Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

2825638451,126 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for missing cash-flow data

Paper develops models to forecast private equity fund cash flows.

problem Limited literature on illiquid alternative asset cash flow forecasting.
method Develops benchmark model and two novel approaches (direct vs. indirect) using LSTM/GRU models and macroeconomic indicators.
result Direct model performs better and aligns with actual cash flows, but indirect model's performance is less clear.

The paper finds a pervasive and severe bias in accounting semi-identity models.

problem Bias in investment-cash flow sensitivity models.
method Augmented specification with a bias-capturing variable tested across multiple databases.
result The Accounting Semi-Identity (ASI) distortion is universal and severe, affecting 100% of databases and explaining more than 83% of total explained variance.

In this paper we aim to find a measure for the diversity of cash flows between agents in an economy. We argue that cash flows can be linked to probabilities of finding a currency unit in a given cash flow. We then use the information entropy as a natural measure of diversity. This leads to a hirarchical inequality meas…

2013-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method prices time-to-event cash flows using survival analysis.

problem Pricing insurance investment portfolios with time-to-event cash flows.
method Discrete-time survival analysis framework, hazard rate estimators, asymptotic multivariate normality.
result Pricing model yields estimates closer to actual cash flows than non-random models.

Study optimizes insurance liability cash flows with regulatory capital requirements.

problem Valuation of insurance liabilities under regulatory capital constraints.
method Multiple-prior optimal stopping theory applied to insurance liabilities, considering hypothetical transfer and repeated capital requirements.
result Proposes a valuation functional for non-replicable cash flows, incorporating a margin for regulatory capital considerations.

Study cash-flow forecasting for derivatives, aligning with replication strategy and addressing timing frictions.

problem Inconsistencies in cash-flow forecasting under different measures and stochastic payment times.
method Use discounting sensitivities (funding-curve hedge ratios) for replication and propose a liquidity valuation adjustment.
result Aligns forecasting with replication strategy and avoids measure-mixing issues.

In this article, a sensitivity analysis of long-term cash flows with respect to perturbations in the underlying process is presented. For this purpose, we employ the martingale extraction through which a pricing operator is transformed into what is easier to address. The method of Fournie et al. will be combined with t…

2015-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We present an approach to market-consistent multi-period valuation of insurance liability cash flows based on a two-stage valuation procedure. First, a portfolio of traded financial instrument aimed at replicating the liability cash flow is fixed. Then the residual cash flow is managed by repeated one-period replicatio…

2016-07-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper defines the payback period for nonconventional cash flows using axioms.

problem Defining the payback period for nonconventional cash flows is challenging.
method Used axiomatic approach to define the payback period.
result The last break-even point of the project balance is the only definition consistent with axioms.

This paper closely examines theoretical and practical aspects of the widely used discounted cash flows (DCF) valuation method. It assesses its potentials as well as several weaknesses. A special emphasize is being put on the valuation of companies using the DCF method. The paper finds that the discounted cash flow meth…

2010-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The present paper provides the basis for a novel financial asset pricing model that could avoid the shortcomings of, or even completely replace the traditional DCF model. The model is based on Brownian motion logic and expected future cash flow values. It can be very useful for Islamic Finance.

2014-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents an overview of information-based asset pricing. In this approach, an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. The market is assumed to have access to "partial" information about future cash flows. Each cash flow is determined by a collection of independent market factors called X-factors. The ma…

2010-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A new framework for asset price dynamics is introduced in which the concept of noisy information about future cash flows is used to derive the price processes. In this framework an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. Each cash flow is modelled by a random variable that can be expressed as a function of a colle…

2007-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Clarifies interest rate cap rules for loans with unconventional cash flows.

problem Ambiguity in applying interest rate caps to loans with non-conventional internal rate of return (IRR).
method Clarified conventional IRR definition, axiomatized, and extended to all loans.
result Unique extension of interest rate cap rule for all loans, based on net present value test.

Indices of acceptability are well suited to frame the axiomatic features of many performance measures, associated to terminal random cash flows.We extend this notion to classes of càdlàg processes modelling cash flows over a fixed investment horizon.We provide a representation result for bounded paths. We suggest an ac…

2019-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work we are concerned with valuing optionalities associated to invest or to delay investment in a project when the available information provided to the manager comes from simulated data of cash flows under historical (or subjective) measure in a possibly incomplete market. Our approach is suitable also to inco…

2015-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Analyzes valuation of derivative claims with asymmetric funding costs and WWR.

problem Valuing and hedging derivative claims with bilateral cash flows in asymmetric funding and risk environments.
method Characterizes pre-default claim value as solution to a non-linear Cauchy problem, applies stochastic representation under linear funding policy.
result Derivative claim value can be represented as a portfolio of European options and admits an analytical formula involving elementary functions and Gaussian integrals.

