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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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54108161215 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for misclassification probability

Paper introduces a new uncertainty measure for misclassification detection.

problem Effective detection of unreliable model predictions in machine learning.
method Data-driven measure of uncertainty relative to an observer based on soft-predictions.
result Demonstrates improved misclassification detection over state-of-the-art methods.

Convolutional neural networks improve image classification accuracy.

problem Improving accuracy in image classification.
method Analyzing the convergence rate of misclassification risk for image classifiers.
result A rate of convergence independent of image dimension proves the effectiveness of CNNs.

Subspace models play an important role in a wide range of signal processing tasks, and this paper explores how the pairwise geometry of subspaces influences the probability of misclassification. When the mismatch between the signal and the model is vanishingly small, the probability of misclassification is determined b…

2015-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper optimizes binary linear classifiers by tuning their weight vectors.

problem Optimizing the weight vector of binary linear classifiers for better performance.
method Parameterization of the discriminant through a scalar to control trade-offs between informative and noisy terms.
result Weight vector tuning compensates for non-optimal native hyperparameters, improving classification performance.

New algorithm reduces misclassification costs in neural networks.

problem Reduces costs of misclassified instances in neural networks.
method Adaptive Cost-Sensitive Learning (AdaCSL) adjusts loss function to bridge class distribution mismatches.
result Deep neural networks with AdaCSL outperform other methods on cost-sensitive binary classification tasks.

Deep neural networks enjoy a powerful representation and have proven effective in a number of applications. However, recent advances show that deep neural networks are vulnerable to adversarial attacks incurred by the so-called adversarial examples. Although the adversarial example is only slightly different from the i…

2019-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on error probability for classification of heavy-tailed renewal processes.

problem Error probability in classification of heavy-tailed renewal processes.
method Asymptotic expressions for Bhattacharyya bound on misclassification error probabilities.
result Obtained asymptotic expressions for misclassification error probabilities.

This research improves PAC-Bayesian bounds for classification tasks using convexified loss.

problem Deriving generalization bounds for classification tasks with non-convex loss functions.
method Shift focus to misclassification excess risk bounds for PAC-Bayesian classification using convex surrogate loss and leveraging PAC-Bayesian relative bounds in expectation.
result Improved PAC-Bayesian bounds for classification tasks with convex surrogate loss.

Optimal subset selection for hypothesis testing with penalties.

problem Optimal subset selection of information sources for hypothesis testing with misclassification penalties.
method Proposes a misclassification penalty framework and studies two variants of subset selection problems under centralized Bayesian learning.
result Proves the submodularity of the objective and constraints of the subset selection problems and establishes performance guarantees for greedy algorithms.

Study identifies and mitigates causes of image misclassifications in CNN models.

problem Improving model interpretability and accuracy in image classification.
method Trained six CNN architectures on CIFAR-10, used conditional confusion matrices and misclassification networks to identify morphological similarity and non-essential information interference as causes of misclassification. Developed a method to reduce misclassifications by erasing pixels within top 5% saliency map bounding boxes.
result Identified two causes of misclassification: morphological similarity and non-essential information interference, and developed a method to reduce misclassifications caused by the latter.

We discuss the problem of risk estimation in the classification problem, with specific focus on finding distributions that maximize the confidence intervals of risk estimation. We derived simple analytic approximations for the maximum bias of empirical risk for histogram classifier. We carry out a detailed study on usi…

2014-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a novel SVM model for binary classification with different misclassification costs.

problem Real-world classification problems with varying misclassification costs.
method Incorporates performance constraints in SVM formulation to seek a hyperplane with maximal margin and misclassification rates below given thresholds.
result The proposed model gives users control over misclassification rates in one class at the expense of the other.

We present a growing dimension asymptotic formalism. The perspective in this paper is classification theory and we show that it can accommodate probabilistic networks classifiers, including naive Bayes model and its augmented version. When represented as a Bayesian network these classifiers have an important advantage:…

2012-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes CSADA to make DNNs cost-sensitive.

problem Over-parameterization challenges cost-sensitive classification in DNNs.
method CSADA framework using adversarial data augmentation.
result CSADA effectively minimizes overall cost and reduces critical errors.

Domain adaptation algorithms are designed to minimize the misclassification risk of a discriminative model for a target domain with little training data by adapting a model from a source domain with a large amount of training data. Standard approaches measure the adaptation discrepancy based on distance measures betwee…

2020-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Convolutional neural networks handle rotated image symmetries without dimensionality issues.

problem Binary image classification with rotational symmetry.
method Least squares plug-in classifiers based on convolutional neural networks under rotationally symmetric assumptions.
result Convolutional neural networks can circumvent the curse of dimensionality in binary image classification with rotational symmetry.

