Research
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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3727451,1171,489 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for model inputs

Unified method for input, data, and model uncertainty in neural networks.

problem Uncertainty in neural network inputs and outputs.
method Propagating uncertainty through inputs using a unified formulation.
result More stable decision boundaries with input noise, and propagation of input uncertainty to model outputs.

IA-BMA adapts model weights to inputs for better predictions.

problem Predicting with multiple models in heterogeneous settings.
method Input adaptive Bayesian Model Averaging (IA-BMA) with an input adaptive prior and amortized variational inference.
result IA-BMA consistently delivers more accurate and better-calibrated predictions.

A new method builds sparse polynomial chaos expansions for models with dependent inputs.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in models with dependent inputs.
method Data-driven approach to construct orthonormal polynomials recursively based on input correlations.
result Reduces the number of observations and improves numerical stability and computational efficiency.

Recent work establishes dataset difficulty and removes annotation artifacts via partial-input baselines (e.g., hypothesis-only models for SNLI or question-only models for VQA). When a partial-input baseline gets high accuracy, a dataset is cheatable. However, the converse is not necessarily true: the failure of a parti…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

VAIOM models financial returns using continuous input and categorical output.

problem Modeling continuous, noisy, and heterogeneous financial data.
method VAIOM is a decoder-only Transformer that separates input representation from output likelihood.
result VAIOM models outperform fixed single-bar LightGBM baseline in both Test halves.

This research investigates reliable local explanations for machine listening models.

problem Generating reliable local explanations for machine listening models.
method Investigates the sensitivity of SoundLIME explanations to input perturbations and proposes a novel method for identifying suitable content types.
result SoundLIME explanations are sensitive to the content in occluded input regions, and the average magnitude of input mel-spectrogram bins is the most suitable content type for temporal explanations.

We analyze the adversarial examples problem in terms of a model's fault tolerance with respect to its input. Whereas previous work focuses on arbitrarily strict threat models, i.e., εε-perturbations, we consider arbitrary valid inputs and propose an information-based characteristic for evaluating tolerance to diverse …

2018-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Model captures system input variations in latent space for actionable dynamics.

problem Learning dynamical systems from data without prescribing a mathematical model.
method Structured latent ODE model with stochastic factors of variation for each input.
result Improves generation of time-series data and inference of system inputs over baselines.

In this work, we aim to solve data-driven optimization problems, where the goal is to find an input that maximizes an unknown score function given access to a dataset of inputs with corresponding scores. When the inputs are high-dimensional and valid inputs constitute a small subset of this space (e.g., valid protein s…

2019-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This research analyzes how input and output layers affect deep neural networks' resistance to adversarial attacks.

problem The vulnerability of deep neural networks to adversarial inputs, especially non-gradient based attacks.
method Analysis of three different fully connected dense network classes with manipulated input and output layers.
result Manipulating input and output layers can significantly enhance a deep neural network's robustness against adversarial attacks.

Fairness is a critical trait in decision making. As machine-learning models are increasingly being used in sensitive application domains (e.g. education and employment) for decision making, it is crucial that the decisions computed by such models are free of unintended bias. But how can we automatically validate the fa…

2018-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a new model to handle multi-task learning across different input domains.

problem Learning correlated tasks across varying input domains.
method Develops a novel heterogeneous stochastic variational linear model of coregionalization (HSVLMC) for multi-task learning.
result The proposed model outperforms existing models in diverse multi-task scenarios.

Aux-Net model handles dynamic systems with inconsistent inputs.

problem Inconsistent or unreliable input data in real-world scenarios.
method Aux-Net uses a weighted ensemble of classifiers and online gradient descent.
result Aux-Net provides scalable and agile online learning for dynamic systems.

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input variables of the model. When the statistics of the output event are known, these input …

2012-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Safe active learning for time-series models with Gaussian processes.

problem Learning time-series models while respecting safety constraints.
method Employing Gaussian processes with a nonlinear exogenous input structure, the approach dynamically explores the input space to generate data for model learning.
result The approach effectively learns time-series models under safety constraints, as demonstrated in a technical application.

SpinSVAR estimates SVAR models with sparse input, improving accuracy and scalability.

problem Estimating SVAR models with sparse input assumptions.
method SpinSVAR models input as independent Laplacian variables, enforcing sparsity and using least absolute error regression.
result SpinSVAR outperforms state-of-the-art methods in accuracy and runtime, identifying significant structural shocks.

New framework calibrates computer models using deep learning and quantile regression.

problem Uncertainty in computer model input parameters due to high-dimensional time series data.
method Deep neural network with long-short term memory layers for inverse modeling, quantile regression for interval predictions.
result Accurate point and interval estimates for input parameters in WRF-hydro model.

Develops a new approach to establish universality for any-dimensional machine learning models.

problem Understanding universality for models with inputs of varying sizes.
method Identifies any-dimensional functions with a unique function in an infinite-dimensional limit space, using symmetries and relations between inputs of different sizes.
result Establishes universality for several existing architectures and proposes modifications to restore it.

