A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We study the problem of switching-constrained online convex optimization (OCO), where the player has a limited number of opportunities to change her action. While the discrete analog of this online learning task has been studied extensively, previous work in the continuous setting has neither established the minimax ra…
We prove a new minimax theorem connecting the worst-case Bayesian regret and minimax regret under partial monitoring with no assumptions on the space of signals or decisions of the adversary. We then generalise the information-theoretic tools of Russo and Van Roy (2016) for proving Bayesian regret bounds and combine th…
New research shows existing information-theoretic methods can't establish minimax rates for gradient descent in stochastic convex optimization.
problem Establishing minimax rates for gradient descent in stochastic convex optimization using information-theoretic methods.
method Examined several information-theoretic frameworks including input-output mutual information bounds, conditional mutual information bounds, PAC-Bayes bounds, and their variants.
result Proved that none of the examined information-theoretic frameworks can establish minimax rates for gradient descent in stochastic convex optimization.
Local asymptotic minimax risk bounds in a locally asymptotically mixture of normal family of distributions have been investigated under asymmetric loss functions and the asymptotic distribution of the optimal estimator that attains the bound has been obtained.
Here we propose a general theoretical method for analyzing the risk bound in the presence of adversaries. Specifically, we try to fit the adversarial learning problem into the minimax framework. We first show that the original adversarial learning problem can be reduced to a minimax statistical learning problem by intr…
We develop a new theoretical framework, the \emph{envelope complexity}, to analyze the minimax regret with logarithmic loss functions and derive a Bayesian predictor that adaptively achieves the minimax regret over high-dimensional ℓ1-balls within a factor of two. The prior is newly derived for achieving the mini…
We prove non-asymptotic lower bounds on the expectation of the maximum of d independent Gaussian variables and the expectation of the maximum of d independent symmetric random walks. Both lower bounds recover the optimal leading constant in the limit. A simple application of the lower bound for random walks is an (…
We consider random-design linear prediction and related questions on the lower tail of random matrices. It is known that, under boundedness constraints, the minimax risk is of order d/n in dimension d with n samples. Here, we study the minimax expected excess risk over the full linear class, depending on the dist…
This work establishes distribution-free upper and lower bounds on the minimax label complexity of active learning with general hypothesis classes, under various noise models. The results reveal a number of surprising facts. In particular, under the noise model of Tsybakov (2004), the minimax label complexity of active …
We provide a unified treatment of a broad class of noisy structure recovery problems, known as structured normal means problems. In this setting, the goal is to identify, from a finite collection of Gaussian distributions with different means, the distribution that produced some observed data. Recent work has studied s…
k Nearest Neighbor (kNN) method is a simple and popular statistical method for classification and regression. For both classification and regression problems, existing works have shown that, if the distribution of the feature vector has bounded support and the probability density function is bounded away from zero in i…
Improved bounds for discrete probability distribution estimation under the ℓ∞ norm.
problem Estimating discrete probability distributions under the ℓ∞ norm with improved bounds.
method Minimax bounds in expectation and high-probability tail bounds.
result Resolved open questions posed in Kontorovich and Painsky (JMLR, 2025), including a fully empirical tightest risk bound and identifying the worst-case extremal distribution.
Thompson sampling is one of the most widely used algorithms for many online decision problems, due to its simplicity in implementation and superior empirical performance over other state-of-the-art methods. Despite its popularity and empirical success, it has remained an open problem whether Thompson sampling can match…
We analyze the Kozachenko--Leonenko (KL) nearest neighbor estimator for the differential entropy. We obtain the first uniform upper bound on its performance over Hölder balls on a torus without assuming any conditions on how close the density could be from zero. Accompanying a new minimax lower bound over the Hölder ba…
An important class of distance metrics proposed for training generative adversarial networks (GANs) is the integral probability metric (IPM), in which the neural net distance captures the practical GAN training via two neural networks. This paper investigates the minimax estimation problem of the neural net distance ba…