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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3887761,1631,551 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for model development

Traditional non-life reserving models largely neglect the vast amount of information collected over the lifetime of a claim. This information includes covariates describing the policy, claim cause as well as the detailed history collected during a claim's development over time. We present the hierarchical reserving mod…

2019-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This article presents a theoretical model for a dynamic system based on sustainable development. Due to the relatively absence of theoretical studies and practical issues in the area of sustainable development, Romania aspires to the principles of sustainable development. Based on the concept as a process in which econ…

2011-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This manuscript develops the theory of agglomerative clustering with Bregman divergences. Geometric smoothing techniques are developed to deal with degenerate clusters. To allow for cluster models based on exponential families with overcomplete representations, Bregman divergences are developed for nondifferentiable co…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Virtual reality (VR) offers immersive visualization and intuitive interaction. We leverage VR to enable any biomedical professional to deploy a deep learning (DL) model for image classification. While DL models can be powerful tools for data analysis, they are also challenging to understand and develop. To make deep le…

2019-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Study develops a new tool for assessing asphalt pavement conditions using deep learning.

problem Challenges in automated pavement distress detection via road images.
method Developed a hybrid model using YOLO for classification and U-net for segmentation, creating a comprehensive pavement condition tool.
result Created a new asphalt pavement condition index using deep learning.

Robust Bayesian models are appealing alternatives to standard models, providing protection from data that contains outliers or other departures from the model assumptions. Historically, robust models were mostly developed on a case-by-case basis; examples include robust linear regression, robust mixture models, and bur…

2015-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds incorporating fairness in healthcare models doesn't improve performance or net benefit.

problem Addressing health inequities in healthcare through algorithmic fairness.
method Empirical case study using models to estimate atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk.
result Incorporating fairness considerations into model training objective does not improve model performance or net benefit.

Clinical models can be unstable, leading to unreliable predictions.

problem Stability of clinical prediction models developed using statistical or machine learning methods.
method Simulation and case studies of statistical and machine learning approaches to show instability in model predictions.
result Model instability often leads to miscalibration of predictions in new data.

With the emergence of the Hospital Readmission Reduction Program of the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services on October 1, 2012, forecasting unplanned patient readmission risk became crucial to the healthcare domain. There are tangible works in the literature emphasizing on developing readmission risk prediction m…

2018-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a new model for cross-currency derivatives pricing.

problem Pricing cross-currency derivatives in a complex market model.
method Introduces a random field LIBOR market model to handle uncertainty in forward LIBOR rates.
result Derives exact and approximate pricing formulas for various derivatives.

We develop correlated random measures, random measures where the atom weights can exhibit a flexible pattern of dependence, and use them to develop powerful hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models. Hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models are usually built from completely random measures, a Poisson-process based c…

2015-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a numerical method for LRM strategies in BNS models with infinite active jumps.

problem Calculating locally risk-minimizing strategies for non-martingale BNS models with infinite active jumps.
method Modified Malliavin calculus expression and Monte Carlo method for non-martingale BNS models.
result Proposes a numerical method for LRM strategies in non-martingale BNS models with infinite active jumps.

Paper develops efficient Bayesian inference for enzymatic SRNs with LNA metamodel.

problem Bayesian inference for nonlinear SDE-based mechanistic models with partial observations and measurement errors.
method Interpretable Bayesian updating LNA metamodel and efficient posterior sampling.
result Proposed approach demonstrates promising performance in empirical studies.

The study explores how brain development can inspire efficient deep learning models.

problem Efficient and robust optimization procedures for deep learning.
method Inspiration from biological neural development to improve deep learning models.
result Biological neural development can inspire efficient and robust optimization procedures.

Paper develops federated GLMM algorithms for analyzing hierarchical data.

problem Analyzing hierarchical data with non-independent observations in a federated setting.
method Developed two federated GLMM algorithms using Laplace and Gaussian Hermite approximations.
result Federated GLMM can handle hierarchical data and achieve comparable or superior performance.

Belief networks are a new, potentially important, class of knowledge-based models. ARCO1, currently under development at the Atlantic Richfield Company (ARCO) and the University of Southern California (USC), is the most advanced reported implementation of these models in a financial forecasting setting. ARCO1's underly…

2013-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Operator learning approximates complex mappings for PDEs and experimental data.

problem Approximating mappings between infinite-dimensional function spaces for scientific computing.
method Formalizing operator learning as function-to-function regression and incorporating physical constraints.
result Development of rigorous uncertainty quantification frameworks for operator learning.

Constructs stochastic processes on sub-Riemannian manifolds using Cartan connections.

problem Developing stochastic processes on sub-Riemannian manifolds.
method Introduces stochastic development using Cartan connections, derives generator, and provides conditions for existence.
result Derives a general expression for the generator of the stochastic process and provides conditions for the existence of a Cartan connection.

Study examines how governance, corruption, and R&D affect economic development.

problem The impact of corruption and governance on economic development.
method General equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents and a government, including corruption as a fraction of tax revenues.
result Redistribution and innovation-led strategies can mitigate the negative effects of corruption on economic development.

This paper develops a European option pricing formula for fractional market models. Although there exist option pricing results for a fractional Black-Scholes model, they are established without accounting for stochastic volatility. In this paper, a fractional version of the Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model …

2007-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

BiLiNGAM model reveals brain emotion circuit development in adolescents.

problem Understanding brain emotion circuit development during adolescence.
method Bayesian incorporated linear non-Gaussian acyclic model (BiLiNGAM) for multiple DAGs estimation.
result BiLiNGAM reveals unique developmental hub structures and group-specific patterns in emotion-related intra- and inter-modular connectivity.

We construct a no-arbitrage model of bond prices where the long bond is used as a numeraire. We develop bond prices and their dynamics without developing any model for the spot rate or forward rates. The model is arbitrage free and all nominal interest rates remain positive in the model. We give examples where our mode…

2006-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we develop a dynamic form of Bayesian optimization for machine learning models with the goal of rapidly finding good hyperparameter settings. Our method uses the partial information gained during the training of a machine learning model in order to decide whether to pause training and start a new model, o…

2014-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine Learning is transitioning from an art and science into a technology available to every developer. In the near future, every application on every platform will incorporate trained models to encode data-based decisions that would be impossible for developers to author. This presents a significant engineering chal…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper models quanto weather and energy derivatives using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and develops methods to hedge them.

problem Valuation and hedging of quanto derivatives on temperature and electricity.
method Developed a coupled model using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and Conditional Least Square method for parameter estimation.
result Explicit and semi-explicit formulas for quanto options and hedging strategies are derived.

A unified analytical pricing framework with involvement of the shot noise random process has been introduced and elaborated. Two exactly solvable new models have been developed. The first model has been designed to value options. It is assumed that asset price stochastic dynamics follows a Geometric Shot Noise motion. …

2014-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a framework to quantify uncertainties in multiple ML models.

problem Uncertainty in ML model predictions and model inputs.
method Develops a theoretical framework to decouple and transform uncertainties.
result Generates joint distribution of ML predictions considering uncertainties.