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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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71142213284 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for mixable loss

Mixability of a loss is known to characterise when constant regret bounds are achievable in games of prediction with expert advice through the use of Vovk's aggregating algorithm. We provide a new interpretation of mixability via convex analysis that highlights the role of the Kullback-Leibler divergence in its definit…

2014-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal algorithms for mixable losses in dynamic environments with reduced redundancy.

problem Online optimization of mixable loss functions in a dynamic environment.
method Introduce online mixture schemes with polynomial and logarithmic time complexities.
result Achieves optimal redundancy up to a constant multiplicity gap.

The goal of online prediction with expert advice is to find a decision strategy which will perform almost as well as the best expert in a given pool of experts, on any sequence of outcomes. This problem has been widely studied and O(T)O(\sqrt{T}) and O(logT)O(\log{T}) regret bounds can be achieved for convex losses (\cite{zin…

2018-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Near-logarithmic regret per switch achieved for mixable/exp-concave losses.

problem Online optimization of mixable loss functions with dynamic environments.
method Online mixture framework using static solvers and hyper-expert creations.
result Near-logarithmic regret per switch with sub-polynomial complexity.

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) is a fundamental learning rule for statistical learning problems where the data is generated according to some unknown distribution P\mathsf{P} and returns a hypothesis ff chosen from a fixed class F\mathcal{F} with small loss \ell. In the parametric setting, depending upon $(\ell…

2014-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The speed with which a learning algorithm converges as it is presented with more data is a central problem in machine learning --- a fast rate of convergence means less data is needed for the same level of performance. The pursuit of fast rates in online and statistical learning has led to the discovery of many conditi…

2015-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Probabilistic forecasts in the form of probability distributions over future events have become popular in several fields of statistical science. The dissimilarity between a probability forecast and an outcome is measured by a loss function (scoring rule). Popular example of scoring rule for continuous outcomes is the …

2019-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Gaptron algorithm reduces mistakes in online multiclass classification.

problem Online multiclass classification with limited information.
method Randomized first-order algorithm exploiting the gap between zero-one loss and surrogate losses.
result First linear time algorithm with O(KT)O(K\sqrt{T}) expected regret.

Improved multiclass logistic regression with lower computational complexity.

problem High computational complexity in existing methods for multiclass logistic regression.
method Developed a new algorithm that achieves a lower computational complexity.
result Achieved a regret of O(log(Bn))O(\log(Bn)) with computational complexity O(n1.5)O(n^{1.5}).

Introduces joint exclusivity (JE), a new form of negative dependence.

problem Negative dependence structures in probability distributions.
method Defines JE by exclusion of the interior of the non-negative orthant, establishes necessary and sufficient conditions for existence, proposes a canonical construction.
result Sharp necessary and sufficient condition for existence of JE random vectors with prescribed marginals.

The paper explores the relationship between joint mixability and negative dependence structures.

problem Understanding the connection between joint mixability and various negative dependence concepts.
method Analyzes the properties of joint mixes and their relation to negative dependence structures.
result Derives necessary and sufficient conditions for a joint mix to be negatively dependent.

Learning linear predictors with the logistic loss---both in stochastic and online settings---is a fundamental task in machine learning and statistics, with direct connections to classification and boosting. Existing "fast rates" for this setting exhibit exponential dependence on the predictor norm, and Hazan et al. (20…

2018-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper examines risk aggregation under mixtures of marginals, finding that more homogeneous distributions lead to larger uncertainty.

problem Investigating the impact of mixing on risk aggregation uncertainty.
method Analyzes ordering relations and inequalities for aggregation sets under distribution and quantile mixtures.
result More homogeneous marginals result in larger aggregation sets, indicating greater model uncertainty.

We study losses for binary classification and class probability estimation and extend the understanding of them from margin losses to general composite losses which are the composition of a proper loss with a link function. We characterise when margin losses can be proper composite losses, explicitly show how to determ…

2009-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We present the Tamed Cross Entropy (TCE) loss function, a robust derivative of the standard Cross Entropy (CE) loss used in deep learning for classification tasks. However, unlike other robust losses, the TCE loss is designed to exhibit the same training properties than the CE loss in noiseless scenarios. Therefore, th…

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified surrogate loss framework for multi-label learning with strong consistency guarantees.

problem Improving consistency and accounting for label correlations in multi-label learning.
method Introducing multi-label logistic loss and extending it to comprehensive multi-label comp-sum losses, proving strong consistency guarantees for any multi-label loss.
result Unified surrogate loss framework benefiting from strong consistency guarantees for any multi-label loss.

We present αα-loss, α[1,]α\in [1,\infty], a tunable loss function for binary classification that bridges log-loss (α=1α=1) and 00-11 loss (α=α= \infty). We prove that αα-loss has an equivalent margin-based form and is classification-calibrated, two desirable properties for a good surrogate loss function for the ideal y…

2019-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This work generalizes calibeating for a broader range of proper losses using Bregman divergence.

problem Calibration for a wide range of proper losses beyond Brier and log loss.
method Regret minimization based on Bregman divergence for a family of proper losses.
result U-calibration results for a family of Tsallis losses with logarithmic regret and dimension independence.

Proposes squentropy loss for improved classification accuracy and model calibration.

problem Theoretical and empirical evidence for cross-entropy loss is lacking.
method Introduces squentropy loss as the sum of cross-entropy and average square loss over incorrect classes.
result Squentropy loss outperforms cross-entropy and rescaled square losses in classification accuracy and model calibration.

