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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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62123185246 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for minimum covariance determinant

A new method preserves useful information in data rows with outlying cells.

problem Preserving useful information in data rows with outlying cells.
method Cellwise robust Minimum Covariance Determinant (cellMCD) method using observed likelihood and a penalty term on cellwise outliers.
result The cellMCD method performs well in simulations and on real data.

Study proposes a machine learning method to predict stock price crashes based on investor sentiment.

problem Predicting stock price crashes due to investor sentiment.
method Minimum covariance determinant methodology and cross-sectional regression analysis.
result The proposed method effectively captures stock price crash risk and is robust across different firm sizes.

Paper introduces a robust generative model using weighted conjugate feature duality.

problem Training generative models can be affected by contamination, leading to noisy data.
method Introduces weighted conjugate feature duality in the framework of Restricted Kernel Machines (RKMs) to fine-tune the latent space.
result The weighted RKM is capable of generating clean images when training data is contaminated.

Investigates the long-only minimum variance portfolio in factor models.

problem Understanding the long-only minimum variance portfolio in factor models.
method Investigates the long-only global minimum variance portfolio in a factor model of returns, providing explicit and geometric descriptions for different factor models.
result Provides rigorous and explicit descriptions of the long-only solution in terms of covariance matrix parameters and geometric descriptions for multiple factors.

Improved portfolio optimization method yields better risk-adjusted returns.

problem Optimizing global minimum variance portfolios with reduced risk.
method k-fold boosted kk-BAHC covariance cleaning procedure for correlation matrices.
result Our method outperforms other filtering methods in Sharpe ratios, despite higher turnover.

Proposes a new model to maximize out-of-sample Sharpe ratios by forecasting tangency portfolios.

problem Maximizing Sharpe ratios when returns and covariances are not stationary.
method Forecast the tangency portfolio using vector autoregressions and invest in the minimum Euclidean distance portfolio.
result Empirically validated superior out-of-sample Sharpe ratios.

The study analyzes how covariance estimation errors affect the global minimum-variance portfolio under heavy-tailed distributions.

problem The impact of covariance estimation errors on the global minimum-variance portfolio under heavy-tailed distributions.
method Characterization of covariance-estimation error's effect on GMVP suboptimality, derivation of regret identity and bound, application to heavy-tailed returns.
result The decision geometry of GMVP regret is invariant to a (p-1)-dimensional projection of the error matrix, with invariance to the covariance-scale direction as an exact special case.

LoCoV reduces portfolio optimization errors from sample covariance matrices.

problem Large errors in sample covariance matrix for optimal portfolio weights.
method LoCoV (low dimension covariance voting) algorithm to reduce these errors.
result LoCoV outperforms classical methods in portfolio optimization experiments.

The paper analyzes the risk of a least squares estimator under a spike covariance model.

problem Risk analysis of the least squares estimator under a spike covariance model.
method Assumes spike covariance matrices, studies risk as d/nightarrowd/n ightarrow \infty.
result Risk of the minimum norm least squares estimator vanishes compared to the null estimator.

Inflating the minimum norm interpolator improves linear regression generalization error.

problem Highly anisotropic covariances and diverging d/nd/n in linear regression.
method Inflating the minimum 2\ell_2 norm interpolator by a constant greater than one.
result Inflating the minimum norm interpolator improves generalization error.

New estimator handles covariate shift with closed-form solution and super-efficiency.

problem Handling covariate shift in missing data and causal inference problems.
method Minimum Wasserstein distance estimation framework.
result Closed-form expression and super-efficiency relative to semiparametric efficient estimator.

This article concerns exact results on the minimum number of colors of a Fox coloring over the integers modulo r, of a link with non-null determinant. Specifically, we prove that whenever the least prime divisor of the determinant of such a link and the modulus r is 2, 3, 5, or 7, then the minimum number of colors is 2…

2010-01-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a neural network for global minimum variance portfolio optimization.

problem Minimizing portfolio variance for large equity covariance matrices.
method Rotation-invariant neural network that learns lag-transformed returns and covariance regularization.
result End-to-end trained model outperforms competitors in realized volatility and Sharpe ratios.

Inference for normal and Monte Carlo distributions using minimum relative entropy.

problem Inference from partial information on expectations and covariances.
method Minimum relative entropy sub-manifolds, analytical formulas, Monte Carlo simulations.
result Improved numerical implementation for inference from partial information.

New shrinkage estimator for GMV portfolio reduces risk in high-dimensional asset settings.

problem Estimating the global minimum variance portfolio in high-dimensional settings with limited data.
method Dynamic shrinkage of the GMV portfolio using previous data as a target.
result The new estimator outperforms traditional methods in high-dimensional asset settings.

Study long-only minimum variance portfolio in one-factor market with arbitrary sign betas.

problem Characterize the long-only minimum variance portfolio in a one-factor market with mixed-sign betas.
method Explicit solution for long-only minimum variance portfolio, explicit characterization of active set, asymptotic analysis in high-dimensional regime.
result Proportion of active assets in LOMV portfolio converges to F(β)F(β^*) in high-dimensional regime, with rate O(F(0)1/3)O(F(0)^{1/3}) when F(0)>0F(0) > 0.