This study shows how monetary uncertainty affects stock market reactions to macroeconomic news.

problem Understanding stock market reactions to macroeconomic news under varying levels of monetary uncertainty.
method Decomposes stock market response into cash flow and risk-free rate channels, analyzing time-varying effects.
result High monetary uncertainty weakens the positive stock market response to macroeconomic news.

The information-based asset-pricing framework of Brody, Hughston and Macrina (BHM) is extended to include a wider class of models for market information. In the BHM framework, each asset is associated with a collection of random cash flows. The price of the asset is the sum of the discounted conditional expectations of…

2009-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates boundaries for acceptable bilateral gamma risk in financial markets.

problem Determining the compensation needed for risky future cash flows to be considered acceptable.
method Statistical inference from market prices and derivatives, using prospect theory.
result Upper and lower boundaries for bilateral gamma risk are estimated and tested against market data.

An investor is estimating net present value of a firm project and performs risk analysis. Usually it is created portfolio hierarchies and make comparison of variants of project based on these hierarchies. Then one finds that portfolio which corresponds to the particular needs of individual groups within the firm. We ha…

2005-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Study reveals investor heterogeneity in Korean equity market cash flows.

problem Investor heterogeneity and its impact on market dynamics.
method Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) on aggregated cash flows.
result Persistence in cash flows varies by investor type, with retail flows showing strong persistence.

Study on missing data mechanisms and simple imputation methods in fairness of machine learning algorithms.

problem Impact of missing data mechanisms and simple imputation methods on fairness of machine learning algorithms.
method Three popular datasets for classification fairness were used. Missing values were generated using three missing data mechanisms. Various missing data handling techniques (listwise deletion, mean imputation, mode imputation, multiple imputation) were applied to the datasets. Fairness was assessed using classification algorithms (random forests).
result Missing data mechanism does not significantly impact fairness; listwise deletion gives highest fairness on average.

Missing data imputation can help improve the performance of prediction models in situations where missing data hide useful information. This paper compares methods for imputing missing categorical data for supervised classification tasks. We experiment on two machine learning benchmark datasets with missing categorical…

2016-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a framework to estimate NBA player salary ROI.

problem Measuring the relative return of player salaries in NBA.
method Five-part framework: GCP measure, SGV calculation, cash flow series, ROI calculation.
result Illustrates framework with 2022-2023 NBA data, showing top and bottom performers.

Autoencoder neural network is implemented to estimate the missing data. Genetic algorithm is implemented for network optimization and estimating the missing data. Missing data is treated as Missing At Random mechanism by implementing maximum likelihood algorithm. The network performance is determined by calculating the…

2008-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms handle missing data to improve fairness in machine learning.

problem Missing values in data can lead to unfair outcomes in machine learning models.
method Developed scalable and adaptive algorithms to handle missing values while preserving predictive information.
result Our adaptive algorithms consistently achieve higher fairness and accuracy than standard impute-then-classify methods.

Trinary decision tree improves handling of missing data in machine learning.

problem Improving accuracy in decision tree algorithms when dealing with missing data.
method Introduces Trinary decision tree, which does not assume missing values contain information about the response.
result Trinary decision tree outperforms other algorithms in Missing Completely at Random settings, especially when data is only missing out-of-sample.

DeepIFSAC uses attention mechanisms and contrastive learning to impute missing values in tabular data.

problem Missing values in tabular data, especially when high and not random.
method Row and column attention in a contrastive learning framework with CutMix data augmentation.
result Proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art methods for missing rates between 10% and 90% and various missing value types.

This paper compares imputation and direct parameter estimation methods for missing data in correlation matrix visualization.

problem Missing data challenges in estimating correlation coefficients for accurate visualization.
method Comparison of imputation and direct parameter estimation methods for handling missing data.
result Direct parameter estimation (DPER) outperforms imputation for accurate correlation matrix visualization.

The paper explores how missing data problems are related to causal inference.

problem Missing data in experiments makes causal inference difficult.
method The paper reinterprets missing data as a form of causal inference by considering counterfactual variables.
result Identification assumptions in missing data can be encoded using graphical models of counterfactual and observed variables.

We present an automatic classification method for astronomical catalogs with missing data. We use Bayesian networks, a probabilistic graphical model, that allows us to perform inference to pre- dict missing values given observed data and dependency relationships between variables. To learn a Bayesian network from incom…

2013-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

ELMV uses ensemble learning to handle missing values in EHR data.

problem Significant missing values in EHR data cause bias and unreliable conclusions.
method ELMV constructs multiple subsets with lower missing rates and uses a support set for ensemble learning.
result ELMV outperforms conventional methods in critical feature identification and outcome prediction.