This papers presents a deep learning-based framework to predict crowdsourced service availability spatially and temporally. A novel two-stage prediction model is introduced based on historical spatio-temporal traces of mobile crowdsourced services. The prediction model first clusters mobile crowdsourced services into r…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “mobility prediction”
We present and test a sequential learning algorithm for the short-term prediction of human mobility. This novel approach pairs the Exponential Weights forecaster with a very large ensemble of experts. The experts are individual sequence prediction algorithms constructed from the mobility traces of 10 million roaming mo…
Study predicts traffic congestion based on population mobility data.
problem Predicting traffic congestion in multimodal transport networks.
method Machine learning methods applied to population mobility data.
result Likely prediction of congestion based on population movements.
This is a brief survey of the research performed by Grandata Labs in collaboration with numerous academic groups around the world on the topic of human mobility. A driving theme in these projects is to use and improve Data Science techniques to understand mobility, as it can be observed through the lens of mobile phone…
Human mobility is well described by closed-form gravity-like models learned automatically from dataphysics.soc-ph
New models predict mobility flows as well as complex machine learning but are simpler and interpretable.
problem Incomplete understanding and modeling of human mobility flows.
method Developed simple machine-learned, closed-form models of mobility.
result These models predict mobility flows more accurately than gravity or complex machine/deep learning models.
Study develops a new model for predicting individual mobility based on activity patterns.
problem Existing mobility prediction methods overlook underlying activity patterns.
method Activity-based hidden Markov model (IOHMM) using transit smart card data.
result Proposed model achieves similar prediction performance to LSTM but also provides behavioral insights.
Due to the drastic increase of mobile traffic, wireless caching is proposed to serve repeated requests for content download. To determine the caching scheme for decentralized caching networks, the content preference learning problem based on mobility prediction is studied. We first formulate preference prediction as a …
Model predicts urban population using mobile data traffic.
problem Estimating urban population dynamics from mobile data.
method Data-driven approach combining NetMob 2023 and ENACT datasets.
result NetMob 2023 data can estimate urban population with XGBoost models.
We utilize Wi-Fi communications from smartphones to predict their mobility mode, i.e. walking, biking and driving. Wi-Fi sensors were deployed at four strategic locations in a closed loop on streets in downtown Toronto. Deep neural network (Multilayer Perceptron) along with three decision tree based classifiers (Decisi…
Real-life mobile phone data may contain noisy instances, which is a fundamental issue for building a prediction model with many potential negative consequences. The complexity of the inferred model may increase, may arise overfitting problem, and thereby the overall prediction accuracy of the model may decrease. In thi…
TraLFM models human mobility patterns from traffic trajectories.
problem Understanding human mobility patterns from traffic data.
method Latent factor modeling of sequential, personal, and temporal factors.
result TraLFM significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in latent factor analysis and next location prediction.
Nowadays, mobile telephony interruptions in our daily life activities are common because of the inappropriate ringing notifications of incoming phone calls in different contexts. Such interruptions may impact on the work attention not only for the mobile phone owners but also the surrounding people. Decision tree is th…
We propose a real-time context-aware learning system along with the architecture that runs on the mobile devices, provide services to the user and manage the IoT devices. In this system, an application running on mobile devices collected data from the sensors, learned about the user-defined context, made predictions in…
Proposes FairDRL-ST for fair spatio-temporal mobility prediction.
problem Fairness concerns in spatio-temporal AI applications.
method Disentangled representation learning, adversarial learning.
result Achieves fairness in spatio-temporal mobility prediction without performance loss.
Predicting and improving player retention is crucial to the success of mobile Free-to-Play games. This paper explores the problem of rapid retention prediction in this context. Heuristic modeling approaches are introduced as a way of building simple rules for predicting short-term retention. Compared to common classifi…
Analyzing mobility behavior of users is extremely useful to create or improve existing services. Several research works have been done in order to study mobility behavior of users that mainly use users' significant locations. However, these existing analysis are extremely intrusive because they require the knowledge of…
New method for efficient personalized learning in mobile health.
problem Efficient and personalized learning in mobile health.
method Proposes a novel generative process on kernel composition for online Gaussian Process regression.
result Trajectories of kernel evolutions can be transferred between users to improve learning and kernels are meaningful for mHealth prediction.