Proposes a framework to incorporate global sensitivity into local surrogate models.

problem Narrowing focus to local scale in surrogate modeling leads to re-learning global trends.
method Integrates global sensitivity analysis into local surrogate models through input warping.
result Local models become equally sensitive to all input directions, focusing on local dynamics.

New research shows input-gradients can be manipulated without changing model's core function, challenging their use for model interpretation.

problem Current methods for model interpretability using input-gradients are flawed due to their arbitrary manipulability.
method Investigated by reinterpreting logits as unnormalized log-densities, proposing novel approximations for score-matching.
result Improving alignment between implicit density model and data distribution enhances gradient structure and explanatory power.

Optimal kernel learning improves GP regression for high-dimensional inputs.

problem High computational costs and low prediction accuracy in GP models with many inputs.
method Approximates GP covariance with a convex combination of kernel functions, identifying active variables.
result Improves prediction accuracy and correctly identifies active input variables.

This thesis investigates unsupervised time series representation learning for sequence prediction problems, i.e. generating nice-looking input samples given a previous history, for high dimensional input sequences by decoupling the static input representation from the recurrent sequence representation. We introduce thr…

2018-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes training neural networks to predict uncertainty for out-of-distribution inputs.

problem Poor uncertainty predictions for out-of-distribution inputs limit model robustness.
method Generates pseudo-inputs in low-density regions and trains a Bayesian framework.
result Yields robust and interpretable uncertainty predictions.

We develop a method for quantile-based sensitivity analysis in models with discontinuities.

problem Uncertainty in interpreting discontinuous models using traditional derivatives.
method Quantile-based derivatives for discontinuous models with discrete inputs.
result Derivatives of quantile-based outputs are well-defined and provide meaningful insights.

DAEGEN generates adversarial inputs for neural networks using a black-box differential technique.

problem Generating adversarial inputs that highlight differences between neural network models.
method DAEGEN uses a local search-based optimization algorithm to find difference-inducing adversarial examples (DIAEs).
result DAEGEN is the first black-box differential technique for adversarial input generation and performs well compared to existing methods.

Study tests if input gradients highlight discriminative features, finds they often fail.

problem Validity of assumption that input gradients highlight discriminative features in model predictions.
method Developed DiffROAR framework and BlockMNIST dataset to test assumption on four benchmarks.
result Input gradients of standard models often fail to highlight discriminative features, while robust models do.

Paper uses PCE to quantify ML model and input uncertainties.

problem Accurately quantify and propagate combined uncertainties in ML predictions.
method Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) for joint input and model uncertainty.
result Efficient and accurate calculation of output variability and sensitivity.

Generalizes Hoeffding's decomposition for dependent inputs under mild conditions.

problem Performing global sensitivity analysis on black-box models with dependent inputs.
method Proposes a novel framework based on probability theory, functional analysis, and combinatorics to handle dependencies.
result Any square-integrable, real-valued function of random elements with mild dependence assumptions can be uniquely additively decomposed.

Two algorithms for nonlinear systems with unknown inputs are compared and implemented.

problem Analysis and comparison of algorithms for nonlinear systems with unknown inputs.
method Two symbolic algorithms, ORC-DF and FISPO, are compared and implemented in a MATLAB toolbox.
result FISPO is more generally applicable, while ORC-DF is more efficient for affine input models.

A method constructs a stochastic surrogate from dimensionality reduction results for high-dimensional uncertainty quantification.

problem High-dimensional uncertainty quantification with physics-based models.
method Constructs a stochastic surrogate model from dimensionality reduction results.
result Preserves convenience of sequential dimensionality reduction and Gaussian process regression while overcoming limitations.

New robustness certificates for streaming models with a sliding window.

problem Applying robustness certificates to streaming data with correlated inputs.
method Deriving robustness certificates for models using a sliding window over a sequence of potentially correlated inputs.
result Guarantees hold for the average model performance across the entire stream, independent of stream size.

CNNs overinterpret inputs, leading to high accuracy without meaningful features.

problem High accuracy in image classifiers can mask subtle model failures.
method Batched Gradient SIS method for discovering sufficient input subsets.
result Overinterpretation allows models to make confident predictions with masked input features.

Machine Learning (ML) models are applied in a variety of tasks such as network intrusion detection or Malware classification. Yet, these models are vulnerable to a class of malicious inputs known as adversarial examples. These are slightly perturbed inputs that are classified incorrectly by the ML model. The mitigation…

2017-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Differentiable Masking reveals how neural models make decisions across layers.

problem Intractable and expensive approximate search for input relevance in deep models.
method Differentiable Masking learns to mask inputs while maintaining differentiability.
result Reveals how decisions are formed across network layers in BERT models.

Efficiently processes dynamic inputs in AI writing assistants with incremental computation.

problem Efficiently updating AI models in real-time with dynamic inputs.
method Incremental computing using vector quantization to filter and reuse intermediate values in neural networks.
result Comparable accuracy with 12.1X fewer operations for processing dynamic inputs.