a highly non-unique problem.
problem Avoiding barren plateaus in neural network training
method First-moment framework for initialization strategies
result Many families of inequivalent initialization strategies can avoid concentration
New robust estimator improves variable selection and coefficient estimation in linear regression with heavy-tailed errors and outliers.
problem Heavy-tailed errors and anomalous predictors in high-dimensional regression.
method Adaptive PENSE estimator for robust variable selection and estimation.
result Adaptive PENSE estimator provides reliable results even under very heavy-tailed errors and aberrant predictors.
Paper proposes ClipSMT algorithm for better ATE estimation.
problem Adaptive estimation of Average Treatment Effect (ATE).
method ClipSMT algorithm for improved Neyman regret.
result Achieves exponential improvements in Neyman regret.
Paper finds robust Λ-quantiles equal to extremal distributions.
problem Investigating robust models for Λ-quantiles with partial loss information. method Extending classical quantiles using Λ-quantiles and applying results from robust quantiles. result Robust Λ-quantiles equal to Λ-quantiles of extremal distributions. Instrumental variable analysis is a powerful tool for estimating causal effects when randomization or full control of confounders is not possible. The application of standard methods such as 2SLS, GMM, and more recent variants are significantly impeded when the causal effects are complex, the instruments are high-dimen…
Composite likelihood inference of fractional Gaussian processes with sequentially optimal subset selection
problem Estimating parameters in time series
method Composite likelihood method
result The method reduces computational cost
The asymptotic distribution of the Markowitz portfolio is derived, for the general case (assuming fourth moments of returns exist), and for the case of multivariate normal returns. The derivation allows for inference which is robust to heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation of moments up to order four. As a side effect…
A new method for assessing Bayesian sampling quality, PSD, is proposed and shown to be more powerful and efficient.
problem Scalability and convergence assessment of Bayesian sampling algorithms, especially for high-dimensional problems.
method Polynomial Stein Discrepancy (PSD) for measuring discrepancy between samples and posterior distributions.
result PSD detects differences in the first r moments for Gaussian targets and is more powerful and efficient than competitors.
A new method calculates fractional moments using the moment-generating function.
problem Computing fractional moments from probability densities.
method Integral framework based on moment-generating function.
result Exact integral expressions for various types of moments.
Study compares weak and homotopy moment maps in multisymplectic geometry.
problem Existence and equivariance of moment maps in multisymplectic geometry.
method Comparison of weak and homotopy moment maps.
result Analysis of existence and equivariance phenomena.
CO2 algorithm creates coresets for generic smooth divergences efficiently.
problem Efficiently creating coresets for generic smooth divergences.
method CO2 algorithm using functional Taylor expansion and maximum mean discrepancy minimization.
result Poly-logarithmically many data points suffice for Sinkhorn divergence approximation.
Paper introduces WWAggr for ensemble CPD, improving accuracy and decision threshold selection.
problem Challenges in detecting abrupt distribution shifts in high-dimensional data streams.
method Introduces WWAggr, a novel task-specific ensemble aggregation method based on Wasserstein distance.
result Demonstrates WWAggr outperforms standard aggregation techniques and decision threshold selection.
For a GJR-GARCH specification with a generic innovation distribution we derive analytic expressions for the first four conditional moments of the forward and aggregated returns and variances. Moment for the most commonly used GARCH models are stated as special cases. We also the limits of these moments as the time hori…
Paper develops efficient recursive learning for multi-channel systems with heterogeneous dynamics.
problem Accurately learning system dynamics in complex, multi-channel systems with nonlinear and noisy data.
method Formulates system as Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs), introduces heterogeneous multi-output kernel, and develops recursive inference framework.
result Matches SOTA offline GPSSMs in accuracy with 1/100 runtime, and outperforms SOTA online GPSSMs by 70% in accuracy under noise with 1/20 runtime.
This paper identifies and bounds ICE central moments using PO marginal central moments.
problem Identifying and characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Using only marginal central moments of potential outcomes, the paper identifies and bounds central moments of individual causal effects.
result Identification and bounding of central moments of ICE using marginal moments of POs.
We tackle causal inference under conditional moment restrictions using importance weighting.
problem Challenges in causal inference under conditional moment restrictions, especially in high-dimensional settings.
method Transform conditional moment restrictions to unconditional moment restrictions through importance weighting.
result Successfully estimate nonparametric functions defined under conditional moment restrictions.
Revisits Lee's Moment Formula, relaxing moment assumptions for implied volatility.
problem Implied volatility constraints under finite log-moments.
method Analyzes stock price martingale with finite log-moments, derives new bounds and proof.
result New bounds on implied volatility growth, relaxes moment assumptions.
Developed moment estimators for affine stochastic volatility models.
problem Estimating parameters of affine stochastic volatility models.
method Introduced recursive equations for moments and proposed moment estimators.
result Established a central limit theorem and derived asymptotic covariance matrix.
The accuracy of deep neural networks is significantly affected by how well mini-batches are constructed during the training step. In this paper, we propose a novel adaptive batch selection algorithm called Recency Bias that exploits the uncertain samples predicted inconsistently in recent iterations. The historical lab…
Stiefel-Whitney classes of moment-angle manifolds are trivial.
problem Analyzing the topological properties of moment-angle manifolds.
method Proving triviality of Stiefel-Whitney classes for moment-angle manifolds, including partial quotients.
result Stiefel-Whitney classes of moment-angle manifolds are trivial.
A new method for estimating causal parameters from observables reduces the need for finite moment conditions.
problem Estimating causal parameters from observational data with unknown or infinite moment conditions.
method Variational Method of Moments (VMM) for a general class of estimators, including kernel and neural net-based methods.
result VMM estimators are consistent, asymptotically normal, and semiparametrically efficient.
Introduces generalized moment maps for almost Hermitian settings.
problem Extending classical moment map theory to almost Hermitian settings.
method Introduces momentumly closed forms and proves a variant of the Darboux-Weinstein theorem.
result Establishes convexity property and constructs reduction space for generalized moment maps.