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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3957891,1841,578 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for model-based machine learning

Model-based machine learning improves communication systems.

problem Improving symbol detection in communication receivers.
method Review and comparison of model-based and deep learning approaches, focusing on deep unfolding and DNN-aided hybrid algorithms.
result Different strategies of conventional deep architectures and hybrid algorithms show advantages and drawbacks.

We give an explicit algorithm and source code for constructing risk models based on machine learning techniques. The resultant covariance matrices are not factor models. Based on empirical backtests, we compare the performance of these machine learning risk models to other constructions, including statistical risk mode…

2019-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper uses model-based trees to create interpretable surrogate models for complex machine learning models.

problem Interpreting complex machine learning models.
method Using model-based trees to partition feature space and create interpretable models.
result Model-based trees generate optimal surrogate models that balance interpretability and performance.

The design of symbol detectors in digital communication systems has traditionally relied on statistical channel models that describe the relation between the transmitted symbols and the observed signal at the receiver. Here we review a data-driven framework to symbol detection design which combines machine learning (ML…

2020-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This work bounds classification error in machine learning for low Bayes error conditions.

problem Understanding the error mismatch between Bayes error and model-based classification error.
method Applying classification error bounds to study the relationship with Kullback-Leibler divergence and proposing a linear approximation for low Bayes error conditions.
result A linear approximation of the classification error bound for low Bayes error conditions is proposed.

This study proposes an exercise fatigue detection model based on real-time clinical data which includes time domain analysis, frequency domain analysis, detrended fluctuation analysis, approximate entropy, and sample entropy. Furthermore, this study proposed a feature extraction method which is combined with an analyti…

2018-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved model-based reinforcement learning for interactive dialogue tasks reduces sample needs and improves performance.

problem Limited data and high sample cost in interactive dialogue systems.
method Model-based actor-critic approach with an environment model and planner.
result 70 times fewer samples required compared to baseline model-free algorithm, with 2x better asymptotic performance.

New algorithms accelerate model-based optimization for stochastic problems.

problem Optimizing model-based stochastic optimization problems efficiently.
method Proposed new model-based algorithms with acceleration and minibatch techniques.
result Non-asymptotic convergence guarantees with linear speedup in minibatch size.

A novel method computes Wigner kernels for atomic environments, achieving state-of-the-art accuracy.

problem Efficiently describing local atomic environments in materials science.
method Computes fully equivariant and body-ordered kernels iteratively, independent of basis.
result Achieves state-of-the-art accuracy on the QM9 benchmark dataset.

Adapts model-based advice to stabilize black-box policies for nonlinear control.

problem Stabilizing machine-learned policies for nonlinear control with limited model information.
method Proposes an adaptive λλ-confident policy to combine black-box and model-based advice.
result Proves the stability of the adaptive λλ-confident policy and its competitive ratio.

New model tackles real-world distribution mismatches in machine learning.

problem Real-world applications often have training and test distributions that differ.
method Developed a learning model based on information theory using importance sampling.
result The model performs better under large distribution deviations.

Paper proposes Multi-Transformer for more accurate stock volatility forecasts.

problem Accurate equity risk models needed for effective risk management.
method Introduces Multi-Transformer neural network architecture, adapted from Transformer models.
result Empirical results show Multi-Transformer leads to more accurate risk measures.

A machine learning model for PMD compensation in dual-polarization systems.

problem Compensating for polarization-mode dispersion (PMD) in dual-polarization systems.
method Model-based machine learning approach using the split-step Fourier method for the Manakov-PMD equation.
result The model converges to within 1% of peak dB performance after 428 iterations, achieving a 0.30 dB reduction in effective signal-to-noise ratio compared to PMD-free case.

Paper proposes a new reserving model using machine learning techniques.

problem Managing uncertainties in premium sufficiency and reserves for future claims.
method Stacked model combining Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Artificial Neural Networks, and log-normal approach.
result The proposed model improves traditional reserving techniques, leading to more accurate reserving risk assessment.

A hybrid method combines model-based and data-driven approaches for multiscale constitutive responses.

problem High computational costs and inaccuracies in nonlinear multiscale methods.
method Hybrid methodology combining model-based constitutive laws, data-driven corrections, and computational multiscale approaches.
result Model-data-driven approach improves macroscale simulations with similar accuracy and computational cost.

New bounds on machine learning model generalization error moments.

problem Understanding the performance of machine learning models.
method Information-theoretic bounds on the moments of the generalization error of learning algorithms.
result Proposed bounds on generalization error moments and their high-probability bounds.

Model predicts S&P500 volatility more accurately than existing models.

problem Improving accuracy of volatility and market risk forecasts.
method Stacked model using Gradient Descent Boosting, Random Forest, SVM, and Artificial Neural Network.
result The model outperforms other models in forecasting S&P500 volatility.

Digital twins improve single-arm trials by providing robust treatment effect estimates.

problem Lack of control arms in single-arm trials limits their gold-standard evidence.
method Outcome-model-based synthetic controls using machine learning models trained on historical data.
result Digital twins offer more robust treatment effect estimates and principled corrections.

Professional sports are developing towards increasingly scientific training methods with increasing amounts of data being collected from laboratory tests, training sessions and competitions. In cycling, it is standard to equip bicycles with small computers recording data from sensors such as power-meters, in addition t…

2018-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗

One of the most tedious tasks in the application of machine learning is model selection, i.e. hyperparameter selection. Fortunately, recent progress has been made in the automation of this process, through the use of sequential model-based optimization (SMBO) methods. This can be used to optimize a cross-validation per…

2014-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study introduces TeMoP model for better stock market predictions.

problem Decreasing prediction errors and robustness across datasets in machine learning models.
method Probabilistic multiple lag order model based on trend encoding.
result TeMoP model outperforms machine learning models in accuracy and stability across different stock indexes.

Study batch reinforcement learning methods for personalized medical treatments.

problem Batch reinforcement learning for personalized medical treatments.
method Direct policy learning and model-based learning approaches.
result Model-based learning is impossible with finite model classes but feasible with relaxed conditions.

Machine learning improves network classification and model selection.

problem Quantifying suitability of generative models for network structures.
method Interpretable machine learning to classify simulated networks based on features and interactions.
result Specific network features and their interactions are crucial for distinguishing generative models.

New insights into bias-variance tradeoff for data-driven optimization under local misspecification.

problem Understanding the relative performance of SAA, IEO, and ETO under local misspecification.
method Developed a local misspecification perspective using contiguity theory in statistics.
result Explicit expressions for decision bias and geometric understanding of variance.

New method reduces variance in subpopulation model performance estimates.

problem High variance in subpopulation performance metrics for small groups.
method Using an evaluation model to form model-based metric (MBM) estimates.
result MBMs produce more accurate and lower variance estimates for small subpopulations.

Introduces LoCA regret to evaluate model-based RL methods.

problem Lack of consistent metrics to evaluate model-based RL methods.
method Inspired by neuroscience, introduces LoCA regret to measure model-based behavior.
result LoCA regret can identify model-based behavior and assess how close methods are to optimal model-based behavior.

Simple model-based reinforcement learning outperforms model-free methods in complex tasks.

problem Lagging performance of model-based reinforcement learning agents in non-trivial environments.
method Combining soft value estimates with stochastic value gradients.
result Simple model-based agents achieve state-of-the-art results in a high-dimensional humanoid control task.

Data analytics using machine learning (ML) has become ubiquitous in science, business intelligence, journalism and many other domains. While a lot of work focuses on reducing the training cost, inference runtime and storage cost of ML models, little work studies how to reduce the cost of data acquisition, which potenti…

2018-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