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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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12.5%25.0%37.5%50.0% · Jul 199319922001200920172026
48 results for minimal margin score

New margin-based regularization and selective sampling improve deep neural network performance.

problem Improving deep neural network performance on various classification tasks.
method Multi-margin regularization (MMR) and minimal margin score (MMS) for selective sampling.
result Improved results on multiple classification tasks across domains.

AIS uses a suboptimal extended target distribution, which this paper improves using SGM.

problem Improving the efficiency of Annealed Importance Sampling for marginal likelihood estimation.
method Leveraging score-based generative modeling to approximate the optimal extended target distribution.
result Demonstrated novel, differentiable AIS procedures on synthetic and real-world data.

New geometric analysis shows L2L^2 score error is flawed for diffusion models.

problem Score matching errors in diffusion models do not fully capture distributional quality.
method Decomposed score errors into gradient and solenoidal components, focusing on gradient's role in Fokker-Planck dynamics.
result Only gradient component affects marginal distributional quality; solenoidal component is structurally invisible.

Score matching errors are not sufficient for measuring diffusion model quality.

problem The L2L^2 score matching error is not a reliable measure of diffusion model performance.
method Decomposed score errors into gradient and solenoidal components and analyzed their geometric properties.
result Only the gradient component of the score error affects the marginal distributional quality.

Paper explores connections between loss functions and consistency in binary classification and regression.

problem Consistency in binary classification and regression applications.
method Characterization of conformable loss functions and derivation of a new Huber-type loss function.
result Margin-based loss functions are equivalent to loss functions of squared standardized logistic regression residuals.

SUMO provides unbiased log marginal likelihood estimation for latent variable models.

problem Biased estimates of log marginal likelihood in latent variable models.
method Randomized truncation of infinite series for unbiased estimation.
result Models trained with SUMO give better test-set likelihoods than standard methods.

CAEL-MIPS learns embeddings to improve MIPS for better OPE in contextual bandits.

problem High variance in IPS weighting for OPE in large action spaces.
method Context-Action Embedding Learning (CAEL) for MIPS to minimize MSE.
result CAEL-MIPS outperforms baselines in MSE for OPE in contextual bandits.

Improved sampling efficiency for inverse problems using variance-reduced diffusion methods.

problem Efficiently estimating noisy scores in inverse problems.
method Developed a nonparametric self-normalized importance sampling estimator and a state-dependent blending rule.
result Improved sample quality for fixed simulation budgets in synthetic targets and PDE-governed inverse problems.

Solves a 60-year-old question on agreement measures in statistics.

problem The challenge of measuring agreement between two raters or measures.
method Developed a new algorithm to minimize diagonals in contingency tables, formulated the minimum feasible agreement, and studied the lower limit of maximum feasible agreement.
result Formulated the lower limit of Cohen's kappa and two statistics for agreement analysis.

ScoreMatchingRiesz improves debiased machine learning and policy effects estimation.

problem Improving debiased machine learning and policy effects estimation.
method Score matching and Riesz representer estimation.
result Estimates policy path for continuous treatments, improving interpretability.

Recent reports have described that the equivalent sample size (ESS) in a Dirichlet prior plays an important role in learning Bayesian networks. This paper provides an asymptotic analysis of the marginal likelihood score for a Bayesian network. Results show that the ratio of the ESS and sample size determine the penalty…

2012-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a local Fokker--Planck geometric framework for more accurate score estimation.

problem Inaccurate estimation of score function in non-linear, state-dependent drifts.
method Local Fokker--Planck geometric framework, time change to cumulative-variance coordinate, heat-ball mean-value representations, exact high-dimensional sampling.
result Exact local mean-value representations for the score and density, improved accuracy in low-density regions.

New findings show score matching's accuracy doesn't ensure numerical stability in diffusion sampling.

problem Numerical stability issues in diffusion sampling despite small forward-marginal error.
method Constructing a smooth score field with arbitrarily small forward-marginal L2L^2 error, showing nonexplosive behavior and moments of every order.
result Euler--Maruyama discretizations can converge in probability even when moments diverge, demonstrating failure of weak convergence.

A new method optimizes anomaly scoring from score distribution to improve AD performance.

problem Vulnerability to anomaly contamination and lack of adaptability in existing AD methods.
method Optimizes anomaly scoring function from score distribution perspective, using Overlap loss.
result Overlap loss-based AD models significantly outperform state-of-the-art methods.

A new method predicts precipitation distributions from ensemble forecasts.

problem Improving accuracy and calibration of precipitation forecasts.
method Distributional regression U-Nets for postprocessing ensemble precipitation forecasts.
result Competitive performance in continuous ranked probability score, especially for heavy precipitation.

