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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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3773110146 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for mixture density

The two most extended density-based approaches to clustering are surely mixture model clustering and modal clustering. In the mixture model approach, the density is represented as a mixture and clusters are associated to the different mixture components. In modal clustering, clusters are understood as regions of high d…

2016-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a method for interpretable mixture density estimation using a tree structure.

problem Complex probability distributions in machine learning models.
method Interpretable tree structure for mixture density estimation with fast inference.
result The method achieves both high speed and interpretability for mixture density estimation.

The study applies spatial density models to mobile node movements using Möbius distributions.

problem Modeling the steady-state density of mobile nodes on a 2D terrain.
method Used mixture density networks with Möbius distributions to describe node density over a disk.
result Möbius distributions are more suitable for capturing radial changes in node density compared to Gaussian distributions.

Regularized mixtures improve inflation and interest rate forecasts, especially correcting overconfidence.

problem Improving density forecasts of Eurozone inflation and real interest rates.
method Construct regularized mixtures of density forecasts with various objectives and penalties.
result Regularized mixtures outperform individual forecasters, especially correcting overconfidence.

The paper analyzes how a known density function can be deviated by a mixture distribution as more data is collected.

problem Modeling the deviation of a known density function when more data is collected.
method A novel distinguishability notion is used to establish rates of convergence for maximum likelihood estimates of the deviated proportion and latent mixing measure.
result Rates of convergence for the maximum likelihood estimates of the deviated proportion and latent mixing measure are established under the Wasserstein metric.

GGMPs improve non-Gaussian conditional density estimation.

problem Multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity in conditional density estimation.
method GGMP combines local Gaussian mixture fitting, cross-input component alignment, and per-component heteroscedastic GP training.
result GGMPs improve distributional approximation on synthetic and real-world datasets.

The paper introduces a new method for multivariate density estimation using deep neural mixture models.

problem Multivariate density estimation is a fundamental but underexplored task in machine learning.
method The paper extends Neural Mixture Densities (NMMs) to multivariate Deep Neural Mixture Models (DNMMs) using maximum-likelihood algorithm.
result The DNMMs can model any probability density function to any degree of precision and outperform traditional statistical estimation techniques.

Paper uses GMM and MAF for probabilistic classification, outperforming simpler models.

problem Classifying data with complex distributions.
method Density estimation using Gaussian Mixture Model and Masked Autoregressive Flow.
result Proposed classifiers outperform simpler models like linear discriminant analysis.

This paper studies sparse density estimation via 1\ell_1 penalization (SPADES). We focus on estimation in high-dimensional mixture models and nonparametric adaptive density estimation. We show, respectively, that SPADES can recover, with high probability, the unknown components of a mixture of probability densities an…

2009-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

EnEMF uses Epanechnikov kernel for high-dimensional filtering, improving accuracy and robustness.

problem Suboptimal Gaussian mixture kernel density estimates in high-dimensional settings.
method Ensemble Epanechnikov mixture filter (EnEMF) using optimal Epanechnikov kernel.
result EnEMF reduces error per particle on high-dimensional systems like Lorenz '96.

Method estimates joint probability density from samples using low-rank decomposition and random projections.

problem Estimating joint probability density from limited samples.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition, dictionaries, and Radon transforms.
result Algorithm outperforms previous methods in estimating synthetic probability densities.

Mixture models are powerful statistical models used in many applications ranging from density estimation to clustering and classification. When dealing with mixture models, there are many issues that the experimenter should be aware of and needs to solve. The MixEst toolbox is a powerful and user-friendly package for M…

2015-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian approach learns nonparametric mixture components from heterogeneous data.

problem Realistic modeling of heterogeneous data populations with nonparametric mixture components.
method Bayesian nonparametric modeling using Dirichlet process mixture priors.
result Posterior contraction rates for component densities are nearly polynomial, improving over deconvolution methods.

Algorithm estimates nonparametric mixtures from grouped data.

problem Estimating identifiable nonparametric mixture models from grouped observations.
method Oracle inequality for weighted kernel density estimators and general consistency result.
result Consistent estimation of mixture components from grouped observations.

New method for private density estimation of high-dimensional Gaussian mixtures.

problem Private density estimation for mixtures of unrestricted high-dimensional Gaussians.
method Exploits list global stability to prove upper bound on sample complexity.
result First upper bound on sample complexity for agnostic private density estimation.