The study analyzes a model for aggregate losses with dependent and overdispersed inter-losses times.

problem Analyzing aggregate loss models with dependent and overdispersed inter-losses times.
method The study uses a two-state Markovian arrival process (MAP2) and a Markov renewal process to model the inter-losses times. Severities are modeled using a heavy-tailed, double-Pareto Lognormal distribution. The model is estimated via direct maximization of the likelihood function.
result The model with dependence and overdispersion in inter-losses times leads to higher capital charges compared to a Poisson process.

Two new algorithms improve performance in adversarial bandits with unbounded losses.

problem Adversarial Multi-Armed Bandits with unbounded losses.
method Developed UMAB-NN and UMAB-G for non-negative and general unbounded losses respectively.
result UMAB-NN achieves the first adaptive and scale-free regret bound for non-negative unbounded losses.

Paper explores connections between loss functions and consistency in binary classification and regression.

problem Consistency in binary classification and regression applications.
method Characterization of conformable loss functions and derivation of a new Huber-type loss function.
result Margin-based loss functions are equivalent to loss functions of squared standardized logistic regression residuals.

Theoretical analysis of cross-entropy loss functions and their robustness.

problem Guarantees for using cross-entropy as a surrogate loss function.
method Theoretical analysis of a broad family of loss functions, including cross-entropy.
result First HH-consistency bounds for comp-sum losses and smooth adversarial comp-sum losses.

This paper improves operational risk modeling by selecting better loss severity distributions.

problem Inconsistent regulatory capital calculations due to changing loss severity distribution families.
method Presented truncation probability estimates and a consistent quantile scoring function for selection criteria. Also, recommended collecting loss frequencies below the minimum reporting threshold.
result More stable regulatory capital calculations through better selection of loss severity distributions.

This paper improves loss functions for deep learning with noisy labels.

problem Training deep neural networks with noisy labels.
method The paper introduces a normalization technique to make any loss function robust to noisy labels and proposes a framework called Active Passive Loss (APL) to combine robust loss functions.
result The proposed APL framework consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods, especially under high noise rates.

We study cross-country GDP losses due to financial crises in terms of frequency (number of loss events per period) and severity (loss per occurrence). We perform the Loss Distribution Approach (LDA) to estimate a multi-country aggregate GDP loss probability density function and the percentiles associated to extreme eve…

2012-01-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores transferability of adversarial examples between convex and 01 loss models, finding non-transferability due to different decision boundaries caused by outliers.

problem Transferability of adversarial examples between convex and 01 loss models.
method Empirical study of transferability between linear 01 loss and convex (hinge) loss models, and between neural networks with different activation functions.
result Adversarial examples are non-transferable between convex and 01 loss models due to different decision boundaries caused by outliers.

Symmetrizes loss functions to improve neural network robustness against noisy labels.

problem Designing robust loss functions for noisy labels in neural networks.
method Symmetrization of multi-class loss functions, focusing on cross-entropy and unhinged loss.
result The multi-class unhinged loss is the unique convex symmetric loss under suitable assumptions.

EnsLoss combines multiple loss functions to prevent overfitting in classification.

problem Preventing overfitting in classification models.
method EnsLoss is an ensemble method that combines loss functions, ensuring calibration and consistency.
result EnsLoss improves classification accuracy compared to fixed loss methods.

Study compares metric learning loss functions for speaker verification.

problem Comparing metric learning loss functions for end-to-end speaker verification.
method Cross entropy loss, cosine loss, angular margin loss, center loss, contrastive loss, triplet loss.
result Additive angular margin loss outperforms other loss functions.

In this work, we introduce the {\em average top-kk} (\atk) loss as a new aggregate loss for supervised learning, which is the average over the kk largest individual losses over a training dataset. We show that the \atk loss is a natural generalization of the two widely used aggregate losses, namely the average loss a…

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel approach embeds loss tunnels in neural networks, revealing insights into their structure.

problem Understanding the structure of neural network loss surfaces, especially low-loss tunnels.
method Directly embedding loss tunnels into the loss landscape of neural networks.
result Improved insights into the length and structure of loss tunnels, and better subspace inference in Bayesian neural networks.

We establish linear regret bounds for convex smooth losses using Fenchel-Young losses.

problem Establishing linear regret bounds for convex smooth losses.
method Constructing a convex smooth surrogate loss using Fenchel-Young losses generated by the convolutional negentropy.
result We derive a smooth loss with a linear surrogate regret bound.

Establishes a condition for multiclass classification-calibration of Gamma-Phi losses.

problem Ensuring classification-calibration of multiclass Gamma-Phi losses.
method Develops a general sufficient condition for classification-calibration of Gamma-Phi losses.
result Proves the first family of nonconvex multiclass surrogate losses for which classification-calibration has been fully justified.

Unhinged loss minimization fails to improve classifier accuracy for simple data.

problem Accuracy of classifiers minimizing the unhinged loss.
method Minimizing the unhinged loss function.
result Minimizing the unhinged loss yields classifiers with accuracy no better than random guessing for simple data.

A hybrid loss framework improves time series forecasting by balancing global and component errors.

problem Current time series methods may prioritize less significant sub-series, leading to forecasting bias.
method Proposes a hybrid loss framework combining global and component losses, dynamically adjusting weights.
result Improves time series forecasting performance by 0.5-2% on average.