Bayesian network structure learning is often performed in a Bayesian setting, by evaluating candidate structures using their posterior probabilities for a given data set. Score-based algorithms then use those posterior probabilities as an objective function and return the maximum a posteriori network as the learned mod…

2016-05-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Given a set of possible models (e.g., Bayesian network structures) and a data sample, in the unsupervised model selection problem the task is to choose the most accurate model with respect to the domain joint probability distribution. In contrast to this, in supervised model selection it is a priori known that the chos…

2013-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

In Bayesian statistics, the marginal likelihood, also known as the evidence, is used to evaluate model fit as it quantifies the joint probability of the data under the prior. In contrast, non-Bayesian models are typically compared using cross-validation on held-out data, either through kk-fold partitioning or leave-$p…

2019-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Given a set of possible models (e.g., Bayesian network structures) and a data sample, in the unsupervised model selection problem the task is to choose the most accurate model with respect to the domain joint probability distribution. In contrast to this, in supervised model selection it is a priori known that the chos…

2013-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian network structure learning is often performed in a Bayesian setting, evaluating candidate structures using their posterior probabilities for a given data set. Score-based algorithms then use those posterior probabilities as an objective function and return the maximum a posteriori network as the learned model.…

2017-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Three RFF-based methods for nonlinear causal discovery in mixed data.

problem Nonlinear causal discovery in mixed data with computational constraints.
method FFML, TRFF, and FFCI methods for score-based, constraint-based, and hybrid causal discovery.
result FFML and TRFF methods provide complementary performance in causal discovery.

Recently, there has been much interest in finding globally optimal Bayesian network structures. These techniques were developed for generative scores and can not be directly extended to discriminative scores, as desired for classification. In this paper, we propose an exact method for finding network structures maximiz…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

It has been argued that in supervised classification tasks, in practice it may be more sensible to perform model selection with respect to some more focused model selection score, like the supervised (conditional) marginal likelihood, than with respect to the standard marginal likelihood criterion. However, for most Ba…

2013-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian approach models nonignorable missing data using copulas and marginal quantiles.

problem Nonignorable missing data in lead exposure and test score analysis.
method Gaussian copula model with auxiliary marginal quantiles for missingness indicators and study variables.
result Efficient MCMC algorithm estimates copula correlation and marginal distributions consistently.

Mixed integer programming identifies critical neurons in neural networks.

problem Identifying neurons critical for network performance and generalization.
method Developed a mixed integer program (MIP) to assign importance scores to neurons, guiding pruning decisions.
result The method identifies multiple 'lucky' sub-networks resulting in optimized architectures that generalize across datasets.

This work introduces COLA, a strategy to aggregate conformal prediction sets efficiently.

problem Efficiently combining multiple conformity scores to reduce prediction set size.
method Introduces COnfidence-Level Allocation (COLA) to optimally allocate confidence levels across sets.
result COLA achieves smaller prediction sets than state-of-the-art methods while maintaining valid coverage.

Study improves curvature estimate for stable marginally outer trapped hypersurfaces with a free boundary.

problem Curvature estimate for stable marginally outer trapped hypersurfaces with a free boundary.
method Iteration argument based on uniform area bound.
result Improved curvature estimate for stable marginally outer trapped hypersurfaces.

MEC-Cox: A Machine-Learning-Assisted Generalized Entropy Calibration Method for Estimating ATT Marginal Hazard-Ratio

problem Estimating ATT marginal hazard-ratio in externally controlled survival trials
method Machine-learning-assisted generalized entropy calibration for IPW Cox regression
result Reduces bias, increases efficiency, and improves coverage

NDDV estimates data point value from a single stochastic trajectory.

problem Estimating marginal contributions of data points over stochastic training paths.
method Introduces Neural Dynamic Data Valuation (NDDV) using stochastic state and adjoint equations.
result NDDV provides a one-run, trajectory-conditioned estimator of data point value.

New method DDVI improves posterior inference for deep Gaussian processes.

problem Inference of inducing points in DGPs is challenging and biased.
method DDVI uses denoising diffusion SDE and score matching for posterior approximation.
result Empirically shows DDVI outperforms baseline methods in inducing point inference.

Adapts AUM to identify ambiguous tasks in crowdsourced learning, improving generalization.

problem Discerning ambiguous tasks in crowdsourced labels to prevent mislabeling.
method Introduces Weighted Areas Under the Margin (WAUM) to average AUMs weighted by task-specific scores.
result Improves generalization performance by discarding ambiguous tasks.

New DAM method improves AUC scores in medical image classification.

problem Maximizing AUC in large-scale medical image classification.
method Proposes AUC margin loss for robust optimization, conducts extensive empirical studies.
result Improves performance on four medical image classification tasks, achieving 1st place on Stanford CheXpert.

We speed up marginal inference by ignoring factors that do not significantly contribute to overall accuracy. In order to pick a suitable subset of factors to ignore, we propose three schemes: minimizing the number of model factors under a bound on the KL divergence between pruned and full models; minimizing the KL dive…

2012-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

StratLearner learns strategies to prevent misinformation in social networks.

problem Learning strategies to protect against misinformation in social networks without knowing the diffusion model.
method Structured prediction framework using random features and large margin method.
result Our method produces near-optimal protectors without diffusion model information and outperforms other methods.