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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3537071,0601,413 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for model counting

Flow Matching for count data improves sample quality and efficiency.

problem Mapping between count distributions across batches or time points in high-dimensional count data.
method count-FM, a flow-matching framework based on a continuous-time birth-death process with local unit jumps.
result count-FM achieves better sample quality than representative baselines while using fewer parameters.

A new method, Count-MORL, improves offline reinforcement learning by using state-action frequency.

problem Improving offline reinforcement learning performance.
method Integrates count-based conservatism into model-based offline reinforcement learning.
result The learned policy is near-optimal and outperforms existing methods.

The paper proposes count echo state networks for forecasting graduate student enrollments.

problem Forecasting graduate student enrollments from historical data.
method Developed hierarchical count echo state networks and compared them to Poisson autoregressions and negative binomial models.
result Hierarchical negative binomial based echo state network is the superior model.

Count data take on non-negative integer values and are challenging to properly analyze using standard linear-Gaussian methods such as linear regression and principal components analysis. Generalized linear models enable direct modeling of counts in a regression context using distributions such as the Poisson and negati…

2020-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Better neural arithmetic logic units improve cell counting model generalization.

problem Neural networks struggle with high cell counts outside training data range.
method Introduced Neural Arithmetic Logic Units (NALU) for arithmetic operations in existing architectures.
result Improved cell counting accuracy for higher numeric ranges with better generalization.

A gamma process dynamic Poisson factor analysis model is proposed to factorize a dynamic count matrix, whose columns are sequentially observed count vectors. The model builds a novel Markov chain that sends the latent gamma random variables at time (t1)(t-1) as the shape parameters of those at time tt, which are linked …

2015-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

New phases identified in neural scaling laws with compute limits.

problem Understanding neural scaling laws under compute constraints.
method Solved neural scaling model with stochastic gradient descent, derived loss curves, analyzed model-parameter-count phases.
result Identified 4 phases (+3 subphases) in data-complexity/target-complexity phase-plane, derived exponents.

In this paper we examine a possible reason for the LSTM outperforming the GRU on language modeling and more specifically machine translation. We hypothesize that this has to do with counting. This is a consistent theme across the literature of long term dependence, counting, and language modeling for RNNs. Using the si…

2018-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider an agent's uncertainty about its environment and the problem of generalizing this uncertainty across observations. Specifically, we focus on the problem of exploration in non-tabular reinforcement learning. Drawing inspiration from the intrinsic motivation literature, we use density models to measure uncert…

2016-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian model tackles spatial count data issues with flexible non-parametric techniques.

problem Challenges in traditional parametric models for spatial count data with unbalanced distributions and complex dependencies.
method Bayesian semi-parametric spatial dispersed count model combining non-parametric techniques and adapted count models.
result Demonstrates superior performance in managing dispersion and capturing intricate spatial patterns.

The paper introduces neural INGARCH models for time series of counts.

problem Analyzing time series of counts using traditional INGARCH models.
method Combining artificial neural networks with INGARCH models.
result Neural INGARCH models outperform traditional models in information loss.

Generative model identifies temporal count data components with regime-dependent contributions.

problem Modeling temporal count data with regime-dependent dynamics.
method Generative framework combining regime-adaptive dynamics with Poisson log-normal emissions.
result Established identifiability of the model and revealed co-variation patterns and regime shifts.

ENTED efficiently decomposes binary and count tensors using nonparametric Gaussian processes.

problem Handling high-dimensional and sparse binary and count data with traditional tensor decompositions.
method ENTED uses nonparametric Gaussian processes and sparse orthogonal variational inference to handle binary and count tensors.
result ENTED outperforms traditional methods in binary and count tensor completion tasks.

