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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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306191121 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for mode coverage

Many generative models have to combat missing modes\textit{missing modes}. The conventional wisdom to this end is by reducing through training a statistical distance (such as ff-divergence) between the generated distribution and provided data distribution. But this is more of a heuristic than a guarantee. The statistical distanc…

2019-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative Adversarial Networks have become one of the most studied frameworks for unsupervised learning due to their intuitive formulation. They have also been shown to be capable of generating convincing examples in limited domains, such as low-resolution images. However, they still prove difficult to train in practi…

2016-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Exact distribution of split conformal prediction coverage found.

problem Determining the reliability of prediction sets in batch mode.
method Analysis of exchangeable data to find universal distribution of empirical coverage.
result Exact distribution of empirical coverage is universal and determined by nominal miscoverage level and calibration sample size.

CADD improves generative quality by augmenting discrete diffusion with continuous latent space.

problem Loss of semantic information between denoising steps in discrete diffusion models.
method Introduces a framework that augments discrete state space with a continuous latent space, allowing for graded, informative masked tokens.
result CADD improves generative quality across text generation, image synthesis, and code modeling.

A new method improves posterior approximation for complex distributions.

problem Difficulty in capturing multimodal and heavy-tailed posteriors with standard normalizing flows.
method StiCTAF: stick-breaking mixture base with component-wise tail adaptation.
result Improved tail recovery and better mode coverage compared to benchmarks.

HTFM improves mode coverage and tail-statistic recovery for heavy-tailed data.

problem Tackles heavy-tailed data in various domains with rare events.
method Proposes a framework using clock-conditioned Gaussian sources and truncated logsignature features.
result Improves mode coverage, sample quality, and tail-statistic recovery over Gaussian flow matching and baselines.

Paper tackles offline RL from mixed datasets with adaptive KL regularizer.

problem Challenges in optimizing RL and BC signals with varying action coverage and multiple action modes.
method Adaptively weighted reverse KL divergence regularizer based on TD3 algorithm.
result Empirically outperforms existing offline RL algorithms in MuJoCo locomotion tasks.

New model reduces sampling cost in diffusion models, making them faster and applicable to real-world applications.

problem Challenges in generating high-quality samples, mode coverage, and fast sampling in deep generative models.
method Proposes denoising diffusion GANs that model each denoising step using a multimodal conditional GAN to reduce sampling cost.
result Demonstrates 2000imes imes faster sampling on CIFAR-10 dataset while maintaining competitive sample quality and diversity.

Jeffreys Flow improves robustness of Boltzmann generators for rare event sampling.

problem Rare events and metastable trapping in sampling physical systems with rough energy landscapes.
method Introduces Jeffreys Flow, a robust generative framework using Parallel Tempering distillation and symmetric Jeffreys divergence to mitigate mode collapse and improve mode coverage.
result Minimizing Jeffreys divergence suppresses mode collapse and corrects inaccuracies in multi-modal distributions.

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) can achieve state-of-the-art sample quality in generative modelling tasks but suffer from the mode collapse problem. Variational Autoencoders (VAE) on the other hand explicitly maximize a reconstruction-based data log-likelihood forcing it to cover all modes, but suffer from poore…

2019-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved GAN performance using higher-order Wasserstein moments.

problem Stabilizing and enhancing GANs for better mode coverage and stability.
method Deriving and training a GAN with a modified Wasserstein distance using higher-order moments.
result Training a GAN with higher-order Wasserstein moments improves performance, even with increased computational cost.

This paper introduces a new method to train normalizing flows using precision-recall divergences.

problem Training generative models with mode dropping and low-quality samples.
method Introduces PR-divergences and proposes a novel generative model to minimize precision-recall trade-offs.
result Normalizing flows can be trained to achieve specific precision-recall trade-offs using PR-divergences.

We introduce a method to stabilize Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) by defining the generator objective with respect to an unrolled optimization of the discriminator. This allows training to be adjusted between using the optimal discriminator in the generator's objective, which is ideal but infeasible in practice…

2016-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

DLPM replaces Gaussian noise with α-stable noise in DDPM, improving data distribution coverage and robustness.

problem Handling mode collapse and class imbalance in datasets with heavy-tailed noise.
method Extending DDPM to use α-stable noise, simplifying the process with elementary proof techniques.
result DLPM yields better coverage of data distribution tails, improved robustness to unbalanced datasets, and faster computation times.

SPLICE generates accurate time-series imputations with reliable prediction intervals.

problem Lack of reliability guarantees in time-series imputation models.
method Modular framework combining latent generative imputation with distribution-free prediction intervals.
result SPLICE achieves lowest mean Load-only MSE and best CRPS on various datasets.

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) can successfully approximate a probability distribution and produce realistic samples. However, open questions such as sufficient convergence conditions and mode collapse still persist. In this paper, we build on existing work in the area by proposing a novel framework for trainin…

2018-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) have become one of the most successful frameworks for unsupervised generative modeling. As GANs are difficult to train much research has focused on this. However, very little of this research has directly exploited game-theoretic techniques. We introduce Generative Adversarial Netw…

2017-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

CSP improves time-series forecasting without training, outperforming DeepNPTS in speed and accuracy.

problem Improving probabilistic time-series forecasting without training.
method Mixing empirical and residual draws around a seasonal naive forecast.
result CSP significantly outperforms DeepNPTS on CRPS, normalized mean quantile loss, and coverage metrics.

The Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have demonstrated impressive performance for data synthesis, and are now used in a wide range of computer vision tasks. In spite of this success, they gained a reputation for being difficult to train, what results in a time-consuming and human-involved development process to u…

2017-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses label-weighted conformal prediction for macro-coverage guarantees in classification.

problem Finding a balance between class-conditional and marginal coverage in long-tailed datasets.
method Label-weighted conformal prediction for macro-coverage guarantees.
result Validated prediction sets with macro-coverage guarantees on large-scale image datasets.

Algorithm balances learning and coverage for multi-robots over unknown fields.

problem Balancing learning and coverage for multi-robots over unknown, nonuniform sensory fields.
method DSLC algorithm that schedules learning and coverage epochs, using Gaussian Process modeling and coverage regret analysis.
result Upper bound on expected cumulative coverage regret provided for DSLC.

Improved conformal prediction for better conditional coverage of classifier predictions.

problem Achieving exact conditional coverage in finite samples for prediction sets.
method Developed a variant of conformal prediction targeting coverage conditional on confidence and trust score.
result Empirically improved conditional coverage properties compared to standard conformal prediction.

Transformers can learn new tasks from diverse pretraining data but struggle with out-of-domain tasks.

problem Transformer models' ability to learn new tasks in-context is limited by their pretraining data coverage.
method Investigation of transformer models trained on (x,f(x))(x, f(x)) pairs, comparing in-context learning capabilities across different task families.
result Transformers can identify and learn within task families in their pretraining data but fail with out-of-domain tasks.

Adaptive coverage policies improve conformal prediction accuracy.

problem Fixed coverage levels in traditional conformal prediction lead to uninformative predictions.
method Optimizes adaptive coverage policy using a neural network trained on leave-one-out calibration.
result Adaptive coverage policies produce more informative and flexible prediction sets.

W-Flow generates images in one step, faster and better than multi-step methods.

problem Efficiently generating images from a simple reference distribution to a target data distribution.
method W-Flow uses Wasserstein gradient flows to transform the reference distribution to the target distribution in a single step, trained with Sinkhorn divergence.
result W-Flow achieves state-of-the-art results in ImageNet 256imes imes256 generation with improved mode coverage and faster sampling.

New metrics improve understanding of predictive system reliability.

problem Evaluating conditional coverage of predictive systems.
method Casting conditional coverage estimation as a classification problem, using excess risk of the target coverage (ERT) metrics.
result Modern classifiers provide higher statistical power for estimating conditional coverage.

ST-BCP narrows the coverage gap in BCP by transforming nonconformity scores.

problem The looseness in BCP's coverage guarantee due to Markov's inequality.
method Introduces a data-dependent transformation of nonconformity scores.
result Reduces the average coverage gap from 4.20% to 1.12% on benchmarks.

Improves conditional coverage of regression models using conformal prediction.

problem Lack of conditional coverage guarantees in conformal prediction methods.
method Proposes a novel algorithm to train a regression function to improve conditional coverage after split conformal prediction.
result Establishes an upper bound for miscoverage gap and proposes an end-to-end algorithm to control it.

This study uses AI to analyze financial market coverage from YouTube videos.

problem Challenges in analyzing a large number of financial market videos.
method Used Whisper model to generate text from videos, applied natural language processing.
result Highlights dynamics of financial market coverage and identifies trending topics.

Motivated by advantages of current-mode design, this brief contribution explores the implementation of weight matrices in neuromemristive systems via current-mode memristor crossbar circuits. After deriving theoretical results for the range and distribution of weights in the current-mode design, it is shown that any we…

2017-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗

TQA improves prediction intervals for time series data by adjusting quantiles for both cross-sectional and longitudinal coverage.

problem Constructing reliable prediction intervals for cross-sectional time series data.
method Temporal Quantile Adjustment (TQA) method that adjusts the quantile in Conformal Prediction to account for both cross-sectional and longitudinal coverage.
result TQA improves longitudinal coverage while preserving cross-sectional coverage, as validated through extensive experimentation.

New conformal prediction methods for long-tailed classification problems.

problem Rare classes are systematically omitted in existing conformal prediction methods.
method Introduced a new conformal score function and a new interpolation procedure.
result Smoothly trade off set size and class-conditional coverage.

New coverage conditions improve sample efficiency in online reinforcement learning.

problem Improving sample efficiency in online reinforcement learning with function approximation.
method Identifying and studying new coverage conditions for online reinforcement learning.
result Improved regret bounds achieved with new coverage conditions.

We introduce the concept of coverage risk as an error measure for density ridge estimation. The coverage risk generalizes the mean integrated square error to set estimation. We propose two risk estimators for the coverage risk and we show that we can select tuning parameters by minimizing the estimated risk. We study t…

2015-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study robustness of split conformal prediction under adversarial attacks.

problem Ensuring distribution-free coverage guarantees in CP under adversarial conditions.
method Theoretical analysis and extensive experiments on split conformal prediction robustness.
result Prediction coverage varies with calibration-time attack strength, enabling control over coverage under adversarial tests.

For dynamical systems that can be modelled as asymptotically stable linear systems forced by Gaussian noise, this paper develops methods to infer or estimate their modes from observations in real time. The modes can be real or complex. For a real mode, we wish to infer its damping rate and mode shape. For a complex mod…

2019-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