This paper presents a simple model to measure the relative economic growth of economic systems. The model considers S-Shaped patterns of economic growth that, represented with a linear model, measure how an economic system grows in comparison with another one. In particular, this model introduces an approach which indi…
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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Traditional non-life reserving models largely neglect the vast amount of information collected over the lifetime of a claim. This information includes covariates describing the policy, claim cause as well as the detailed history collected during a claim's development over time. We present the hierarchical reserving mod…
This article presents a theoretical model for a dynamic system based on sustainable development. Due to the relatively absence of theoretical studies and practical issues in the area of sustainable development, Romania aspires to the principles of sustainable development. Based on the concept as a process in which econ…
The paper develops diverse risk models for US stock portfolios.
This manuscript develops the theory of agglomerative clustering with Bregman divergences. Geometric smoothing techniques are developed to deal with degenerate clusters. To allow for cluster models based on exponential families with overcomplete representations, Bregman divergences are developed for nondifferentiable co…
Compact semiconductor device models are essential for efficiently designing and analyzing large circuits. However, traditional compact model development requires a large amount of manual effort and can span many years. Moreover, inclusion of new physics (eg, radiation effects) into an existing compact model is not triv…
Satellite imagery helps assess sustainable development with machine learning.
Virtual reality (VR) offers immersive visualization and intuitive interaction. We leverage VR to enable any biomedical professional to deploy a deep learning (DL) model for image classification. While DL models can be powerful tools for data analysis, they are also challenging to understand and develop. To make deep le…
Machine learning models emulate and approximate complex mappings in model physics.
Develops Merton's model for private companies using DDM.
Study develops a new tool for assessing asphalt pavement conditions using deep learning.
Robust Bayesian models are appealing alternatives to standard models, providing protection from data that contains outliers or other departures from the model assumptions. Historically, robust models were mostly developed on a case-by-case basis; examples include robust linear regression, robust mixture models, and bur…
The aim of this paper is to identify the determinants of international stock markets integration. Intuitively we selected a great number of factors linked to financial integration. Then, we developed an international asset-pricing model with time-varying degree of integration. This model is estimated for 30 countries (…
Study finds incorporating fairness in healthcare models doesn't improve performance or net benefit.
Clinical models can be unstable, leading to unreliable predictions.
With the emergence of the Hospital Readmission Reduction Program of the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services on October 1, 2012, forecasting unplanned patient readmission risk became crucial to the healthcare domain. There are tangible works in the literature emphasizing on developing readmission risk prediction m…
Develops a new model for cross-currency derivatives pricing.
We develop correlated random measures, random measures where the atom weights can exhibit a flexible pattern of dependence, and use them to develop powerful hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models. Hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models are usually built from completely random measures, a Poisson-process based c…
Model compresses event-like contexts using gated surprise signals.
Develops a numerical method for LRM strategies in BNS models with infinite active jumps.
Paper develops efficient Bayesian inference for enzymatic SRNs with LNA metamodel.
The study explores how brain development can inspire efficient deep learning models.
Paper develops federated GLMM algorithms for analyzing hierarchical data.
Deep learning has enabled major advances in the fields of computer vision, natural language processing, and multimedia among many others. Developing a deep learning system is arduous and complex, as it involves constructing neural network architectures, managing training/trained models, tuning optimization process, pre…
Paper develops a fractal dimension-based generalization measure.
Survey on factor models and their applications in econometrics.
PHOTONAI simplifies machine learning model development in Python.
Belief networks are a new, potentially important, class of knowledge-based models. ARCO1, currently under development at the Atlantic Richfield Company (ARCO) and the University of Southern California (USC), is the most advanced reported implementation of these models in a financial forecasting setting. ARCO1's underly…
Develops Hermitian TQFTs from quantum groups, defining new topological phases.
Operator learning approximates complex mappings for PDEs and experimental data.
Constructs stochastic processes on sub-Riemannian manifolds using Cartan connections.
Study examines how governance, corruption, and R&D affect economic development.
Survey of software developers' experience with Github Copilot tool.
Field canals improvement projects (FCIPs) are one of the ambitious projects constructed to save fresh water. To finance this project, Conceptual cost models are important to accurately predict preliminary costs at the early stages of the project. The first step is to develop a conceptual cost model to identify key cost…
Simplifying machine learning (ML) application development, including distributed computation, programming interface, resource management, model selection, etc, has attracted intensive interests recently. These research efforts have significantly improved the efficiency and the degree of automation of developing ML mode…
Developing accurate, transferable and computationally inexpensive machine learning models can rapidly accelerate the discovery and development of new materials. Some of the major challenges involved in developing such models are, (i) limited availability of materials data as compared to other fields, (ii) lack of unive…
This paper develops a valuation model for private companies.
Securely trains fair models using homomorphic encryption.
This paper develops a European option pricing formula for fractional market models. Although there exist option pricing results for a fractional Black-Scholes model, they are established without accounting for stochastic volatility. In this paper, a fractional version of the Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model …
Machine learning (ML), especially deep learning is made possible by the availability of big data, enormous compute power and, often overlooked, development tools or frameworks. As the algorithms become mature and efficient, more and more ML inference is moving out of datacenters/cloud and deployed on edge devices. This…
BiLiNGAM model reveals brain emotion circuit development in adolescents.
We construct a no-arbitrage model of bond prices where the long bond is used as a numeraire. We develop bond prices and their dynamics without developing any model for the spot rate or forward rates. The model is arbitrage free and all nominal interest rates remain positive in the model. We give examples where our mode…
In this paper we develop a dynamic form of Bayesian optimization for machine learning models with the goal of rapidly finding good hyperparameter settings. Our method uses the partial information gained during the training of a machine learning model in order to decide whether to pause training and start a new model, o…
Machine Learning is transitioning from an art and science into a technology available to every developer. In the near future, every application on every platform will incorporate trained models to encode data-based decisions that would be impossible for developers to author. This presents a significant engineering chal…
PrototypeML simplifies neural network design and development.
The paper models quanto weather and energy derivatives using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and develops methods to hedge them.
A unified analytical pricing framework with involvement of the shot noise random process has been introduced and elaborated. Two exactly solvable new models have been developed. The first model has been designed to value options. It is assumed that asset price stochastic dynamics follows a Geometric Shot Noise motion. …
Develops a framework to quantify uncertainties in multiple ML models.