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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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4692137183 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for misclassification risk

Convolutional neural networks improve image classification accuracy.

problem Improving accuracy in image classification.
method Analyzing the convergence rate of misclassification risk for image classifiers.
result A rate of convergence independent of image dimension proves the effectiveness of CNNs.

New research shows logistic regression can achieve optimal error rate for agnostic learning of halfspaces.

problem Agnostic learning of homogeneous halfspaces with logistic loss.
method Constructing a well-behaved distribution and using logistic regression with additional convex optimization steps.
result Logistic regression can achieve Ω(extrmOPT)Ω(\sqrt{ extrm{OPT}}) misclassification risk, matching the upper bound.

This research improves PAC-Bayesian bounds for classification tasks using convexified loss.

problem Deriving generalization bounds for classification tasks with non-convex loss functions.
method Shift focus to misclassification excess risk bounds for PAC-Bayesian classification using convex surrogate loss and leveraging PAC-Bayesian relative bounds in expectation.
result Improved PAC-Bayesian bounds for classification tasks with convex surrogate loss.

Convolutional neural networks converge quickly with gradient descent.

problem Learning efficient image classifiers with over-parameterized networks.
method Gradient descent for training over-parametrized CNNs with global average-pooling.
result Gradient descent quickly reduces the misclassification risk of CNNs.

We discuss the problem of risk estimation in the classification problem, with specific focus on finding distributions that maximize the confidence intervals of risk estimation. We derived simple analytic approximations for the maximum bias of empirical risk for histogram classifier. We carry out a detailed study on usi…

2014-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes the maximum margin algorithm's performance on noisy data.

problem Analyzing the performance of maximum margin algorithm on noisy data.
method Finite-sample analysis of maximum margin algorithm applied to noisy data.
result The maximum margin algorithm can achieve nearly optimal population risk with sufficient over-parameterization.

Minimizes indecisions in selective classification to control misclassification rates.

problem Controlling misclassification rates in high-risk scenarios.
method Using indecisions to control misclassification rates, even below Bayes optimal.
result Control of misclassification rates to any user-specified level, even below Bayes optimal.

We identify spectral conditions for reliable neural probe interpretation.

problem Unreliable performance of linear probes in interpreting neural representations.
method Formalized Spectral Identifiability Principle (SIP) based on eigengap and Fisher error.
result Reliability of neural probes depends on the eigengap relative to Fisher estimation error.

Convolutional neural networks handle rotated image symmetries without dimensionality issues.

problem Binary image classification with rotational symmetry.
method Least squares plug-in classifiers based on convolutional neural networks under rotationally symmetric assumptions.
result Convolutional neural networks can circumvent the curse of dimensionality in binary image classification with rotational symmetry.

Study identifies and mitigates causes of image misclassifications in CNN models.

problem Improving model interpretability and accuracy in image classification.
method Trained six CNN architectures on CIFAR-10, used conditional confusion matrices and misclassification networks to identify morphological similarity and non-essential information interference as causes of misclassification. Developed a method to reduce misclassifications by erasing pixels within top 5% saliency map bounding boxes.
result Identified two causes of misclassification: morphological similarity and non-essential information interference, and developed a method to reduce misclassifications caused by the latter.

Proposes a novel SVM model for binary classification with different misclassification costs.

problem Real-world classification problems with varying misclassification costs.
method Incorporates performance constraints in SVM formulation to seek a hyperplane with maximal margin and misclassification rates below given thresholds.
result The proposed model gives users control over misclassification rates in one class at the expense of the other.

Algorithms are increasingly common components of high-impact decision-making, and a growing body of literature on adversarial examples in laboratory settings indicates that standard machine learning models are not robust. This suggests that real-world systems are also susceptible to manipulation or misclassification, w…

2018-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a new uncertainty measure for misclassification detection.

problem Effective detection of unreliable model predictions in machine learning.
method Data-driven measure of uncertainty relative to an observer based on soft-predictions.
result Demonstrates improved misclassification detection over state-of-the-art methods.

Paper decomposes risk into aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties and generates predictive uncertainty measures.

problem Unclear relationships between various predictive uncertainty measures in literature.
method Bayesian estimation to decompose risk into aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties, generating different predictive uncertainty measures.
result Experimental validation confirms usefulness of derived predictive uncertainty measures for detecting out-of-distribution and misclassified instances.

Community detection is a central problem of network data analysis. Given a network, the goal of community detection is to partition the network nodes into a small number of clusters, which could often help reveal interesting structures. The present paper studies community detection in Degree-Corrected Block Models (DCB…

2016-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes risk assessment tools using mixed-integer programming.

problem Challenges in healthcare risk assessment due to label scarcity and asymmetric misclassification costs.
method Jointly optimizes scoring weights and category thresholds via mixed-integer programming (MIP).
result Prevents label-scarce category collapse and achieves more accurate risk categorization.