Variational Bayesian inference and (collapsed) Gibbs sampling are the two important classes of inference algorithms for Bayesian networks. Both have their advantages and disadvantages: collapsed Gibbs sampling is unbiased but is also inefficient for large count values and requires averaging over many samples to reduce …

2012-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The ability to detect and count certain substructures in graphs is important for solving many tasks on graph-structured data, especially in the contexts of computational chemistry and biology as well as social network analysis. Inspired by this, we propose to study the expressive power of graph neural networks (GNNs) v…

2020-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Time series of counts arise in a variety of forecasting applications, for which traditional models are generally inappropriate. This paper introduces a hierarchical Bayesian formulation applicable to count time series that can easily account for explanatory variables and share statistical strength across groups of rela…

2014-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Counting the number of clusters, when these clusters overlap significantly is a challenging problem in machine learning. We argue that a purely mathematical quantum theory, formulated using the path integral technique, when applied to non-physics modeling leads to non-physics quantum theories that are statistical in na…

2020-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to reconcile count time series forecasts.

problem No formal framework for probabilistic reconciliation of count time series.
method Generalizes Bayes' rule for reconciling real-valued and count variables.
result Improves forecast accuracy for count variables compared to Gaussian reconciliation.

New method improves mHealth user engagement using Thompson sampling for count data.

problem Optimizing mHealth interventions for distal outcomes through proximal context.
method Combines count data models with Thompson sampling for contextual bandits.
result Improves user engagement in mHealth trials compared to existing methods.

In this paper, we study a new graph learning problem: learning to count subgraph isomorphisms. Different from other traditional graph learning problems such as node classification and link prediction, subgraph isomorphism counting is NP-complete and requires more global inference to oversee the whole graph. To make it …

2019-12-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Counted essential surfaces in a knot's exterior, finding a unique pattern.

problem Counting essential surfaces in a knot's exterior.
method Counted essential surfaces by genus, using Euler totient function. Showed normal surfaces are connected by counting their components. Used Agol, Hass, and Thurston's tools to convert component counting into orbit counting.
result Found a unique pattern in the number of essential surfaces by genus.

In this paper a neuro-robotics model capable of counting using gestures is introduced. The contribution of gestures to learning to count is tested with various model and training conditions. Two studies were presented in this article. In the first, we combine different modalities of the robot's neural network, in the s…

2019-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes learning to jump for generative modeling of sparse, skewed, heavy-tailed data.

problem Limited ability of diffusion models in modeling sparse, skewed, heavy-tailed data.
method Forward count thinning process and reverse count thickening process to train a deep neural network.
result Learning to jump performs better than learning to denoise for non-negative, sparse data.

Counting objects in digital images is a process that should be replaced by machines. This tedious task is time consuming and prone to errors due to fatigue of human annotators. The goal is to have a system that takes as input an image and returns a count of the objects inside and justification for the prediction in the…

2017-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

This work refines Cover's theory for binary classification on low-dimensional data.

problem The challenge of analyzing how low-dimensional data structures affect classification models.
method Refines Cover's function-counting theory to account for low-dimensional data structure.
result Derives dichotomy counts and analyzes the impact of data structure on classification models.

Tree-based variational inference improves PLN model for hierarchical count data.

problem Limited applicability of PLN model in ecosystems due to lack of hierarchical tree structures.
method Introduced PLN-Tree model integrating structured variational inference techniques.
result Enhanced generative improvements and practical interpretability in microbiome modeling.

Study identifies contagion in aggregated defaults despite environmental changes.

problem Identify contagion in aggregated default counts with fluctuating probabilities.
method Compare three contagion mechanisms (Davis-Lo, Torri, Vasicek) under i.i.d. and hierarchical specifications.
result Threshold contagion is largely absorbed into environmental heterogeneity, while cumulative contagion leaves a persistent signature.

Proposes a method to handle sparse multiway count data with false zeros using zero-truncated Poisson regression.

problem Handling sparse multiway count data corrupted by false zeros.
method Zero-truncated Poisson regression with tensor completion.
result Accurate estimation of multiway count data from approximately IR2log22(I)IR^2\log_2^2(I) non-zero counts.

Semiparametric STAR model improves mental health data analysis.

problem Overdispersed, zero-inflated, bounded count data in self-reported mental health surveys.
method STAR transformation and rounding of latent Gaussian model, nonparametric transformation estimation, EM algorithm for maximum likelihood.
result Substantial improvements in goodness-of-fit compared to existing models.

New method identifies causal structure in count data using cumulants and path analysis.

problem Challenges in discovering causal structure from count data, especially due to non-identifiability.
method Poisson Branching Structural Causal Model (PB-SCM) with path analysis using high-order cumulants.
result Causal order is identifiable under specific conditions in PB-SCM using cumulant information.