A novel method for classification with rejection using ensemble of cost-sensitive classifiers.

problem Avoid risky misclassification in error-critical applications.
method Learning an ensemble of cost-sensitive classifiers.
result Improved classification accuracy and flexibility in loss selection.

Minimizes indecisions in selective classification to control misclassification rates.

problem Controlling misclassification rates in high-risk scenarios.
method Using indecisions to control misclassification rates, even below Bayes optimal.
result Control of misclassification rates to any user-specified level, even below Bayes optimal.

A new framework selects information sources to test hypotheses robustly, even with misclassifications.

problem Robust hypothesis testing with misclassification penalties.
method Introduces a misclassification penalty framework and an efficient greedy algorithm.
result Proposes a submodular surrogate metric for better selection.

Efficient algorithm for CLSBM reduces misclassification rate.

problem Reducing misclassification in community detection for CLSBM.
method Spectral-based algorithm for CLSBM, with theoretical misclassification bounds.
result Upper bound on misclassification rate of efficient algorithm.

New bounds on AE success probability in GP models.

problem Limiting the success of adversarial examples in probabilistic models.
method Investigated upper bounds on AE success probability using Gaussian Processes.
result Proved a new upper bound of AE success probability dependent on perturbation norm, kernel function, and training dataset distance.

The paper analyzes an ensemble of randomly projected linear discriminants for high-dimensional data.

problem Classification issues in small samples of high-dimensional data.
method Asymptotic analysis using random matrix theory.
result The ensemble offers a performance advantage under certain conditions.

The paper studies binary classification and aims at estimating the underlying regression function which is the conditional expectation of the class labels given the inputs. The regression function is the key component of the Bayes optimal classifier, moreover, besides providing optimal predictions, it can also assess t…

2019-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New tests for binary classification regression functions without distribution assumptions.

problem Testing regression functions in binary classification without distributional assumptions.
method Conditional kernel mean embeddings and resampling-based framework.
result Distribution-free hypothesis tests with exact type I error control.

Unlike traditional programs (such as operating systems or word processors) which have large amounts of code, machine learning tasks use programs with relatively small amounts of code (written in machine learning libraries), but voluminous amounts of data. Just like developers of traditional programs debug errors in the…

2016-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We study losses for binary classification and class probability estimation and extend the understanding of them from margin losses to general composite losses which are the composition of a proper loss with a link function. We characterise when margin losses can be proper composite losses, explicitly show how to determ…

2009-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops methods to improve reliability of deep learning for autonomous driving.

problem Safety concerns in deploying autonomous driving systems.
method Introduces a new criterion (true class probability) for estimating model confidence and learns it from data.
result Proposed method provides better failure prediction than current uncertainty measures.

In his seminal work, Schapire (1990) proved that weak classifiers could be improved to achieve arbitrarily high accuracy, but he never implied that a simple majority-vote mechanism could always do the trick. By comparing the asymptotic misclassification error of the majority-vote classifier with the average individual …

2013-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New research shows logistic regression can achieve optimal error rate for agnostic learning of halfspaces.

problem Agnostic learning of homogeneous halfspaces with logistic loss.
method Constructing a well-behaved distribution and using logistic regression with additional convex optimization steps.
result Logistic regression can achieve Ω(extrmOPT)Ω(\sqrt{ extrm{OPT}}) misclassification risk, matching the upper bound.

A new activation function improves credit scoring accuracy for imbalanced datasets.

problem Imbalanced datasets in credit scoring lead to underestimation of misclassification costs.
method Introduces ASIG, an asymmetric adjusted Sigmoid function.
result ASIG-embedded classifier outperforms traditional classifiers across various imbalance ratios.

This research improves deep neural network calibration using a new loss function.

problem Improving probability calibration in deep neural networks.
method Introduces Focal Calibration Loss (FCL) to minimize Euclidean norm and penalize calibration error.
result FCL achieves state-of-the-art performance in both calibration and accuracy metrics.

This work aims to reduce inexplicable errors in deep neural networks by obtaining class-level semantics and penalizing misclassifications.

problem Deep neural networks misclassify images, leading to inexplicable errors that can harm trust and societal impact.
method Obtain class-level semantics, propose Weighted Loss Functions (WLFs), and train classifiers with these methods.
result Trained networks have more explicable failure modes and comparable accuracy to existing methods.