There is an increasing interest in exploiting mobile sensing technologies and machine learning techniques for mental health monitoring and intervention. Researchers have effectively used contextual information, such as mobility, communication and mobile phone usage patterns for quantifying individuals' mood and wellbei…
Study improves prediction accuracy and uncertainty for mobile sensor data using randomized neural networks.
problem Improving prediction accuracy and uncertainty for mobile sensor data.
method Cross-validation and uncertainty determination for randomized neural networks.
result Improved out-of-sample performance and confidence intervals for prediction error.
A Semi-Supervised and Inductive Embedding Model for Churn Prediction of Large-Scale Mobile Gamescs.LG
Mobile gaming has emerged as a promising market with billion-dollar revenues. A variety of mobile game platforms and services have been developed around the world. One critical challenge for these platforms and services is to understand user churn behavior in mobile games. Accurate churn prediction will benefit many st…
Recurrent Flow Networks: A Recurrent Latent Variable Model for Density Modelling of Urban Mobilitystat.ML
RFN models urban mobility demand by separating temporal and spatial variability.
problem Aligning supply and demand in MoD systems for efficient transportation.
method Recurrent flow networks with latent variables and normalizing flows.
result RFN models explicitly disentangle temporal and spatial variability in urban mobility.
MPE models traffic trajectory data to predict next locations.
problem Predicting next locations from traffic trajectory data.
method Mobility pattern embedding model MPE.
result MPE significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in next location prediction.
FLeet improves online FL for mobile apps with better performance and privacy.
problem Federated Learning's offline nature limits its applicability for online updates.
method Combines staleness awareness and performance prediction with adaptive learning.
result 2.3x quality boost with minimal battery consumption.
As mobile devices become more and more popular, mobile gaming has emerged as a promising market with billion-dollar revenues. A variety of mobile game platforms and services have been developed around the world. A critical challenge for these platforms and services is to understand the churn behavior in mobile games, w…
Extracting significant places or places of interest (POIs) using individuals' spatio-temporal data is of fundamental importance for human mobility analysis. Classical clustering methods have been used in prior work for detecting POIs, but without considering temporal constraints. Usually, the involved parameters for cl…
With the growth of using cell phones and the increase in diversity of smart mobile devices, a massive volume of data is generated continuously in the process of using these devices. Among these data, Call Detail Records, CDR, is highly remarkable. Since CDR contains both temporal and spatial labels, mobility analysis o…
Training deep learning models on mobile devices recently becomes possible, because of increasing computation power on mobile hardware and the advantages of enabling high user experiences. Most of the existing work on machine learning at mobile devices is focused on the inference of deep learning models (particularly co…
The internet activity records (IARs) of a mobile cellular network posses significant information which can be exploited to identify the network's efficacy and the mobile users' behavior. In this work, we extract useful information from the IAR data and identify a healthy predictability of spatio-temporal pattern within…
Challenge forecasts EV charging station usage accurately.
problem Better understanding of EV charging behaviors needed.
method Hierarchical forecasting of EV charging station occupancy.
result Hierarchical forecasting improves EV charging station occupancy predictions.
Predicts local AQI using mobile sensor data, improving accuracy by 71.654 MSE.
problem Inaccurate AQI data from sparse sensors in developing countries.
method Spatio-temporal GNNs for fine-grained AQI forecasting.
result Significant improvement in AQI prediction accuracy (71.654 MSE reduction).
A new federated learning method protects privacy in mobile crowdsensing.
problem Data and model privacy protection in federated extreme gradient boosting for mobile crowdsensing.
method Secret sharing based federated learning architecture FedXGB.
result FedXGB achieves less than 1% accuracy loss while preserving model privacy.
VisitHGNN predicts visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs using graph neural networks.
problem Estimating visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs for urban planning.
method Heterogeneous, relation-specific graph neural network (VisitHGNN) trained on mobility data.
result Strong predictive performance with high fidelity to observed travel behavior.