We introduce a balloon estimator in a generalized expectation-maximization method for estimating all parameters of a Gaussian mixture model given one data sample per mixture component. Instead of limiting explicitly the model size, this regularization strategy yields low-complexity sparse models where the number of eff…

2018-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We address two shortcomings in online travel time estimation methods for congested urban traffic. The first shortcoming is related to the determination of the number of mixture modes, which can change dynamically, within day and from day to day. The second shortcoming is the wide-spread use of Gaussian probability dens…

2018-04-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider nonparametric estimation of the state price density encapsulated in option prices. Unlike usual density estimation problems, we only observe option prices and their corresponding strike prices rather than samples from the state price density. We propose to model the state price density directly with a nonpa…

2009-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative model prices basket options efficiently.

problem Real-time pricing of basket options with varying market inputs.
method Truncated path signatures and Mixture Density Networks (MDN) for learning the terminal density.
result The model produces small pricing errors and matches Monte Carlo simulations closely.

We introduce RNADE, a new model for joint density estimation of real-valued vectors. Our model calculates the density of a datapoint as the product of one-dimensional conditionals modeled using mixture density networks with shared parameters. RNADE learns a distributed representation of the data, while having a tractab…

2013-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We show that the visible sector probability density function of the Riemann-Theta Boltzmann machine corresponds to a gaussian mixture model consisting of an infinite number of component multi-variate gaussians. The weights of the mixture are given by a discrete multi-variate gaussian over the hidden state space. This a…

2018-04-20abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we introduce and evaluate a data-driven staged mixture modeling technique for building density, regression, and classification models. Our basic approach is to sequentially add components to a finite mixture model using the structural expectation maximization (SEM) algorithm. We show that our technique i…

2012-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative Adversarial Networks have surprising ability for generating sharp and realistic images, though they are known to suffer from the so-called mode collapse problem. In this paper, we propose a new GAN variant called Mixture Density GAN that while being capable of generating high-quality images, overcomes this p…

2018-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel optimization-based Gaussian mixture reduction method using composite transportation divergence.

problem Exponential increase in Gaussian mixture order leads to intractable inference.
method Optimization-based Gaussian mixture reduction (GMR) using composite transportation divergence (CTD).
result Unified framework for selecting optimal cost function in various applications.

Improved VB algorithm for NIG mixtures outperforms Gaussian mixtures for non-Gaussian data.

problem Clustering non-Gaussian data, especially heavy-tailed and asymmetric.
method Proposed an improved VB algorithm for NIG mixture models and extended Dirichlet process mixture models.
result Outperforms Gaussian mixtures and existing NIG mixture models, especially for highly non-normative data.

A mixture of Gaussians fit to a single curved or heavy-tailed cluster will report that the data contains many clusters. To produce more appropriate clusterings, we introduce a model which warps a latent mixture of Gaussians to produce nonparametric cluster shapes. The possibly low-dimensional latent mixture model allow…

2014-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A mixture of Gaussians fit to a single curved or heavy-tailed cluster will report that the data contains many clusters. To produce more appropriate clusterings, we introduce a model which warps a latent mixture of Gaussians to produce nonparametric cluster shapes. The possibly low-dimensional latent mixture model allow…

2012-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Normalized compound random measures are flexible nonparametric priors for related distributions. We consider building general nonparametric regression models using normalized compound random measure mixture models. Posterior inference is made using a novel pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings sampler for normalized comp…

2016-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to partition univariate data into unimodal subsets.

problem Partitioning univariate multimodal data into unimodal subsets.
method Recursive splitting around valley points of the data density using properties of critical points on the convex hull of the ecdf plot.
result Obtains a hierarchical statistical model of the initial dataset as a mixture of UMMs.

We construct an infinite-dimensional information manifold based on exponential Orlicz spaces without using the notion of exponential convergence. We then show that convex mixtures of probability densities lie on the same connected component of this manifold, and characterize the class of densities for which this mixtur…

2001-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves density estimation for compact domains using hh-lifted KL divergence.

problem Estimating probability density functions on compact domains.
method Introduced hh-lifted Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence for risk minimization.
result Proved O(1/n)\mathcal{O}(1/{\sqrt{n}}) bound on estimation error.