We study the design of portfolios under a minimum risk criterion. The performance of the optimized portfolio relies on the accuracy of the estimated covariance matrix of the portfolio asset returns. For large portfolios, the number of available market returns is often of similar order to the number of assets, so that t…

2015-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses DFL to optimize portfolio risk and outperforms conventional methods.

problem Optimizing portfolio risk and return under uncertainty.
method Decision-focused learning (DFL) to derive global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP).
result DFL-based methods consistently deliver superior decision performance in portfolio optimization.

Anomalies and outliers are common in real-world data, and they can arise from many sources, such as sensor faults. Accordingly, anomaly detection is important both for analyzing the anomalies themselves and for cleaning the data for further analysis of its ambient structure. Nonetheless, a precise definition of anomali…

2018-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper finds the noise threshold for learning Gaussian mixture models equals channel capacity.

problem Learning Gaussian mixture models with noisy data.
method Bayesian formulation with uniformly distributed centers on a sphere, analyzing the large system limit.
result The maximal noise level σ2σ^2 for which GMM learning is as easy as labeled observations is the channel capacity.

Unified framework for geometric computation of minimum-area homotopy.

problem Computing the minimum homotopy area of a closed curve.
method Unified combinatorial word approach combining geometric and algebraic methods.
result Unified geometric proof and constructive algorithm for minimum area homotopy.

Paper proposes a generalized precision matrix for t-Student distributions to improve portfolio optimization.

problem Limitations of inverse covariance matrix in non-Gaussian settings.
method Exploits local dependence function to define generalized precision matrix (GPM) for multivariate t-Student distribution.
result GPM leads to statistically significant lower out-of-sample variances in minimum-variance portfolios.

The study examines the behavior of Gaussian processes' minimums and overshoots.

problem Understanding the behavior of Gaussian processes' minimums and overshoots.
method Analyzing conditional distributions and subsequential limits of minimizers.
result The scaled overshoot converges to an exponential random variable with mean σ_*^2.

Improved covariance matrix forecasting for S&P 500 using factor models and shrinkage.

problem Forecasting large covariance matrices of returns in finance.
method Decompose covariance matrix into firm-level factors and sectoral restrictions. Estimate using VHAR models with LASSO.
result Significantly improved forecasting precision compared to benchmarks.

Study on Laplacian determinant in isosceles triangles, finding equilateral triangle minimizes determinant.

problem Finding the minimum of the spectral determinant on isosceles triangles.
method Analyzing the determinant of the Laplacian on Euclidean isosceles triangle envelopes of fixed area.
result Equilateral triangle envelope minimizes the determinant of the Laplacian.

Consider the problem of estimating the minimum entropy of pseudo-Anosov maps on a surface of genus gg with nn punctures. We determine the behaviour of this minimum number for a certain large subset of the (g,n)(g,n) plane, up to a multiplicative constant. In particular it has been shown that for fixed nn, this minimum …

2018-01-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We find a closed-form determinant for a specific sparse covariance matrix model.

problem Finding the determinant of a specific class of sparse positive definite matrices.
method Using Fourier transform of local factors, Normal Factor Graph Duality Theorem, and Matrix Determinant Lemma.
result We derive a closed-form expression for the determinant.

New approach finds minimum width for deep, narrow MLPs.

problem Finding the minimum width for deep, narrow MLPs to approximate continuous functions.
method Proposes a framework to simplify finding minimum width into determining a geometrical function w(dx,dy)w(d_x, d_y) based on input and output dimensions.
result Proves that w(dx,dy)w(d_x, d_y) equals the optimal minimum width for deep, narrow MLPs to achieve universality.

The paper optimizes regret using covariance between costs and decisions.

problem Optimizing expected regret in decision-making problems.
method Developed derivative theory of covariance regret functional, derived Gâteaux derivative, and extended to constrained optimization.
result Gradient of covariance regret is the cost covariance matrix, with implications for portfolio optimization.

We analyze the structure of covariance matrices under graph constraints.

problem Analyzing the structure of covariance matrices under graph constraints.
method We explore the algebraic structure of the solution space of convex optimization problem Constrained Minimum Trace Factor Analysis (CMTFA) under a latent star topology.
result CMTFA can have either a rank 1 or a rank n-1 solution, with conditions for both.

In this paper we consider the use of the space vs. time Kronecker product decomposition in the estimation of covariance matrices for spatio-temporal data. This decomposition imposes lower dimensional structure on the estimated covariance matrix, thus reducing the number of samples required for estimation. To allow a sm…

2013-07-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a method to classify EEG signals with missing data.

problem Handling missing data in electroencephalogram (EEG) signals for classification.
method Uses an expectation-maximization algorithm with observed-data likelihood to compute covariance matrices, compares to imputed data and Riemannian averages.
result The proposed method generally performs better than existing methods on real EEG data.