The paper proposes a survival model to optimize mobile notification delivery times.
problem Inappropriate notification timing and interruptions lead to user complaints.
method Developed a state transition framework and a survival model with log-linear and Weibull structures.
result The survival model outperforms logistic regression in prediction accuracy.
In order to improve mobile data transparency, a number of network-based approaches have been proposed to inspect packets generated by mobile devices and detect personally identifiable information (PII), ad requests, or other activities. State-of-the-art approaches train classifiers based on features extracted from HTTP…
In this study, we present a machine learning approach to infer the worker and student mobility flows on daily basis from static censuses. The rapid urbanization has made the estimation of the human mobility flows a critical task for transportation and urban planners. The primary objective of this paper is to complete i…
Many households in developing countries lack formal financial histories, making it difficult for firms to extend credit, and for potential borrowers to receive it. However, many of these households have mobile phones, which generate rich data about behavior. This article shows that behavioral signatures in mobile phone…
In a mixed-traffic scenario where both autonomous vehicles and human-driving vehicles exist, a timely prediction of driving intentions of nearby human-driving vehicles is essential for the safe and efficient driving of an autonomous vehicle. In this paper, a driving intention prediction method based on Hidden Markov Mo…
Graph neural networks predict future COVID-19 cases based on human mobility.
problem Predicting future COVID-19 cases using human mobility data.
method Created a graph with regions as nodes and human mobility as edge weights. Used graph neural networks to capture diffusion patterns and transfer learning for limited data.
result Graph neural networks outperform traditional methods in predicting future cases.
In the age of data driven solution, the customer demographic attributes, such as gender and age, play a core role that may enable companies to enhance the offers of their services and target the right customer in the right time and place. In the marketing campaign, the companies want to target the real user of the GSM …
New method reduces cloud usage for mobile/IoT predictions.
problem Minimizing cloud usage for mobile/IoT predictions while maintaining accuracy.
method Formulating the BL problem via bracketing functions from a simple class.
result Improved performance over prior methods, validated on real-world datasets.
SHMM models human mobility from GPS and text data, overcoming text sparsity.
problem Modeling human mobility from semantic trace data, especially addressing text sparsity.
method SHMM is a multi-modal spherical hidden Markov model that jointly models location, time, and text embeddings on a unit sphere using vMF distribution.
result SHMM outperforms state-of-the-art models in next location prediction and has lower training cost.
System recommends workouts and predicts success rates using RNNs.
problem Promoting healthy lifestyles through personalized exercise recommendations.
method Two interconnected recurrent neural networks (RNNs) using historical workout data.
result Interconnected-RNN model predicts exercise success rates with improved accuracy.
Model predicts COVID-19 cases with high accuracy using mobility data.
problem Accurate forecasting of COVID-19 cases for resource management.
method Heterogeneous infection rate model with human mobility, linearization, weighted least squares.
result Extremely accurate predictions of confirmed cases at country and state levels.
Mobile context determination is an important step for many context aware services such as location-based services, enterprise policy enforcement, building or room occupancy detection for power or HVAC operation, etc. Especially in enterprise scenarios where policies (e.g., attending a confidential meeting only when the…
Bluetooth data predicts depression severity, showing 18.8% extra variance.
problem Predicting depressive symptom severity using Bluetooth data.
method Extracted 49 Bluetooth features from NBDC data, used linear mixed-effect and hierarchical Bayesian linear regression models.
result Hierarchical Bayesian model achieved best prediction metrics (R2=0.526, RMSE=3.891).
Large mobility datasets collected from various sources have allowed us to observe, analyze, predict and solve a wide range of important urban challenges. In particular, studies have generated place representations (or embeddings) from mobility patterns in a similar manner to word embeddings to better understand the fun…
Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.
problem Evaluating economic impact of extreme shocks on businesses.
method Bayesian structural time series model with mobile phone data.
result Estimates business resilience after hurricanes, revealing key characteristics.
Generative model predicts menstrual cycle lengths accounting for self-tracking artifacts.
problem Uncertainty in self-tracked health data due to user adherence.
method Hierarchical, generative model using machine learning.
result Model yields state-of-the-art performance in predicting menstrual cycle lengths.