A new framework selects information sources to test hypotheses robustly, even with misclassifications.

problem Robust hypothesis testing with misclassification penalties.
method Introduces a misclassification penalty framework and an efficient greedy algorithm.
result Proposes a submodular surrogate metric for better selection.

Efficient algorithm for CLSBM reduces misclassification rate.

problem Reducing misclassification in community detection for CLSBM.
method Spectral-based algorithm for CLSBM, with theoretical misclassification bounds.
result Upper bound on misclassification rate of efficient algorithm.

The paper studies binary classification and aims at estimating the underlying regression function which is the conditional expectation of the class labels given the inputs. The regression function is the key component of the Bayes optimal classifier, moreover, besides providing optimal predictions, it can also assess t…

2019-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Assessing the predictive accuracy of black box classifiers is challenging in the absence of labeled test datasets. In these scenarios we may need to rely on a human oracle to evaluate individual predictions; presenting the challenge to create query algorithms to guide the search for points that provide the most informa…

2018-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces misclassification costs in neural networks.

problem Reduces costs of misclassified instances in neural networks.
method Adaptive Cost-Sensitive Learning (AdaCSL) adjusts loss function to bridge class distribution mismatches.
result Deep neural networks with AdaCSL outperform other methods on cost-sensitive binary classification tasks.

Domain adaptation algorithms are designed to minimize the misclassification risk of a discriminative model for a target domain with little training data by adapting a model from a source domain with a large amount of training data. Standard approaches measure the adaptation discrepancy based on distance measures betwee…

2020-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

As a model for an on-line classification setting we consider a stochastic process (Xn,Yn)n(X_{-n},Y_{-n})_{n}, the present time-point being denoted by 0, with observables ,Xn,Xn+1,,X1,X0 \ldots,X_{-n},X_{-n+1},\ldots, X_{-1}, X_0 from which the pattern Y0Y_0 is to be inferred. So in this classification setting, in addition to the present…

2015-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Data augmentation impacts adversarial risk; careful application recommended.

problem Understanding how data augmentation affects adversarial risk in deep learning.
method Empirical analysis using three measures of adversarial risk.
result Data augmentation does not always improve adversarial risk; augmented data influences models more.

Develops methods to improve reliability of deep learning for autonomous driving.

problem Safety concerns in deploying autonomous driving systems.
method Introduces a new criterion (true class probability) for estimating model confidence and learns it from data.
result Proposed method provides better failure prediction than current uncertainty measures.

Optimal subset selection for hypothesis testing with penalties.

problem Optimal subset selection of information sources for hypothesis testing with misclassification penalties.
method Proposes a misclassification penalty framework and studies two variants of subset selection problems under centralized Bayesian learning.
result Proves the submodularity of the objective and constraints of the subset selection problems and establishes performance guarantees for greedy algorithms.

Study improves adversarial classification using distributionally robust models.

problem Improving robustness against adversarial attacks in classification models.
method Distributionally robust chance constraints with Wasserstein ambiguity, reformulated as a regularized ramp loss minimization problem.
result Standard descent methods can converge to the global minimizer for the distributionally robust adversarial classification model.

Proposes a method to quantify uncertainty in DNN models for discrete inputs.

problem Uncertainty quantification for DNN models with categorical and discrete feature variables.
method Develops a mathematical framework to quantify prediction uncertainty from discrete input noise and model parameters.
result Identifies risk-sensitive cases prone to misclassification due to discrete predictor errors.

The study quantifies decision-making risks from suboptimal classifiers and proposes methods to reduce these risks.

problem Excess risk in decision-making from suboptimal probabilistic classifiers.
method Analytical expressions and upper/lower bounds for excess risk, calibration curve estimation, grouping loss estimator.
result Identifies regimes where recalibration alone or post-training is more effective.

This work aims to reduce inexplicable errors in deep neural networks by obtaining class-level semantics and penalizing misclassifications.

problem Deep neural networks misclassify images, leading to inexplicable errors that can harm trust and societal impact.
method Obtain class-level semantics, propose Weighted Loss Functions (WLFs), and train classifiers with these methods.
result Trained networks have more explicable failure modes and comparable accuracy to existing methods.

Deep neural networks are powerful and popular learning models that achieve state-of-the-art pattern recognition performance on many computer vision, speech, and language processing tasks. However, these networks have also been shown susceptible to carefully crafted adversarial perturbations which force misclassificatio…

2016-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Monotonic relationship found between in-distribution and out-of-distribution performance.

problem Understanding performance of machine learning models under distribution shifts.
method Analyzing ridge-regularized models and linear inverse problems under covariate shift.
result Monotonic relationship between in-distribution and out-of-distribution performance for certain models.

Imbalanced data with a skewed class distribution are common in many real-world applications. Deep Belief Network (DBN) is a machine learning technique that is effective in classification tasks. However, conventional DBN does not work well for imbalanced data classification because it assumes equal costs for each class.…

2018-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